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Monday, April 22, 2019

2019 NFL Draft: Positional Ranks: Running Backs


This running back class lacks the studs that previous classes have had but it is deep in a number of unique ways: The best is that there are a bunch of talented different types of players, the worst is that most of them, as I alluded to in my QB column, have a flaw which could keep them from fulfilling their potential in the league.

Name | School (Conference) | Height Weight | My Grade
Adj. Yards per Rush (Rushes) | Adj. Yards per Target (Targets) | 40 time, 10 yard split, 3-cone, Short Shuttle, Vertical Jump, Broad Jump | Production Score

Note: A quick reminder, the grades are on the 20-80 scale stolen from baseball scouting and the grade groups are Starter (S), Expected Starter (ES), Potential Starter (PS), Backup (B), and Undrafted Free Agent (UDFA).

Top 15 (16 with the tie)

Darrell Henderson | Memphis (American) | 5’ 8 3/8” 208 lbs | Grade: 7.0 (ES)
Stats: 10.81 AY/R (214 Att.) | 15.34 AY//T (23 Tar.) | 40: 4.53, 10: 1.42, 3C: 7.03, SS: 4.41, VJ: 33.5 BJ: 121 | 19.98
Josh Jacobs | Alabama (SEC) | 5’ 10” 220 lbs | Grade: 7.0 (ES)
Stats: 7.02 AY/R (120 Att.) | 11.73 AY//T (26 Tar.) | 40: 4.64, 10: 1.60 3C: INJ, SS: INJ, VJ: 35, BJ: 112 | 8.24
Henderson is my favorite guy in the draft. He has home run ability, moves smooth, and has burst for days but he’s undersized and as much as I think mass matters more than pure height or weight the NFL has shown a propensity to not trust smaller backs with big workloads and that hurts his upside. Jacobs is a good player but he doesn’t wow in his stats or his workout numbers but when you put on the tape it’s easy to see why people fell in love with him he runs hard, he’s quick, and Alabama did it’s best to put him in space. Alabama, however, also didn’t use him as a primary back and that worries me as we should all hold Nick Saban in much higher regard than Butch Jones who underutilized Alvin Kamara a few years back. That said I think they’re clearly the best backs in the class and should both be good additions in a backfield.

Alexander Mattison | Boise State (Mountain West) | 5’ 10 5/8” 221 lbs | Grade: 6.6 (ES)
Stats: 5.71 AY/R (302 Att.) | 5.24 AY//T (33 Tar.) | 40: 4.52, 10: 1.61, 3C: 7.13, SS: 4.29, VJ: 35, BJ: 127 | 13.21
Trayveon Williams | Texas A&M (SEC) | 5’ 8 1/8” lbs | Grade: 6.3 (ES)
Stats: 7.72 AY/R (271 Att.) | 7.62 AY//T (39 Tar.) | 40: 4.51, 10: 1.58, 3C: 7.44, SS: 4.44, VJ: 33, BJ: 121 | 16.45
Our next pair of backs are very different. Alexander Mattison from Boise State is solid back with good feet, a bit of speed and good vision he knows when and where to hit the holes but doesn’t have the breakaway speed to always bust runs. He’s powerful and may be able to come close to his college efficiency at the next level. Williams is an exciting player from A&M who seems to sip through opposing defenses, but he does get stalemated too often and needs to use better pad level and add a bit more bulk to be truly fearsome at the next level.

Miles Sanders | Penn State (Big Ten) | 5’ 10 5/8” 211 lbs | Grade: 6.0 (PS)
Stats: 6.54 AY/R (220 Att.) | 4.09 AY//T (34 Tar.) | 40: 4.49, 10: 1.57, 3C: 6.89, SS: 4.19, VJ: 36, BJ: 124 | 10.38
Devin Singletary | Florida Atlantic (Conference USA) | 5’ 7 1/2" 203 lbs | Grade: 5.9 (PS)
Stats: 6.72 AY/R (261 Att.) | 2.4 AY//T (15 Tar.) | 40: 4.66, 10: 1.63, 3C: 7.32, SS: 4.40, VJ: 35, BJ: 117 | 10.80
Damien Harris | Alabama (SEC) | 5’ 10 1/8” 216 lbs | Grade: 5.9 (PS)
Stats: 6.94 AY/R (150 Att.) | 7.29 AY//T (28 Tar.) | 40: 4.57, 10: 1.61, 3C: N/a, SS: N/a, VJ: 37, BJ: 121 | 8.68
Ryquell Armstead | Temple (American) | 5’ 11 1/4" 220 lbs | Grade: 5.8 (PS)
Stats: 6.37 AY/R (210 Att.) | 4.00 AY//T (13 Tar.) | 40: 4.45, 10: 1.57, 3C: 7.02, SS: 4.29, VJ: 30, BJ: 114 | 9.04
Bryce Love | Stanford (Pac-12) | 5’ 8 7/8” 186 lbs | Grade: 5.8 (PS)
Stats: 5.12 AY/R (166 Att.) | 3.81 AY//T (26 Tar.) | 40: INJ, 10: INJ, 3C: INJ, SS: INJ, VJ: INJ, BJ: INJ | 6.39
Darwin Thompson | Utah State (Mountain West) | 5’ 8” 198 lbs | Grade: 5.7 (PS)
Stats: 12.99 AY/R (153 Att.) | 12.16 AY//T (30 Tar.) | 40: 4.55, 10: 1.58, 3C: 6.93, SS: 4.30, VJ: 39, BJ: 126 | 12.16
Justice Hill | Oklahoma State (Big XII) | 5’ 9 5/8” 198 lbs | Grade: 5.7 (PS)
Stats: 6.88 AY/R (157 Att.) | 4.00 AY//T (17 Tar.) | 40: 4.40, 10: 1.56, 3C: N/a, SS: N/a, VJ: 40, BJ: 130 | 7.52
I wasn’t sure how to split up the last 12 players, so I split them in half (almost). Let’s start with Sanders who was overshadowed last season by Saquon Barkley and this year by Saquon Barkley’s shadow. Sanders is a good player who dances a bit too much behind the line and wasn’t as productive as you’d like through the air (maybe a bit on the QB) but he’s athletic as all get out and productive enough to be a solid prospect. After him Devin Singletary has the best vision of any RB in this draft but he’s not a great athlete and at the next level he’s going to find those exploitable mistakes and holes tougher to hit even if he sees them. Damien Harris carries the same grade but is the “safe” back from Alabama. He’s a big back who was super productive behind what was at worst the 3rd best offensive line in college football. For a big back he was more efficient out of the backfield then on the ground. The flaw for Harris is that he’s less dynamic than Jacobs, less efficient than Jacobs, and (unfairly) is following in the footsteps of multiple big backs from the same school and scheme that turned into the proverbial frogs when they looked to be princes. Of the players at 5.8 let’s start with the better-known Bryce Love. Love had a dynamic breakout season two years ago after the departure of Christian McCaffrey however injury has worn some of the luster off Bryce as a prospect. Although he came back from his knee injury this season, he was clearly either uncomfortable or not his former self and wasn’t nearly as productive or explosive. There were flashes but they were few and far between, and recently there have been rumors of concerns surrounding stiffness in the knee that could limit his return to what he had been. Without these concerns he would have challenged for RB1 this year but with all this he gets knocked to mid-pack of my top 16. His counterpart at 5.8 is one of my biggest surprises in my studies. Temple’s Armstead had that wiggle in constricted space that I didn’t see as often as I would have liked in this class. There were guys who flashed here and there but Ryquell Armstead had and utilized it in spades in the games I watched. His balance when making sharper cuts needs to improve and he runs into the back of his linemen a bit too often but ultimately, he represented a type of player I didn’t see too much in this class. Next, I really wanted to put Darwin Thompson so much higher than this but past mistakes on how much teams will utilize smaller players has caused me to be a bit tepid. Thompson was explosive at Utah State. He sets up runs well, he has twitch and had a crazy pro day outside of a fine but unspectacular 40. His production on the field match that with his TD adjusted yards per rush and attempt both north of 12 yards per he was more productive per touch than just about anyone in both phases of the game. His mate at 5.7 is the same weight with a couple extra inches of height. Oklahoma State’s Justice Hill was flashed a bit more in 2017 than 2018 but he still showed the wiggle that should make NFL officials drool. A powerful player he was underutilized at Oklahoma State but has upside and the profile that suggest he will be more useful at the next level.

Benny Snell Jr. | Kentucky (SEC) | 5’ 10 3/8” 224 lbs | Grade: 5.6 (PS)
Stats: 6.03 AY/R (289 Att.) | 4.77 AY//T (22 Tar.) | 40: 4.66, 10: 1.65, 3C: 7.07, SS: 4.33, VJ: 29.5, BJ: 119 | 12.56
Alex Barnes | Kansas State (Big XII) | 6’ 0 3/8” 226 lbs | Grade: 5.6 (PS)
Stats: 6.14 AY/R (256 Att.) | 6.26 AY//T (31 Tar.) | 40: 4.59, 10: 1.57, 3C: 6.95, SS: 4.10, VJ: 38.5, BJ: 126 | 12.22
Rodney Anderson | Oklahoma (Big XII) | 6’ 0 3/8” 224 lbs | Grade: 5.6 (PS)
Stats (2017): 7.45 AY/R (188 Att.) | 17.98 AY//T (27 Tar.) | 40: INJ, 10: INJ, 3C: INJ, SS: INJ, VJ: INJ, BJ: INJ | 14.83
Tony Pollard | Memphis (American) | 5’ 11 5/8” 210 lbs | Grade: 5.5 (PS)
Stats: 8.49 AY/R (78 Att.) | 8.19 AY//T (63 Tar.) | 40: 4.41, 10: 1.53, 3C: 7.00, SS: 4.37, VJ: 36.5, BJ: 125 | 7.07
David Montgomery | Iowa State (Big XII) | 5’ 10 1/8” 222 lbs | Grade: 5.5 (PS)
Stats: 5.66 AY/R (257 Att.) | 6.28 AY//T (25 Tar.) | 40: 4.58, 10: 1.61, 3C: 7.12, SS: 4.23, VJ: 33.5, BJ: 121 | 222
This last group contains some archetypes. Snell and Montgomery are bruisers. Both lack top speeds to wow but both were productive and should be the hammer half of an NFL backfield. Barnes and Pollard on the other hand are taller backs that are comfortable in space. Barnes was the only exciting point of the Kansas State offense and a solid performer. Pollard was stuck behind Henderson at Memphis and had nearly as many targets as rush attempts and was used as a blocker and a decoy more often than as the primary rusher at Memphis. But he was good in his minimal attempts and worked incredibly hard in a thankless job for the Tigers. All in all, not a man I’d bet against. Lastly is my other injured player, Rodney Anderson. Anderson blew out his knee early in the season against UCLA marking the 3rd time in 4 years that he has had a season ending injury and the second straight time he’s had a major knee injury. When healthy in 2017 he was electric and showed in the playoff game against Georgia that he could torch even SEC speed when he got in space. He’s not just speed, however, he’s a big back and packs a wallop when he takes on a defender in between the tackles or in space. Like Love, he’d be a challenger up top without the known concerns but ultimately well-known scenarios need to be acknowledged.

That’s running backs, all have flaws but there is excitement to be found if you look. Below are the rest of the players in my potential starters category as the list all the way through those that qualified production-wise was just too long.

Player
Team
Height
Wt
Tou
AY/R
Prod.
40
SS
3C
Role
Gr
Travis Homer
MiFL
70.375
201
183
6.45
8.80
4.48
4.25
7.07
PS
5.4
James Williams
WSU
69.5
197
205
6.40
9.79
4.58
4.25
7.01
PS
5.4
Myles Gaskin
WASH
69.25
205
280
5.75
10.28
4.56
4.27
7.19
PS
5.4
Dexter Williams
ND
71
212
174
7.69
9.19
4.57
4.16
7.00
PS
5.3
Devine Ozigbo
NEB
71.75
222
178
8.41
9.76
4.54
4.27
6.95
PS
5.3
Qadree Ollison
PITT
72.625
228
205
7.30
9.48
4.58
4.25
7.13
PS
5.3
A.J. Ouellette
OHIO
69.375
208
234
7.17
13.60
4.50
4.09
6.87
PS
5.2
Mike Weber
OSU
69.625
211
193
6.08
7.89
4.47
4.32
7.34
PS
5.2
Kerrith Whyte Jr
FAU
70
197
144
7.56
9.53
4.37
4.37
7.20
PS
5.1
Karan Higdon
MICH
69.125
206
231
6.08
9.05
4.49
x
x
PS
5.1
Wesley Fields
GaSo
69.25
202
210
6.08
15.65
4.64
4.41
7.25
PS
5.0
Nick Brossette
LSU
71.125
209
254
5.40
9.16
4.72
4.44
7.38
PS
5.0
Elijah Holyfield
UGA
70.375
217
164
7.21
7.84
4.78
x
x
PS
5.0
Tevin McCaster
YSU
68.375
194
246
7.79
15.15
4.63
4.01
6.81
PS
4.9
Lexington Thomas
UNLV
68
175
234
5.99
10.31
4.42
4.27
6.95
PS
4.9
Nico Evans
WYO
69.5
199
210
7.25
10.88
4.56
4.38
7.41
PS
4.9
Bruce Anderson
NDSU
71.25
210
136
8.79
10.35
4.58
4.47
7.23
PS
4.9
Jordan Scarlett
UF
70.625
208
141
6.63
6.66
4.47
4.63
7.37
PS
4.8
Darnell Holland
KENN
68.625
199
89
13.93
9.61
4.42
4.38
7.09
PS
4.8
Reggie Gallapsy Jr
NCSU
70.375
230
236
6.24
10.13
4.75
4.50
7.38
PS
4.7
Patrick Laird
CAL
71.5
205
274
4.72
9.86
4.56
4.14
6.90
PS
4.7
Jordan Ellis
UVA
69.5
229
222
5.63
10.16
4.76
4.35
7.16
PS
4.7
Travon McMillian
COLO
71.25
210
215
5.66
9.67
4.50
4.46
7.22
PS
4.7
Jalin Moore
APP
70
212
69
8.10
3.56
INJ
4.39
x
PS
4.6
LJ Scott
MSU
72.375
227
89
3.29
2.96
4.63
4.34
7.27
PS
4.6
Khari Blasingame
VAN
72.125
233
121
5.14
5.58
4.55
4.18
6.94
PS
4.6
Darrin Hall
PITT
71.625
217
168
8.68
8.84
4.52
4.03
6.94
PS
4.6
Damarea Crockett
MIZZ
69.75
225
159
5.70
6.68
4.50
4.32
7.43
PS
4.5
Jeremy Cox
ODU
71.625
223
127
5.29
4.79
4.42
4.19
6.90
PS
4.5
Charlie Volker
PRIN
70.875
213
97
9.61
5.02
4.54
4.13
6.82
PS
4.5
Matt Colburn II
WAKE
67.75
204
169
5.35
6.95
4.47
4.27
6.72
PS
4.5
James Madison
IDSt
70.75
215
209
6.06
9.03
4.72
4.46
7.10
PS
4.5
Tyrone Owens
UNM
68.625
200
193
4.29
7.63
4.59
4.33
7.18
PS
4.4
Steven Peoples
VT
69
220
179
5.79
7.66
4.75
4.51
7.22
PS
4.4
Maleek Irons
OHIO
72
216
132
7.76
7.10
4.59
4.21
7.20
PS
4.4
Warren Wand
ArSt
64.75
181
165
6.23
7.62
4.65
4.57
7.57
PS
4.4
Jamauri Bogan
WMU
66.625
190
172
6.26
8.68
4.73
4.51
7.02
PS
4.3
D.J. Knox
PUR
67.125
211
184
6.56
8.62
4.75
4.46
7.54
PS
4.3
Olamide Zaccheaus
UVA
68.25
188
109
5.19
4.88
4.49
4.19
7.00
PS
4.3
Marcus Outlow
CoCa
70.375
202
144
6.08
5.88
4.53
4.24
7.28
PS
4.3
Trai Sharp
JMU
68.875
203
131
5.33
5.28
4.64
4.38
7.02
PS
4.3
Derrick Gore
ULM
69.125
206
152
5.90
5.77
4.63
4.32
7.14
PS
4.3
Ausitn Walker
RICE
68
202
177
4.79
7.20
-
-
-
PS
4.2
Wes Hills
DEL
74
205
89
9.74
6.90
-
-
-
PS
4.2
Ty Johnson
MARY
70.75
210
72
8.50
3.55
4.40
INJ
INJ
PS
4.2
Jonathan Hilliman
RUT
71.375
216
94
5.39
3.63
4.49
4.26
7.12
PS
4.2
Tony Brooks-James
ORE
68.75
190
60
6.66
3.46
4.49
4.27
7.06
PS
4.2
Kenny Young
MiOH
66.625
177
101
7.47
5.61
4.49
4.40
7.14
PS
4.1
Alonzo Smith
MiOH
69.75
219
151
6.47
6.42
INJ
INJ
INJ
PS
4.1

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