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Monday, June 10, 2019

2019 Fantasy Football: 2nd R.O.O.C. Ranks

Alright, here are my second set of R.O.O.C. Rankings with my ranks and superflex ranks added to it. As a refresher if you didn’t read the post-draft ranks or forgot… ROOC stands for (Rookie Overall Opportunity Composite) which made a nice acronym; To put it more simply, it’s my rankings of players from the draft adjusted for the value of their draft slot and the roster around them. The components that go into the Ranks are: Player Grade – rating on an scale from 2-8 , Pick Grade – letter grade for each pick turned into a percentage, Pick AV – the Average Approximate Value (AV) of the pick a player was selected with, Now – Where they sit on the teams Ourlads depth chart, End of Season (EOS) – where I think they’ll finish the year on the depth chart, Year 3 – where I think they slot overall on a depth chart in 3 years. The six ingredients all mix together to get a raw grade and then I adjust the grade for positional value in fantasy football. And voila!!! A set of R.O.O.C. ranks.

Let’s look at the normal fantasy ROOC ranks. Brown moves up into tier and is tied with Harry. They both have relatively little in front of them on their respective rosters and are talented players. I’m higher on Brown than most and it’s because few players have the burst and game changing ability of a healthy Brown. Tier 2 has a slightly over-ranked Murray along with a trio of receiving talent. I don’t think Murray should be this high, but he will undoubtably have the starting job and has the rushing ability to provide better than average rookie production. Of the receivers Campbell is my personal favorite, but Metcalf has the clearest path to substantial playing time and Brown should at least push some players to be the number two option in Tennessee. Tier three has a pair of Eagles, my favorite RB, the “safest” pick in the draft, Washington’s #3, and sees us through the 1st round. Arcega-Whiteside is the Alshon replacement so he may be a bit of a futures speculation versus an instant return player. Sanders is in an odd spot right now, Howard has been getting high praise from the staff to this point in the offseason program and Clement is still the clearly entrenched receiving option on the roster, not to mention the ever-young Darren Sproles. That said he may be the most talented back on the roster currently. Darrell Henderson was my favorite back in this draft and if nothing else he will be a great change of pace back with Gurley, but I believe he can be so much more. Hockenson is one of the few rookie tight ends I think will be useful in his rookie year, and that’ll be both in the pass and the run. McLaurin should be the Washington #3 especially if Haskins finds his way onto the field. He’s good enough in space and Washington just lacks talent in the receiving corps.

Let’s go quick with tiers four through six. Tier four has a quartet of players that I really like who should be solid players in good not great situations: Mattison – behind Cook, Boykin – second of two rookie receivers in a unique offense, Fant – Whatever that Denver offense is going to be, and Isabella – not sure what role he’ll play early on with Fitz in the slot and Butler/Kirk most likely fulfilling the outside role. Tier five is an Iowa State special with Butler and Montgomery. I’m much lower on Montgomery than most as I think Davis is a block and that his top end athleticism is going to happen his overall production at the next level. He and Singletary are going to be real litmus tests for vision/anticipation vs athletic testing thresholds. As for Butler, Arizona needs a bigger consistent option on the outside and Butler is that. Tier six is… large. Hardman is the one that is too low, he’s 80% Brown talent-wise but the arguments for him are very similar to those for Brown but in a much more prolific offense. The rest of the tier are QBs with a chance to start sooner rather than later and #2 backs. So, there we are six tiers, 31 players, 12 RBs, 12 WRs, 3 TEs, 4 QBs.

Player
Pos.
Team
Player
Grade
Pick
Grade
Pick
Pick
AV
Now
EOS
Y3
Rank
Josh Jacobs
RB
OAK
7.0
C+
24
14.4
1st
1st
1st
18.35
Marquise Brown
WR
BAL
6.4
B+
25
14.1
2nd
1st/2nd
1st
18.08
N'Keal Harry
WR
NE
7.2
A
32
12.5
2nd
2nd
1st/2nd
18.08
D.K. Metcalf
WR
SEA
7.0
A+
64
8.1
2nd
2nd
1st
16.86
Kyler Murray
QB
ARI
6.5
B-
1
34.6
1st
1st
1st
16.80
Parris Campbell
WR
IND
7.3
A+
59
8.6
3rd
2nd
1st/2nd
16.78
A.J. Brown
WR
TEN
7.1
A+
51
9.6
4th
3rd
1st/2nd
16.48
JJ Arcega-Whiteside
WR
PHI
7.0
A+
57
8.9
4th
3rd/4th
1st/2nd
16.03
Miles Sanders
RB
PHI
6.0
B
53
9.3
2nd
2nd
1st/2nd
15.88
Deebo Samuel
WR
SF
6.5
C+
36
11.8
3rd
3rd
2nd
15.85
Darrell Henderson
RB
LAR
7.0
A+
70
7.5
3rd
2nd/3rd
2nd
15.82
T.J. Hockenson
TE
DET
7.8
B+
8
21.4
1st
1st
1st
15.76
Terry McLaurin
WR
WAS
6.9
A+
76
7.0
3rd
3rd
1st/2nd
15.68
Alexander Mattison
RB
MIN
6.6
A+
102
5.1
2nd
2nd
1st/2nd
15.36
Miles Boykin
WR
BAL
7.2
A+
93
5.7
4th
2nd/3rd
2nd
15.16
Noah Fant
TE
DEN
7.7
A
20
15.5
1st
1st
1st
15.06
Andy Isabella
WR
ARI
6.7
A-
62
8.3
5th
4th/5th
1st/2nd
14.94
Hakeem Butler
WR
ARI
6.8
A+
103
5.1
4th
3rd/4th
1st/2nd
14.64
David Montgomery
RB
CHI
5.5
B
73
7.3
3rd
2nd/3rd
1st/2nd
14.63
Damien Harris
RB
NE
5.9
B
87
6.2
4th
3rd
1st/2nd
14.24
Dwayne Haskins
QB
WAS
6.1
B+
15
17.4
3rd
1st
1st
14.20
Devin Singletary
RB
BUF
5.9
B+
74
7.2
4th
3rd/4th
2nd/3rd
13.97
Mecole Hardman
WR
KC
4.9
C-
56
9.0
3rd
2nd/3rd
2nd/3rd
13.73
Benny Snell Jr
RB
PIT
5.6
A
122
4.0
3rd
2nd/3rd
2nd
13.68
Tony Pollard
RB
DAL
5.5
A
128
3.7
3rd
2nd
2nd
13.67
Trayveon Williams
RB
CIN
6.3
A+
182
1.5
3rd
3rd
1st/2nd
13.47
Irv Smith Jr
TE
MIN
7.0
A
50
9.7
2nd
2nd
1st
13.40
Justice Hill
RB
BAL
5.7
A-
113
4.5
4th
3rd/4th
2nd
13.35
Daniel Jones
QB
NYG
5.4
F
6
23.2
2nd
2nd
1st
13.22
Drew Lock
QB
DEN
5.8
B+
42
10.8
2nd
1st/2nd
1st
13.18
Bryce Love
RB
WAS
5.8
A-
112
4.6
5th
4th
2nd
13.10

Let’s compare the top 36 from these then with the superflex ranks and my personal ranks…
Rank
Player
(ROOC)
Pos
Tm
Player
(SuperFlex)
Pos
Tm
Player
(My Rank)
Pos
Tm
1
Josh Jacobs
RB
OAK
Kyler Murray
QB
ARI
Josh Jacobs
RB
OAK
2
Marquise Brown
WR
BAL
Dwayne Haskins
QB
WAS
N'Keal Harry
WR
NE
3
N'Keal Harry
WR
NE
Josh Jacobs
RB
OAK
Parris Campbell
WR
IND
4
D.K. Metcalf
WR
SEA
Marquise Brown
WR
BAL
Marquise Brown
WR
BAL
5
Kyler Murray
QB
ARI
N'Keal Harry
WR
NE
A.J. Brown
WR
TEN
6
Parris Campbell
WR
IND
Daniel Jones
QB
NYG
Miles Sanders
RB
PHI
7
A.J. Brown
WR
TEN
D.K. Metcalf
WR
SEA
D.K. Metcalf
WR
SEA
8
JJ Arcega-Whiteside
WR
PHI
Parris Campbell
WR
IND
Mecole Hardman
WR
KC
9
Miles Sanders
RB
PHI
Drew Lock
QB
DEN
Darrell Henderson
RB
LAR
10
Deebo Samuel
WR
SF
A.J. Brown
WR
TEN
Terry McLaurin
WR
WAS
11
Darrell Henderson
RB
LAR
JJ Arcega-Whiteside
WR
PHI
T.J. Hockenson
TE
DET
12
T.J. Hockenson
TE
DET
Miles Sanders
RB
PHI
Kyler Murray
QB
ARI
13
Terry McLaurin
WR
WAS
Deebo Samuel
WR
SF
Alexander Mattison
RB
MIN
14
Alexander Mattison
RB
MIN
Darrell Henderson
RB
LAR
David Montgomery
RB
CHI
15
Miles Boykin
WR
BAL
T.J. Hockenson
TE
DET
Deebo Samuel
WR
SF
16
Noah Fant
TE
DEN
Terry McLaurin
WR
WAS
JJ Arcega-Whiteside
WR
PHI
17
Andy Isabella
WR
ARI
Alexander Mattison
RB
MIN
Noah Fant
TE
DEN
18
Hakeem Butler
WR
ARI
Miles Boykin
WR
BAL
Dwayne Haskins
QB
WAS
19
David Montgomery
RB
CHI
Noah Fant
TE
DEN
Damien Harris
RB
NE
20
Damien Harris
RB
NE
Andy Isabella
WR
ARI
Devin Singletary
RB
BUF
21
Dwayne Haskins
QB
WAS
Hakeem Butler
WR
ARI
Miles Boykin
WR
BAL
22
Devin Singletary
RB
BUF
David Montgomery
RB
CHI
Trayveon Williams
RB
CIN
23
Mecole Hardman
WR
KC
Will Grier
QB
CAR
Andy Isabella
WR
ARI
24
Benny Snell Jr
RB
PIT
Ryan Finley
QB
CIN
Hakeem Butler
WR
ARI
25
Tony Pollard
RB
DAL
Damien Harris
RB
NE
Irv Smith Jr
TE
MIN
26
Trayveon Williams
RB
CIN
Devin Singletary
RB
BUF
Justice Hill
RB
BAL
27
Irv Smith Jr
TE
MIN
Mecole Hardman
WR
KC
Daniel Jones
QB
NYG
28
Justice Hill
RB
BAL
Benny Snell Jr
RB
PIT
Drew Lock
QB
DEN
29
Daniel Jones
QB
NYG
Tony Pollard
RB
DAL
Tony Pollard
RB
DAL
30
Drew Lock
QB
DEN
Trayveon Williams
RB
CIN
Benny Snell Jr
RB
PIT
31
Bryce Love
RB
WAS
Irv Smith Jr
TE
MIN
Jace Sternberger
TE
GB
32
Ryquell Armstead
RB
JAC
Justice Hill
RB
BAL
Dawson Knox
TE
BUF
33
Qadree Ollison
RB
ATL
Bryce Love
RB
WAS
Bryce Love
RB
WAS
34
Jace Sternberger
TE
GB
Jarrett Stidham
QB
NE
Dexter Williams
RB
GB
35
Josh Oliver
TE
JAC
Gardner Minshew II
QB
JAC
Ryquell Armstead
RB
JAC
36
Hunter Renfrow
WR
OAK
Ryquell Armstead
RB
JAC
Qadree Ollison
RB
ATL