2020 Fantasy Football - First Positional Rankings - Quarterbacks

Welcome to the start of my redraft fantasy season, it’s already June but I’ve been tinkering with podcasting, dynasty rankings, and the existential dread that none of this matters, and we’re all going to die.

That said let’s talk about how I did my first set of rankings. I once again did projections this year and while flawed I used them as a basis for this first set of rankings. The tiers are based on the fantasy points from those projections and then I ordered them within those tiers. Some of the cutoffs are arbitrary because, fuck it, their still my rankings after all. I still do sequential rankings but if players are in a tier, I will almost always have no qualms taking any player in that tier over anyone else.

 

Key for Abbreviations – Interceptions (INT), Fantasy Points (FP), Positional ADP (Pos. ADP), Difference between Pos. ADP & my rank (Diff)

 

Quarterbacks are up first and the first thing you’ll notice is that we’re in an incredibly deep transitional period as we transition from the Brady/Brees/Rivers/Roethlisberger era, into the twilight of the Rodgers led era, and a promising young crop of QBs that allow for almost 30 deep at the position in which you’ll probably see 18 to 24 drafted in redraft leagues.

 

Rank	Player	Team	Pass Yards	Pass TDs	INT	Rush Yards	Rush TDs	FP	Tier	Pos. ADP	Diff
Elite Tier (1-2)
QB1	Patrick Mahomes	KC	4791	36	9	241	2	395	1	1	0
QB2	Lamar Jackson	BAL	3496	30	6	931	6	412	1	2	0
Very Good Tier (3-6)
QB3	Russell Wilson	SEA	4347	32	10	388	2	366	2	6	-3
QB4	Deshaun Watson	HOU	4167	32	13	494	6	388	2	4	0
QB5	Dak Prescott	DAL	4823	30	11	248	6	380	2	3	2
QB6	Kyler Murray	ARI	4105	31	19	547	5	371	2	8	-2
Very Good, but I got Questions Y’all Tier (7-15)
QB7	Carson Wentz	PHI	4772	31	11	227	1	353	3	11	-3
QB8	Aaron Rodgers	GB	4250	34	8	224	2	364	3	12	-5
QB9	Matt Ryan	ATL	4451	32	15	118	2	336	3	7	2
QB10	Josh Allen	BUF	3523	26	18	594	6	330	3	9	1
QB11	Matthew Stafford	DET	4194	32	18	141	2	324	3	13	-2
QB12	Jared Goff	LAR	4724	30	14	59	2	324	3	16	-4
QB13	Daniel Jones	NYG	3762	26	13	406	3	314	3	15	-2
QB14	Ben Roethlisberger	PIT	4461	30	16	84	1	315	3	18	-4
QB15	Tom Brady	TB	5054	31	10	18	1	341	3	8	7
Brady is my first relatively big difference and although I think this year will be productive for him and Tampa, but I also think there’s massive downside in a change of scenery for a 41 year old QB who’s only played in one place.
Man, QB is Deep and One of These Guys Wins Your League Tier (16-29)
QB16	Drew Brees	NO	4068	29	12	20	1	288	4	10	6
QB17	Baker Mayfield	CLE	4078	28	20	124	1	286	4	14	3
QB18	Philip Rivers	IND	4256	32	16	25	0	308	4	23	-5
QB19	Jimmy Garoppolo	SF	4398	28	13	52	1	297	4	20	-1
QB20	Joe Burrow	CIN	4014	28	12	133	2	302	4	17	3
QB21	Gardner Minshew II	JAC	3911	27	8	363	2	323	4	24	-3
QB22	Drew Lock	DEN	4519	28	15	217	2	320	4	22	0
QB23	Sam Darnold	NYJ	3677	24	19	111	2	250	4	28	-5
QB24	Teddy Bridgewater	CAR	4152	27	15	136	1	294	4	25	-1
QB25	Dwayne Haskins	WAS	4331	30	20	240	0	306	4	29	-4
QB26	Jarrett Stidham	NE	4268	29	12	68	1	304	4	34	-8
QB27	Ryan Tannehill	TEN	3630	25	14	262	2	281	4	19	8
QB28	Kirk Cousins	MIN	3813	25	11	86	2	274	4	21	7
QB29	Derek Carr	LVR	4308	24	10	60	1	278	4	26	3
Two players I’m 8 spots different on in opposite directions for mirrored reasons. Stidham takes over a Patriots offense that has consistently thrown the ball more than their record and points differential would suggest they should, Tannehill last year played for a team that ran the ball more than their record and points differential say they should. Stidham is expected to helm an offense that focusses on running the ball and be generally inefficient, Tannehill actually helms that offense but everyone expects him and the offense to be the ungodly efficient machine we saw at the end of the season and in the playoffs. Both are QB3s for me, I know I’m going to be well on my own with regards to Tannehill.
Starters, Their Usurpers, and Taysom Hill Tier (30-36)
QB30	Tyrod Taylor	LAC	2609	16	6	234	2	208	5	30	0
QB31	Mitchell Trubisky	CHI	2470	18	11	234	3	210	5	46	-15
QB32	Ryan Fitzpatrick	MIA	2423	16	13	223	2	187	5	36	-4
QB33	Tua Tagovailoa	MIA	1595	11	2	124	3	145	5	27	6
QB34	Nick Foles	CHI	1041	8	4	47	1	81	5	45	-11
QB35	Justin Herbert	LAC	1754	11	4	91	2	134	5	40	-5
QB36	Taysom Hill	NO	44	0	2	154	1	76	5	47	-11
I’m high on both Trubisky and Foles, I lean towards Trubisky winning the job to start the year and when they finally get fed up week 7 then Foles takes over, and right now with no idea how the competition shakes out I’m happy with where I have them. As far as Hill, no he isn’t the heir apparent to Brees, but he’s a useful asset especially when compared to some of the NFL backups in front of him who won’t put up any points independent an injury.
Keep an Eye for Midseason Shenanigans Tier (37-41)
QB37	Marcus Mariota	LVR	765	4	2	37	0	50	6	48	-11
QB38	Jameis Winston	NO	310	2	2	100	1	36	6	48	-10
QB39	Robert Griffin III	BAL	265	2	1	111	1	34	6	48	-9
QB40	Kyle Allen	WAS	205	1	1	35	1	21	6	48	-8
QB41	Ryan Finley	CIN	379	3	3	32	0	26	6	48	-7