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Monday, August 28, 2017

2017 College Football: The Real Week 1

It was a perfect week of picking winners for the system. Yes, it was five games, but it was a nice way to start off the year.

Category
Rights
Wrongs
Right %
All
5
0
100%
FBS
4
0
100%
0-3
1
0
100%
3+ to 7
1
0
100%
7+ to 14
0
0
-
14+ to 21
1
0
100%
21+ to 31
2
0
100%
31+ to 42
0
0
-
42+
0
0
-

A new table for the recaps during the season is a comparison of the difference between my numbers and Vegas’ numbers and the actual results. It might take a couple weeks for this to completely flesh out how my system is doing, but I think it will be fun to track throughout the year.

Category
My Diff
Veg Diff
All
15.327
16.600
FBS
15.255
15.000

Alright, so on to the real week 1. This is the moment we’ve been waiting for… Ohio State-Indiana. In all fairness, we get our usual week 1 fair and we’ll dig a bit deeper into that in the next piece. For now, here’s your road map to the weekend.


It was a perfect week of picking winners for the system. Yes, it was five games, but it was a nice way to start off the year.

Category
Rights
Wrongs
Right %
All
5
0
100%
FBS
4
0
100%
0-3
1
0
100%
3+ to 7
1
0
100%
7+ to 14
0
0
-
14+ to 21
1
0
100%
21+ to 31
2
0
100%
31+ to 42
0
0
-
42+
0
0
-

A new table for the recaps during the season is a comparison of the difference between my numbers and Vegas’ numbers and the actual results. It might take a couple weeks for this to completely flesh out how my system is doing, but I think it will be fun to track throughout the year.

Category
My Diff
Veg Diff
All
15.327
16.600
FBS
15.255
15.000

Alright, so on to the real week 1. This is the moment we’ve been waiting for… Ohio State-Indiana. In all fairness, we get our usual week 1 fair and we’ll dig a bit deeper into that in the next piece. For now, here’s your road map to the weekend.

Home
Away
Home
Rating
Away
Rating
HFA
My
Spread
Date
Time
TV
UCF
FIU
-6.25
-13.79
2.78
10.33
31-Aug
17:00
CBSSN
Wake Forest
Presbyterian
4.58
-22.64
2.79
30.01
31-Aug
17:30
ACCN
Cincinnati
Austin Peay
-9.19
-22.64
3.26
16.71
31-Aug
18:00
ESPN3
Connecticut
Holy Cross
-14.16
-22.64
2.33
10.81
31-Aug
18:00
ESPN3
Minnesota
Buffalo
4.89
-20.99
3.62
29.50
31-Aug
18:00
BTN
Georgia State
Tennessee St.
-12.50
-22.64
1.28
11.41
31-Aug
18:00
ESPN3
Toledo
Elon
-2.01
-22.64
2.40
23.03
31-Aug
18:00
ESPN3
Central Michigan
Rhode Island
-7.88
-22.64
1.55
16.31
31-Aug
18:00
ESPN3
Oklahoma State
Tulsa
11.58
1.70
3.86
13.74
31-Aug
18:30
-
Utah
North Dakota
8.29
-22.64
3.94
34.87
31-Aug
18:30
P12N
Indiana
Ohio State
0.25
21.83
3.22
-18.36
31-Aug
19:00
ESPN
Arkansas
Florida A&M
7.65
-22.64
4.37
34.65
31-Aug
19:00
SECN
Memphis
ULM
5.50
-9.16
2.55
17.21
31-Aug
20:00
CBSSN
Idaho
Sacramento St.
-2.79
-22.64
1.93
21.78
31-Aug
20:00
ESPN3
Arizona State
New Mexico State
9.84
-15.53
3.44
28.81
31-Aug
21:30
P12N
Army
Fordham
1.46
-22.64
2.99
27.09
1-Sep
17:00
CBSSN
Eastern Michigan
Charlotte
1.26
-16.30
1.16
18.72
1-Sep
17:30
ESPN3
Syracuse
Cen. Conn.
5.69
-22.64
2.55
30.88
1-Sep
18:00
ACCN
FAU
Navy
-13.74
2.60
1.09
-15.26
1-Sep
19:00
ESPNU
Colorado
Colorado State
18.28
6.23
0.00
12.05
1-Sep
19:00
P12N
Rutgers
Washington
-5.06
25.26
3.53
-26.79
1-Sep
19:00
FS1
Wisconsin
Utah State
15.57
-11.45
4.77
31.78
1-Sep
20:00
ESPN
Northern Illinois
Boston College
-10.24
1.16
1.20
-10.20
1-Sep
20:30
CBSSN
Louisiana Tech
Northwestern State
-13.01
-22.64
2.06
11.69
2-Sep
18:00
-
North Texas
Lamar
-11.83
-22.64
1.71
12.52
2-Sep
18:00
-
Auburn
Georgia Southern
19.37
-10.85
5.05
35.26
2-Sep
18:30
SECN
Mississippi State
Charleston Sou.
4.55
-22.64
4.17
31.36
2-Sep
15:00
SECN
Missouri
Missouri State
3.55
-22.64
3.69
29.88
2-Sep
11:00
SECN
Baylor
Liberty
-2.91
-22.64
3.90
23.63
2-Sep
18:00
-
Air Force
VMI
-12.81
-22.64
2.15
11.97
2-Sep
13:00
ESPN3
New Mexico
Abilene Christian
-7.51
-22.64
1.74
16.87
2-Sep
TBD
-
Fresno State
Incarnate Word
-18.35
-22.64
2.35
6.63
2-Sep
21:00
-
Hawaii
Western Carolina
-9.65
-22.64
1.71
14.70
2-Sep
22:59
-
San Jose State
Cal Poly
-9.99
-22.64
1.39
14.03
2-Sep
18:30
-
UNLV
Howard
-14.08
-22.64
1.48
10.03
2-Sep
20:00
-
Illinois
Ball State
-7.81
-15.61
2.98
10.78
2-Sep
11:00
BTN
Iowa
Wyoming
7.61
2.81
4.35
9.16
2-Sep
11:00
BTN
Michigan State
Bowling Green
-8.14
-12.50
4.67
9.03
2-Sep
11:00
ESPNU
Penn State
Akron
20.33
-12.73
5.30
38.36
2-Sep
11:00
ABC
Texas
Maryland
-1.39
1.48
5.16
2.29
2-Sep
11:00
FS1
Clemson
Kent State
21.87
-10.20
5.00
37.07
2-Sep
11:00
ESPN
North Carolina
California
9.95
-0.94
3.43
14.32
2-Sep
11:20
ACCN
Miami (FL)
Bethune-Cookman
7.35
-22.64
3.58
33.56
2-Sep
11:30
ACCN
Pittsburgh
Youngstown State
4.29
-22.64
2.99
29.92
2-Sep
12:00
ACCN
Oregon State
Portland State
5.01
-22.64
3.09
30.74
2-Sep
13:00
P12N
South Carolina
NC State
5.76
7.24
0.00
-1.47
2-Sep
14:00
ESPN
Florida
Michigan
8.83
10.92
0.00
-2.09
2-Sep
14:30
ABC
Notre Dame
Temple
-4.22
3.12
4.87
-2.48
2-Sep
14:30
NBC
Oklahoma
UTEP
14.96
-17.62
5.13
37.71
2-Sep
14:30
FOX
Northwestern
Nevada
9.79
-12.52
2.75
25.06
2-Sep
14:30
BTN
Virginia
William & Mary
-9.49
-22.64
2.73
15.88
2-Sep
14:30
ACCN
UAB
Alabama A&M
-22.50
-22.64
1.22
1.36
2-Sep
14:30
-
Boise State
Troy
0.70
3.66
3.22
0.26
2-Sep
14:45
ESPNU
USF
Stony Brook
10.18
-22.64
2.08
34.89
2-Sep
15:00
ESPN3
Texas Tech
Eastern Wash
-6.66
-22.64
4.05
20.02
2-Sep
15:00
-
Southern Miss
Kentucky
-10.62
9.29
2.58
-17.33
2-Sep
15:00
CBSSN
USC
Western Michigan
17.30
9.75
3.97
11.52
2-Sep
16:15
P12N
Duke
NC Central
0.84
-22.64
2.83
26.31
2-Sep
17:00
ACCN
East Carolina
James Madison
-9.85
-22.64
3.43
16.22
2-Sep
17:00
ESPN3
Old Dominion
Albany
-6.23
-22.64
3.08
19.49
2-Sep
17:00
-
Georgia
Appalachian State
13.72
0.29
5.22
18.65
2-Sep
17:15
ESPN
Marshall
Miami (OH)
-13.61
-5.21
2.25
-6.15
2-Sep
17:30
-
UTSA
Houston
-6.20
2.49
1.40
-7.28
2-Sep
18:00
-
WKU
Eastern Kent
2.25
-22.64
2.35
27.24
2-Sep
18:00
-
Coastal Carolina
UMASS
-6.50
-15.02
2.50
11.01
2-Sep
18:00
ESPN3
Kansas
SE Missouri ST
-17.66
-22.64
1.97
6.94
2-Sep
18:00
-
SMU
Stephen F. Austin
0.63
-22.64
2.24
25.51
2-Sep
18:00
ESPN3
Tulane
Grambling
-6.28
-22.64
2.45
18.81
2-Sep
18:00
ESPN3
Louisiana
SE Louisiana
-11.60
-22.64
1.94
12.97
2-Sep
18:00
ESPN3
Texas State
Houston Baptist
-23.23
-22.64
1.84
1.24
2-Sep
18:00
ESPN3
Ohio
Hampton
-8.07
-22.64
2.73
17.29
2-Sep
18:00
ESPN3
Kansas State
Central Arkansas
9.21
-22.64
4.17
36.02
2-Sep
18:10
-
Mississippi
South Alabama
5.03
-6.11
4.37
15.51
2-Sep
18:30
ESPNU
Purdue
Louisville
-8.53
9.86
0.00
-18.39
2-Sep
18:30
FOX
Nebraska
Arkansas State
7.03
-7.59
5.26
19.89
2-Sep
19:00
BTN
Iowa State
Northern Iowa
-3.06
-22.64
3.91
23.48
2-Sep
19:00
-
TCU
Jackson State
7.95
-22.64
3.87
34.45
2-Sep
19:00
-
Alabama
Florida State
30.62
21.70
0.00
8.92
2-Sep
19:00
ABC
Middle Tennessee
Vanderbilt
-5.49
9.72
1.61
-13.60
2-Sep
19:00
CBSSN
Oregon
Southern Utah
9.03
-22.64
4.24
35.91
2-Sep
19:15
P12N
San Diego State
UC Davis
-1.38
-22.64
2.07
23.32
2-Sep
19:30
-
LSU
BYU
10.36
3.01
0.00
7.35
2-Sep
20:30
ESPN
Washington State
Montana State
18.08
-22.64
3.26
43.98
2-Sep
21:30
FS1
Arizona
Northern Arizona
3.99
-22.64
3.57
30.20
2-Sep
22:00
P12N
UCLA
Texas A&M
-2.85
10.96
3.85
-9.95
3-Sep
18:30
FOX
Virginia Tech
West Virginia
10.90
4.22
0.00
6.69
3-Sep
18:30
ABC
Georgia Tech
Tennessee
11.64
12.06
0.00
-0.42
4-Sep
19:00
ESPN

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