2019 Fantasy Football: Post-Draft ROOC Ranks

Alright, here are my post draft R.O.O.C. Rankings. ROOC stands for (Rookie Overall Opportunity Composite) which made a nice acronym to put it more simply it’s my rankings of players from the draft adjusted for the value of their draft slot and the roster around them. The components that go into the Ranks are: Player Grade – rating on an scale from 2-8 , Pick Grade – letter grade for each pick turned into a percentage, Pick AV – the Average Approximate Value (AV) of the pick a player was selected with, Now – Where they sit on the teams Ourlads depth chart, End of Season (EOS) – where I think they’ll finish the year on the depth chart, Year 3 – where I think they slot overall on a depth chart in 3 years. The six ingredients all mix together to get a raw grade and then I adjust the grade for positional value in fantasy football. And voila!!! A set of R.O.O.C. ranks.

Two in the top tier this year: Josh Jacobs and N’Keal Harry. Jacobs should be the day one starter in Oakland and if NE uses Harry early like last year’s 1^st round pick last year he should have a way on the field. The only other first round non-QB skill player was Marquise Brown. Brown sinks just a bit here because of injury issues which led to his lower player grade. That said I think these three should be a pretty clear top because of their draft capital gap to most of the rest of the class. QB is always a problem when incorporating Pick AV because they’re draft slot will drive up their value and so we find Murray at the top of tier three. You can make your own adjustments for Murray, but I don’t think he should slide much farther than the 10-12 range in rookie drafts. Joining him in tier three are a trio of wide receivers: Parris Campbell, A.J. Brown, and D.K. Metcalf. All three may end up as their respective teams second receiver year one and at worst I think by year two. Campbell and Metcalf have legitimate game breaking speed, but Campbell is much better in change of direction and in space. A.J. Brown gives Tennessee a good book end with Corey Davis.

Player	Pos.	Team	Player Grade	Pick Grade	Pick	Pick AV	Now	End of Season	Year 3	Rank
Josh Jacobs	RB	OAK	7.0	C+	24	14.4	1st	1st	1st	18.35
N'Keal Harry	WR	NE	7.2	A	32	12.5	2nd	2nd	1st/2nd	18.08
Marquise Brown	WR	BAL	6.4	B+	25	14.1	2nd	2nd	1st/2nd	17.68
Kyler Murray	QB	ARI	6.5	B-	1	34.6	1st	1st	1st	16.80
Parris Campbell	WR	IND	7.3	A+	59	8.6	3rd	2nd	1st/2nd	16.78
A.J. Brown	WR	TEN	7.1	A+	51	9.6	4th	3rd	1st/2nd	16.48
D.K. Metcalf	WR	SEA	7.0	A+	64	8.1	3rd	2nd	1st/2nd	16.41
Deebo Samuel	WR	SF	6.5	C+	36	11.8	3rd	2nd/3rd	2nd	16.00
Darrell Henderson	RB	LAR	7.0	A+	70	7.5	3rd	2nd/3rd	2nd	15.82
JJ Arcega-Whiteside	WR	PHI	7.0	A+	57	8.9	4th	3rd/4th	2nd	15.78
T.J. Hockenson	TE	DET	7.8	B+	8	21.4	1st	1st	1st	15.76
Miles Sanders	RB	PHI	6.0	B	53	9.3	3rd	2nd	1st/2nd	15.68
Terry McLaurin	WR	WAS	6.9	A+	76	7.0	3rd	2nd/3rd	2nd	15.58
Miles Boykin	WR	BAL	7.2	A+	93	5.7	3rd	3rd	1st/2nd	15.46
Alexander Mattison	RB	MIN	6.6	A+	102	5.1	2nd	2nd	1st/2nd	15.36
Noah Fant	TE	DEN	7.7	A	20	15.5	1st	1st	1st	15.06
Andy Isabella	WR	ARI	6.7	A-	62	8.3	4th	3rd/4th	2nd/3rd	14.94
David Montgomery	RB	CHI	5.5	B	73	7.3	3rd	2nd	1st/2nd	14.78
Devin Singletary	RB	BUF	5.9	B+	74	7.2	4th	2nd/3rd	1st/2nd	14.77
Dwayne Haskins	QB	WAS	6.1	B+	15	17.4	3rd	1st	1st	14.20
Hakeem Butler	WR	ARI	6.8	A+	103	5.1	5th	4th/5th	1st/2nd	14.14
Justice Hill	RB	BAL	5.7	A-	113	4.5	4th	2nd	1st/2nd	14.05
Damien Harris	RB	NE	5.9	B	87	6.2	4th	3rd	2nd	13.99
Mecole Hardman	WR	KC	4.9	C-	56	9.0	4th	3rd	1st/2nd	13.88
Benny Snell Jr	RB	PIT	5.6	A	122	4.0	3rd	2nd/3rd	2nd	13.68
Tony Pollard	RB	DAL	5.5	A	128	3.7	3rd	2nd	2nd	13.67
Irv Smith Jr	TE	MIN	7.0	A	50	9.7	2nd	2nd	1st	13.40
Daniel Jones	QB	NYG	5.4	F	6	23.2	2nd	1st/2nd	1st	13.37
Drew Lock	QB	DEN	5.8	B+	42	10.8	2nd	1st	1st	13.33
Bryce Love	RB	WAS	5.8	A-	112	4.6	5th	3rd/4th	2nd	13.25
Trayveon Williams	RB	CIN	6.3	A+	182	1.5	3rd	3rd	2nd	13.22

Tiers 4 & 5 are good size tiers so let’s pull out a few players that land in interesting positions. I was surprised Sanders fell as far as he did but his low player grade (6.0) and a similar draft capital score to a handful of players I like more has him dropping to the end of a 12-team rookie draft first round. Hockenson and Fant take hits because of their position discount but Hock is still 1^st round worthy and Fant could be great value in round 2. Deebo shows how much landing spot and draft capital matter because a pre-draft proto-ROOC rank wouldn’t have had him close to this value. It’s a deep year if not incredibly top heavy as I’d be excited to hit on any one of the guys in this tier anywhere in the second. Tier 5 is really interesting for me, Haskins could be really nice value late in the second, Butler is getting a lot of pub but was a fourth round pick, Hill might not have too much blocking him from a contributor role early on in Baltimore and Tony Pollard looks like he could be the perfect compliment to Ezekiel Elliott’s ground & pound game. The headliner here is how low I am on Hardman. I know he’s the heir to the Tyreek Hill role and I’ll admit that he looks like he’ll get the opportunity, but I just didn’t like the player coming out. I’ll put out adjusted ranks soon just to give a bit more of my opinion and maybe a consensus adjustment to get a full view. These should help Hardman’s rank and give you a better idea of where he will go in rookie drafts. Irv Smith becomes an interesting TE here if Kyle Rudolph gets moved at some point but until then he’s blocked.

Much like the NFL Draft the rookies for fantasy are deep but lack that big time athlete up top. That makes personal preference and landing spot the deciding factors for each owner and will make rookie drafts a bit more unpredictable than usual.