2022 Fantasy Football - 2nd Ranks - Quarterbacks

 No huge changes in my QB ranks from the first set to this set. We’ll touch on a few players where I disagree with ADP. We got a week, or so, to go before we get to the main draft weekends but it’s time to get prepared.

 

Elite Tier (1-3)
Rank	Player	Tm	Att	Pass Yds	Pass TDs	INT	Rush	Rush Yds	Rush TDs	FP	Pos ADP	Diff
QB1	Josh Allen	BUF	641	4963	36	16	112	616	8	460	1	0
QB2	Patrick Mahomes	KC	660	5569	37	9	63	314	4	444	3	-1
QB3	Justin Herbert	LAC	634	4979	40	14	68	310	5	435	2	1

I feel like we’re still slightly down on Mahomes this year after 4839, 37 TDs and 13 Int season.

 

Very Good Tier (4-9)
Rank	Player	Tm	Att	Pass Yds	Pass TDs	INT	Rush	Rush Yds	Rush TDs	FP	Pos ADP	Diff
QB4	Lamar Jackson	BAL	449	3617	25	9	154	922	7	388	4	0
QB5	Dak Prescott	DAL	601	4844	33	11	48	229	4	382	9	-4
QB6	Tom Brady	TB	691	5513	42	14	30	50	1	418	8	-2
QB7	Kyler Murray	ARI	586	4484	29	14	111	631	5	387	5	2
QB8	Aaron Rodgers	GB	545	4568	34	6	34	168	2	372	13	-5
QB9	Jalen Hurts	PHI	520	4217	30	17	142	799	8	411	6	3

No one is more than a half tier off here but I’m still higher on Prescott and Rodgers. Prescott is coming off 4400 and 37, he doesn’t call his number as often as he used to in the redzone but he’s very good. Rodgers lost Adams which is huge and they lean on him slightly less than they used to but he’ll still throw the ball 525 times, throw for 4000 yards and have at least 2 dozen TDs.

 

Very Good with Questions Tier (10-13)
Rank	Player	Tm	Att	Pass Yds	Pass TDs	INT	Rush	Rush Yds	Rush TDs	FP	Pos ADP	Diff
QB10	Joe Burrow	CIN	523	4430	31	15	48	163	3	336	7	3
QB11	Russell Wilson	DEN	542	4373	33	12	99	547	3	392	10	1
QB12	Matthew Stafford	LAR	623	4901	38	20	34	112	1	370	12	0
QB13	Trey Lance	SF	567	5111	32	13	97	430	3	396	11	2

Biggest change here is I moved Lance up into this tier and dropped Fields into the next. The situations are just too opposite not to factor them in a b it more than I was earlier in the off-season.

 

The Schrodinger’s QB Tier (14-22)
Rank	Player	Tm	Att	Pass Yds	Pass TDs	INT	Rush	Rush Yds	Rush TDs	FP	Pos ADP	Diff
QB14	Justin Fields	CHI	522	4038	23	20	117	681	7	344	17	-3
QB15	Derek Carr	LVR	584	4456	31	14	47	137	1	329	14	1
QB16	Kirk Cousins	MIN	582	4897	39	16	29	92	2	388	15	1
QB17	Jameis Winston	NO	602	6424	39	26	80	336	3	447	20	-3
QB18	Ryan Tannehill	TEN	537	4270	31	16	54	267	3	346	23	-5
QB19	Trevor Lawrence	JAX	624	4335	33	12	85	388	4	383	18	1
QB20	Daniel Jones	NYG	593	4372	31	20	100	582	5	378	22	-2
QB21	Mac Jones	NE	575	4470	31	15	42	124	1	322	24	-3
QB22	Matt Ryan	IND	563	4514	29	13	37	111	1	312	19	3

I named this the Schrodinger tier because I think you could make a compelling case for two very different outcomes for each QB in this tier. We talked about Tannehill (the biggest difference) last time but the sheer amount we seem to be discounting a QB with 6 rushing TDs and QB1 finishes the last two seasons seems mildly ridiculous even if relatively understandable.

 

The Lotter Tickets Tier (23-34)
Rank	Player	Tm	Att	Pass Yds	Pass TDs	INT	Rush	Rush Yds	Rush TDs	FP	Pos ADP	Diff
QB23	Tua Tagovailoa	MIA	490	3675	26	14	64	602	5	338	16	7
QB24	Zach Wilson	NYJ	593	4183	33	20	54	344	3	353	27	-3
QB25	Carson Wentz	WAS	524	3782	24	10	56	225	3	290	26	-1
QB26	Deshaun Watson	CLE	178	1527	11	6	40	216	3	146	21	5
QB27	Baker Mayfield	CAR	571	4345	23	14	46	165	1	280	28	-1
QB28	Marcus Mariota	ATL	525	4267	26	15	77	458	5	341	31	-3
QB29	Jared Goff	DET	601	4643	30	15	22	78	1	320	25	4
QB30	Davis Mills	HOU	608	4432	29	18	23	56	1	298	29	1
QB31	Geno Smith	SEA	460	3544	29	27	39	171	2	267	35	-4
QB32	Kenny Pickett	PIT	265	1947	14	8	23	75	1	147	32	0
QB33	Mitchell Trubisky	PIT	402	2958	21	13	32	170	1	227	30	3
QB34	Jacoby Brissett	CLE	315	2704	20	7	34	126	3	224	37	-3

I think one of these players will help you win a championship but I genuinely think the most interesting thing here is that Tua is going as a high end QB2. I was, and am, a big Tua fan and think they’ve done quite well to surround with complimentary talent this year but I don’t understand where we’re seeing 4000+ yards, 30+ TD upside that would be required to get in that QB2 territory.

 

The Backups and Gonna Need Some Help Tier (35-45)
Rank	Player	Tm	Att	Pass Yds	Pass TDs	INT	Rush	Rush Yds	Rush TDs	FP	Pos ADP	Diff
QB35	Drew Lock	SEA	112	864	7	5	11	45	1	71	36	-1
QB36	Desmond Ridder	ATL	72	582	3	2	22	79	1	52	33	3
QB37	Sam Darnold	CAR	31	235	1	1	18	72	1	27	40	-3
QB38	Tyler Huntley	BAL	110	887	6	2	5	30	0	67	40	-2
QB39	Malik Willis	TEN	3	22	0	0	1	5	0	3	38	1
QB40	Gardner Minshew	PHI	55	445	3	1	9	45	0	37	40	0
QB41	Teddy Bridgewater	MIA	49	367	3	2	7	28	0	30	40	1
QB42	Taylor Heinicke	WAS	52	378	2	2	7	39	0	27	40	2
QB43	Cooper Rush	DAL	42	340	2	1	10	4	0	24	40	3
QB44	Jordan Love	GB	41	346	3	4	13	28	0	22	40	4
QB45	Trevor Siemian	CHI	37	284	2	1	5	15	0	19	40	5

Players to keep an eye on, especially the rookies and, for better or worse, Lock.

 

Another deep season at the QB position. There’s an interesting mix of established vets, a good young corps, and a couple classes of guys with something to prove as the old guard is phased out.