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Monday, October 3, 2016

2016 College Football Season: A Developing Situation: Part 1


Category
Week 5
Right
Week 5
Wrong
Week 5
Right%
Season
Right
Season
Wrong
Season
Right%
All
47
15
0.758
270
80
0.771
FBS
45
14
0.763
140
54
0.722
0-3
6
3
0.667
16
14
0.533
3+ to 7
8
3
0.727
32
16
0.667
7+ to 14
16
7
0.696
59
27
0.686
14+ to 21
8
1
0.889
54
10
0.844
21+ to 31
5
1
0.833
57
9
0.864
31+ to 42
3
0
1.000
31
2
0.939
42+
1
0
1.000
21
2
0.913

Week 5 was a really good week, which saw no category sink below 2/3 correct, and brought my overall record in each category above .500 (looking at you 0-3 spreads). 31+ to 42 is still outperforming 42+, but that appears to be a small sample size thing. I took away another 10% of the preseason ratings away from the teams this week and we’ll obviously continue to monitor how the system performs. So take a look we have games starting Wednesday this week and enjoy it while it’s here because we’re quickly approaching the midway point of the season.


Home
Away
Home
Rating
Away
Rating
My
Spread
Date
Time
Channel
Arkansas State
Georgia Southern
-5.573
0.561
-3.653
5-Oct
19:00
ESPN2
Memphis
Temple
6.487
1.799
7.259
6-Oct
19:00
ESPN
Louisiana Tech
WKU
-8.763
9.914
-16.621
6-Oct
19:00
CBSSN
Boston College
Clemson
-1.564
23.781
-22.750
7-Oct
18:30
ESPN
UCF
Tulane
-4.421
-9.767
8.124
7-Oct
19:00
ESPNU
Tulsa
SMU
-2.417
-7.854
7.153
7-Oct
19:00
ESPN2
New Mexico
Boise State
-0.601
8.676
-7.344
7-Oct
20:00
CBSSN
Connecticut
Cincinnati
-1.108
-3.207
4.556
8-Oct
10:30
CBSSN
UTSA
Southern Miss
-15.194
1.779
-15.403
8-Oct
11:00
-
NC State
Notre Dame
5.977
7.202
2.814
8-Oct
11:00
ABC
Florida
LSU
18.788
24.825
-0.926
8-Oct
11:00
ESPN
Mississippi State
Auburn
12.757
9.371
7.684
8-Oct
11:00
SECN
USF
East Carolina
10.295
-9.209
21.327
8-Oct
11:00
ESPNN
Kansas
TCU
-14.611
11.992
-24.321
8-Oct
11:00
ESPNU
Oklahoma
Texas
16.571
7.778
8.793
8-Oct
11:00
FS1
Minnesota
Iowa
4.556
10.021
-1.572
8-Oct
11:00
ESPN2
Penn State
Maryland
10.740
-0.635
16.693
8-Oct
11:00
BTN
Pittsburgh
Georgia Tech
14.436
1.188
16.268
8-Oct
11:30
ACCN
Ohio
Bowling Green
-7.615
-2.368
-2.545
8-Oct
13:00
ESPN3
Akron
Miami (OH)
-11.341
-17.369
7.456
8-Oct
14:00
ESPN3
Eastern Michigan
Toledo
-9.154
5.736
-14.436
8-Oct
14:00
ESPN3
Navy
Houston
-0.958
11.212
-8.822
8-Oct
14:00
CBSSN
Central Michigan
Ball State
-0.021
-11.486
12.849
8-Oct
14:30
ESPN3
Oklahoma State
Iowa State
15.734
-6.271
26.021
8-Oct
14:30
ESPNU
Ohio State
Indiana
16.896
7.387
15.219
8-Oct
14:30
ESPN
Illinois
Purdue
-5.626
-2.975
0.208
8-Oct
14:30
BTN
Georgia State
Texas State
-8.461
-22.588
15.168
8-Oct
14:30
ESPN3
Buffalo
Kent State
-16.256
-8.324
-5.862
8-Oct
14:30
ESPN3
FAU
Charlotte
-6.773
-15.986
10.745
8-Oct
14:30
-
Duke
Army
-0.447
-5.155
7.323
8-Oct
14:30
ACCN
Michigan State
BYU
15.062
14.046
5.687
8-Oct
14:30
-
Texas A&M
Tennessee
21.399
29.041
-2.104
8-Oct
14:30
CBS
Wyoming
Air Force
-4.076
5.669
-7.813
8-Oct
14:30
-
North Carolina
Virginia Tech
20.477
11.986
12.001
8-Oct
14:30
-
Kentucky
Vanderbilt
2.489
8.485
-1.925
8-Oct
15:00
SECN
USC
Colorado
23.694
15.131
12.759
8-Oct
15:00
P12N
San Jose State
Hawaii
-4.820
-5.829
2.429
8-Oct
15:30
-
Old Dominion
UMASS
-3.623
-25.482
24.925
8-Oct
17:00
-
Western Michigan
Northern Illinois
13.359
-7.336
22.461
8-Oct
17:30
CBSSN
Nevada
Fresno State
-3.559
-17.948
16.843
8-Oct
18:00
ESPN3
North Texas
Marshall
-17.650
-5.241
-10.871
8-Oct
18:00
-
Arkansas
Alabama
18.369
34.378
-11.768
8-Oct
18:00
ESPN
Wake Forest
Syracuse
6.411
-0.497
9.760
8-Oct
18:00
ACCN
Kansas State
Texas Tech
-0.509
1.681
2.040
8-Oct
18:00
ESPNU
Rutgers
Michigan
0.363
24.015
-19.950
8-Oct
18:00
ESPN2
ULM
Idaho
-20.755
-11.683
-7.770
8-Oct
18:00
ESPN3
South Carolina
Georgia
0.049
19.766
-14.851
8-Oct
18:30
SECN
Oregon
Washington
13.838
24.581
-6.366
8-Oct
18:30
FOX
UTEP
FIU
-17.145
-15.363
0.018
8-Oct
19:00
-
Miami (FL)
Florida State
18.076
21.307
-0.023
8-Oct
19:00
ABC
Oregon State
California
-0.553
12.641
-9.987
8-Oct
20:00
P12N
Colorado State
Utah State
-12.259
-6.226
-3.697
8-Oct
21:00
CBSSN
Utah
Arizona
20.858
9.735
15.032
8-Oct
21:00
FS1
San Diego State
UNLV
6.692
-12.363
20.937
8-Oct
21:30
ESPNU
Arizona State
UCLA
6.579
16.414
-6.301
8-Oct
21:30
ESPN2
Stanford
Washington State
28.745
16.628
16.028
8-Oct
21:30
ESPN

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