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Friday, April 29, 2016

2016 NFL Draft Round 1 Review

Pre-Draft Trades
Trade 1:
LA Gets: 1, 113, & 177 Grade: D
TEN Gets: 15, 43, 45, 76, 2017 1st, & 2017 3rd Grade: A
Trade 2:
PHI Gets: 2 & 2017 4th Grade: D
CLE Gets: 8, 77, 100, 2017 1st, & 2018 2nd Grade: A

1. Los Angeles Rams (From LAR): Jared Goff, QB, California Grade: C
2. Philadelphia Eagles (From CLE): Carson Wentz, QB, North Dakota State Grade: D
Here’s what I’ll say about the first two picks. 1) I like Goff, but I don’t think he’s a start right away and I don’t think he has superstar upside. 2) Wentz was my third rated quarterback and a ways behind Goff. 3) I get why both teams did this. If you think a QB is a franchise guy and you have a chance to trade up for them you should absolutely do it. That will not stop me from saying you made a mistake.

3. San Diego Chargers: Joey Bosa, Edge, Ohio State Grade: B
4. Dallas Cowboys: Ezekiel Elliott, RB, Ohio State Grade: B+
5. Jacksonville Jaguars: Jalen Ramsey, CB, Florida State Grade: A+
Rounding out the top five, the Jaguars got the best player in the draft with the 5th pick and little hassle. Great Pick. Bosa was the surprise early, even with the Tunsil news trickling in. I’m not sure that I like the fit with the defense, but you get one of the best players in the draft and I can’t knock you too much. Dallas got there Buckeye, and behind a line that got Darren McFadden to 1,000 yards and 4.6 yards per rush Elliott could be a nasty weapon for the Cowboys. Overall not lot of muss or fuss in from picks 3-5.

6. Baltimore Ravens: Ronnie Stanley, OT, Notre Dame Grade: B-
7. San Francisco 49ers: DeForest Buckner, Int, Oregon Grade: A

Trade 3:
TEN Gets: 8 & 176 Grade: D+
CLE Gets: 15, 76 & 2017 2nd Grade: A

8. Tennessee Titans (From CLE, From PHI, From MIA): Jack Conklin, OT, Michigan State Grade: C-

Trade 4:
CHI Gets: 9 Grade: C-
TB Gets: 11 & 106 Grade: A

9. Chicago Bears (From TB): Leonard Floyd, Edge, Georgia Grade: C
10. New York Giants: Eli Apple, CB, Ohio State Grade: C
Picks 6-10 saw the intrigue of Tunsil’s fall, two trades and a couple early WTF picks. Stanley wasn’t too surprising considering Baltimore’s track record and the leaking of big board info on Stanley being ahead of Tunsil. Still think it was stupid to pass, but Stanley is worth a first and at least we know the GM has a head on his shoulders. San Fran made no mistake either getting a very good 5-tech in Buckner who should slot into that system very easily. This is where the good decisions started to fade a bit. Conklin is a reach for a late 1st round talent with Tunsil still on the board. I’m not the biggest Conklin fan, but the trade gave up too much, ruined the 1st pick good will and was a pick for a right tackle instead of the best player at the position. Chicago gave up too much to move up to get a player they had clearly locked onto, but again with Tunsil out there and a chance to vastly improve that offensive line, I just don’t quite get it. Eli Apple is a good player, a borderline first rounder and quite a reach here. I’ll stay away from the should have traded down clichés, but with Hargraves III still there I’d have like the higher rated player on my board more.

11. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (From CHI): Vernon Hargraves, CB, Florida Grade: A
12. New Orleans Saints: Sheldon Rankins, Int, Louisville Grade: A
13. Miami Dolphins: Laremy Tunsil, OT, Ole Miss Grade: A+
14. Oakland Raiders: Karl Joseph, S, West Virginia Grade: B+
15. Cleveland Browns (From TEN, From LAR): Corey Coleman, WR, Baylor Grade: B-
Here’s where everything went quiet and teams made reasonable choices. Tampa moved to 11 and got the corner they wanted in Hargraves. New Orleans were the first team to return to what we thought would happen by taking Rankins. Miami got an immensely talent, maybe immature, maybe being black-mailed 21 year old. Oakland surprised us by taking Joseph, but in a way that was wonderful and makes the core of that defense immensely talented and intriguing. And Cleveland after acquiring a boat load of draft capital (2/8/176/2017 4th for 15/76/77/100/2017 1st/2017 2nd/2018 2nd) I mean that’s impressive and a way to rebuild a team that has massive holes. Coleman isn’t bad either. Not my favorite receiver in the draft, but he was still tied for 3rd among my receivers and brings multiple dimensions to that team they were lacking.

16. Detroit Lions: Taylor Decker, OT, Ohio State Grade: C
17. Atlanta Falcons: Keanu Neal, S, Florida Grade: B-
18. Indianapolis Colts: Ryan Kelly, C, Alabama Grade: A
19. Buffalo Bills: Shaq Lawson, Edge, Clemson Grade: A
20. New York Jets: Darron Lee, OBLB, Ohio State Grade: A
Though there were no trades in this five it started with another head scratcher. Decker much like Conklin in that good but at least here they didn’t pass up Conklin for him, didn’t give away draft picks to get him, and didn’t take him in the top ten of the draft. Neal, isn’t a favorite, but Atlanta gets a hard hitting safety to play over the top of some talented young corners and behind what hopefully will shape into a pass rush around Vic Beasley. Ryan Kelly was the best interior lineman in the draft and a wonderful step in the right direction to protecting Andrew Luck. Now for some pass rush help on the other side and Grigson might be learning a thing or two about being a GM. Lawson to the Bills is a great fit and far too low for my second rated Edge defender. Darron Lee is polarizing but I think going at 20, and landing with a very promising young Jets defense he’s going to be able to play to his strengths behind a very good set of hog mollies.

Trade 5:
HOU Gets: 21 Grade: C+
WAS Gets: 22 & 2017 6th Grade: B+

21. Houston Texans (From WAS): Will Fuller, WR, Notre Dame Grade: C-
22. Washington Redskins (From HOU): Josh Doctson, WR, TCU Grade: A
23. Minnesota Vikings: Laquon Treadwell, WR, Ole Miss Grade: A
24. Cincinnati Bengals: William Jackson III, CB, Houston Grade: A
25. Pittsburgh Steelers: Artie Burns, CB, Miami (FL) Grade: C
The trades begin again and this time it’s weird. Houston moves up one spot to grab Fuller to protect against, someone else apparently picking him. Washington picks a pick later gets the best receiver in the draft and a 6th round pick for their troubles. Minnesota leaves with a very nice concellation prize in Treadwell. Can’t argue too much with getting the second best receiver with the fourth receiver off the board. Cincinnati was a bit put out by all of this, but they get William Jackson III, a favorite of mine, at 24 which should set the secondary up nicely for the future. What to say about Pittsburgh and Artie Burns except they certainly knew who they wanted with the 25th pick and they turned that card in quickly.
Trade 6:
DEN Gets: 26 Grade: C
SEA Gets: 31 & 94 Grade: A

26. Denver Broncos (From SEA): Paxton Lynch, QB, Memphis Grade: B-
27. Green Bay Packers: Kenny Clark, NT, UCLA Grade: B+

Trade 7:
SF Gets: 28 Grade: D+
KC Gets: 37, 105, & 178 Grade: A

28. San Francisco 49ers (From KC): Joshua Garnett, OG, Stanford Grade: C+
29. Arizona Cardinals: Robert Nkemdiche, Int, Ole Miss Grade: A
30. Carolina Panthers: Vernon Butler, Int, Louisiana Tech Grade: A
31. Seattle Seahawks (From DEN): Germain Ifedi, OT, Texas A&M Grade: C
The last six picks were interesting if only to see if Myles Jack was going to be taken. He wasn’t. His medicals must be scary. There were two trades. Denver giving up a 3rd to get up for Paxton Lynch. A move I don’t mind, because he fits Kubiak well. A third is a bunch to give up so Seattle made out like banshees. As did KC who moved back but got a lot of draft capital in a deep draft. Green Bay Got Kenny Clark, a favorite of mine and a good fit who was probably taken four DTs too early. San Fran got Josh Garnett a pick I like, but the cost is too damn high. Arizona is going to get a steal in Nkemdiche who should be able to play all three positions and drop into coverage from time to time. And no, I’m not worried about character. The rich get richer with the Panthers picking up Vernon Butler. A player who burst out at the Senior Bowl, who will get a high class education in front four player from his peers in Carolina. Finally, the Seahawks picked Germain Ifedi, a player who looks the part but never lived up to the hype at A&M. I may change my mind tomorrow about Ifedi’s grade, but tonight I’m extremely meh on the pick despite the need at the position.

Thank you for reading. I will have a round 2 & 3 mock up tomorrow hopefully early afternoon, and also a best players available list.

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