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Thursday, October 8, 2015

2015 Rambling Sports Week 6 CFB Picks

Gonna try and keep this concise as I am way behind thanks to family and sickness.

Thursday, October 8th, 2015
SMU at Houston (-25), 7:00 pm ESPN2
Washington at #17 USC (-17), 8:00 pm ESPN
These two games seem to be a hell of a dichotomy. First you have the shootout to pace all shootouts as SMU meets Houston. SMU isn’t there yet, and Houston is showing signs off an absurdly bright future. Houston, 48-34 for some Thursday Texas shootout fun. The other features a now completely in the Pac-12 South race USC against, what has turned into a stupidly stingy Huskies team. USC has too much offense, but sputters early, 27-13.

Saturday, October 10th, 2015
Middle Tennessee at WKU (-7), 11:00 am
#3 Baylor (-45.5) at Kansas, 11:00 Fox Sports 1
#10 Oklahoma (-16) at Texas, 11:00 ABC
Maryland at #1 Ohio State (-31.5), 11:00 BTN
The early slate, is, certainly, something. MTSU-WKU is the best game of the early slate, until Texas starts to push Oklahoma and fuck up their season. MTSU-WKU will be exciting, and a great group of five game, and you will see practically none of it. 31-28 WKU. Baylor and Ohio State will run over their opponents, 56-16 and 48-13. As for the aforementioned OU-UT, well I’ll say 24-21 Oklahoma but I have no confidence in the outcome.

Georgia Tech at #6 Clemson (-7), 2:30 pm ESPN2
South Carolina at #7 LSU (-20.5), 2:30 pm
#19 Georgia (-2.5) at Tennessee, 2:30 pm
Navy at #15 Notre Dame (-13.5), 2:30 pm NBC
#13 Northwestern at #18 Michigan (-10.5), 2:30 pm BTN
Another really good afternoon slate, yes South Carolina-LSU is kind of a dud but you get to watch Leonard Fournette play a porous Gamecock defense. LSU 31-14. Georgia-Tennessee and Navy-Notre Dame are matchups of teams coming off their first loss in a rain storm, and two team that haven’t quite played up to the leel they were hoping. Yes, Navy is undefeated but both the UCONN and Air Force games have been sloppier than expected. Tennessee is coming off another loss at home, this time to Arkansas and they are reeling, many would have told you preseason that Tennessee wasn’t losing both the Bama and Georgia games, so there’s an urgency here. Georgia got it’s ass whipped by Bama, but the run game is still among the elite in the country and Lambert won’t have to face that Tide secondary again unless they make it to Atlanta at seasons end. Notre Dame was resilient and at least had a shot at the victory last weekend, but they showed their youth and ran into a Clemson front that was playing lights out. This week will be another great test for a young team, and a great test to galvanize this set of Golden Domers. Georgia 28-24 and Notre Dame 24-21. Georgia Tech would fit right in with Tennessee and Navy, in the “teams that haven’t lived up to expectations good, and other stuff” division. Clemson, has. A very nice win over Notre Dame last week, Georgia Tech is next and one of their few tests before Florida State later in the season. Clemson needs to get focused after the big win and avoid the Clemsoning that is lurking around the corner. Clemson 28-17.

#25 Boise State (-15) at Colorado State, 6:00 pm CBSSN
Arkansas at #8 Alabama (-16), 6:00 pm ESPN
#21 Oklahoma State at West Virginia (-5.5), 6:00 pm ESPN2
#2 TCU (-9.5) at Kansas State, 6:30 pm FOX
#11 Florida (-5) at Missouri, 6:30 pm SEC Network
Miami (FL) at #12 Florida State (-6.5), 7:00 pm ABC
#4 Michigan State (-13) at Rutgers, 7:00 pm BTN
A pretty interesting, if not ranked matchups we like to see at night. Michigan State is the only one with a rollover matchup against a Rutgers team in disarray. Give me State 31-13. Boise State, Florida State, and TCU all have games against inferior teams, but teams that should at least give them some run. Florida State should be able to get some stops, but Kaaya and company will be able to score points, and the ‘Noles offense isn’t running at 100% capacity, but I think the ‘Noles pull away late 27-21. TCU gets to play Bill Snyder, a motherfucking wizard, on the road and although Kansas State doesn’t have the fire power to keep up, that third string TCU defense is going to give up some points. Give me TCU 45-31. The last of this group Boise, gets a perfectly good challenge on the road against Colorado State. The Rams will give a defensive challenge to a still developing Broncos offense, but the defense should be good enough to pull out the win, 24-17. Alabama is in body blow territory after a slogfest in the rain between the hedges last week. Arkansas is coming off a close win at Tennessee (who does have one of those), but this is a team that has given Alabama fits recently. I think the front seven for Alabama is better this season, and the Razorbacks don’t get enough big plays but keep it close. Alabama, 27-24. The last two are teams that I don’t think any of us are sure on yet this season, Oklahoma State and Florida. Oklahoma State pulled out the win against Kansas State last week, Texas the week before, and Central Michigan in week 1 and that is going to catch up with them and what a better place for that to happen than on the road, at night, in Morgantown. West Virginia, 31-28. Lastly, is the surprising team of the year so far, the Florida Gators. Florida absolutely demolished Ole Miss last week, and has looked surprisingly good so far outside of that weird Kentucky game. This is the time we see the Gators blow it though, against Missouri who has been the exact opposite team. Missouri has looked like crap so far this year including a 3 point win over UCONN in what surely caused early onset erectile dysfunction for whomever watched it. My gut says Missouri ugly, lest call it 17-16.  

#23 California at #5 Utah (-7.5), 9:00 pm ESPN
Stand alone late night Gameday game. Cal is resurgent behind QB Jared Goff, but the soft spot here is definitely the defense. The defense let Texas hang around and against a competent offense like Utah that starts to sing the tune of danger for the Bears. Utah for it’s part has a round2 knockout of Oreogn and knockdown dragout, Ali-Wepner win against Michigan. This one is strength against strength, and weakness against weakness, but I see Utah coming out ahead, 38-31.


There we are, enjoy the week, this was pretty rushed so sorry if it’s sloppy.

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