First set of rankings of the year
and I’m going to just do positional rankings right now with three months to go
and minicamps just breaking.
Note:
ADP is draft positional overall, Pos. ADP is draft position with a position
group, and Diff. is the difference between my positional rank and the positional
ADP.
Rank
|
Player
|
Team
|
Tier
|
ADP
|
Pos.
ADP
|
Diff
|
1
|
Aaron Rodgers
|
GB
|
1
|
35
|
1
|
0
|
2
|
Russell Wilson
|
SEA
|
1
|
53
|
3
|
-1
|
3
|
Tom Brady
|
NE
|
1
|
54
|
4
|
-1
|
4
|
Drew Brees
|
NO
|
1
|
67
|
6
|
-2
|
5
|
Cam Newton
|
CAR
|
1
|
66
|
5
|
0
|
No
big surprises here. I’m a touch higher on Wilson/Brady/Brees than their
positional ADP right now.
Rank
|
Player
|
Team
|
Tier
|
ADP
|
Pos.
ADP
|
Diff
|
6
|
Kirk Cousins
|
MIN
|
2
|
90
|
8
|
-2
|
7
|
Deshaun Watson
|
HOU
|
2
|
50
|
2
|
5
|
8
|
Jimmy Garoppolo
|
SF
|
2
|
99
|
11
|
-3
|
9
|
Ben Roethlisberger
|
PIT
|
2
|
94
|
9
|
0
|
10
|
Matt Stafford
|
DET
|
2
|
97
|
10
|
0
|
11
|
Carson Wentz
|
PHI
|
2
|
72
|
7
|
4
|
I’m
hedging my bets on Watson. Yes, he was spectacular while on the field last
season, but the odds that he repeats his otherworldly performance from his
rookie season are low. He’ll still be valuable in fantasy, but there are much
more proven options with better lines and surrounding talent. Wentz is the
other QB that I’m relatively low on in this tier. He’s still coming off a late-season
knee injury and if he looks on track for week 1 I’ll probably bump him up a
spot or two.
Rank
|
Player
|
Team
|
Tier
|
ADP
|
Pos.
ADP
|
Diff
|
12
|
Marcus Mariota
|
TEN
|
3
|
134
|
18
|
-6
|
13
|
Matt Ryan
|
ATL
|
3
|
114
|
15
|
-2
|
14
|
Alex Smith
|
WAS
|
3
|
139
|
20
|
-6
|
15
|
Blake Bortles
|
JAC
|
3
|
184
|
26
|
-11
|
16
|
Andrew Luck
|
IND
|
3
|
112
|
14
|
2
|
17
|
Philip Rivers
|
LAC
|
3
|
111
|
13
|
4
|
18
|
Patrick Mahomes II
|
KC
|
3
|
117
|
16
|
2
|
As
we finish off the QB1s and move into QB2 territory we get some serious disagreement
between me and ADP. I’m six spots higher on Mariota and Smith. Smith has a been
a functionable QB for a number of years and last year in KC he showed a willingness
to take risks that we hadn’t seen in a few seasons. He now moves to his third consecutive
situation with a coach who knows how to build an offense. There’s no reason
Gruden and Co. can’t be successful with Smith like they were with Cousins. As
for Mariota, well, I just can’t quit him and if Matt LeFleur is a competent
offensive mind with even baseline creativity Mariota and the offense should be
greatly improved. Lastly, we have the one. The only. BORTLES. Yes, he’s not a
sexy pick, and he’s not a good real life QB, but he provides a baseline and
does enough with his legs that he’s a reasonable option as a QB2 if you want to
roster one and he’s incredibly cheap as QB 26 and currently going in round 15.
Rk
|
Player
|
Tm
|
Tier
|
ADP
|
P.ADP
|
Diff
|
19
|
Dak Prescott
|
DAL
|
4
|
142
|
21
|
-2
|
20
|
Derek Carr
|
OAK
|
4
|
135
|
19
|
1
|
21
|
Eli Manning
|
NYG
|
4
|
159
|
22
|
-1
|
22
|
Jameis Winston
|
TB
|
4
|
118
|
17
|
5
|
23
|
Mitchell Trubisky
|
CHI
|
4
|
171
|
25
|
-2
|
24
|
Jared Goff
|
LAR
|
4
|
107
|
12
|
12
|
25
|
Case Keenum
|
DEN
|
4
|
171
|
24
|
1
|
26
|
Ryan Tannehill
|
MIA
|
4
|
205
|
28
|
-2
|
27
|
Andy Dalton
|
CIN
|
4
|
163
|
23
|
4
|
28
|
Joe Flacco
|
BAL
|
4
|
226
|
30
|
-2
|
This
tier makes me queasy. Prescott is the only one I think is or can be a good real
life QB right now. Trubisky, Goff, Keenum, Winston, Carr, and Manning are
inconsistent year to year, or (for Trubisky/Goff) we don’t quite know what they
are. Tannehill/Dalton/Flacco are veteran options that are relatively secure to
make the whole year but don’t really provide upside to help you out.
QB
is deep again this season with at 18 QBs that I’m excited about, and another
hand full that will produce a productive/useful fantasy option. There’s no
reason not to wait on QB and take advantage of other people taking their starter
and/or back up way too early.
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