Most Popular This Month

Wednesday, September 14, 2016

2016 College Football Season: A Scheduling Convergence: Part 1

Alright 2nd week was a bit better than the 1st and my confidence is growing as we start to filter out some of the pre-season’s sway on the power rankings overall.  Still not a great season for spreads that fall in the field goal or less category where I’m still below 30%. Volatility is expected and that is the category you’d expect the lowest % of winners picked. Just no that low. Week 3 is when I really start to like my numbers most years and hopefully that won’t change this season.

Category
Week 2
Right
Week 2
Wrong
Week 2
Right %
Season
Right
Season
Wrong
Season
Right %
All
63
12
0.840
132
30
0.815
FBS
37
9
0.804
65
22
0.747
0-3
1
3
0.250
3
8
0.273
3+ to 7
4
1
0.800
9
1
0.900
7+ to 14
12
4
0.750
33
9
0.786
14+ to 21
11
1
0.917
22
3
0.880
21+ to 31
16
2
0.889
37
6
0.860
31+ to 42
13
1
0.929
24
2
0.923
42+
6
0
1.000
12
1
0.923


Home
Away
Home
Rating
Away
Rating
My
Spread
Date
Time
Channel
Cincinnati
Houston
-0.772
10.051
-7.670
15-Sep
18:30
ESPN
Rice
Baylor
-8.420
10.606
-17.710
16-Sep
19:00
ESPN
Utah State
Arkansas State
-6.117
0.402
-3.919
16-Sep
20:00
CBSSN
UTSA
Arizona State
-18.750
8.481
-25.662
16-Sep
20:30
ESPN2
Penn State
Temple
11.596
3.000
13.914
17-Sep
11:00
BTN
Memphis
Kansas
6.586
-14.068
23.226
17-Sep
11:00
ESPNU
Iowa
North Dakota State
16.059
-22.636
42.904
17-Sep
11:00
ESPN2
Wisconsin
Georgia State
15.119
-7.790
27.678
17-Sep
11:00
BTN
Appalachian State
Miami (FL)
6.112
16.564
-7.517
17-Sep
11:00
ESPN
TCU
Iowa State
14.025
-6.464
24.366
17-Sep
11:00
FS1
Tennessee
Ohio
30.295
-9.703
45.386
17-Sep
11:00
SECN
Rutgers
New Mexico
1.267
0.342
4.627
17-Sep
11:00
ESPNN
Marshall
Akron
1.089
-16.913
20.359
17-Sep
11:00
CBSSN
Bowling Green
Middle Tennessee
6.961
-7.839
16.992
17-Sep
11:00
ESPN3
Clemson
South Carolina State
24.985
-22.636
52.773
17-Sep
11:00
ACCN
Louisville
Florida State
20.688
23.700
0.757
17-Sep
11:00
ABC
Georgia Tech
Vanderbilt
-0.075
11.162
-7.546
17-Sep
11:30
ACCN
Connecticut
Virginia
2.095
-2.367
6.919
17-Sep
12:30
ESPN3
Tulsa
North Carolina A&T
-3.514
-22.636
20.838
17-Sep
13:00
ESPN3
Washington State
Idaho
19.548
-10.108
32.793
17-Sep
13:00
P12N
Kansas State
FAU
-1.063
-4.749
7.917
17-Sep
13:30
-
Toledo
Fresno State
6.890
-15.351
24.584
17-Sep
14:00
ESPN3
Central Michigan
UNLV
2.888
-11.258
15.530
17-Sep
14:00
ESPN3
Ball State
Eastern Kentucky
-9.641
-22.636
13.899
17-Sep
14:00
ESPN3
UMASS
FIU
-27.377
-10.441
-16.187
17-Sep
14:30
ESPN3
Mississippi
Alabama
14.285
36.279
-17.707
17-Sep
14:30
CBS
Michigan
Colorado
23.564
14.661
14.633
17-Sep
14:30
BTN
Nebraska
Oregon
7.422
19.856
-7.120
17-Sep
14:30
ABC
Northern Illinois
San Diego State
-3.019
9.286
-10.696
17-Sep
14:30
CBSSN
Kent State
Monmouth
-5.543
-22.636
18.538
17-Sep
14:30
ESPN3
Miami (OH)
WKU
-14.282
13.605
-26.034
17-Sep
14:30
ESPN3
Virginia Tech
Boston College
13.130
-0.915
18.153
17-Sep
14:30
ESPNU
North Carolina
James Madison
20.966
-22.636
47.112
17-Sep
14:30
ACCN
Oklahoma State
Pittsburgh
17.786
17.988
3.813
17-Sep
14:30
ESPN
Syracuse
USF
1.601
7.692
-3.354
17-Sep
14:30
ACCN
Kentucky
New Mexico State
2.658
-13.240
19.968
17-Sep
15:00
SECN
Colorado State
Northern Colorado
-10.210
-22.636
14.761
17-Sep
15:00
-
Wyoming
UC Davis
-4.470
-22.636
20.098
17-Sep
15:00
-
Illinois
Western Michigan
-3.976
9.342
-10.459
17-Sep
15:00
ESPNN
South Carolina
East Carolina
0.501
-5.187
10.553
17-Sep
15:00
SECN
Oregon State
Idaho State
2.447
-22.636
28.291
17-Sep
16:00
P12N
Charlotte
Eastern Michigan
-8.382
-15.215
9.520
17-Sep
17:00
-
Georgia Southern
ULM
1.512
-24.535
28.634
17-Sep
17:00
ESPN3
NC State
Old Dominion
5.079
-3.857
12.975
17-Sep
17:00
ACCN
Wake Forest
Delaware
5.992
-22.636
31.479
17-Sep
17:30
ACCN
UCF
Maryland
-9.276
-0.873
-5.625
17-Sep
18:00
CBSSN
Tulane
Navy
-9.568
-1.168
-6.066
17-Sep
18:00
ESPN3
SMU
Liberty
-6.740
-22.636
17.931
17-Sep
18:00
ESPN3
Louisiana
South Alabama
-16.662
-14.311
-0.031
17-Sep
18:00
ESPN3
UTEP
Army
-9.772
-7.110
-0.862
17-Sep
18:00
-
Auburn
Texas A&M
10.383
17.429
-1.973
17-Sep
18:00
ESPN
LSU
Mississippi State
29.796
17.129
18.131
17-Sep
18:00
ESPN2
Texas Tech
Louisiana Tech
1.408
-8.416
13.852
17-Sep
18:00
-
Southern Miss
Troy
4.536
-12.446
19.371
17-Sep
18:00
-
Oklahoma
Ohio State
19.730
13.818
11.029
17-Sep
18:30
FOX
Arkansas
Texas State
23.551
-26.900
54.692
17-Sep
18:30
SECN
Florida
North Texas
20.678
-18.269
44.057
17-Sep
18:30
ESPNU
Missouri
Georgia
2.601
23.887
-17.103
17-Sep
18:30
SECN
Notre Dame
Michigan State
10.039
18.563
-3.635
17-Sep
18:30
NBC
Stanford
USC
29.782
28.884
4.808
17-Sep
19:00
ABC
Washington
Portland State
24.151
-22.636
50.877
17-Sep
19:00
P12N
Northwestern
Duke
10.841
1.826
11.865
17-Sep
19:00
BTN
Nevada
Buffalo
-0.418
-16.487
18.523
17-Sep
20:00
CAMP
BYU
UCLA
18.493
15.795
6.693
17-Sep
21:15
ESPN2
San Jose State
Utah
-1.053
22.753
-22.387
17-Sep
21:30
CBSSN
California
Texas
13.732
10.775
6.259
17-Sep
21:30
ESPN
Arizona
Hawaii
12.850
-7.655
24.200
17-Sep
21:45
P12N

No comments:

Post a Comment