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Friday, May 8, 2015

Rookie Rankings (Post-Draft)

The idea here, for my purpose, is to get an idea of the rookies we think will have an impact on the fantasy season and who will be in the best place to do so. All current string assumptions are based on the great site Ourlads who has an extensive bunch of depth charts. As always let me know if there is a glaring omission and I will tell you if I agree or why I don’t. (If the past is any indication none of you will and that’s a bummer. I wanna here what you think.)

So here it is the top 30. These are all the players I think have a decent chance to crack the top two on the depth chart (For WR this means 3rd, 4th, 5th receivers.). You will notice there are only two TEs in the bunch stemming from the lack of usefulness of a 2nd string TE. You will also notice the top two picks in the draft are relatively low, stemming from their usefulness year one.

The Rankings (Player, Pos, Tm, Current String, Projected String)

1) Melvin Gordon, RB, San Diego Chargers, Starter, Starter | Gordon lands in the best position of any skill position. Behind a solid line, with a high quality QB and coaching staff with all the opportunity. Gordon will to show greater patience, but he is more talented than Brandon Oliver and Danny Woodhead.

2) Dorial Green-Beckham, WR, Tennessee Titans, 3rd, Starter | Kendall Wright is a nice place to start for a receiving corps but Green-Beckham is taller, more athletic and a true #1. Yes Green-Beckham has a rookie (Mariota) throwing the ball to him but Josh Gordon was a master class in ignoring QBs when talking freak WR talent.

3) Todd Gurley, RB, St. Louis Rams, Starter, Starter | “But, Brock?” you say, “Gurley is coming off an ACL surgery and might not be ready for camp.” You plead. To that I say, Gurley would have been my top player in a perfect world but some concern over his utility year one drops him to third. He’s worth the risk and once he gets rolling he isn’t relinquishing that starting job.

4) Nelson Agholor, WR, USC, Starter, Starter | Agholor may not have been the splash on draft day that many Eagles fans wanted but he’s refined enough to produce year one in Philadelphia. This is banking on an assumption of 80% of Jeremy Maclin’s production last year and Kelly needed an outside threat to utilize. He’s immediately the #1 on this team and should be considered as such.

5) Amari Cooper, WR, Oakland Raiders, Starter, Starter | The difference between Cooper and #6 White is slight for me. They each have QB question marks, but Cooper doesn’t have an established receiver across from him and White has Alshon. Cooper was also a more polished product and therefore gets the edge.

6) Kevin Whtie, WR, Chicago Bears, Starter, Starter | White comes into a nice situation but the question of which Cutler or which QB is the only concern here. As mentioned earlier by the Josh Gordon Principle I think both he and Jeffery get theirs and White has a nice productive rookie season.

7) T.J. Yeldon, RB, Jacksonville Jaguars, 2nd, Starter | Yeldon is going to get a lot of work this season for the Jaguars and although I wasn’t a huge fan of the pick he is NFL ready and probably the most patient runner of the rookies. Add that to the rumor that Gerhart is going to get more work at the H, It looks likely that Yeldon starters with Robinson spelling as a change of pace back.

8) Tevin Coleman, RB, Atlanta Falcons, 2nd, Starter | Coleman was a divisive back amongst draftniks but I think the upside is too much to pass up here. Devante Freeman was a nice story last season but I think Coleman gets first crack at the starting job with Freeman being the second half of a lightning-lightning combo.

9) David Cobb, RB, Tennessee Titans | I know it’s been one year but Bishop Sankey is not the answer. Sankey may be able to be a nice piece, a third guy, a low upside choice in a combo situation but probably not much more. Cobb doesn’t bring the high ceiling but he has a twitch at the line and in the hole that Sankey doesn’t. Cobb was very productive on a Gophers team last season that didn’t have a passing game and I don’t see why, if given the opportunity he won’t work out in Tennessee.

10) Devin Funchess, WR, Carolina Panthers, 2nd, Starter | He’s not a TE and he isn’t going to be for the Panthers, especially with Greg Olsen there. Funchess is a space eater, with good range and a pretty unimpeded path to a starting job. This is all based on moving Cotchery inside and I don’t think this is unheard of.

11) Jaelan Strong, WR, Houston Texans, 2nd, Starter | Strong slipped in the draft much farther than I thought he would, but he landed in a nice spot. I see him moving into the starting rotation for the Texans as the season moves toward us and I see that faciliatated by moving Shorts inside to the slot and a three receiver set of Hopkins, Shorts and Strong. That all being said the QB situation is still troubling and limits the upside of Strong.

12) Breshad Perriman, WR, Baltimore Ravens, 2nd, Starter | Perriman has been brought in to replace Torrey Smith as the stretch receiver and I don’t see a reason he won’t be able to take over that role. Perriman will almost definitely see less targets early on than Smith would have been he’s still a high upside pick with a QB that loves to chuck it down field.

13) Devante Parker, WR, Miami Dolphins, 2nd, 2nd/1st | Parker is a favorite of mine with this college group but he has obstacles to his advancement in the depth chart that I think will slow his impact in the first half of the season. When he does get his chances he should shine. With plus body control and a competitive streak Parker should be pushing Jennings for the outside receiver position.

14) Jay Ajayi, RB, Miami Dolphins, 4th, 2nd | Ajayi slid way too far in the draft and ends up in a place where he has a good chance to challenge for the top spot and should be the number two back coming out of training camp. Ajayi is a fluid back who needs to do a better job of finding the hole without bouncing his runs outside.

15) Rashad Greene, WR, Jacksonville Jaguars, 4th, 2nd | Greene is a possession receiver in the classical sense, think Ed McCaffery or Mushin Muhammed. Greene was Winston’s go to last year and was the most consistent receiver two years ago on the national championship team. Greene will compete with Hurns and Streeter in camp but a threesome of Marques Lee, Allen Robinson and Greene in the slot would be a great set of targets for Bortles to grow up with.

16) Buck Allen, RB, Baltimore Ravens, 3rd, 2nd | Allen is not a well-known commodity for most people but he’s a downhill, power back that should beat out Taliaferro and be a good spell for Forsett especially late in the year.

17) Ameer Abdullah, RB, Detroit Lions, 3rd, 2nd | Abdullah is your Bush replacement. He should be able to contribute right away as a change of pace and I believe with work on his pass blocking he has top back upside a couple years down the road. Abdullah should be a nice spark and something for opponents to worry about.

18) David Johnson, RB, Arizona Cardinals, 3rd, 2nd | Johnson is immensely talented, with a high upside, but he needs refinement. Even small steps forward in patience would make him a strong contender for the starting job.

19) Maxx Williams, TE, Baltimore Ravens, Starter, Starter | Williams is the first non-RB/WR to get on the board and that’s because at best he will just be in the middle of the pack of a group of good enough TEs that won’t be Graham or Gronk. Williams steps into a great place, Flacco loves his tight end and with a vertical passing game the underneath stuff is always open and Williams has shown a propensity to make plays that count.

20) Jameis Winston, QB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Starter, Starter | Winston goes to a Tampa, a team with no line (although they are trying) and a great set of weapons. As long as they keep it simple Winston should have a pretty good shot to be a productive quarterback. That being said he needs to keep his poor choices to a minimum or at least to inopportune times or the nay-sayers are going to be out in force early in his rookie year.

21) Marcus Mariota, QB, Tennessee Titans, Starter, Starter | I wish he was in a position to sit this year but he’s still a starter and that distinction lands him here. Mariota has some weapons to rely on and I think the most important is Kendall Wright. I know Green-Beckham is bigger and more talented but Wright is a weapon that a rookie can rely on for good routes and to be in the places he’s supposed to be in. Add that to a rushing attack with a lot of question Mariota could have a sneaky good rookie year.

This is where we get the less certain impact of 3rd string RBs and 2nd string WRs.

22) Josh Robinson, RB, Indianapolis Colts, 4th, 2nd/3rd | Robinson is an intriguing talent. A natural runner with wiggle and that big ol’ butt you’ll here ex-scouts talk about Robinson would be much higher up if Gore hadn’t been signed. With Gore signed, Robinson will probably split some time with Herron as the spill backs for Gore.

23) Mario Alford, WR, Cincinnati Bengals, 4th, 2nd | Alford was the less acclaimed receiver out of West Virginia but he flashed at times and I see him as a great candidate to be 2015’s Martavis Bryant. Alford is on a team that needs a player that can force the seam to take pressure off of A.J. Green. He needs to beat out Demarious Moore, more teams than we can count Brandon Tate and Marvin Jones. The latter is the toughest sell but Bryant wasn’t expected to produce year one in Pittsburgh.

24) Tyler Lockett, WR, Seattle Seahawks, 3rd, 2nd | The Seahawks broke the bank to get up the draft and pick Lockett and I love the player hate the price. That being said, he should contribute on returns early and has to at least have a chance to make the starting lineup at the slot at some point. College defenses had no answer for Lockett, so we’ll see what NFL slot receivers can do.

25) Clive Walford, TE, Oakland Raiders, 3rd, Starter | Walford is the only other tight end I see starting but he isn’t in the lineup that Williams is in and he isn’t the talent that Williams is. That said young QBs have been known to lean on tight ends and two young guys in Carr and Walford may form a bond easier than a young guy and an older QB.

26) Trae McBride, WR, Tennessee Titans, 3rd, 2nd | McBride is a favorite of a lot of draftniks and an under-the-radar player for the Titans. The Titans depth chart is good but McBride may be a better year two pick-up than a year one pick-up. But I’m saying there’s a chance.

27) DeAndre Smelter, WR, San Francisco 49ers, 3rd, 2nd | Smelter was the better of the Georgia Tech receivers and has great upside. I don’t think he’ll see too much playing time year one but late in the year is a possibility and it’s all dependent on his rehab this offseason. This is pure speculation or dynasty consideration.

28) Devin Smith, WR, New York Jets, 3rd, 2nd | I could imagine a world where Smith shows off at rookie OTAs, then at Training camp and features as the outside receiver opposite Marshall with Decker at the slot. I don’t think it’s incredibly likely, but There is a clear vision and I might be way too low on Smith year one.

29) Jamison Crowder, WR, Washington Redskins, 3rd, 2nd | Crowder is a solid player who has probably maxed out on most of his potential but what he lacks in upside he makes up for with consistency. Crowder was very good at Duke and should at least push Roberts and Grant for that slot role inside of Garcon and Jackson.


30) Sammie Coates, WR, Pittsburgh Steelers, 2nd, 2nd | Martavis Bryant 2.0, a slot role or a stash player. Coates has consistency issues but he was clearly the Steelers best player available at the time and they certainly will find spots now and then for him.

Tuesday, May 5, 2015

2015 NFL Draft: Grades

Here we go. It took me a little bit longer to get this out, but we got here and it was an interesting draft. I liked a good number of drafts and was stupified by a couple. So read through, tell me what I missed, where I missed and who's gonna make me look stupid.

NFC East

Philadelphia Eagles 

A-
Small draft for the Eagles who had just six draft picks this year. I thought they nailed rounds 2 & 3 with Rowe and Hicks but would like to have seen a little more WR help found for Bradford or whomever is the quarterback.

Best Pick: Erick Rowe, CB, Utah
Worst Pick: Nelson Agholor, WR, USC (Because I had to pick one.)

Dallas Cowboys

C+
Dallas hit the top of the draft well, with Jones being a very good fit in a man coverage scheme and Gregory was a damn steal at 60. The late rounds found some solid talent with LBs Damien Wilson & Mark Nzeocha. Their class is going to hinge on Gregory’s growth as a person and Jones being able to translate his freak athleticism.

Best Pick: Randy Gregory, Edge, Nebraska
Worst Pick: Chaz Green, OT, Florida

New York Giants

C+
The Giants had limited upside on their draft when they started out with Flowers who I just can’t get behind as a top ten pick. They rebounded nicely adding Collins and Odighizuwa who were both first round talents on my board. Thye also did well to find to high upside players with both Geremy Davis and Bobby Hart.

Best Pick: Owamagbe Odighizuwa, DL, UCLA
Worst Pick: Ereck Flowers, OT, Miami (FL)

Washington Redskins

D+
The best thing about the Redskins draft was the way in which they added value and picks in draft day trades. Scherff is a low upside talent at 5 and that hurts the overall value of the selection but should be a stalwart over the next 5 years or so on that offensive line. Most of their draft were high floor low ceiling players who just didn’t excite. This grade will almost assuredly look foolish in 3-5 years.

Best Pick: Preston Smith, Edge, Mississippi State
Worst Pick: Matt Jones, RB, Florida

NFC North

Minnesota Vikings

A
I know Clemmings has a foot injury but he’s a steal in the third round, Kendricks pairs up with old teammate Barr who was drafted last seasons by the Vikings. Waynes is good but I would have taken a few other CBs that have a little more upside and more palatable questions. Stefon Diggs and Tyrus Thompson were really nice upside picks in the fifth and they did good on trades to pick up value.

Best Pick: T.J. Clemmings, OT, Pittsburgh
Worst Pick: Trae Waynes, CB, Michigan State (Because I had to.)

Chicago Bears

B-
I loved the White pick, Goldman is nice and Grasu should improve the interior of the line, especially from an athleticism standpoint. Tayo Fabuluje from TCU may be my favorite pick from this draft. Fabuluje was an athletic sleeper for me this year and he and Amos should provide great value from this draft when we look back for the Bears.

Best Pick: Kevin White, WR, West Virginia
Worst Pick: Jeremy Langford, RB, Michigan State

Detroit Lions

C+
There isn’t much to say for the Lions here, Quandre Diggs and Corey Robinson are very good value in the 6th and 7th and Alex Carter should start right away. That all being said it’s a solid draft without that mouth-watering upside.

Best Pick: Alex Carter, CB, Stanford
Worst Pick: Michael Burton, FB, Rutgers

Green Bay Packers

D-
Where to start, Randall is another Micah Hyde, Rollins may slot in a position like that as well, Montgomery can’t catch a pass with any consistency, Ryan could start inside early, Hundley is great value that is offset by the value given up in the trade and the Packers picked a FB named Ripkowski. There should be no question about what I think of this draft.

Best Pick: Jake Ryan, OBLB, Michigan
Worst Pick: Damarious Randall, S, Arizona State

NFC South

Atlanta Falcons

A-
The only things that drag this grade down are value lost in trades and the last couple picks. The top of their draft is as good as anyone’s and Hardy and Jarrett are steals in the 4th and the 5th. Really nice start for Dan Quinn and company in Atlanta.

Best Pick: Grady Jarrett, DT, Clemson
Worst Pick: Jalen Collins, CB, LSU (Because I have to)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

B-
Good draft for a team with a bunch of holes. Winston is a great place to start, Donovan Smith may turn into a premiere, or at least passable, left tackle, and I don’t think anyone had a better 4th-7th rounds.

Best Pick: Jameis Winston, QB, Florida State
Worst Pick: Donovan Smith, OT, Penn State

New Orleans Saints

C+
Stephone Anthony could have had been had in the second or later but they got the guy they wanted. Tyeler Davison was a favorite of mine out of Fresno and will be a fun watch the next couple of years. Outside of Davison it’s a very solid draft that will make me look silly if Peat is elite and Kikaha stays healthy.

Best Pick: Tyeler Davison, DT, Fresno State
Worst Pick: Stephone Anthony, OBLB, Clemson

Carolina Panthers

F+
When you only have five picks, get a lot of meh talnet, don’t really address your needs and trade away three times as much value as anyone else in the draft you get an F+. And only get an F+ because you drafted a high upside OT to at least look like you care about Cam Newton’s safety.

Best Pick: Daryl Williams, OL, Oklahoma
Worst Pick: Devin Funchess, WR, Michigan

NFC West

San Francisco 49ers

B-
Needed to fill a lot of holes, needed some stability and they got it. In other places I may have been a little unimpressed but I thought the 9ers did a good job of at least stabilizing through depth. Add to that a job well done getting extra pick value and you got yourself a nice little draft.

Best Pick: Arik Armstead, DL, Oregon
Worst Pick: Bradley Pinion, P, Clemson

Arizona Cardinals

C
Really liked the value and upside of Johnson who popped athletically but needs a little time to grow into the beast he could be. Humphries and Golden should be contributors early and they got some freaks late to add depth and production.

Best Pick: David Johnson, RB, Northern Iowa
Worst Pick: Rodney Gunter, DT, Delaware State

St. Louis Rams

C-
Pretty meh early. Gurley is a great talent but running backs don’t bring the boom top 10 like other positions. Havenstein should be a good RT but round 2 was probably a round too early for the big tackle out of Wisconsin. The rest of the draft was fine but nothing to shake a stick at.

Best Pick: Jamon Brown, OL, Louisville
Worst Pick: Rob Havenstein, OT, Wisconsin

Seattle Seahawks

D-
Not a big fan of what Seattle did in this year’s draft. Lockett and Glowinski were really nice gets in the third and fourth rounds and Obum Gwacham was a favorite sleeper of a lot of very good draftniks. Clark as the headliner has already brought negative press stemming from his domestic violence incident and cracks are already showing the Seahawks investigation story.

Best Pick: Tyler Lockett, WR, Kansas State
Worst Pick: Terry Poole, OT, San Diego State

AFC East

New England Patriots

B-
Loved the Brown pick as it was a ridiculous steal at the end of the first. They then went on to lose all that good will with low upside reaches in rounds two and three but nailed the fourth picking up favorites of mine in Trey Flowers and Shaq Mason.

Best Pick: Malcolm Brown, DT, Texas
Worst Pick: Joe Cardona, LS, Navy

Miami Dolphins

C+
Love Devante Parket and Jay Ajayi and think both contribute rather early. Jordan Phillips and Jamil Douglas have questions but nice upside but they’re question marks until they prove otherwise.

Best Pick: Jay Ajayi, RB, Boise State
Worst Pick: Jordan Phillips, DT, Oklahoma

New York Jets

C+
Williams was a great surprise at 6 with my only concern being where they play all their bodies. Devin Smith gives you the downfield threat that Marshall and Decker don’t and Jarvis Harrison is a big athletic guard who should help in both run and pass. For me the biggest problem is Petty in the fourth. You waited ‘til 103 to take him which means you don’t think he’s a starter or franchise guy, but you didn’t wait ‘til the 6th or 7th to denote him as a project.

Best Pick: Leonard Williams, DL, USC
Worst Pick: Bryce Petty, QB, Baylor

Buffalo Bills

D+
They hit the end of the draft really well, with the Dezim Lewis and Nick O’Leary picks but the problem was after Darby they didn’t help themselves or left superior players on the board.

Best Pick: Ronald Darby, CB, Florida State
Worst Pick: Karlos Williams, RB, Florida State

AFC North

Pittsburgh Steelers

A-
Where they got Dupree was a huge bargain and a pick I'm sure they weren't planning on in the morning. Golson and Coates where nice additions and Anthony Chickillo in late in the 6th made this a really nice draft for the Steelers.

Best Pick: Bud Dupree, Edge, Kentucky
Worst Pick: Jesse James, TE, Penn State

Baltimore Ravens

B+
I love the top of this draft, Perriman, Maxx Williams & Carl Dais were all home run picks. Perriman replaces Torrey Smith, Williams is a playmaker (think Todd Heap) and Davis is a versatile DT who was a steal in the third. The middle of the draft keeps this from an A.

Best Pick: Carl Davis, DT, Iowa
Worst Pick: Tray Walker, CB, Texas Southern

Cleveland Browns

B
I’m a big fan of Erving and his potential, added with the rocky relationship with Mack this pick makes a lot of sense. The rest of their draft is pretty nice too. The next three picks all got B+ and they got one of the best talents at DB in Ifo Ekpre-Olumu. The only picks I was down on were the TEs taken in the 6th round.

Best Pick: Cameron Erving, C, Florida State
Worst Pick: Malcolm Johnson, TE, Mississippi State

Cincinnati Bengals

C
Ogbuehi is an intriguing talent with concern about injury and where the RT we saw a couple years back went. Paired with Fisher they have a chance to be a dynamic pair in the near future. Picking up Derron Smith and Mario Alford in the 6th and 7th were very nice finds and upside picks.

Best Pick: Jake Fisher, OT, Oregon
Worst Pick: Tyler Kroft, TE, Rutgers

AFC South

Tennessee Titans

B-
I was glad to see Mariota go his rightful second but here’s to hoping Wisenhunt doesn’t screw it up. Green-Beckham is the receiver headliner both on and off the field but Tre McBride their 7th round pick may be the jewel of this draft. Mariota will have talent to work with at receiver with the aforementioned rookie duo and Wright, Hunter, Nicks and Douglas already waiting in Nashville.

Best Pick: Marcus Mariota, QB, Oregon
Worst Pick: Angelo Blackson, DT, Auburn

Jacksonville Jaguars

C-
Fowler was a fine pick but a bit higher than I was comfortable with and Yeldon was taken before a number of more dynamic running backs. That said they rebounded nice with A.J. Cann, Rashad Greene, and Michael Bennett were great value picks in the 3rd, 5th and 6th respectively.

Best Pick: Michael Bennett, DT, Ohio State
Worst Pick: T.J. Yeldon, RB, Alabama

Indianapolis Colts

D+
Don’t completely get what the Colts were doing here. Dorsett doubles up what Hilton already brings, D’Joun Smith will need time to grow into his role and they didn’t address the line at all. That said I loved the get of Henry Anderson and Danielle Hunter to bolster the defensive line and Amarlo Herrera which was a steal in my mind in the 6th round.

Best Pick: Amarlo Herrera, OBLB, Georgia
Worst Pick: Phillip Dorsett, WR, Miami (FL)

Houston Texans

D+
Another draft that’s solid but gave up a bunch of value in trades. Strong was a great value in round 3, Johnson is a high floor pick and McKinney should be a nice addition behind that front 3.

Best Pick: Jaelen Strong, WR, Arizona State
Worst Pick: Rishard Cliett, OBLB, South Florida

AFC West

Oakland Raiders

C
I have a B- or higher on five of the first seven picks for the Raiders. Cooper will be really good, Edwards should be solid and a fine NT at worst, Heeney in the fourth and Valles are nice additions alongside Mack. The only pick I was overly down on was Ball the LB out of Florida because I think it was the waste of a fourth round pick.

Best Pick: Clive Walford, TE, Miami (FL)
Worst Pick: Neiron Ball, OBLB, Florida

Kansas City Chiefs

C-
I’m a huge fan of Nunez-Roches and think he’s got a chance to make an impact early year one. The rest of their draft is solid with good talent but there isn’t anything that makes you get overly excited.

Best Pick: Rakeem Nunez-Roches, DT, Southern Miss
Worst Pick: D.J. Alexander, OBLB, Oregon State

San Diego Chargers

D
I actually like the chargers draft quite a bit but they gave up a bunch of value to move up in this draft and only got five players in the class. The lowest draft grade I have here is Gordon at a C+ but they just gave up too much value for an above average grade.

Best Pick: Darius Philon, DT, Arkansas
Worst Pick: Melvin Gordon, RB, Wisconsin (Not that bad of a pick)

Denver Broncos

F+
Denver gave up a pretty significant amount of value in draft trades, which in and of itself isn’t the worst thing but the class as a whole is pretty meh. That all stems from my trepidation with Shane Ray and his athletic ability.

Best Pick: Lorenzo Doss, CB, Tulane

Worst Pick: Shane Ray, Edge, Missouri

Saturday, May 2, 2015

Day Two Analysis and Grades

Day two the day that will impact a franchise for the next 5-7 years and will be the base on which the franchise is built. I was excited for it and it came out as good as expected.

Round Two

Trade: Giants get 33 from the Titans for 40, 108, 245 Grades: NYG: B TEN: B

33) New York Giants (From Tennessee) | Landon Collins, S, Alabama | The mock I ran out of time on had Collins going to Tennessee here so I was on the right track. 1st round talent with injury concerns and more of an in the box safety. Grade: A-

34) Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Donovan Smith, OT, Penn State | Smith is very intriguing athlete, but anyone who watched Penn State last season will have questions about him. He needs to show he is committed to work on his trade to make this a wise pick down the road. Grade: C+

35) Oakland Raiders | Mario Edwards Jr, DL, Florida State | Edwards has a great pedigree, but he was an inconsistent performer on the edge. He will make flash plays in the run game but he needs to show he can pass rush. Grade: B-

36) Jacksonville Jaguars | T.J. Yeldon, RB, Alabama | Oooh, they knew who they wanted. Yeldon is a big high runner, who makes one cut and goes. He isn't the most dynamic runner but he makes the cut and runs well. This is a deep running back class and Yeldon isn't the best of 'em. Grade: C

37) New York Jets | Devin Smith, WR, Ohio State | Smith is a burner who can take the top off the defense. He was very productive at Ohio State and can high point the ball. Think Torrey Smith with less DPI necessary. Gives the Jets the Marshall/Decker compliment they needed. Grade: B+

38) Washington RedskinsPreston Smith, DE Mississippi State | Big athlete from Miss State really showed off a great athletic build. Should be a really good DE and should be able to play 3 tech in sub packages. Grade: B-

39) Chicago Bears | Eddie Goldman, DT, Florida State | I like Goldman more than Edwards and at a more scarce position. Goldman should be a nice addition to a defense that is moving to a 3-4 defense this off-season with a new staff. Should stuff up at NT and two-gap well. Grade: B+

40) Tennessee Titans (From New York (N)) | Dorial Green-Beckham, WR, Missouri | He's here because of his domestic violence issues. Outside of that he adds a vertical threat to Titans to pair up with Kendall Wright. Grade: C+

Trade: Panthers get 41 from the Rams for 57, 89 & 201 Grades: CAR: C+ STL: A

41) Carolina Panthers (From Washington) | Devin Funchess, WR, Michigan | Funchess is just Kelvin Benjamin with a better high point. I like that they are getting Cam weapons but mirror images of each other seems like too much of an overlap. Grade: C-

42) Atlanta Falcons | Jalen Collins, CB, LSU | Big cornerback, athletic with consistency issues. Thought he'd be a first round pick but they are starting to build up the young talent on defense for Dan Quinn to start off with and mold. Grade: B-

Trade: Texans get 43 & 229 from the Browns 51, 116 & 195 Grade: CLE: A HOU: B+

43) Houston Texans (From Cleveland) | Benardrick McKinney, OBLB, Mississippi State | I like this pick good off ball linebacker who should play the run well, he needs to work on his drops in coverage but this is a solid pick for the Texans. Grade: B-

44) New Orleans Saints | Hau'oli Kikaha, OLB, Washington | No knees but a productive player last season for Washington. We'll see how he lasts but when healthy he's a lot of fun to watch. Grade: B-

45) Minnesota Vikings | Eric Kendricks, OBLB, UCLA | One of my favorite players in this draft, Kendricks is an active inside linebacker with solid instincts and sideline to sideline speed. Very good pick for the Vikings. Grade: A

46) San Francisco 49ers | Jaquiski Tartt, S, Samford | The first pure small school draftee, Tartt played safety and in a week class has a lot of intrigue and may be a candidate to move to slot corner at his size. Grade: B-

Trade: Eagles get 47 & 191 from the Dolphins for 52, 145 & 156 Grades: PHI: A MIA: B

47) Philadelphia Eagles (From Miami) | Eric Rowe, CB, Utah | Love this pick, Rowe is a big corner and who played S and moved to CB last season. I think he only gets better. Grade: A+

48) San Diego ChargersDenzel Perryman, OBLB, Miami (FL) | Chargers needed help up the middle and Perryman is as good as any. A bit undersized he hits hard, with good instincts and fair athleticism he won't hamper a defense. Grade: B

49) Kansas City ChiefsMitch Morse, OT, Missouri | Morse is a versatile lineman with a good first step and some power. But he never stuck at a position and will need some time to find an identiyt. That being said he should at least be a sixth lineman. Grade: C+

50) Buffalo Bills | Ronald Darby, CB, Florida State | Darby will probably be the better of the two Seminole CBs, but he will need to become more consistent and mature for that to happen. Darby is a good athlete but will need to do a better job finding the ball in the air. Grade: B+

51) Cleveland Browns (From Houston) | Nate Orchard, Edge, Utah | Thought Cleveland might go Edge player in the first round but they find their guy after trading down in the second. Grade: B+

52)  Miami Dolphins (From Philadelphia) | Jordan Phillips, DT, Oklahoma | Back injuries scare me with defensive linemen and Phillips has that issue. Should be able to work into the rotation, but needs to become more consistent. Grade: C+

53) Cincinnati Bengals | Jake Fisher, OT, Oregon | Another pick I really like. Fisher was my favorite tackle in the draft. I think he's the most consistent of the bunch. Fisher is athletic and a mauler. Looks like the Bengals got their new bookends. Grade: A

54) Detroit Lions | Ameer Abdullah, RB, Nebraska | Abdullah is an undersized scat back who runs angry and can get the tough yards. He's durable, made strides on his handling of the football and was willing to participate on special teams. The Lions get a really good compliment ot Joique Bell. Grade: B+

Trade: Ravens gets 55 from the Cardinals for 58 & 158 Grade: BAL: B ARI: B

55) Baltimore Ravens (From Arizona) | Maxx Williams, TE, Minnesota | Baltimore gets a really good tight end. Williams isn't the flashiest speed athlete but he's got power and was most of the Gophers offense last season. Grade: A-

56) Pittsburgh Steelers | Senquez Golson, CB, Ole Miss | Undersized with 16 career picks Golson is a mixed bag. He's agressive and a ball hawk but will he play slot or outside and if it's outside how's he gonna match-up against the big guys outside. Grade: B

57) St. Louis Rams (From Carolina) | Robert Havensteind, OT, Wisconsin | Havenstein is a mauler who slots in at RT. I like him probably could have waited. T.J. Clemmings is the bigger question with this pick I had questions but what's going on. Grade: C

58) Arizona Cardinals (From Baltimore) | Markus Golden, DE, Missouri | Good, solid player, with big production. Physical concerns but a athletic player, will be interesting if he's plays 5-tech or OLB. Grade: B-

59) Denver Broncos | Ty Sambrailo, OT, Colorado State | Where is Clemmings? Sambrailo was high on the board earlier in the process. An athletic tackle needs to wrk on his technique but there is talent to work with. Grade: C+

60) Dallas Cowboys | Randy Gregory, Edge, Nebraska | Off the field concerns but the Dallas have a very good structure to deal with him. One of the best edge rushers in the draft and converts speed to power better than any rusher in the draft. Grade: A+

Trade: Bucs get 61 & 128 from the Colts for 65 & 109 Grade: TB: C+ IND: B

61) Tampa Bay Buccaneers (From Indianapolis) | Ali Marpet, G, Hobart | Marpet is a very good small school prospect. who has a chance for a long career on the offensive line. This is a really nice get for the Bucs who have done a good job helping Winston in the 2nd and 3rd rounds. Grade: B-

62) Green Bay Packers | Quinten Rollins, CB, Miami (OH) | I like this pick and this value better than the first round but it gets a demerit for overlapping player use. Rollins is an intriguing talent and should be a useful addition to the secondary. Grade: C+

63) Seattle Seahawks | Frank Clark, Edge, Michigan | Clark is an explosive Edge player who has a high upside but major character concerns stemming from a domestic violence issue. This is a high upside pick for Seattle but it is not without risk. Grade: B

64) New England Patriots | Jordan Richards, S, Stanford | By all accounts Richards is a very cerebral safety which is good but the Patriots have a habit of reaching on marginal talents and I think this is another case of that. Grade: C


Third Round
(Select analysis, really only ones that jumped out at me during the madness)


65) Indianapolis Colts (From Tampa Bay) | D'Joun Smith, CB, Florida Atlantic | Grade: C+

66) Tennessee Titans | Jeremiah Poutasi, OL, Utah | Grade: B+

67) Jacksonville Jaguars | A.J. Cann, G, South Carolina | Grade: A

68) Oakland RaidersClive Walford, TE, Miami (FL) | The othe top-tier TE he should be a impact in pass in run game and catches well in space and should be a nice weapon to work in for a team. Grade: A

Trade: Seahawks get 69 (Nice!) from Redskins for 95, 112, 167 &181 Grade: SEA: C+ WAS: B+

69) Seattle Seahawks (From Washington) | Tyler Lockett, WR, Kansas State | Grade: B+

Trade: Texans gets 70 from the Jets for 82, 152 & 229 & Devier Posey Grade: HOU: C NYJ: A

70) Houston Texans (From New York (A)) | Jaelen Strong, WR, Arizona State | I was never as high on Strong as most. Strong is a good reciever and this is a good spot. Grade: B

71) Chicago Bears | Hroniss Grasu, C, Oregon | Grade: A-

72) St. Louis Rams | Jamon Brown, OL, Louisville | Grade: B

73) Atlanta Falcons | Tevin Coleman, RB, Indiana | Grade: B+

74) New York Giants | Owamagbe Odighizuwa, DL, UCLA | Grade: A+

75) New Orleans Saints | Garrett Grayson, QB, Colorado State | Grade: B-

Trade: Chiefs gets 76 from the Vikings for 80 & 193 Grades: KC: B- MIN: B+

76) Kansas City Chiefs (From Minnesota) | Chris Conley, WR, Georgia | Grade: B

77) Cleveland Browns | Duke Johnson, RB, Miami (FL) | Grade: B+

78) New Orleans (From Miami) | P.J. Williams, CB, Florida State | Grade: B

79) San Franacisco 49ers | Eli Harold, Edge, Virginia | Grade: B

Trade: Detroit gets 80 from the Vikings for 88 & 143 Grades: DET: B+ MIN: B-

80) Detroit Lions (From Minnesota From Kansas City) | Alex Carter, CB, Stanford | Grade: A-

81) Buffalo Bills | John Miller, G, Louisville | Grade: C

82) New York Jets (From Houston) | Lorenzo Mauldin, Edge, Louisville | Grade: C+

83) San Diego Chargers | Craig Mager, CB, Texas State | Grade: B-

84) Philadelphia Eagles | Jordan Hicks, OBLB, Texas | Grade: A

85) Cincinnati Bengals | Tyler Kroft, TE, Rutgers | Grade: C+

86) Arizona Cardinals | David Johnson, RB, Northern Iowa | Grade: A

87) Pittsburgh Steelers | Sammie Coates, WR, Auburn | Grade: B

88) Minnesota Vikings (From Detroit) | Danielle Hunter, Edge, LSU | Grade: B+

89) St. Louis Rams (From Carolina) | Sean Mannion, QB, Oregon State | Grade: D+

90) Baltimore Ravens | Carl Davis, DT, Iowa | Grade: A+

91) Dallas Cowboys | Chaz Green, OT, Florida | Grade: C

92) Denver Broncos | Jeff Heuerman, TE, Ohio State | Grade: B+

93) Indianapolis Colts | Henry Anderson, DE, Stanford | Grade: A-

94) Green Bay Packers | Ty Montgomery, WR, Stanford | Grade: C-

95) Washington Redskins (From Seattle) | Matt Jones, RB, Florida | Grade: C-

Trade: Browns get 96 & 219 from the Patriots for 111, 147 & 202 Grades: CLE: B+ NE: C+

96) Cleveland Browns (From New England) | Xavier Cooper, DT, Washington State | Grade: B+

97) New England Patriots (Compensatory) | Geno Grissom, DL, Oklahoma | Grade: C-

98) Kansas City Chiefs (Compensatory) | Steven Nelson, CB, Oregon State | Grade: B

99) Cincinnati Bengals (Compensatory) | Paul Dawson, OBLB, TCU | Grade: A-

Friday, May 1, 2015

Best Players Available for 2nd Round

Best Players Available

1) Jake Fisher, OT, Oregon Rk: 10
2) Dorial Green-Beckham, WR, Missouri Rk: 11
3) Eric Rowe, CB, Utah Rk: 13
4) Landon Collins, SS, Alabama Rk: 15
5) Jalen Collins, CB, LSU Rk: 16
6) Carl Davis, DT, Iowa Rk: 19
7) Eric Kendricks, OBLB, UCLA Rk: 25
8) Randy Gregory, Edge, Nebraska Rk: 26
9) Michael Bennett, DT, Ohio State Rk: 27
10) P.J. Williams, CB, Florida State Rk: 28
11) Owa Odighizuwa, DL, UCLA Rk: 30
12) T.J. Clemmings, OT, Pittsburgh Rk: 31
13) La'el Collins, OT, LSU Rk: 32

Didn't get the mock finished because I needed food so here is the BPA headed into the second round.

NFL Draft 1st Rd Grades

Not the most exciting draft but there were some interesting choices and picks that told us a lot more about what teams think.
First Round

1) Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Jameis Winston, QB, Florida State | No surprise here, I think Jameis can start day 1 and I have no qualms about it. Grade: A

2) Tennessee Titans | Marcus Mariota, QB, Oregon | I think Mariota can be a franchise quarterback and it appears the Titans are in agreement. Personally I think Mariota would be greatly helped by a year at the 2 spot on the depth chart to cleam up some technical things but going number might limit that. Grade: A


3) Jacksonville Jaguars Dante Fowler Jr, Edge, Florida | Right slot, wrong team but a predictable pick Fowler was the highest rated Edge player on most boards. I'm not as high on him as most but I don't think it's an outrageous pick. Grade: C+

4) Oakland Raiders | Amari Cooper, WR, Alabama | I would have taken Leonard Williams or Vic Beasley to build my defense around with Mack, that being said I think Cooper gives Carr a steady and talented young option on the outside. Grade: B-


5) Washington Redskins | | Brandon Scherff, OL, Iowa | I like Scherff, he's a hard nosed lineman with good power conversion and technique. I had Scherff going to the Redskins in a trade a mock back but I think five is a little high for a player who might be forced to move inside. Grade: C+


6) New York Jets | Leonard Williams, DL, USC | If not for later incidents I might have declared this the best value pick of the round, but all things considered it was a great value. The only negative is I'm not sure where he fits in along the line. Grade: A-

7) Chicago Bears | Kevin White, WR, West Virginia | With Cooper going to Oakland, and Williams headed to the Jets one pick before the Bears went with Kevin White out of West Virginia. White gives the Bears a replacement for Marshall who can stretch the field vertically and will pair up well with Jeffery. Grade: A


8) Atlanta Falcons | Vic Beasley, Edge, Clemson | Another pick where I got the slot right but the team wrong. Beasley is my favorite Edge player in the draft and will be an immediate improvement over everything the Falcons have on the roster. Dan Quinn got himself an asset. Grade: A

9) New York Giants | Ereck Flowers, OT, Miami (FL) | I hate this pick, Eli is losing mobility and well... this. Grade: D


10) St. Louis Rams | Todd Gurley, RB, Georgia | The Rams shocked everyone by taking Gurley here when they needed line help, receiver help and DB help. Gurley joins Tre Mason from last year and Zac Stacy (already requested a trade.). I love Gurley and think he's the only back worth a first round pick but I'm just not sold on the Rams picking him for a myriad of reasons. Grade: C+


11) Minnesota Vikings | Trae Waynes , CB, Michigan State | The Vikings hit an area of need at CB with the pick of Trae Waynes. That being said I think Peters is a better talent, Parker (WR) would have been a bigger impact and Waynes is gonna need a lot of work. All that being said Zimmer is a hell of a defensive coach and that's at least a ray of hope for Vikings fans. Grade: C

12) Cleveland Browns | Danny Shelton, NT, Washington | Shelton is a big body who does a good job of clogging up the middle. Shelton needs to be more consistent with his burst and disruption but he should slot into a rotation with Phil Taylor early at worst and should be a building block for that defense. Grade: B-


13) New Orleans Saints | Andrus Peat, OT, Stanford | I hit this one on the head and that's awesome. I was in Draft Town for the first round and this pick surprised a bunch of people. I think Peat challenges Terron Armstead for the LT job and the two will pair up as bookends for the end of the Brees era. Grade: B+


14) Miami Dolphins | DeVante Parker, WR, Louisville | Parker slides a few picks farther than I thought he would. Parker is a very good receiver who missed time last season with injuries. Parker should pair well with the current arrangement of Dolphins receivers and if they want they can ease him in with the talent on the field. Grade: A-


Trade: San Diego trades up to 15 from San Francisco for 17, 117 and a 2016 5th round pick. | San Diego felt like they needed to jump the Texans for the player they wanted but it was a steep price to pay. SF moves down a couple picks, gets a fifth this year and next and still got their guy. Grades: SD C+ | SF B+
15) San Diego Chargers (From San Francisco) | Melvin Gordon, RB, Wisconsin | I like Melvin Gordon having watched him at Wisconsin every week, the man can play. That being said, Gordon doesn't have the burst to be the playmaker that is needed and his vision misses too often. That all being said I think Gordon is a starter for the Chargers for the next 4-5 years and a consistently good threat. Grade: C+

16) Houston Texans | Kevin Johnson, CB, Wake Forest | The Texans were in an interesting position, the top two backs off the board, Bud Dupree and Marcus Peters still there and they went with Kevin Johnson. Johnson may be the most pro-ready corner in this draft even if he lacks a touch of the athleticism. Johnson is a solid pick but noone is gonna go ga ga over it. Grade: B-


17) San Francisco 49ers (From San Diego) | Arik Armstead, DL, Oregon | Armstead was down my big board a bit coming into the draft but he's a 6'7" 5 tech with good body control and if there's a player type San Fran can mold it should be him. Justin Smith isn't long for the NFL and has been contemplating retirement which means Armstead is a good value and need pick for the 49ers. Grade: B+


18) Kansas City Chiefs | Marcus Peters, CB, Washington | Peters has off the field issues including his dismissal from the Washington program last year for an incident with a coach. That all being said Peters is probably the best corner in the draft and the most athletic of the top guys. Peters will need to show he can conform to a team environment but he's in a good place to showcase his talent. Grade: B+

19) Cleveland Browns (From Buffalo) | Cameron Erving, C, Florida State | Cleveland must have takent Mack seriously this offseason and have drafted his replacemtn. Erving was the best center in the draft and at worst should be the sixth lineman this year before taking over at C. Grade: A-

20) Philadelphia Eagles | Nelson Agholor, WR, USC | This one pissed off every Eagles fan around me and I'd feel bad if they didn't act like assholes. I don't mind the pick, I was higher on Agholor than most. I think he's a consistent catcher with better than average athleticism and feel for the game. I also think you can get similar on day 2. Grade: C+

21) Cincinnati Bengals | Cedric Ogbuehi, OT, Texas A&M | Ogbuehi was high on most boards coming into the year but a shaky start at LT and then injury put him farther down the boards. Ogbuehi put up his best film when he played RT so I assume he was drafted to replace Andre Smith and we killed that pick too. Grade: C

22) Pittsburgh Steelers | Bud Dupree, Edge, Kentucky | Dupree fell on boards for whatever reason. I don't have much bad to say other than the Steelers got a top 10 talent, at least athlete, at 22. Grade: A-

Trade: Denver trades up to 23 from Detroit for 28, 143, a 2016 5th round pick and Manny Ramirez. | Denver wanted to get a piece for their defense so they moved up 5 spots, but they gave up a bunch. Three picks like the Chargers but also Manny Ramirez a starter from last year. It all adds up to a pretty big price to pay. Grades: DEN D | DET A

23) Denver Broncos (From Detroit) | Shane Ray, Edge, Missouri | I said I wouldn't be all that harsh on whomever drafted Shane Ray but that was before the Broncos shipped a shit ton to Detroit for the right to pick him. We've addressed Ray's issues before and I don't doubt the Broncos like him but... yeah, that's a lot to give up. Grade: D

24) Arizona Cardinals | D.J. Humphries, OT, Florida | Humprhies was talked about in the top 15 discussion but slipped to here. I wasn't as high on him but I can see what other see in him and where we were in the draft you got a pretty wide range of players with similar grades. Grade: B-

25) Carolina Panthers | Shaq Thompson, OBLB, Washington | One of the surprises of the draft, the linebacking corps should be pretty scary but the DBs leave something to be desired and the offensive line is pretty meh. Grade: C+

26) Baltimore Ravens | Breshad Perriman, WR, UCF | What can I say good value, perfect Torrey replacement and the only way it could have been better is if they traded down. Grade: A-

27) Dallas Cowboys | Byron Jones, CB, UCONN | Clear need, an athletic freak, but needs to stay healthy and be put in the proper position to succeed at the next level. Grade: B

28) Detroit Lions (From Denver) | Laken Tomlinson, OG, Duke | Tomlinson was the best guard in the draft and the Lions had a need on the interior of their offensive line but with talent like Malcolm Brown out there I'm not sure that this was the value or player they should have drafted. He does seem like a great human being however. Grade: C+

29) Indianapolis Colts | Phillip Dorsett, WR, Miami (FL) | I have mixed opinions I like Dorsett but every pick between now and the Patriots is skewed because you passed on the second best DT in the draft. Dorsett should be a nice addition but may be a bit redundant. Grade: C

30) Green Bay Packers | Damarious Randall, S, Arizona State | I trust Ted but, really!?!? that was the decision. Randall seems likea Micah Hyde redux and that's a useful player but Guilon and Raji are on one year contracts. That means Malcolm Brown would have been both useful and great value.

31) New Orleans Saints (From Seattle) | Stephone Anthony, ILB, Clemson | Second pick, didn't really need inside d-line help, but Anthony probably would have been available in the second. Grade: C

32) New England Patriots | Malcolm Brown, DT, Texas | Fucking Pats have one of the 15-20 best prospects in the draft at the end of the first round of a shallow draft. FUCK. Grade: A+


Much less movement round 1, will have second round info up before it begins.