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Wednesday, September 7, 2011

Rambling Sports Week 2 CFB Picks

After a pretty solid Week 1 picks it's time to turn our focus to week 2, also wanted to add a little twist and put how I think teams will perform against the spread (ATS), so let's get to it...
Thursday, September 8th, 2011:
Arizona at #9 Oklahoma State, 7:00 pm ESPN, the first of a couple of interesting Big XII-Pac-12 match-ups this week, as the Wildcats meet the Cowboys. I believe this one comes down to both teams ability to stop the passing attack of the other and with the Cowboys having the more explosive and experienced laden offense I think we see them win a shootout... Winner: Oklahoma State, 45-31, ATS:Push (line currently OK State -14)
Friday, September 9th, 2011:
#21 Missouri at Arizona State, 9:30 pm ESPN, the other major Big XII-Pac-12 match-up this weekend pits the favorite in the Pac-12 South versus what is probably the 4th or 5th best team out of the BXII although Missouri is the higher ranked team coming in I think the talent on ASU's defense will help them win this match-up... Winner: Arizona State, 28-20, ATS: ASU -7.5
Saturday, September 10th, 2011:
Oregon State at #8 Wisconsin, 11:00 am ESPN, Oregon State's coming off a loss to FCS Sacramento State in overtime on Saturday and will be looking to make a Statement Saturday afternoon in Madison however teams from out west don't do well in morning games multiple time zones east and the Badgers are dominant in Camp Randall. I think the Badgers walk away with a victory in this one...Winner: Wisconsin, 44-24, ATS: Oregon State +22
Toledo at #15 Ohio State, 11:00 am BTN, Ohio State plays it's second MAC team in as many weeks and this one should be a little more trouble than its last game, however this still shouldn't be much of a challenge for the Buckeyes...Winner: Ohio State, 38-17, ATS: OSU -18
Florida Atlantic at #17 Michigan State, 11:00 am ESPN2, Michigan State was a little sluggish last week against Youngstown State and they may start sluggish again here due to not being as excited about their match-up again this week but it should be a very relaxing day for Spartan fans. Winner: Michigan State, 49-13, ATS: MSU -31.5
#16 Mississippi State at Auburn, 11:21 am SEC Network, if the reigning have any chance in this game they need to play a more balanced game on defense and draw from the home crowd. Dan Mullen, however, has his best team in his tenure in Starksville and should win this one going away to go 1-0 in SEC play this year... Winner: Mississippi State, 38-21, ATS: Miss. State -7 
#3 Alabama at #23 Penn State, 2:30 pm ABC, in the second game of the home and home Penn State hopes for a better fate than last year's 24-3 defeat in Tuscaloosa. The good new for PSU is that they have a stout defense that has many veterans and Alabama's QBs surrendered 4 Int's to a Kent State defense. Alabama has a top 10 defense and will likely pose a threat for whomever gets under center for Penn State, I believe this will be a low scoring affair which favors the home team but I think the talent level is definitely higher than PSU... Winner: Alabama, 16-10, ATS: Penn State +10
#6 Stanford at Duke, 2:30 pm ESPNU, Battle of the Brains always a great showcase for student-athletes will not be exciting for fans of the game. Stanford behind Andrew Luck will roll an improving Blue Devils team led by David Cutcliffe in a relatively easy game... Winner: Stanford, 38-13, ATS: -20.5
#11 Virginia Tech at East Carolina, 2:30 pm, ECU a week off of a neutral site game against the Gamecocks, welcome the Hokies to town. This isn't Skip Holtz's ECU however, and they just don't have the defense to win many games against this high quality of opponent.... Winner: Virginia Tech, 51-20, ATS: Va Tech-19.5
Nevada at #13 Oregon, 2:30 pm FX, Oregon fresh off a bad beat at the hands of the LSU Tigers, come home to face off against the only team to beat Boise State in the last two years, however they are missing a lot of pieces from last years team and don't seem to be as up to snuff as last year... Winner: Oregon, 49-17, ATS: Oregon -26
#25 TCU at Air Force, 2:30 pm Versus, TCU comes off a poor showing against Baylor last week, the defense which returned only 2 starters from last years team seems to be struggling with such a lack of experience. Air Force runs the triple option which is always an interesting prep for a defense and should pose a problem to the Horned Frogs, however, I think they bounce back with an early conference victory this week... Winner: TCU, 35-31, ATS: Air Force +2.5 edit 9/9/11... Winner: Air Force, 31-28, ATS: Air Force -1.5
California at Colorado, 2:30 pm, a non-conference game between conference mates seems like something to hit on plus it gives us an opportunity to mention that Cal looked surprisingly good in it's season opener, something that Tedford's teams have lacked in the past. Look for the Bears to roll the Buffs in this one.... Winner: California, 27-13, ATS: Cal -6
#12 South Carolina at Georgia, 3:30 pm ESPN, a loss hear would be devastating for both Richt and the Georgia program not only would a year full of promise go away in 120 minutes, but Richt's job would go from hot to scalding in near record time. The defending SEC East champs come in after cruising past ECU and will be looking to solidifying their status atop their division along with putting their hat farther into the SEC ring... Winner: Georgia, 24-23, ATS: Georgia +3
Fresno State at #10 Nebraska, 6:00 pm, As Polini stated this week, Fresno has made a habit of playing these early season games very tight and should be a good challenge for the Huskers and their new offense. Nebraska holds the talent edge and home field on their side and should win this game but the 'Dogs should put up a fight... Winner: Nebraska, 34-17, ATS: +27.5
New Mexico at #14 Arkansas, 6:00 pm ESPNU, The Lobos suck, plain and simple... Winner: Arkansas, 52-6, ATS: Arkansas +36
UAB at #18 Florida, 6:00 pm, UAB has some hope that 2010 will bet better than 2011 but it most certainly looks that way for Florida and they do have the far superior talent in this contest... Winner: Florida, 31-3, ATS: UAB +23
Ball State at #22 South Florida, 6:00 pm, fresh off an upset victory over Notre Dame the Bulls should be raring to go for their first home game of the season against a Ball state team coming against it's own victory over Indiana. I think the Bulls take this one behind the leadership of B.J. Daniels but with a little hangover to accompany it... Winner: South Florida, 27-23, ATS: Ball State +20
BYU at #24 Texas, 6:00 pm ESPN2, The Longhorns didn't stay out of the AP top 25 long and welcome the newly independent Cougars to Austin to celebrate. The Longhorns may want to discuss independence and the trials of running ones own network with BYU and the action on the field should be entertaining as the  revamped Longhorn rushing attack goes up against a stout BYU front seven... Winner: Texas, 21-20, ATS: BYU +7
Utah at USC, 6:30 pm Versus, USC welcomes Utah to the Pac-12 at the Coleseum in what should be another great example of what makes college football so compelling. Utah comes in looking to prove that it can run with the "big boys" on a week by week basis and USC wants to prove that it will be back on top the Pac-12 when the post-season ban comes off next year.... Winner: USC, 23-17, ATS: Utah +9
Notre Dame at Michigan, 7:00 pm ESPN, rivalry, first night game at the big house and teams seemingly headed back to their primes. Notre Dame's trek back up the BCS latter took a hit with it's home loss to USF last week and dampens the optimism around Brian Kelly's program. In contrast, the Michigan defense proved that it made strides during the off-season and the offense still looked very explosive...  Winner: Michigan, 27-17, ATS: Michigan +3.5
Boston College at UCF, 7:00 pm, BC is coming off a bad home loss to Northwestern, but they can't dwell on that loss long if they're to have a chance against UCF. What should scare BC fans is that UCF runs the ball even better than Northwestern and has their stud QB healthy... Winner: UCF, 35-21, ATS: UCF -7
There you have it hope you enjoy week 2 of the college football season and I'll be back with a recap Sunday or Monday and some NFL content in the next day or two.

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