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Monday, October 31, 2016

2016 College Football Season: Alabama, Washington?, Clemson??, ???: A Deep Dive

 Alright, the second week of my deep dive into the best/worst matchups and games of the week. So let's start with...

Best Matchups
Home
Away
Home
Rating
Away
Rating
My
Spread
Date
Time
TV
Rating
Average
LSU
Alabama
13.039
31.891
-13.387
5-Nov
19:00
CBS
22.465
California
Washington
5.972
22.85
-13.577
5-Nov
21:30
ESPN
14.411
Ohio State
Nebraska
16.434
10.048
12.095
5-Nov
19:00
ABC
13.241
Arkansas
Florida
8.835
13.205
-0.129
5-Nov
14:00
CBS
11.02
USC
Oregon
16.73
5.286
15.641
5-Nov
18:00
ESPN
11.008
The best game of the week LSU-Alabama, and if I have to say anything other than the Coach O vs Coach Saban then well you don't really want this season to be great. If LSU-Bama weren't a thing Cal-Washington and Ohio State-Nebraska could carry a week so well. As for Arkansas-Florida and USC-Oregon were much better four weeks ago. But will probably be crazy because of what college football has always been.

Worst Matchups
Home
Away
Home
Rating
Away
Rating
My
Spread
Date
Time
TV
Rating
Average
Northern Illinois
Bowling Green
-9.349
-12.295
4.555
1-Nov
19:00
ESPNU
-10.822
ULM
South Alabama
-15.252
-7.69
-6.261
5-Nov
16:00
ESPN3
-11.471
Ohio
Buffalo
-5.334
-19.316
16.684
3-Nov
17:00
CBSSN
-12.325
Colorado State
Fresno State
-6,976
-18.23
13.59
5-Nov
14:30
-
-12.603
Rice
FAU
-15.258
-11.44
-2.502
5-Nov
14:30
ESPN3
-13.349
 I'm oddly looking forward to Colorado State-Fresno State, NIU-Bowling Green, and Ohio-Buffalo, if only for Fresno State upside, the rebuilds at NIU/Bowling Green/Buffalo. But you can totally not watch ULM-South Alabama & Rice-FAU.

Closest Gap
Home
Away
Home
Rating
Away
Rating
My
Spread
Date
Time
TV
Rating
Difference
Kansas State
Oklahoma State
2.393
8.942
-2.319
5-Nov
14:30
ABC
ESPN2
2.319
Kentucky
Georgia
3.623
9.649
-1.955
5-Nov
18:30
SECN
1.955
Louisiana
Idaho
-11.054
-7.514
-1.22
5-Nov
16:00
ESPN3
1.22
Texas Tech
Texas
-0.712
3.887
-0.571
5-Nov
11:00
FS1
0.571
Arkansas
Florida
8.835
13.205
-0.129
5-Nov
14:00
CBS
0.129
None of these games are great, but all but Louisiana-Idaho is interesting to me, and Oklahoma State has to play a wizard this week.

Biggest Gap
Home
Away
Home
Rating
Away
Rating
My
Spread
Date
Time
TV
Rating
Difference
Michigan
Maryland
19.669
-1.74
27.139
5-Nov
14:30
ESPN
27.139
West Virginia
Kansas
9.1
-12.794
25.788
5-Nov
18:00
ESPN2
25.788
WKU
FIU
5.402
-17.556
25.294
5-Nov
16:30
-
25.294
Appalachian State
Texas State
4.789
-17.204
24.928
5-Nov
14:30
ESPN3
24.928
Clemson
Syracuse
19.026
0.517
23.661
5-Nov
14:30
ABC
ESPN2
23.661
 Michigan gets a break after a rivalry. That break is against their former DC in year one at Maryland. So I still think that's a break, but... maybe not? West Virginia gets to lick their wounds against Kansas, technically WKU-FIU is important but WKU is so much more together, I don't have much to say about App State-Texas State, and lastly Clemson is going to have trouble with Syracuse just because Dino is getting that offense together more and more each week.

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