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Showing posts with label Week 8. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Week 8. Show all posts

Thursday, October 22, 2015

2015 Rambling Sports Week 8 CFB Picks

Alright, sorry about last week, time just got away from me and I didn’t get it finished but I’m back this week and ready to go. Starting this week I’ll have predictions for all the undefeated teams. Heading into week 8 the list is Ohio State, Baylor, TCU, Utah, Clemson, LSU, Michigan State, Florida State, Oklahoma State, Iowa, Toledo, Houston, Temple, and Memphis. The bolded teams all have games this week and are subsequently bolded below. Because I didn’t pick last week I don’t get to brag about my Memphis pick and that’s just a god damn shame so I’ll try not to embarrass myself this week.

Thursday, October 22nd, 2015
#22 Temple at East Carolina (-2.5), 6:00 pm ESPN2
Georgia Southern at Appalachian State (-6.5), 6:30 pm ESPNU
#20 California at UCLA (-3), 8:00 pm ESPN
This is a pretty damn good Thursday night set, and a great way to kick off the weekend. No offense to the Tuesday night game. Kicking off the evening we have our first undefeated team of the week; Temple. Temple heads down the coast to take on an East Carolina team that has losses to Florida, Navy, and BYU. The Pirates also beat Virginia Tech and Tulsa. Temple has started slowly the last couple of week and against bottom feeders isn’t an issue but against an offense like ECU’s and you can find yourself in a bitch of a whole quickly. I think Temple takes care of business, but never gets comfortable 31-28. Second is the game I’m most interested in this week. Yes, there are bigger names involved in games, and one top 25 matchup, but this is going to be as high a level of games as any this week. Both teams come in 5-1 with their only losses coming by greater than four TDs to Power 5 teams. Georgia State followed that up by thrashing WMU by 26 and the rest of their schedule by an average of 27.25 points. Appalachian State lost to Clemson in game two but took the hammer to the rest of their schedule by 37.67. Both have knocked the pants off their non-power 5 schedule. I picked Georgia Southern to win the Sun Belt pre-season and I don’t see a reason to go away from them 38-35 Eagles. Lastly, is the game that will catch the eyes of the casual fan as they go to sleep and prepare for their Fridays. Cal is a week removed from a close loss on the road at Utah and take on a team that’s had trouble protecting their freshman QB and overcoming a bevy of injuries on defense. Both teams are going to score, almost at will, and last team with the ball will win. UCLA 45-42.

Friday, October 23rd, 2015
#18 Memphis (-10.5) at Tulsa, 7:00 pm ESPN
Friday brings us to our second undefeated team of the week in Memphis who comes off a great win over Ole Miss. Memphis wanders in post-upset into Tulsa where the opposing team can score points in bunches. If Memphis comes in sleepwalking, much like Temple, they’re playing a team that can put them in a big whole that won’t be easy to climb out of. Memphis 38-35.

Saturday, October 24th, 2015
#6 Clemson (-6.5) at Miami (FL), 11:00 am ABC
Iowa State at #2 Baylor (-37), 11:00 ESPN
#21 Houston (-21.5) at UCF, 11:00 am
The early slate features three undefeated teams, against inferior opponents. Baylor and Clemson are a week ahead of their look ahead contests heading into a ridiculous three game stretch for Baylor and Florida State for Clemson. Houston for their part has Vanderbilt next week, but also has the easiest test of the three. I’m not seeing the makings of upsets here, but Clemson has the toughest test on the road. Give me Clemson 38-24, Baylor 52-13, and Houston 45-10.

#19 Toledo (-14.5) at UMASS, 2:00 pm ESPN3
Texas Tech at #17 Oklahoma (-14.5), 2:30 pm ABC/ESPN2
Indiana at #7 Michigan State (-16.5), 2:30 pm ABC/ESPN2
Tennessee at #8 Alabama (-15.5), 2:30 pm CBS
Kansas at #14 Oklahoma State (-33.5), 3:30 pm
The afternoon slate has intrigue, #ChaosTeam (h/t @Adam_Jacobi), and two undefeated teams. Oklahoma State is going to romp Kansas, 41-7. Toledo-UMASS and Michigan State-Indiana strike me as similar scripts for different reasons. For Toledo, that reason is the trap game. UMASS is fine, they’re not great but they aren’t bad and with Northern Illinois coming up and a chance to keep them out of the MAC West race, Toledo might get caught looking. Not to mention the increased pressure of continuing to be undefeated. Toledo 38-34 in some good ol’ fashioned #MACtion. Michigan State is coming off the Blunder in the Big House, The Big House Blunder, Fail to the Victors, or whatever else you want to call it. There is bound to be a letdown, and that letdown just so happens to be against a team that has no idea what it is, but is going to send their game each week into fucking chaos. Michigan State beats Indiana, beats 24-23, but it ain’t gonna be fun Sparty fans. Texas Tech-Oklahoma and Tennessee-Alabama are similar matchups. TTU and Tennessee have given very good teams good games at home and have looked close to being dangerous, but don’t have the results to show for. Both are dangerous and provide tricky obsticles but both are probably a year away from beating the bigger branded team in their respective conferences. Oklahoma 45-38 and Alabama 31-27.

#9 Florida State (-6.5) at Georgia Tech, 6:00 pm ESPN2
#15 Texas A&M at #24 Ole Miss (-6), 6:00 pm ESPN
WKU at #5 LSU (-16.5), 6:00 pm ESPNU
#3 Utah at USC (-3.5), 6:30 pm FOX
#1 Ohio State (-21) at Rutgers, 7:00 pm ABC
The evening slate has, a game that was gonna be a great, a game that should have been great, a game where we get to watch an all-timer, and a game with USC and a game with Rutgers. Ohio State 38-13 and LSU 41-31. LSU will be tested, but Ohio State won’t. Florida State-Georgia Tech is disappointing because Georgia Tech looks atrocious, but, outside of Clemson, I think Tech is the toughest test in conference for Florida State. Tech runs a funky offense (triple option), has talent on defense, but has fallen apart, but just when you think you have Georgia Tech buried they come back and beat that ass. I think Florida State wins but it stays too close for comfort, 24-20 Florida State. A&M-Ole Miss is a pair of teams who have disappointed their fan bases after early season high water marks. Both are coming off disappointing performances, Ole Miss a loss at Memphis and A&M a loss at home against Alabama. I think we see points in droves, but with Nkemdiche recovering from a concussion I’ll support the Myles Garett led defense, 45-41. Lastly we have the Utah Utes taking on the Trojans in a must win for USC, and a knockout a challenger game for Utah. I think Utah follows the Notre Dame game plan and runs it straight ahead with deep shots by Tyler Wilson. USC fought back last week and will play with heart, but there is too much dysfunction in L.A. for USC to contend with. Utah takes an early stranglehold on the Pac-12 South 31-27.
Washington at #10 Stanford (No line as of posting), 9:30 pm ESPN

Lastly Stanford-Washington, where Stanford shuts down the Huskies and win ugly. Nothing else to say here, enjoy the week. Stanford 20-6.

2015 Ramblings Week 8 Power Rank Predictions

Realized last week that I wasn’t denoting which day the games were on, so I’ve added color to the game, Red is Tuesday, Green is Thursday, Blue is Friday, and black is Saturday. Last week was my worst week overall, but as we ween out the bad non-con games and get into league season that’s to be expected. Although, I hope to stay at least above 70% the rest of the season. That all being said, on to week 8.

Week
Overall
FBS
1
88.2% (75-10)
82.1% (32-7)
2
82.9% (63-13)
76.5% (39-12)
3
82.6% (57-12)
80.8% (42-10)
4
76.6% (45-14)
75% (39-13)
5
75% (45-15)
75.9% (44-14)
6
83.9% (47-9)
83.6% (46-9)
7
68.4% (39-18)
69.6% (39-17)
Season
80.3% (371-91)
77.4% (281-82)


Home
Away
H Rating
A Rating
HFA
My Spd
Time
TV
Arkansas State
Louisiana
-9.875
-14.646
2.554
7.325
19:00
ESPN2
East Carolina
Temple
-1.626
10.675
3.426
-8.874
18:00
ESPN2
Appalachian State
Georgia Southern
4.031
-3.152
3.094
10.277
18:30
ESPNU
UCLA
California
42.469
23.901
4.101
22.670
20:00
ESPN
Tulsa
Memphis
-15.360
11.493
1.689
25.164
19:00
ESPN
San Diego State
Utah State
-6.333
-1.386
1.971
-2.976
21:30
ESPN2
Rice
Army
-9.140
-38.768
1.235
30.863
11:00
-
Charlotte
Southern MIss
-13.172
-15.205
2.162
4.194
11:00
-
Baylor
Iowa State
30.117
-8.592
3.670
42.378
11:00
ESPN
UCF
Houston
-19.194
-0.223
3.109
15.862
11:00
ESPNN
Nebraska
Northwestern
7.702
8.020
5.205
4.887
11:00
ESPN2
Syracuse
Pittsburgh
-10.068
9.842
2.983
16.927
11:00
ESPNU
Wake Forest
NC State
-11.374
5.273
2.849
13.798
11:00
ESPN3
Texas
Kansas State
1.909
9.249
5.186
-2.154
11:00
-
Arkansas
Auburn
17.677
17.411
4.091
4.357
11:00
SECN
Miami (FL)
Clemson
-0.176
20.888
3.152
17.912
11:00
ABC
Louisville
Boston College
-0.391
-10.460
3.913
13.981
11:30
ESPN3
Navy
Tulane
2.033
-13.190
3.316
18.539
12:00
CBSSN
Kent State
Bowling Green
-18.108
4.868
1.617
21.359
12:00
ESPN3
Western Michigan
Miami (OH)
-0.873
-31.537
1.437
32.101
13:00
ESPN3
Air Force
Fresno State
-4.390
-15.884
2.252
13.745
13:00
ESPN3
Ball State
Central Michigan
-17.058
-15.021
1.152
-0.886
14:00
ESPN3
BYU
Wagner
11.882
-22.636
3.933
38.451
14:00
-
UMASS
Toledo
-16.092
7.544
0.784
22.852
14:00
ESPN3
Northern Illinois
Eastern Michigan
-0.756
-42.594
1.749
43.586
14:30
ESPN3
Marshall
North Texas
6.317
-43.936
2.268
52.522
14:30
-
Louisiana Tech
Middle Tennessee
-3.729
-12.933
1.982
11.186
14:30
-
Buffalo
Ohio
-24.067
-7.057
2.052
14.958
14:30
ESPN3
Michigan State
Indiana
33.752
-1.012
4.567
39.330
14:30
ABC/ESPN2
Maryland
Penn State
-6.483
5.808
0.000
12.291
14:30
ESPN
North Carolina
Virginia
19.421
2.587
3.561
20.395
14:30
ESPN3
Virginia Tech
Duke
7.517
8.460
4.110
3.167
14:30
ESPNU
Oklahoma
Texas Tech
15.123
10.979
5.018
9.162
14:30
ABC/ESPN2
Illinois
Wisconsin
6.264
21.592
2.845
12.483
14:30
-
Alabama
Tennessee
42.167
23.075
5.451
24.544
14:30
CBS
USF
SMU
-8.871
-17.467
2.212
10.808
15:00
ESPNN
Nevada
Hawaii
-6.879
-13.404
2.503
9.028
15:00
-
Arizona
Washington State
28.728
6.695
3.489
25.522
15:00
-
Vanderbilt
Missouri
3.211
29.988
3.077
23.700
15:00
SECN
Cincinnati
Connecticut
0.567
-17.703
2.810
21.080
15:30
-
Oklahoma State
Kansas
14.770
-26.305
3.866
44.942
15:30
-
Idaho
ULM
-37.266
-26.271
2.256
-8.740
16:00
ESPN3
FIU
Old Dominion
-13.204
-19.400
1.576
7.772
17:00
-
Texas State
South Alabama
-17.113
-21.249
1.920
6.056
18:00
ESPN3
UTEP
FAU
-24.850
-29.875
1.975
7.000
18:00
-
San Jose State
New Mexico
-15.034
-16.902
1.282
3.150
18:00
-
LSU
WKU
32.172
7.422
5.287
30.038
18:00
ESPNU
Georgia Tech
Florida State
18.019
26.740
3.466
-5.256
18:00
ESPN2
Mississippi
Texas A&M
31.611
30.125
4.171
5.657
18:00
ESPN
Mississippi State
Kentucky
18.440
19.115
4.142
3.468
18:30
SECN
USC
Utah
28.723
34.956
4.161
-2.072
18:30
FOX
New Mexico State
Troy
-29.319
-34.965
1.126
6.772
19:00
ESPN3
Rutgers
Ohio State
5.110
45.411
3.678
36.622
19:00
ABC
Boise State
Wyoming
27.473
-33.883
3.144
64.500
21:15
ESPN2
Oregon State
Colorado
1.056
1.622
3.453
2.888
21:30
-
Stanford
Washington
26.659
8.451
3.707
21.915
21:30
ESPN