Alright
so this year I’m going to try something a little different here and add a
little more depth to my breakdown of how my rankings are doing. I might add an
against the spread element but there are too many ways to skin that cat. So the
chart you’ll see at the top will be record of all games (FCS & FBS opponents),
FBS only games, and then records of my correct prediction of winners by my
rating spread. If you have any suggestions of things to add or tweak to this
chart I’d be grateful because I don’t think it’s perfect.
|
Category
|
Rights
|
Wrongs
|
Right %
|
|
All
|
69
|
18
|
0.793
|
|
FBS
|
28
|
13
|
0.683
|
|
0-3
|
2
|
5
|
0.286
|
|
3+ to 7
|
5
|
0
|
1.000
|
|
7+ to 14
|
11
|
5
|
0.688
|
|
14+ to 21
|
11
|
2
|
0.846
|
|
22+ to 31
|
21
|
4
|
0.840
|
|
32+ to 42
|
11
|
1
|
0.917
|
|
42+
|
6
|
1
|
0.857
|
A
good week overall for my system. It could have been a touch better on FBS only
games, but I hit close to 70% so I’m not going to complain too much week 1. I
usually see the numbers increase in accuracy a couple weeks into the season
when there are more data points available. Week two isn’t as fun as week one
but it’s still football and we shouldn’t take that for granted.
|
Home
|
Away
|
Home
Rating
|
Away
Rating
|
My
Spread |
Date
|
Time
|
Chan
|
|
FIU
|
Maryland
|
-6.855
|
-2.097
|
-3.015
|
9-Sep
|
18:30
|
CBSSN
|
|
Syracuse
|
Louisville
|
2.444
|
18.072
|
-12.890
|
9-Sep
|
19:00
|
ESPN2
|
|
East Carolina
|
NC State
|
-6.054
|
6.204
|
-8.831
|
10-Sep
|
11:00
|
ESPNU
|
|
Pittsburgh
|
Penn State
|
16.922
|
11.854
|
8.088
|
10-Sep
|
11:00
|
ESPN
|
|
Michigan
|
UCF
|
23.072
|
-9.066
|
37.867
|
10-Sep
|
11:00
|
ABC
|
|
Purdue
|
Cincinnati
|
1.785
|
-2.984
|
7.467
|
10-Sep
|
11:00
|
BTN
|
|
Houston
|
Lamar
|
10.051
|
-22.636
|
35.313
|
10-Sep
|
11:00
|
ESPN3
|
|
Rutgers
|
Howard
|
1.267
|
-22.636
|
27.605
|
10-Sep
|
11:00
|
BTN
|
|
Minnesota
|
Indiana State
|
5.818
|
-22.636
|
32.347
|
10-Sep
|
11:00
|
ESPNN
|
|
UMASS
|
Boston College
|
-24.414
|
-0.990
|
-22.676
|
10-Sep
|
11:00
|
ESPN3
|
|
Georgia
|
Nicholls State
|
23.887
|
-22.636
|
51.770
|
10-Sep
|
11:00
|
SECN
|
|
Texas A&M
|
Prairie View A&M
|
17.429
|
-22.636
|
45.603
|
10-Sep
|
11:00
|
SECN
|
|
Nebraska
|
Wyoming
|
6.641
|
-3.373
|
15.329
|
10-Sep
|
11:00
|
ESPN2
|
|
Oklahoma State
|
Central Michigan
|
19.590
|
0.216
|
23.391
|
10-Sep
|
11:00
|
FS1
|
|
Army
|
Rice
|
-7.691
|
-6.508
|
1.818
|
10-Sep
|
11:00
|
CBSSN
|
|
Clemson
|
Troy
|
24.816
|
-12.376
|
42.344
|
10-Sep
|
11:30
|
ACCN
|
|
Florida State
|
Charleston Southern
|
23.700
|
-22.636
|
50.907
|
10-Sep
|
11:30
|
ACCN
|
|
Temple
|
Stony Brook
|
3.000
|
-22.636
|
27.809
|
10-Sep
|
12:00
|
ESPN3
|
|
West Virginia
|
Youngstown State
|
7.823
|
-22.636
|
34.353
|
10-Sep
|
13:00
|
-
|
|
USC
|
Utah State
|
28.111
|
-6.047
|
38.354
|
10-Sep
|
13:00
|
P12N
|
|
Air Force
|
Georgia State
|
4.060
|
-6.546
|
12.721
|
10-Sep
|
13:00
|
CAMP
|
|
Kansas
|
Ohio
|
-9.868
|
-10.416
|
2.829
|
10-Sep
|
13:30
|
FSN
|
|
Georgia Tech
|
Mercer
|
-0.075
|
-22.636
|
26.253
|
10-Sep
|
14:00
|
-
|
|
Duke
|
Wake Forest
|
3.827
|
3.761
|
2.682
|
10-Sep
|
14:30
|
ESPNU
|
|
Bowling Green
|
North Dakota
|
6.961
|
-22.636
|
31.789
|
10-Sep
|
14:30
|
ESPN3
|
|
Appalachian State
|
Old Dominion
|
5.362
|
-2.788
|
11.085
|
10-Sep
|
14:30
|
ESPN3
|
|
Ohio State
|
Tulsa
|
12.857
|
-2.693
|
21.260
|
10-Sep
|
14:30
|
ABC
|
|
Northwestern
|
Illinois State
|
13.841
|
-22.636
|
39.327
|
10-Sep
|
14:30
|
BTN
|
|
Baylor
|
SMU
|
9.889
|
-5.875
|
19.650
|
10-Sep
|
14:30
|
FS1
|
|
Alabama
|
WKU
|
34.275
|
13.605
|
26.162
|
10-Sep
|
14:30
|
ESPN2
|
|
Florida
|
Kentucky
|
19.154
|
3.033
|
21.233
|
10-Sep
|
14:30
|
CBS
|
|
Wisconsin
|
Akron
|
14.931
|
-16.280
|
35.980
|
10-Sep
|
14:30
|
BTN
|
|
Miami (OH)
|
Eastern Illinois
|
-10.682
|
-22.636
|
13.807
|
10-Sep
|
14:30
|
ESPN3
|
|
Notre Dame
|
Nevada
|
8.942
|
0.531
|
13.300
|
10-Sep
|
14:30
|
NBC
|
|
Navy
|
Connecticut
|
-2.096
|
3.276
|
-2.024
|
10-Sep
|
14:30
|
CBSSN
|
|
Mississippi
|
Wofford
|
14.285
|
-22.636
|
41.208
|
10-Sep
|
15:00
|
SECN
|
|
Vanderbilt
|
Middle Tennessee
|
10.572
|
-7.037
|
20.573
|
10-Sep
|
15:00
|
SECN
|
|
Colorado State
|
UTSA
|
-10.292
|
-16.928
|
8.972
|
10-Sep
|
15:00
|
CAMP
|
|
Indiana
|
Ball State
|
9.018
|
-8.919
|
21.200
|
10-Sep
|
15:00
|
ESPNN
|
|
San Jose State
|
Portland State
|
-1.053
|
-22.636
|
23.002
|
10-Sep
|
15:30
|
-
|
|
Washington
|
Idaho
|
23.729
|
-9.943
|
37.762
|
10-Sep
|
16:00
|
P12N
|
|
Colorado
|
Idaho State
|
14.661
|
-22.636
|
40.212
|
10-Sep
|
16:30
|
-
|
|
Charlotte
|
Elon
|
-8.382
|
-22.636
|
16.941
|
10-Sep
|
17:00
|
-
|
|
Marshall
|
Morgan State
|
1.089
|
-22.636
|
26.082
|
10-Sep
|
17:00
|
-
|
|
Miami (FL)
|
FAU
|
15.805
|
-4.243
|
23.256
|
10-Sep
|
17:00
|
ACCN
|
|
Kent State
|
North Carolina A&T
|
-2.543
|
-22.636
|
21.538
|
10-Sep
|
17:00
|
ESPN3
|
|
Louisiana Tech
|
South Carolina State
|
-8.416
|
-22.636
|
16.276
|
10-Sep
|
18:00
|
-
|
|
North Texas
|
Bethune-Cookman
|
-18.269
|
-22.636
|
5.905
|
10-Sep
|
18:00
|
-
|
|
Southern Miss
|
Savannah State
|
4.536
|
-22.636
|
29.561
|
10-Sep
|
18:00
|
-
|
|
Texas
|
UTEP
|
10.311
|
-8.949
|
24.325
|
10-Sep
|
18:00
|
LHN
|
|
Oklahoma
|
ULM
|
19.660
|
-24.230
|
49.007
|
10-Sep
|
18:00
|
-
|
|
South Alabama
|
Georgia Southern
|
-11.536
|
1.024
|
-11.241
|
10-Sep
|
18:00
|
ESPN3
|
|
Louisiana
|
McNeese State
|
-16.662
|
-22.636
|
8.294
|
10-Sep
|
18:00
|
ESPN3
|
|
TCU
|
Arkansas
|
14.283
|
21.278
|
-3.118
|
10-Sep
|
18:00
|
ESPN
|
|
Mississippi State
|
South Carolina
|
16.260
|
0.878
|
19.679
|
10-Sep
|
18:00
|
ESPN2
|
|
Toledo
|
Maine
|
6.890
|
-22.636
|
31.869
|
10-Sep
|
18:00
|
ESPN3
|
|
USF
|
Northern Illinois
|
6.722
|
-1.944
|
10.489
|
10-Sep
|
18:00
|
CBSSN
|
|
Western Michigan
|
NC Central
|
9.342
|
-22.636
|
33.745
|
10-Sep
|
18:00
|
ESPN3
|
|
Illinois
|
North Carolina
|
-3.343
|
19.363
|
-19.848
|
10-Sep
|
18:30
|
BTN
|
|
Iowa
|
Iowa State
|
15.238
|
-5.854
|
25.302
|
10-Sep
|
18:30
|
BTN
|
|
Utah
|
BYU
|
21.464
|
18.610
|
6.762
|
10-Sep
|
18:30
|
FOX
|
|
Auburn
|
Arkansas State
|
9.047
|
1.410
|
12.711
|
10-Sep
|
18:30
|
SECN
|
|
LSU
|
Jacksonville State
|
29.796
|
-22.636
|
57.897
|
10-Sep
|
18:30
|
ESPNU
|
|
Missouri
|
Eastern Michigan
|
2.343
|
-13.644
|
20.170
|
10-Sep
|
18:30
|
SECN
|
|
Tulane
|
Southern
|
-9.568
|
-22.636
|
15.402
|
10-Sep
|
19:00
|
ESPN3
|
|
Tennessee
|
Virginia Tech
|
27.945
|
13.230
|
14.715
|
10-Sep
|
19:00
|
ABC
|
|
UCLA
|
UNLV
|
15.533
|
-10.790
|
30.315
|
10-Sep
|
19:00
|
P12N
|
|
New Mexico State
|
New Mexico
|
-13.920
|
1.724
|
-14.185
|
10-Sep
|
19:00
|
ESPN3
|
|
Arizona State
|
Texas Tech
|
7.497
|
2.196
|
8.835
|
10-Sep
|
21:00
|
FS1
|
|
Fresno State
|
Sacramento State
|
-15.351
|
-22.636
|
10.060
|
10-Sep
|
21:00
|
-
|
|
Boise State
|
Washington State
|
5.962
|
20.192
|
-11.058
|
10-Sep
|
21:15
|
ESPN2
|
|
Oregon
|
Virginia
|
19.012
|
-2.048
|
25.437
|
10-Sep
|
21:30
|
ESPN
|
|
San Diego State
|
California
|
7.894
|
14.379
|
-4.603
|
10-Sep
|
21:30
|
CBSSN
|
|
Arizona
|
Grambling State
|
12.850
|
-22.636
|
39.181
|
10-Sep
|
21:45
|
P12N
|
|
Hawaii
|
Tennessee-Martin
|
-7.655
|
-22.636
|
16.834
|
10-Sep
|
22:59
|
-
|
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