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Showing posts with label Week 10. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Week 10. Show all posts

Monday, November 2, 2015

2015 Rambling Sports Week 10 CFB Picks

After two weak slates Week 10 brings the thunder, headlined by LSU-Alabama. That said 10/11 undefeated teams are playing, two are playing each other, two are playing for a huge advantage in the division, two are trying to avoid trap games before meeting, three are playing average or worse Big Ten teams, and the last gets Alabama. Do you need to know anything else?

Undefeated: Houston (AAC), Memphis (AAC), Clemson (ACC), TCU (BXII), Oklahoma State (BXII), Baylor (BXII), Michigan State (B1G), Ohio State (B1G), Iowa (B1G), Toledo (MAC), and LSU (SEC)

Tuesday, November 3rd, 2015
#MACtion Northern Illinois at #20 Toledo, 7:00 pm ESPN2 #MACtion
Tuesday and Wednesday night #MACTion this week and it’s shaping up to be real good. Northern Illinois isn’t the dominant force in the MAC this year but they’re still real good. Toledo is undefeated with a win over Arkansas, Iowa State, and Arkansas State in the non-conference slate. NIU needs to win this to stay in the divisional race at 3-1 already and both WMU and Toledo at 4-0 and CMU at 4-1. I think Toledo is just too strong for this version of NIU, 31-14.

Wednesday, November 4th, 2015
#MACtion Ohio at Bowling Green, 7:00 pm ESPN2 #MACtion
Bowling Green has a really good offense and a 2 game lead over the entirety of the MAC East and this game gives them a chance to practically put away the division with 3 games to play. Ohio doesn’t have the offense to keep up with Matt Johnson and company. Bowling Green 48-24.

Thursday, November 5th, 2015
#FunBelt Arkansas State at Appalachian State, 6:30 pm ESPNU #FunBelt
Thursday brings us to Fun Belt time and a really great matchup that could give App State a great advantage in the conference race. An Arkansas State win sets up a great Ark State-Georgia Southern matchup late in the season. I think App State is too good on offense and has enough defense to escape Thursday with a win, 38-27.

Friday, November 6th, 2015
#23 Temple at SMU, 7:00 pm ESPN2
Temple isn’t undefeated anymore and SMU has offense to galore, but that Mustangs defense isn’t up to snuff and Temple will be looking to show they won’t go away even with a mark on the record. Give me Temple, 27-16.

Saturday, November 7th, 2015
Duke at #21 North Carolina, 11:00 am ESPN2
Vanderbilt at #11 Florida, 11:00 am ESPN
#8 Notre Dame at Pittsburgh, 11:00 am ABC
#9 Stanford at Colorado, 12:00 pm
The early games are a good toe dip with the chance for some excitement. If North Carolina can beat Duke this week they all but wrap up the Coastal with win the win advantage over Pitt and Duke. If Duke wins? #CHAOS Give me Duke and chaos in the ACC Coastal, 31-28. A defensive battle is brewing in Gainesville between the surprising Gators and the very good defensively Vanderbilt. Vanderbilt is going to scare Florida but I trust McElwain to pull out the victory. Florida, 24-16. Ditto, for Notre Dame against Pitt where I think Pitt has enough to tease the Fighting Irish fans, 27-21. Stanford-Colorado seems like a trap game with Oregon on the horizon and not knowing which Kevin Hogan will show up any particular game. Stanford wins, but early on the West Coast has its follies, 24-23.

#17 Florida State at #3 Clemson, 2:30 pm ABC
Arkansas at #19 Ole Miss, 2:30 pm CBS
#10 Iowa at Indiana, 2:30 pm ESPN
Rutgers at #16 Michigan, 2:30 pm BTN
#5 TCU at #12 Oklahoma State, 2:30 pm FOX
Cincinnati at #18 Houston, 2:30 pm ESPN2
The 2:30 slot is absolutely loaded, we’ve got any type of game you might want to watch. We got, a top 20 matchup, a top 15 matchup, heavy sets vs. spreads, #ChaosTeam, Harbaugh, and a shootout. Let’s start with the Harbaughs who almost lost two in a row and got help from Goldy last week. Rutgers is the cure for the common relapse and will put Michigan in the right direction, 42-13. The other game involving non-undefeated teams is Arkansas-Ole Miss. Arkansas has looked much more like the team that finished last season after some horrid luck early in the year. Ole Miss is an enigma rapped inside an illusion shrouded in mystery. This seems like a very Bert-y upset, 31-27. Now to that juicy juicy meat of the schedule. Iowa heads to Bloomington where #CHAOSTEAM is ready to bring just the most worry to Iowa. Yes, this Iowa team has been able to score, but Indiana just finds a way to keep games close this year whether against good or bad teams. I think this one stays true to that form close and stupid 38-35 Iowa. The underrated game here is the shootout in Houston where Cincinnati at Houston. Houston has been surprisingly great with Tom Herman, but they get a stiff test for their defense in Tuberville’s Bearcats. I think the Houston offense is too much for Cincy in the end but this should be a barn burner on a loaded Saturday. This game is also a look ahead spot for Houston with Memphis on the schedule next week. Houston 45-42. Who would have thought that Clemson-Florida State would be the third or fourth most important game this week? Florida State losing hurt this matchup but not much. Clemson is looking to take the mantle at least for a year from the Seminoles and almost assuredly need to win this one for an ACC representative to make the playoff. Maybe. I think Clemson has the defense to stymie that young Florida State offense but will Watson and co. have enough weapons to tear through that stout Florida State defensive backfield. I say no, Clemson 38-27. Lastly, TCU-Oklahoma State playing in what we all thought preseason was going to be the second most important game of the Big XII season. The winner here still has Baylor and Oklahoma, but eliminates one undefeated from the picture and cements themselves as the early favorite for the conference crown. I’d feel like a fool betting against Boykin and Oklahoma State has gotten lucky to be at this point without any blemishes, give me TCU 48-38.

Navy at #15 Memphis, 6:00 pm ESPN2
Iowa State at #14 Oklahoma, 6:00 pm ESPNU
#6 Michigan State at Nebraska, 6:00 pm ESPN
#13 Utah at Washington, 6:30 pm
#4 LSU at #7 Alabama, 7:00 pm CBS
Minnesota at #1 Ohio State, 7:00 pm ABC
After a great afternoon slate the evening slate has LSU-Bama, and a bunch of intriguing but under the radar games in week 10. Iowa State is heading to Norman, off a shutout of Texas, and no. Just no. Oklahoma 38-10. Utah heads to Seattle, in what would have been a laugher 7 weeks again, but Washington is playing much better and should be a stiff road test for a Utah team that can suffer no slip-ups if they want to represent the Pac-12 South in the Pac-12 Championship Game. Give me Utah in a sloppy one 24-21. The first and least interesting of the undefeated games is Ohio State-Minnesota. Ohio State is coming with dysfunction, Minnesota is coming in with dysfunction, and it’ll be the game lost amongst a great Saturday. Ohio State 31-10. Let’s stay in the Big Ten with Michigan State-Nebraska, a game that is going to be weird. Nebraska is in disarray and needs a win to, I don’t know, maybe keep their coaches job. Michigan State is going to slip up before Ohio State and that means a loss here or a loss to Maryland and, well, when choosing between Maryland and Nebraska you choose Nebraska. Nebraska 16-13. Memphis is undefeated with a win over Ole Miss, Bowling Green, and Cincinnati so far, but Navy is a classic look ahead game for Memphis with Houston and a chance to beat an undefeated team on the road. Navy runs the triple option and Memphis is going to have to be careful not to blow this opportunity. Give me Memphis in a game that’s too close for comfort, 27-26. The headliner for the week is a rivalry that hasn’t always been pretty recently but has been exciting. LSU comes in undefeated (just like everyone expected) and brings one of the best running backs in the country against the best front seven in the country. The key for LSU is going to be the play of Brandon Harris who has been surprisingly good this season and added a second dimension to LSU’s game. Bama is going to need score points, and for Kiffin to not get too cute. Henry vs Fournette is going to be fun and this game is going to be lamented for lack of scoring. LSU 17-14.


It’s going to be a great week of football and that 2:30 slate is going to make you wish you had half a dozen TVs.

2015 Rambling's Week 10 Power Rank Predictions

This is what we’ve been building to. Week 9 starts November and we get a lot of great matchups to kick off the home stretch.
Week
Overall
FBS
1
88.2% (75-10)
82.1% (32-7)
2
82.9% (63-13)
76.5% (39-12)
3
82.6% (57-12)
80.8% (42-10)
4
76.6% (45-14)
75% (39-13)
5
75% (45-15)
75.9% (44-14)
6
83.9% (47-9)
83.6% (46-9)
7
68.4% (39-18)
69.6% (39-17)
8
80.4% (45-11)
80% (44-11)
9
75.5% (40-13)
75% (39-13)
Season
79.9% (456-115)
77.4% (364-106)


Home
Away
H Rating
A Rating
HFA
My Spd
Time
TV
Toledo
Northern Illinois
8.557
-0.715
2.151
11.424
19:00
ESPN2
Bowling Green
Ohio
5.852
-9.158
1.735
16.745
19:00
ESPN2
Kent State
Buffalo
-20.734
-23.495
1.617
4.378
18:00
ESPN3
Western Michigan
Ball State
-0.638
-18.881
1.437
19.680
18:30
-
Appalachian State
Arkansas State
5.126
-8.989
3.094
17.208
18:30
ESPNU
Kansas State
Baylor
8.231
30.979
4.100
18.648
18:30
FS1
Missouri
Mississippi State
29.159
20.613
4.119
12.666
20:00
ESPN
Fresno State
Nevada
-17.488
-6.322
2.988
-8.178
21:30
ESPN2
UTEP
Rice
-26.391
-12.177
1.975
12.238
19:00
CBSSN
SMU
Temple
-22.239
12.395
1.933
32.701
19:00
ESPN2
San Jose State
BYU
-14.607
11.882
1.282
25.207
22:30
CBSSN
UMASS
Akron
-19.594
-27.193
0.784
8.383
11:00
-
WKU
FAU
8.034
-31.122
2.173
41.328
11:00
-
Tulsa
UCF
-15.993
-23.834
1.689
9.530
11:00
ESPNN
FIU
Charlotte
-14.739
-19.294
1.576
6.131
11:00
-
Northwestern
Penn State
9.942
8.666
2.999
4.275
11:00
ESPNU
Florida
Vanderbilt
20.529
3.442
4.918
22.005
11:00
ESPN
Purdue
Illinois
-7.879
4.394
2.712
-9.561
11:00
-
North Carolina
Duke
23.040
8.671
3.561
17.930
11:00
ESPN2
West Virginia
Texas Tech
8.646
8.992
3.832
3.487
11:00
-
Georgia
Kentucky
29.988
17.596
5.161
17.553
11:00
SECN
Pittsburgh
Notre Dame
10.100
39.720
2.814
26.806
11:00
ABC
Louisville
Syracuse
0.851
-11.343
3.913
16.107
11:30
ESPN3
Boston College
NC State
-13.207
5.910
2.739
16.378
11:30
ESPN3
Colorado
Stanford
3.407
28.294
2.778
22.108
12:00
-
Georgia State
Louisiana
-21.849
-15.902
1.183
-4.764
13:00
ESPN3
Miami (OH)
Eastern Michigan
-36.196
-46.961
1.767
12.532
13:30
ESPN3
South Alabama
Idaho
-23.200
-38.785
1.211
16.796
14:00
ESPN3
Wyoming
Colorado State
-35.762
-8.351
1.951
25.459
14:00
ESPN3
Miami (FL)
Virginia
0.809
3.628
3.152
0.333
14:00
ESPN3
Air Force
Army
-2.300
-39.948
2.252
39.901
14:30
ESPNU
Louisiana Tech
North Texas
-1.029
-44.837
1.982
45.790
14:30
-
Troy
ULM
-35.165
-29.652
1.700
-3.813
14:30
ESPN3
New Mexico
Utah State
-18.493
-2.862
1.797
13.834
14:30
CBSSN
Indiana
Iowa
-1.181
13.016
3.127
11.070
14:30
ESPN
Houston
Cincinnati
2.191
1.402
2.127
2.917
14:30
ESPN2
Middle Tennessee
Marshall
-14.515
7.386
1.632
20.269
14:30
-
Michigan
Rutgers
17.456
4.642
5.574
18.388
14:30
BTN
Mississippi
Arkansas
36.513
19.055
4.171
21.629
14:30
CBS
Maryland
Wisconsin
-8.419
25.774
3.202
30.991
14:30
-
Clemson
Florida State
26.719
27.129
5.096
4.686
14:30
ABC
Oklahoma State
TCU
18.291
35.818
3.866
13.661
14:30
FOX
Washington State
Arizona State
8.898
34.885
3.062
22.926
14:30
-
Texas State
New Mexico State
-18.221
-34.967
1.920
18.666
15:00
ESPN3
Tulane
Connecticut
-15.072
-17.872
1.964
4.765
15:00
ESPNN
Tennessee
South Carolina
27.266
14.695
5.179
17.750
15:00
SECN
Oregon State
UCLA
-0.847
45.451
3.453
42.846
15:30
-
UNLV
Hawaii
-25.001
-18.233
1.196
-5.572
17:00
-
UTSA
Old Dominion
-40.183
-23.387
1.712
15.084
18:00
-
Oklahoma
Iowa State
17.795
-7.579
5.018
30.392
18:00
ESPNU
Memphis
Navy
13.362
3.480
1.950
11.832
18:00
ESPN2
Nebraska
Michigan State
5.269
34.954
5.205
24.480
18:00
ESPN
East Carolina
USF
-4.856
-9.457
3.426
8.028
18:30
-
Texas A&M
Auburn
31.260
16.737
5.338
19.861
18:30
SECN
Washington
Utah
10.696
35.780
4.053
21.031
18:30
-
Texas
Kansas
1.800
-28.507
5.186
35.493
19:00
LHN
Ohio State
Minnesota
48.833
3.585
5.596
50.844
19:00
ABC
Alabama
LSU
43.672
33.839
5.451
15.284
19:00
CBS
Oregon
California
40.076
23.572
4.276
20.781
21:30
ESPN2
USC
Arizona
34.021
26.454
4.161
11.728
21:30
ESPN