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Monday, May 9, 2022

2022 Fantasy Football - R.O.O.C Rankings - Post-Draft

 Alright, here are my post draft Post draft R.O.O.C. rankings are here and as always you are guaranteed to agree with all of it. ROOC stands for (Rookie Overall Opportunity Composite) which made a nice acronym to put it more simply it’s my rankings of players from the draft adjusted for the value of their draft slot and the roster around them. The components that go into the Ranks are: Player Grade – rating on an scale from 2-8 , Pick Grade – letter grade for each pick turned into a percentage, Pick AV – the Average Approximate Value (AV) of the pick a player was selected with, Now – Where they sit on the teams Ourlads depth chart, End of Season (EOS) – where I think they’ll finish the year on the depth chart, Year 3 – where I think they slot overall on a depth chart in 3 years. The six ingredients all mix together to get a raw grade and then I adjust the grade for positional value in fantasy football. And voila!!! A set of R.O.O.C. ranks.

 

Player

Pos

Tm

Grade

Gr

Pick

Pick

AV

Now

EOS

Y3

ROOC

Drake London

WR

ATL

7.4

A

8

21.4

1st

1st

1st

21.81

Jameson Williams

WR

DET

7.3

A+

12

18.8

3rd

1st

1st

20.70

Chris Olave

WR

NO

7.2

A

11

19.3

2nd/3rd

2nd

1st

20.40

Garrett Wilson

WR

NYJ

7.2

A-

10

19.9

2nd/3rd

2nd

1st

20.33

Treylon Burks

WR

TEN

7.2

A+

18

16.2

2nd/3rd

2nd

1st

19.57

Jahan Dotson

WR

WAS

7.0

A-

16

16.9

3rd

2nd

1st/2nd

18.93

Breece Hall

RB

NYJ

7.2

A

36

11.8

1st

1st

1st

18.60

Kenneth Walker III

RB

SEA

7.0

B+

41

11.0

2nd

1st

1st

17.72

Christian Watson

WR

GB

6.7

B+

34

12.1

3rd

2nd

1st/2nd

17.09

Alec Pierce

WR

IND

7.1

A+

53

9.3

2nd/3rd

2nd

1st/2nd

16.98

George Pickens

WR

PIT

6.5

A

52

9.4

3rd

2nd

1st/2nd

16.41

John Metchie

WR

HOU

6.2

B-

44

10.5

3rd

2nd/3rd

2nd

15.61

Wan'Dale Robinson

WR

NYG

6.3

B

43

10.6

5th

3rd/4th

2nd/3rd

14.89

Skyy Moore

WR

KC

6.1

C-

54

9.2

4th

2nd/3rd

1st/2nd

14.88

Jalen Tolbert

WR

DAL

6.6

A+

88

6.1

3rd

3rd

2nd/3rd

14.69

James Cook

RB

BUF

5.9

D

63

8.2

2nd

2nd

2nd

14.60

David Bell

WR

CLE

6.4

A+

99

5.3

3rd

3rd

2nd

14.54

Dameon Pierce

RB

HOU

5.9

A-

107

4.8

3rd

2nd

1st/2nd

14.48

Zamir White

RB

LVR

6.1

A-

122

4.0

3rd

2nd

1st/2nd

14.36

Tyler Allgeier

RB

ATL

6.4

A+

151

2.7

3rd

2nd

1st/2nd

14.23

Isaiah Spiller

RB

LAC

5.9

B+

123

4.0

2nd

2nd

2nd

14.13

Brian Robinson Jr.

RB

WAS

6.0

B

98

5.4

3rd

3rd

2nd

14.03

Kenny Pickett

QB

PIT

5.8

A-

20

15.5

2nd

1st/2nd

1st

13.97

Hassan Haskins

RB

TEN

5.5

B+

131

3.6

2nd

2nd

2nd

13.74

Rachaad White

RB

TB

5.7

C

91

5.9

3rd

3rd

2nd

13.74

Tyquan Thornton

WR

NE

5.6

D-

50

9.7

5th

3rd/4th

2nd

13.53

Trey McBride

TE

ARI

7.0

A+

55

9.1

2nd

2nd

1st

13.35

Khalil Shakir

WR

BUF

6.1

A+

148

2.8

4th

3rd

2nd

13.31

Danny Gray

WR

SF

5.8

A-

105

5.0

4th

4th

2nd/3rd

13.17

Calvin Austin III

WR

PIT

5.9

A+

138

3.2

4th/5th

3rd

2nd/3rd

12.96

Kyren Williams

RB

LAR

5.4

B-

164

2.1

3rd

2nd/3rd

2nd

12.83

Velus Jones Jr

WR

CHI

5.0

D-

71

7.5

3rd

3rd

3rd

12.76

Pierre Strong

RB

NE

5.2

B-

127

3.8

3rd

3rd

2nd/3rd

12.75

Desmond Ridder

QB

ATL

5.6

A+

74

7.2

2nd

1st/2nd

1st

12.71

Keontay Ingram

RB

ARI

5.4

B

201

0.8

3rd

2nd

2nd

12.64

 

Tier 1 (1) – This tier is pretty straight forward it’s Drake London. He was my highest rated receiver, the first position player taken at pick 8 and has very little in his way to playing time. He’s got just enough extra to make this a tier of it’s own… even if I wouldn’t quite have it that way (we’ll get that later).

 

Tier 2 (2-4) – Williams, Olave and Wilson fill out this tier and ait’s easy to see why… they filled out the 10th, 11th, and 12th picks in the draft, were all top 5 WRs for me, and starter levels to boot. All profile with good paths to being their teams top options quickly if not year 1.

 

Tier 3 (5-7) – Burks is kind of rated in no man’s land here he’s not really on par with Tier 2, but not quite separating from Dotson and Hall. Dotson goes to an interesting but muddied situation in Washington. He’s a good player and should provide some flexibility with McLaurin. Hall is someone that I’m both higher and lower on than consensus, but where this is concerned, he was a high second round pick, well graded, and should be the starter from day 1.

 

Tier 4 (8-12) – Our first larger tier and one that has some interesting players. Walker should be the starter in Seattle with Carson pretty much toast and Penny having the worst injury luck for an entire career. Watson will be a starter for the Packers this year barring him being absolutely trash, Pierce should be the running mate for Pittman in Indy, Pickens went to the best receiver drafting team in the NFL, and Metchie is good enough if not spectacular to pair with Cooks in Houston.

 

Tier 5 (13-23) – Pickett is worth a late second in single QB leagues because he just doesn’t have that upside to warrant much more of an investment. Moore and Robinson being this close and in this order is on a double-digit pick spread, more than a referendum on playing time or landing spot, that and me being lower on Moore than most. After that it’s a pick your poison at RB from 16-22 on which player and landing spot you like the best.

 

Player

Pos

Tm

Grade

Gr

Pick

Pick

AV

Now

EOS

Y3

ROOC

2QB

Drake London

WR

ATL

7.4

A

8

21.4

1st

1st

1st

21.81

Jameson Williams

WR

DET

7.3

A+

12

18.8

3rd

1st

1st

20.70

Chris Olave

WR

NO

7.2

A

11

19.3

2nd/3rd

2nd

1st

20.40

Garrett Wilson

WR

NYJ

7.2

A-

10

19.9

2nd/3rd

2nd

1st

20.33

Treylon Burks

WR

TEN

7.2

A+

18

16.2

2nd/3rd

2nd

1st

19.57

Jahan Dotson

WR

WAS

7.0

A-

16

16.9

3rd

2nd

1st/2nd

18.93

Breece Hall

RB

NYJ

7.2

A

36

11.8

1st

1st

1st

18.60

Kenny Pickett

QB

PIT

5.8

A-

20

15.5

2nd

1st/2nd

1st

18.29

Kenneth Walker III

RB

SEA

7.0

B+

41

11.0

2nd

1st

1st

17.72

Christian Watson

WR

GB

6.7

B+

34

12.1

3rd

2nd

1st/2nd

17.09

Alec Pierce

WR

IND

7.1

A+

53

9.3

2nd/3rd

2nd

1st/2nd

16.98

George Pickens

WR

PIT

6.5

A

52

9.4

3rd

2nd

1st/2nd

16.41

Desmond Ridder

QB

ATL

5.6

A+

74

7.2

2nd

1st/2nd

1st

15.78

Malik Willis

QB

TEN

6.1

A+

86

6.2

2nd

2nd

1st

15.63

John Metchie

WR

HOU

6.2

B-

44

10.5

3rd

2nd/3rd

2nd

15.61

Matt Corral

QB

CAR

5.8

A+

94

5.7

2nd

1st/2nd

1st

15.42

Wan'Dale Robinson

WR

NYG

6.3

B

43

10.6

5th

3rd/4th

2nd/3rd

14.89

Skyy Moore

WR

KC

6.1

C-

54

9.2

4th

2nd/3rd

1st/2nd

14.88

Jalen Tolbert

WR

DAL

6.6

A+

88

6.1

3rd

3rd

2nd/3rd

14.69

James Cook

RB

BUF

5.9

D

63

8.2

2nd

2nd

2nd

14.60

David Bell

WR

CLE

6.4

A+

99

5.3

3rd

3rd

2nd

14.54

Dameon Pierce

RB

HOU

5.9

A-

107

4.8

3rd

2nd

1st/2nd

14.48

Zamir White

RB

LVR

6.1

A-

122

4.0

3rd

2nd

1st/2nd

14.36

Tyler Allgeier

RB

ATL

6.4

A+

151

2.7

3rd

2nd

1st/2nd

14.23

Isaiah Spiller

RB

LAC

5.9

B+

123

4.0

2nd

2nd

2nd

14.13

Brian Robinson Jr.

RB

WAS

6.0

B

98

5.4

3rd

3rd

2nd

14.03

Hassan Haskins

RB

TEN

5.5

B+

131

3.6

2nd

2nd

2nd

13.74

Rachaad White

RB

TB

5.7

C

91

5.9

3rd

3rd

2nd

13.74

Tyquan Thornton

WR

NE

5.6

D-

50

9.7

5th

3rd/4th

2nd

13.53

Trey McBride

TE

ARI

7.0

A+

55

9.1

2nd

2nd

1st

13.35

Khalil Shakir

WR

BUF

6.1

A+

148

2.8

4th

3rd

2nd

13.31

Bailey Zappe

QB

NE

5.3

A+

137

3.3

3rd

2nd/3rd

2nd

13.29

Sam Howell

QB

WAS

5.2

A+

144

3.0

3rd

2nd

2nd

13.27

 

Tier 1 (1) & Tier 2 (2-4) – No change in the top 2 tiers between standard and 2 QB so see my analysis above.

 

Tier 3 (5-9) -  The tier with Burks, Dotson, and Hall adds Pickett and Walker. 2QB brings Pickett way up because starters or expected starters are so much more valuable and him sliding up changes how the differences look relatively meaning I’m alright adding Walker to the tier.

 

Tier 4 (10-12) – No QBs not much to talk about

 

Tier 5 (13-16) – The 3rd round quarterbacks tier, featuring John Metchie. Ridder and Corral have solid routes to playing time, Willis was my top QB by far, which props him up a little higher in these ranks than the order in mine.

 

Tier 6 (17-26) – Tier 5 from standard R.O.O.C. in its entirety.

 

Tier 7 (27-33) – Zappe and Howell pop up into this tier for me late in the 3rd round range neither went to great places but they’re both top 5 round picks with good enough pre-draft grades to give them late consideration from my R.O.O.C. rankings.

 

Player

Position

Team

R.O.O.C.

Std Rk

Drake London

WR

ATL

1

1

Jameson Williams

WR

DET

2

2

Treylon Burks

WR

TEN

5

3

Kenneth Walker III

RB

SEA

8

4

Breece Hall

RB

NYJ

7

5

Chris Olave

WR

NO

3

6

Garrett Wilson

WR

NYJ

4

7

Jahan Dotson

WR

WAS

6

8

Christian Watson

WR

GB

9

9

Skyy Moore

WR

KC

14

10

Alec Pierce

WR

IND

10

11

Tyler Allgeier

RB

ATL

20

12

Dameon Pierce

RB

HOU

18

13

Zamir White

RB

LVR

19

14

James Cook

RB

BUF

16

15

Kenny Pickett

QB

PIT

23

16

George Pickens

WR

PIT

11

17

John Metchie

WR

HOU

12

18

David Bell

WR

CLE

17

19

Brian Robinson Jr.

RB

WAS

22

20

Rachaad White

RB

TB

25

21

Desmond Ridder

QB

ATL

34

22

Matt Corral

QB

CAR

37

23

Jalen Tolbert

WR

DAL

15

24

Wan'Dale Robinson

WR

NYG

13

25

Tyquan Thornton

WR

NE

26

26

Calvin Austin III

WR

PIT

30

27

Isaiah Spiller

RB

LAC

21

28

Keontay Ingram

RB

ARI

35

29

Malik Willis

QB

TEN

36

30

Trey McBride

TE

ARI

27

31

Khalil Shakir

WR

BUF

28

32

Makai Polk

WR

BAL

65

33

Greg Dulcich

TE

DEN

38

34

Kyren Williams

RB

LAR

31

35

Danny Gray

WR

SF

29

36

Velus Jones Jr

WR

CHI

32

37

Kyle Philips

WR

TEN

43

38

Hassan Haskins

RB

TEN

24

39

Pierre Strong

RB

NE

33

40

Tyler Goodson

RB

GB

51

41

Sam Howell

QB

WAS

59

42

Tyler Badie

RB

BAL

40

43

Jelani Woods

TE

IND

44

44

Cole Turner

TE

WAS

47

45

Jalen Nailor

WR

MIN

62

46

Erik Ezukanma

WR

MIA

46

47

Ronnie Rivers

RB

ARI

56

48

Tyrion Davis-Price

RB

SF

39

49

Jerome Ford

RB

CLE

41

50

Jake Ferguson

TE

DAL

48

51

Isaiah Likely

TE

BAL

49

52

Leddie Brown

RB

LAC

52

53

Ty Chandler

RB

MIN

42

54

Charlie Kolar

TE

BAL

72

55

Bo Melton

WR

SEA

66

56

Charleston Rambo

WR

CAR

115

57

Josh Johnson

WR

DET

101

58

Jalen Wydermeyer

TE

BUF

79

59

Jeremy Ruckert

TE

NYJ

63

60

Chigoziem Okonkwo

TE

TEN

58

61

Bailey Zappe

QB

NE

61

62

 

I’m high on Burks and think he warrants inclusion with London and Williams based on opportunity available. After that, I have the two RBs because of positional value and scarcity but with Walker and what should be a heavy workload in Seattle. I’m slightly low on Hall because I’m not sure he’s going to see RB1 workloads with Carter being drafted last year and showing flashes. I still think Hall is really good. Olave, Wilson, and Dotson fill out the top 8 and tier 2. Tier 3 is large, Watson should be the WR1 for GB next year if not this, Moore lands in a great place, Pierce is Indy’s WR2, Algeier was a favorite of mine pre-draft and ATL has rushes available, ditto for Pierce, White has Jacobs blocking a large rush share but Jacobs didn’t have his option picked up; Cook could end up being a really nice piece in that Bills passing game and Pickett was a top 20 pick at QB and only has to beat out Trubisky. The biggest surprise remaining is Willis. I really like Willis but he’s a 3rd round pick stuck behind a QB that just got a big contract extension and isn’t guaranteed to start for a couple of seasons. It just feels like a player we love going to a situation we have to ignore to draft relatively high in standard leagues.

 

Player

Position

Team

R.O.O.C.

2QB

2QB

Rank

Drake London

WR

ATL

1

1

Jameson Williams

WR

DET

2

2

Treylon Burks

WR

TEN

5

3

Kenneth Walker III

RB

SEA

9

4

Breece Hall

RB

NYJ

7

5

Chris Olave

WR

NO

3

6

Garrett Wilson

WR

NYJ

4

7

Kenny Pickett

QB

PIT

8

8

Jahan Dotson

WR

WAS

6

9

Christian Watson

WR

GB

10

10

Skyy Moore

WR

KC

18

11

Alec Pierce

WR

IND

11

12

Desmond Ridder

QB

ATL

13

13

Matt Corral

QB

CAR

16

14

Tyler Allgeier

RB

ATL

24

15

Malik Willis

QB

TEN

14

15

Dameon Pierce

RB

HOU

22

17

Zamir White

RB

LVR

23

18

James Cook

RB

BUF

20

19

George Pickens

WR

PIT

12

20

John Metchie

WR

HOU

15

21

David Bell

WR

CLE

21

22

Brian Robinson Jr.

RB

WAS

26

23

Sam Howell

QB

WAS

33

24

Rachaad White

RB

TB

28

25

Jalen Tolbert

WR

DAL

19

26

Wan'Dale Robinson

WR

NYG

17

27

Tyquan Thornton

WR

NE

29

28

Calvin Austin III

WR

PIT

35

29

Isaiah Spiller

RB

LAC

25

30

Keontay Ingram

RB

ARI

39

31

Trey McBride

TE

ARI

30

32

Khalil Shakir

WR

BUF

31

33

Makai Polk

WR

BAL

70

34

Greg Dulcich

TE

DEN

40

35

Kyren Williams

RB

LAR

36

36

Danny Gray

WR

SF

34

37

Hassan Haskins

RB

TEN

27

38

Velus Jones Jr

WR

CHI

37

39

Tyler Badie

RB

BAL

42

40

Kyle Philips

WR

TEN

45

41

Pierre Strong

RB

NE

38

42

Tyler Goodson

RB

GB

56

43

Jelani Woods

TE

IND

46

44

Cole Turner

TE

WAS

51

45

Jalen Nailor

WR

MIN

67

46

Bailey Zappe

QB

NE

32

47

Erik Ezukanma

WR

MIA

48

48

Ronnie Rivers

RB

ARI

62

49

Tyrion Davis-Price

RB

SF

41

50

Jerome Ford

RB

CLE

43

51

Jake Ferguson

TE

DAL

52

52

Isaiah Likely

TE

BAL

53

53

Leddie Brown

RB

LAC

57

54

Ty Chandler

RB

MIN

44

55

Charlie Kolar

TE

BAL

79

56

Bo Melton

WR

SEA

72

57

Charleston Rambo

WR

CAR

118

58

Josh Johnson

WR

DET

104

59

Jalen Wydermeyer

TE

BUF

89

60

Jeremy Ruckert

TE

NYJ

68

61

Chigoziem Okonkwo

TE

TEN

64

62

 

Let’s talk about QBs… Pickett moves up 8 picks and is a solid 1st round pick if a bit more towards the backend for where we might usually see a 1st round QB. I popped Ridder, Corral, and Willis up to the top of round 2 because you at least have a chance of them being starters, Ridder only having Mariota in front of him, Corral only having Darnold in front of him, and Willis has Tannehill but a chance starting year 2 to take over in Tennessee. Howell pops up to the late second, and Zappe to the late fourth.

 

It’s a bit of a rough year but there are some intriguing lottery tickets and moon shoots to have some fun. Good luck and we’ll reconvene at the start of camp to see how things have shaken out.