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Sunday, August 21, 2016

2016 College Football Season: Damn it Cal-Hawaii: Part 1: The Awakening

Here we are again, Week 1 forthcoming and another season of getting beat at picking games by my unthinking spread sheet. As we start a new year a quick refresher, H & A rating are my power rank of each team, HFA is home field advantage, spread is what my system sees as the difference between the two teams, date & time are straight forward, and the last column is where you can watch the game. I'll keep track of how my system does again this season, and hope some tweaks I've made will make this the most successful season I've had.



Home
Away
H Rating
A Rating
HFA
Spread
Date
Time
Ch
California
Hawaii
13.679
-6.716
0.000
20.395
26-Aug
21:00
ESPN
Central Michigan
Presbyterian
0.216
-22.636
1.385
24.236
1-Sep
18:00
ESPN3
Louisville
Charlotte
17.486
-7.913
3.770
29.169
1-Sep
18:00
ESPN3
Wake Forest
Tulane
3.437
-8.682
2.851
14.970
1-Sep
18:00
ESPN3
Cincinnati
Tennessee-Martin
-2.984
-22.636
3.152
22.804
1-Sep
18:00
ESPN3
Connecticut
Maine
3.276
-22.636
2.457
28.369
1-Sep
18:00
ESPN3
FIU
Indiana
-5.168
7.780
1.744
-11.204
1-Sep
18:30
ESPNU
NC State
William & Mary
6.204
-22.636
4.039
32.879
1-Sep
18:30
-
Tennessee
Appalachian State
26.933
5.418
5.388
26.903
1-Sep
18:30
SECN
Utah
Southern Utah
21.464
-22.636
3.908
48.008
1-Sep
19:00
P12N
Vanderbilt
South Carolina
12.517
-1.278
2.964
16.759
1-Sep
19:00
ESPN
Utah State
Weber State
-6.047
-22.636
2.600
19.189
1-Sep
19:00
-
WKU
Rice
12.930
-5.770
2.336
21.036
1-Sep
19:00
CBSSN
Minnesota
Oregon State
4.947
3.263
3.892
5.576
1-Sep
20:00
BTN
Idaho
Montana State
-9.943
-22.636
2.137
14.830
1-Sep
20:00
ESPN3
New Mexico
South Dakota
1.724
-22.636
1.933
26.293
1-Sep
20:00
-
UNLV
Jackson State
-10.790
-22.636
1.470
13.316
1-Sep
21:00
-
Eastern Michigan
Mississippi Valley St
-13.644
-22.636
0.453
9.445
2-Sep
17:00
ESPN3
Georgia State
Ball State
-2.871
-10.199
1.040
8.369
2-Sep
18:00
ESPN3
Buffalo
Albany
-12.887
-22.636
2.070
11.819
2-Sep
18:00
ESPN3
Temple
Army
7.237
-10.691
2.173
20.102
2-Sep
18:00
CBSSN
Syracuse
Colgate
2.444
-22.636
2.737
27.818
2-Sep
18:00
-
Michigan State
Furman
18.563
-22.636
4.671
45.870
2-Sep
18:00
BTN
Baylor
Northwestern State
9.889
-22.636
3.887
36.411
2-Sep
18:30
-
Colorado
Colorado State
14.036
-9.355
0.000
23.391
2-Sep
19:00
ESPN
Stanford
Kansas State
29.027
-1.030
3.911
33.968
2-Sep
20:00
FS1
Nevada
Cal Poly
0.531
-22.636
2.454
25.621
2-Sep
20:30
-
Boston College
Georgia Tech
0.275
-0.856
0.000
1.132
3-Sep
6:30
ESPN2
Northwestern
Western Michigan
14.990
6.951
2.850
10.888
3-Sep
11:00
ESPNU
Houston
Oklahoma
7.535
20.666
0.000
-13.131
3-Sep
11:00
ABC
Purdue
Eastern Kentucky
1.785
-22.636
2.697
27.118
3-Sep
11:00
ESPNN
Ohio State
Bowling Green
10.888
7.852
5.710
8.746
3-Sep
11:00
BTN
Louisiana
Boise State
-14.342
5.666
2.320
-17.688
3-Sep
11:00
ESPN3
Michigan
Hawaii
22.415
-6.716
5.730
34.862
3-Sep
11:00
ESPN
Mississippi State
South Alabama
19.049
-14.138
4.297
37.484
3-Sep
11:00
SECN
West Virginia
Missouri
6.623
3.299
3.894
7.217
3-Sep
11:00
FS1
Maryland
Howard
-2.097
-22.636
3.388
23.928
3-Sep
11:00
BTN
Navy
Fordham
-2.096
-22.636
3.348
23.888
3-Sep
11:00
CBSSN
Virginia Tech
Liberty
13.230
-22.636
4.108
39.974
3-Sep
11:30
ESPN3
Pittsburgh
Villanova
16.922
-22.636
3.020
42.578
3-Sep
12:30
-
Air Force
Abilene Christian
4.060
-22.636
2.115
28.811
3-Sep
13:00
CAMP
Washington
Rutgers
22.569
1.394
4.090
25.265
3-Sep
13:00
P12N
Ohio
Texas State
-7.439
-27.509
2.701
22.771
3-Sep
14:30
CBSSN
Virginia
Richmond
2.752
-22.636
2.890
28.278
3-Sep
14:30
-
Oklahoma State
SE Louisiana
19.590
-22.636
4.016
46.242
3-Sep
14:30
-
Penn State
Kent State
11.029
-1.850
5.318
18.197
3-Sep
14:30
BTN
Iowa
Miami (OH)
14.919
-10.175
4.210
29.304
3-Sep
14:30
ESPNU
LSU
Wisconsin
30.328
12.947
5.464
22.845
3-Sep
14:30
ABC
Texas A&M
UCLA
15.967
15.856
5.538
5.648
3-Sep
14:30
CBS
Illinois
Murray State
-3.343
-22.636
2.859
22.151
3-Sep
14:30
BTN
Arkansas
Louisiana Tech
20.997
-8.275
4.241
33.512
3-Sep
15:00
SECN
Oregon
UC Davis
19.012
-22.636
4.377
46.025
3-Sep
16:00
P12N
Georgia
North Carolina
21.393
19.604
0.000
1.789
3-Sep
16:30
ESPN
FAU
Southern Illinois
-4.243
-22.636
1.532
19.926
3-Sep
17:00
-
Old Dominion
Hampton
-2.788
-22.636
3.066
22.914
3-Sep
17:00
-
East Carolina
Western Carolina
-6.054
-22.636
3.428
20.009
3-Sep
17:00
ESPN3
Duke
NC Central
3.827
-22.636
2.615
29.078
3-Sep
17:00
-
Miami (FL)
Florida A&M
15.805
-22.636
3.208
41.649
3-Sep
17:00
-
Georgia Southern
Savannah State
1.024
-22.636
2.588
26.248
3-Sep
17:00
ESPN3
Troy
Austin Peay
-12.376
-22.636
1.851
12.111
3-Sep
17:00
ESPN3
Akron
VMI
-16.280
-22.636
1.427
7.783
3-Sep
17:30
ESPN3
Tulsa
San Jose State
-3.790
0.888
1.716
-2.962
3-Sep
18:00
CBSSN
Middle Tennessee
Alabama State
-7.037
-22.636
1.663
17.262
3-Sep
18:00
-
North Texas
SMU
-15.020
-6.072
1.538
-7.410
3-Sep
18:00
-
UCF
South Carolina State
-9.066
-22.636
2.779
16.349
3-Sep
18:00
ESPN3
USF
Towson
6.722
-22.636
1.824
31.181
3-Sep
18:00
ESPN3
Kansas
Rhode Island
-9.868
-22.636
2.282
15.050
3-Sep
18:00
ESPN3
UTSA
Alabama State
-16.928
-22.636
1.569
7.276
3-Sep
18:00
-
Memphis
SE Missouri State
6.586
-22.636
2.571
31.794
3-Sep
18:00
ESPN3
ULM
S. Missouri St
-24.230
-22.636
1.302
-0.292
3-Sep
18:00
ESPN3
Kentucky
Southern Miss
5.297
2.207
4.070
7.160
3-Sep
18:30
ESPNU
Florida
UMASS
19.098
-24.114
5.111
48.323
3-Sep
18:30
SECN
UTEP
New Mexico State
-9.193
-11.913
1.800
4.520
3-Sep
19:00
-
TCU
South Dakota State
14.283
-22.636
3.877
40.796
3-Sep
19:00
-
Texas Tech
Stephen F. Austin
2.196
-22.636
4.028
28.860
3-Sep
19:00
-
Iowa State
Northern Iowa
-2.254
-22.636
3.951
24.333
3-Sep
19:00
-
Nebraska
Fresno State
6.472
-14.233
5.314
26.019
3-Sep
19:00
BTN
Washington State
Eastern Washington
23.192
-22.636
3.138
48.966
3-Sep
19:00
P12N
Alabama
USC
30.369
28.111
0.000
2.258
3-Sep
19:00
ABC
San Diego State
New Hampshire
7.894
-22.636
1.882
32.412
3-Sep
19:30
-
Arkansas State
Toledo
3.622
4.415
2.481
1.689
3-Sep
20:00
ESPNU
Auburn
Clemson
9.272
22.398
5.073
-8.052
3-Sep
20:00
ESPN
Arizona
BYU
13.178
17.126
0.000
-3.948
3-Sep
21:30
FS1
Wyoming
Northern Illinois
-4.048
-0.636
1.932
-1.480
3-Sep
21:30
CBSSN
Arizona State
Northern Arizona
7.497
-22.636
3.534
33.667
3-Sep
21:45
P12N
Texas
Notre Dame
9.279
9.423
5.065
4.921
4-Sep
18:30
ABC
Florida State
Mississippi
21.513
14.482
0.000
7.031
5-Sep
19:00
ESPN

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