Here we are another set of rankings that changed both more and less than I would have thought. Thanks for reading and enjoy.
Running Back
Stars (1-7)
|
Starters (8-14)
|
Starters With Questions (14-22)
|
Le’Veon
Bell, Pittsburgh
|
Lamar
Miller, Miami
|
Alfred
Morris, Washington
|
Adrian
Peterson, Minnesota
|
Jeremy
Hill, Cincinnati
|
Andre
Ellington, Arizona
|
Eddie
Lacy, Green Bay
|
Justin
Forsett, Baltimore
|
Joseph
Randle, Dallas
|
Jamaal
Charles, Kansas City
|
Frank
Gore, Indianapolis
|
Latavius
Murray, Oakland
|
Marshawn
Lynch, Seattle
|
LeSean
McCoy, Buffalo
|
Chris
Ivory, Jets
|
C.J.
Anderson, Denver
|
DeMarco
Murray, Philadelphia
|
Rashad
Jennings, Giants
|
Matt
Forte, Chicago
|
Mark
Ingram, New Orleans
|
Arian
Foster, Houston
|
Jonathan
Stewart, Carolina
|
The order has changed
up to, but not by much, and with lone addition C.J. Anderson. Anderson moved up
and into the top group, because Ball and Hillman are both clearly backup
options to Anderson. Foster dropped out of tier 2 because of his injury, but
maybe not as far as you’d think. Miller is the big jumper here, from 17 to 8. I
wouldn’t have expected it, but I think Miller is the clear one in a Miami on
the verge of a jump. McCoy and Murray dropped, because the more I thought about
drafting either at ADP just didn’t work for me. Foster falls to 21, where even
if he misses 4-6 games he will give you first round value over the second half
of the season. Hill jumps into the top 10, and he’s still one of the most
puzzling pieces to the fantasy puzzle. With options I don’t love who were previously
above him, well, here we are. Ellington has been creeping up and I think it’s a
case of no competition and hopefully a case of less is more on touches. To
round out Ingram, Randle, L. Murray, Ivory, and Stewart are all lead backs in
varying degrees of goodness.
Flex-ible Options (23-30)
|
Top Backups (31-38)
|
Solid Backups (39-49)
|
Isaiah
Crowell, Cleveland
|
Giovani
Bernard, Cincinnati
|
Darren
Sproles, Philadelphia
|
Melvin
Gordon, San Diego
|
LeGarette
Blount, New England
|
Reggie
Bush, San Francisco
|
Ameer
Abdullah, Detroit
|
C.J.
Spiller, New Orleans
|
Shane
Vereen, New York (N)
|
Devante
Freeman, Atlanta
|
Joique
Bell, Detroit
|
Branden
Oliver, San Diego
|
Ryan
Mathews, Philadelphia
|
T.J.
Yeldon, Jacksonville
|
DeAngelo
Williams, Pittsburgh
|
Doug
Martin, Tampa Bay
|
Todd
Gurley, St. Louis
|
Alfred
Blue, Houston
|
Carlos
Hyde, San Francisco
|
Tre
Mason, St. Louis
|
Jerrick
McKinnon, Minnesota
|
David
Cobb, Tennessee
|
Knile
Davis, Kansas City
|
Jay
Ajayi, Miami
|
Tevin
Coleman, Atlanta
|
||
Duke
Johnson, Cleveland
|
||
Denard
Robinson, Jacksonville
|
Tier four has a two
high upside 2nd options (Abdullah may start as Detroit’s first), 1st
or 2nd year players, and a player that flashed a couple years ago
before injuries slowed his career projection to a stop. Gordon, Abdullah, and
Crowell have the upside for me and the talent. Freeman and Cobb are better than
their competition. Hyde and Martin, don’t really have competition. 31-38 is a
pretty straight forward, Blount is the starter to start the season, but I’m
just not feeling it, Yeldon is the starter in Jacksonville but I don’t want any
part of him, and Gurley will be great but they’re playing it slow and Mason
will play more early on at least. Davis, Bernard, and Spiller are second
options, and Bell is hurt and the default second option. Of the backup options
in the 39-49 range, Williams and Blue are behind players that will miss time
early, Ajayi, Coleman, and Duke are all rookies, with Johnson having the
highest upside pairing up with Crowell. Robinson was good, but Yeldon fits
scheme as a bell cow, meaning his upside is probably around the Sproles or
Vereen upside. The rest are second options of offenses with varying degrees of competence.
Rookies & Lottery Tickets (50-67)
|
Dropped Out
|
David
Johnson, Arizona (49)
|
68)
Chris Sims, Tampa Bay (51)
|
Cameron
Artis-Payne, Carolina (NR)
|
69)
Bobby Rainey, Tampa Bay (54)
|
James
Starks, Green Bay (57)
|
70)
Montee Ball, Denver (58)
|
Josh
Robinson, Indianapolis (45)
|
71)
Robert Turbin, Seattle (60)
|
Matt
Jones, Washington (NR)
|
73)
Steven Ridley, New York (A) (61)
|
Khiry
Robinson, New Orleans (NR)
|
76)
Travaris Cadet, New England (62)
|
Bishop
Sankey, Tennessee (52)
|
77)
Ronnie Hillman, Denver (65)
|
Buck
Allen, Baltimore (59)
|
|
Andre
Williams, New York (N) (66)
|
|
Fred
Jackson, Buffalo (64)
|
|
Terrance
West, Cleveland (34)
|
|
Darren
McFadden, Dallas (53)
|
|
Lorenzo Taliaferro,
Baltimore (NR)
|
|
Roy
Helu, Oakland (NR)
|
|
Jeremy
Langford, Chicago (NR)
|
|
James White,
New England (NR)
|
|
Danny
Woodhead, San Diego (63)
|
|
Jonas
Gray, New England (NR)
|
Johnson, Artis-Payne,
Allen, Jones, Langford are all rookies with clear shots at #2 roles and are
talented players. The rest are #2s or in a couple cases #4s who I think are talented
or behind meh starters. On the dropped out side, well they all dropped out of
the top 67 and are options that should be watched on waiver wires.
Wide Receivers
Stars (1-4)
|
Starters (5-11)
|
Starters With Questions (12-19)
|
Antonio
Brown, Pittsburgh
|
Randall
Cobb, Green Bay
|
Deandre
Hopkins, Houston
|
Dez
Bryant, Dallas
|
Julio Jones,
Atlanta
|
Alshon
Jeffery, Chicago
|
DeAnthony
Thomas, Denver
|
Calvin
Johnson, Detroit
|
Vincent
Jackson, Tampa Bay
|
A.J.
Green, Cincinnati
|
Odell
Beckham, New York (N)
|
Allen
Robinson, Jacksonville
|
T.Y.
Hilton, Indianapolis
|
Golden
Tate, Detroit
|
|
Mike
Evans, Tampa Bay
|
DeSean
Jackson, Washington
|
|
Emmanuel
Sanders, Denver
|
Andre
Johnson, Indianapolis
|
|
Jordan
Matthews, Philadelphia
|
The big change up top
is the loss of Jordy, and you’ll see that there are no other changes in the top
two tiers. Tier three has seen a major overhaul and combined with tier four to
make a bit more of a usable tier. I’m all in on Robinson this season, and despite
his QB, he’s going to get a ton of targets.
Low Starters, High Flex/3rds (20-30)
|
Good Flex Options/3rds
(31-44)
|
Upside/Injured Starters
(45-54)
|
Brandon
Marshall, New York (A)
|
Keenan
Allen, San Diego
|
DeVante
Parker, Miami
|
Brandin
Cooks, New Orleans
|
Julian Edelman,
New England
|
Torrey
Smith, San Francisco
|
John
Brown, Arizona
|
Mike
Wallace, Minnesota
|
Victor
Cruz, New York (N)
|
Jarvis
Landry, Miami
|
Jeremy
Maclin, Kansas City
|
Roddy
White, Atlanta
|
Amari
Cooper, Oakland
|
Dorial
Green-Beckham, Tennessee
|
Brandon
LaFell, New England
|
Nelson
Agholor, Philadelphia
|
Michael
Floyd, Arizona
|
Malcolm
Floyd, San Diego
|
Devante
Adams, Green Bay
|
Pierre
Garcon, Washington
|
Eddie
Royal, Chicago
|
Martavis
Bryant, Pittsburgh
|
Anquan
Boldin, Arizona
|
Corey
Brown, Carolina
|
Eric
Decker, New York (A)
|
Steve
Smith, Baltimore
|
Cody
Latimer, Denver
|
Sammy
Watkins, Buffalo
|
Kendall
Wright, Tennessee
|
Marvin
Jones, Cincinnati
|
Charles
Johnson, Minnesota
|
Kenny
Stills, Miami
|
|
Terrance
Williams, Dallas
|
||
Marques
Colston, New Orleans
|
||
Larry
Fitzgerald, Arizona
|
The second half of
the former Fine Starters tier, these are possession 2nds, starters who I’m wary
of target upside and a few rookies. Adams and Cooks are second year players I’m
probably too low on. Both will see a high amount of targets, and I’m admittedly
more open to Cooks just busting out, but Cooks didn’t flash on a so-so
receiving corps last season, and all the underlying studies say Adams wasn’t
great last season. We’ll call the fifth tier the old standbys. Other than
Allen, Green-Beckham, and Stills this is a collection of players that have been
in league for a few years, who we have a pretty good grasp of place, talent,
and regression. Parker is my Beckham this year, not to say that he will take
the league by storm, but an injured rookie who will impact your fantasy season
when he breaks into the starting lineup for the Dolphins. Cruz, White, and Lafell
are all hurt and Royal and Brown have ascending to roles because of injury and
not talent, and worry me.
Note: The Bryant news came out while I was writing this, he would have
been 19th without the suspension and is now 27th. Still
like him, just drops a round or two.
Lottery Tickets (55-74)
|
Dwayne
Bowe, Cleveland
|
Doug
Baldwin, Seattle
|
Cecil
Shorts, Houston
|
Mohamed
Sanu, Cincinnati
|
Marques
Lee, Jacksonville
|
Michael
Crabtree, Oakland
|
James Jones,
New York (N)
|
Phillip
Dorsett, Indianapolis
|
Breshad
Perriman, Baltimore
|
Harry Douglas,
Tennessee
|
Marques
Wheaton, Pittsburgh
|
Donte
Moncrief, Indianapolis
|
Devin
Funchess, Carolina
|
Brian
Quick, St. Louis
|
Taylor Gabriel,
Cleveland
|
Nick
Toon, New Orleans
|
Percy
Harvin, Buffalo
|
Rashad
Greene, Jacksonville
|
Jeremy
Kearse, Seattle
|
Andrew
Hawkins, Cleveland
|
These are you lottery
tickets, with upside and talent, but roadblacks or major questions in the way
of breakouts. The Dorsett through Gabriel group is where I think the greatest
value is if not the highest expected point totals.
Quarterback
Elite (Luck)
|
Really Good (2-6)
|
Wait, and Be Just Fine (7-17)
|
Andrew
Luck, Indianapolis
|
Aaron
Rodgers, Green Bay
|
Phillip
Rivers, San Diego
|
Russell
Wilson, Seattle
|
Tony
Romo, Dallas
|
|
Ben
Roethlisberger, Pittsburgh
|
Ryan
Tannehill, Miami
|
|
Peyton
Manning, Denver
|
Cam
Newton, Carolina
|
|
Drew
Brees, New Orleans
|
Matt
Ryan, Atlanta
|
|
Matthew
Stafford, Detroit
|
||
Tom
Brady, New England
|
||
Teddy
Bridgewater, Minnesota
|
||
Eli
Manning, New York (N)
|
||
Joe
Flacco, Baltimore
|
||
Jay
Cutler, Chicago
|
Jordy’s injury takes
enough off Rodgers for me that it drops him to the top of tier 2, and that
leaves Luck as the only elite fantasy quarterback. Not much change in tiers 1
& 2, but 3 is where the difference is. I combined Tiers 3 & 4 and made
some order changes. Newton dropped a bit on the Benjamin news, because, who
outside of Olsen do you trust at all. Tannehill is my darling this offseason
and that, like Lamar Miller, could mean the success or failure of a few of my
fantasy teams.
Tight End
Elite
(Gronk)
|
High
End Starters (2-5)
|
Low
End Starters (6-10)
|
Rob Gronkowski, New England
|
Greg Olsen, Carolina
|
Julius Thomas, Jacksonville
|
Jimmy Graham, Seattle
|
Jason Witten, Dallas
|
|
Travis Kelce, Kansas City
|
Zach Ertz, Philadelphia
|
|
Michael Bennett, Chicago
|
Jordan Cameron, Miami
|
|
Delonte Walker, Tennessee
|
Tier two lost two
players and gained one. I switched Bennett and Thomas on QB concerns for
Thomas, and a bump for Bennett with White out. I was too far down on Kelce and
adjusted accordingly. The Indianapolis TEs adjustment took place, and I’m
certainly skeptical of Eifert and his breakout. Williams was the only other
tight end to fall out of the top ten tight ends.
Solid
Backups (11-17)
|
Lottery
Tickets
|
Maxx Williams, Baltimore
|
Jordan Reed, Washington
|
Dwayne Allen, Indianapolis
|
Larry Donnell, New York (N)
|
Heath Miller, Pittsburgh
|
Richard Rodgers, Green Bay
|
Coby Fleener, Indianapolis
|
Austin Seferian-Jenkins, Tampa Bay
|
Charles Clay, Buffalo
|
Antonio Gates, San Diego
|
Tyler Eifert, Cincinnati
|
Vernon Davis, San Francisco
|
Jared Cook, St. Louis
|
Owen Daniels, Denver
|
Mychal Rivera, Oakland
|
|
Jace Amaro, New York (A)
|
|
Ladarius Green, San Diego
|
|
Eric Ebron, Detroit
|
|
Josh Hill, New Orleans
|
|
Kyle Rudolph, Minnesota
|
Rodgers and
Seferian-Jenkings are the high upside guys in the lottery ticket category, but
they are nowhere near sure things.
Kickers and Defense
Kickers
|
Defense
|
Stephen Gostkowski, New England
|
Seattle Seahawks
|
Adam Vinatieri, Indianapolis
|
Buffalo Bills
|
Dan Carpenter, Buffalo
|
St. Louis Rams
|
Cody Parkey, Philadelphia
|
Houston Texans
|
Dan Bailey, Dallas
|
New York Jets
|
Steven Haushka, Seattle
|
Miami Dolphins
|
Justin Tucker, Baltimore
|
Denver Broncos
|
Matt Bryant, Atlanta
|
Arizona Cardinals
|
Mason Crosby, Green Bay
|
Carolina Panthers
|
Blair Walsh, Minnesota
|
Detroit Lions
|
Caleb Sturgis, Miami
|
Minnesota Vikings
|
Phil Dawson, San Francisco
|
New England Patriots
|
Greg Zuerlein, St. Louis
|
Philadelphia Eagles
|
Brandon McManus, Denver
|
Baltimore Ravens
|
Matt Prater, Detroit
|
Kansas City Chiefs
|
Sebastian Janikowski, Oakland
|
Dallas Cowboys
|
Chandler Catanzaro, Arizona
|
Green Bay Packers
|
Nick Folk, New York
|
Cincinnati Bengals
|
Garrett Hartley, Pittsburgh
|
Cleveland Browns
|
Nick Novak, San Diego
|
San Francisco 49ers
|
Mike Nugent, Cincinnati
|
Pittsburgh Steelers
|
Ryan Succop, Tennessee
|
Indianapolis Colts
|
Graham Gano, Carolina
|
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
|
Josh Scobee, Jacksonville
|
Atlanta Falcons
|
This’ll be my last
update before you draft and the season. Good luck to everyone and I’ll have a
big board up in the next couple of days. And hopefully a bunch of college
football previews. As always let me know what you think, where you disagree, and
as always why I’m an idiot. Thanks for reading.
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