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Sunday, August 22, 2021

2021 Fantasy Football - 2nd PPR Ranks - Wide Receivers

 Wide receiver is deep, and it makes ranking players simultaneously easier and harder. It’s easier because I believe in tiering out players which means that there are relatively large groups of like valued receivers, it’s harder because differentiated between players becomes an even more intense study of minute and superficial differences in talent and opportunity. As noted in previous articles, the FP and stats projections inform my ranks but are not the end all be all and the last three columns are ADP data and comparison to the ranks.

 

Rank

Player

Tm

Tar

Rec

Yds

TD

PPR

FP

Tier

ADP

Pos

ADP

Diff

WR1

Davante Adams

GB

166

1290

11

302

1

6

1

0

WR2

Stefon Diggs

BUF

172

1370

9

313

1

14

3

-1

WR3

Tyreek Hill

KC

145

1317

12

303

1

9

2

1

WR4

DeAndre Hopkins

ARI

170

1296

8

285

2

15

4

0

WR5

Keenan Allen

LAC

174

1339

9

307

2

26

9

-4

WR6

Calvin Ridley

ATL

144

1208

10

276

2

17

5

1

WR7

DK Metcalf

SEA

151

1315

12

296

2

19

6

1

WR8

AJ Brown

TEN

128

1433

10

285

2

24

8

0

WR9

Justin Jefferson

MIN

136

1246

8

266

2

23

7

2

WR10

Allen Robinson

CHI

144

1015

8

234

2

34

12

-2

WR11

Chris Godwin

TB

120

1198

8

251

3

44

17

-6

WR12

Amari Cooper

DAL

129

1122

8

241

3

40

15

-3

WR13

Mike Evans

TB

117

1022

8

213

3

37

13

0

WR14

DJ Moore

CAR

140

1139

6

237

3

51

21

-7

WR15

Terry McLaurin

WAS

141

1118

10

262

3

28

10

5

WR16

CeeDee Lamb

DAL

116

978

6

211

3

33

11

5

WR17

Ja'Marr Chase

CIN

159

1178

9

283

3

64

24

-7

WR18

Tyler Lockett

SEA

148

1275

10

295

3

46

19

-1

WR19

Julio Jones

TEN

120

1176

7

237

3

42

16

3

WR20

Tee Higgins

CIN

143

1075

8

244

3

65

25

-5

WR21

Brandon Aiyuk

SF

107

823

6

183

3

60

23

-2

WR22

Robert Woods

LAR

142

1105

6

236

3

38

14

8

WR23

Courtland Sutton

DEN

114

917

7

196

3

75

31

-8

WR24

Cooper Kupp

LAR

132

1049

8

245

3

45

18

6

WR25

Jerry Jeudy

DEN

109

846

7

177

3

76

32

-7

WR26

Adam Thielen

MIN

119

996

8

231

3

49

20

6

WR27

Chase Claypool

PIT

124

981

8

217

3

67

26

1

WR28

Odell Beckham Jr

CLE

109

870

7

195

3

71

29

-1

WR29

Tyler Boyd

CIN

127

918

6

213

3

83

35

-6

WR30

Brandin Cooks

HOU

134

1183

8

254

3

89

37

-7

WR31

JuJu Smith-Schuster

PIT

111

887

6

202

4

68

27

4

WR32

Jaylen Waddle

MIA

92

799

7

186

4

106

43

-11

WR33

Will Fuller

MIA

101

804

8

192

4

98

41

-8

WR34

Deebo Samuel

SF

97

761

6

182

4

88

36

-2

WR35

Diontae Johnson

PIT

127

941

5

203

4

54

22

13

WR36

Michael Gallup

DAL

100

859

6

177

4

107

44

-8

WR37

Laviska Shenault

JAX

105

744

7

192

4

96

40

-3

WR38

Kenny Golladay

NYG

101

824

7

181

4

70

28

10

WR39

Marquise Brown

BAL

102

798

8

190

4

118

47

-8

WR40

Henry Ruggs

LVR

102

930

6

191

4

121

49

-9

WR41

DJ Chark

JAX

109

753

7

180

4

82

34

7

WR42

Marvin Jones

JAX

102

732

7

178

4

120

48

-6

WR43

Bryan Edwards

LVR

105

972

6

210

4

210

74

-31

WR44

Corey Davis

NYJ

110

804

5

178

4

123

50

-6

WR45

Michael Pittman Jr

IND

97

742

5

168

4

125

52

-7

WR46

DeVonta Smith

PHI

78

671

7

164

4

91

38

8

WR47

Robby Anderson

CAR

109

815

5

174

4

77

33

14

WR48

Mike Williams

LAC

89

745

6

159

4

111

46

2

WR49

Tre'Quan Smith

NO

85

729

8

178

4

170

61

-12

WR50

Gabriel Davis

BUF

94

768

7

172

4

192

67

-17

WR51

Curtis Samuel

WAS

91

637

6

157

4

109

45

6

WR52

Jarvis Landry

CLE

91

669

4

151

4

100

42

10

WR53

Antonio Brown

TB

77

670

5

145

4

93

39

14

WR54

Sterling Shepard

NYG

83

582

5

143

4

201

71

-17

WR55

Nico Collins

HOU

80

800

7

178

5

291

94

-39

WR56

Breshad Perriman

DET

102

796

6

163

5

232

79

-23

WR57

Tyrell Williams

DET

84

693

6

157

5

209

73

-16

WR58

Jamison Crowder

NYJ

90

631

4

148

5

223

78

-20

WR59

Elijah Moore

NYJ

84

637

4

146

5

143

58

1

WR60

Randall Cobb

GB

80

646

4

144

5

172

63

-3

WR61

Emmanuel Sanders

BUF

90

701

6

162

5

176

64

-3

WR62

Sammy Watkins

BAL

93

741

6

163

5

208

72

-10

WR63

Nelson Agholor

NE

85

648

6

152

5

167

60

3

WR64

Cole Beasley

BUF

84

608

5

150

5

136

55

9

WR65

Marquez Callaway

NO

79

618

5

153

5

197

70

-5

WR66

Darnell Mooney

CHI

94

618

5

150

5

129

53

13

WR67

Jakobi Meyers

NE

77

610

4

139

5

211

75

-8

WR68

Mecole Hardman

KC

64

612

6

140

5

124

51

17

WR69

T.Y. Hilton

IND

83

629

5

141

5

140

57

12

WR70

Rashod Bateman

BAL

74

597

5

142

5

171

62

8

WR71

Michael Thomas

NO

63

532

3

121

5

73

30

41

WR72

Parris Campbell

IND

75

548

4

133

5

213

76

-4

WR73

Amon-Ra St. Brown

DET

72

558

4

131

5

196

69

4

WR74

Hunter Renfrow

LVR

71

546

4

129

5

267

88

-14

WR75

Terrace Marshall Jr

CAR

71

569

4

131

5

194

68

7

WR76

DeVante Parker

MIA

64

482

3

104

5

134

54

22

WR77

Jalen Reagor

PHI

67

557

4

118

5

164

59

18

WR78

Russell Gage

ATL

61

434

2

93

5

137

56

22

WR79

Dyami Brown

WAS

56

538

4

117

6

291

94

-15

WR80

KJ Hamler

DEN

72

504

4

112

6

286

93

-13

WR81

Christian Kirk

ARI

62

441

4

107

6

215

77

4

WR82

Preston Williams

MIA

58

414

3

90

6

291

94

-12

WR83

Cornell Powell

KC

48

406

3

95

6

291

94

-11

WR84

Marquez Valdes-Scantling

GB

45

374

4

84

6

250

84

0

WR85

Anthony Miller

HOU

70

549

4

120

6

291

94

-9

WR86

Rondale Moore

ARI

46

338

3

84

6

181

65

21

WR87

Olamide Zaccheaus

ATL

46

395

2

83

6

291

94

-7

WR88

Donovan Peoples-Jones

CLE

52

410

4

101

6

291

94

-6

WR89

Tyron Johnson

LAC

44

392

4

97

6

291

94

-5

WR90

Kadarius Toney

NYG

70

535

4

127

6

261

86

4

WR91

Van Jefferson

LAR

72

519

4

120

6

275

91

0

WR92

Keke Coutee

HOU

67

548

4

126

6

243

82

10

WR93

Byron Pringle

KC

55

502

3

111

6

291

94

-1

WR94

Josh Reynolds

TEN

51

369

3

84

6

271

90

4

WR95

Darius Slayton

NYG

61

455

3

97

6

236

80

15

WR96

Keelan Cole

NYJ

72

525

3

112

6

291

94

2

WR97

AJ Green

ARI

83

596

3

125

6

186

66

31

WR98

Deonte Harris

NO

66

482

3

122

6

291

94

4

WR99

Damiere Byrd

CHI

63

428

2

95

6

291

94

5

WR100

Adam Humphries

WAS

47

337

3

85

6

291

94

6

WR101

Scott Miller

TB

50

444

3

89

6

291

94

7

WR102

Amari Rodgers

GB

35

271

2

63

7

291

94

8

WR103

Demarcus Robinson

KC

32

257

2

58

7

262

87

16

WR104

Tim Patrick

DEN

40

313

2

66

7

291

94

10

WR105

Quintez Cephus

DET

36

292

2

62

7

291

94

11

WR106

Miles Boykin

BAL

27

216

2

50

7

291

94

12

WR107

Desean Jackson

LAR

41

334

3

74

7

269

89

18

WR108

Ihmir Smith-Marsette

MIN

41

333

2

74

7

291

94

14

WR109

Quez Watkins

PHI

29

228

2

50

7

291

94

15

WR110

D'Wayne Eskridge

SEA

46

339

3

84

7

291

94

16

WR111

Travis Fulgham

PHI

44

352

2

71

7

291

94

17

WR112

N'Keal Harry

NE

46

326

3

76

7

291

94

18

WR113

Kendrick Bourne

NE

54

419

3

92

7

291

94

19

WR114

Allen Lazard

GB

48

412

3

92

7

253

85

29

WR115

David Moore

CAR

43

326

3

76

7

291

94

21

WR116

Rashard Higgins

CLE

34

264

2

60

7

291

94

22

WR117

John Brown

LVR

37

319

3

70

7

241

81

36

WR118

Denzel Mims

NYJ

39

283

2

61

7

245

83

35

WR119

Collin Johnson

JAX

62

457

3

100

7

291

94

25

WR120

Simi Fehoko

DAL

16

110

1

28

7

291

94

26

WR121

Lil'Jordan Humphrey

NO

51

410

3

92

7

291

94

27

WR122

Isaiah Hodgins

BUF

31

234

2

59

7

291

94

28

WR123

Zach Pascal

IND

30

223

2

52

7

291

94

29

WR124

Cordarrelle Patterson

ATL

43

296

1

118

7

291

94

30

WR125

Andy Isabella

ARI

31

221

1

47

7

291

94

31

WR126

Chad Beebe

MIN

27

222

2

51

7

291

94

32

WR127

Chris Conley

HOU

34

269

2

59

7

291

94

33

WR128

Josh Palmer

LAC

13

109

1

23

7

277

92

36

 

Top Five Negative Differences (Top 5 Tiers)

1)     Michael Thomas | My Rank (71) | ADP (30) | I’ve probably gone a bit too far, but Thomas was knocked out for most of the season last year with his high ankle sprain and he and Saints have bungled the injury once again by delaying surgery to the point it affects the season. He’s a league winner if he comes back healthy and returns to form.

2)     Russell Gage | My Rank (78) | ADP (56) | Gage is nominally the second receiver in the Atlanta offense but I think outside of Ridley, Pitts, and Davis I’m not sure I believe or want any other non-Ryan parts of this offense.

3)     DeVante Parker | My Rank (76) | ADP (54) | Parker is the odd man out of the reshuffling and retooling. Fuller and Waddle are more talented, Gaskin has a role out of the backfield, which leaves Parker in the muddle of Preston Williams, Mike Gesicki, Adam Shaheen, and Albert Wilson as secondary parts of the Dolphins passing game.

4)     Jalen Reagor | My Rank (77) | ADP (59) | Reagor has post-hype sleeper energy and has looked admittedly more comfortable in camp, but he’ll have to perform outside as the Eagles have Ertz and Goedert at TE and presumably the middle of the field. I was never the biggest fan of Reagor’s but I don’t think he’s devoid of talent, just in a difficult situation that could make opportunities, and redemption, more difficult to come by.

5)     Mecole Hardman | My Rank (68) | ADP (51) | Hardman is in a perpetual state of upside without payoff, he’s much more of a Hill replacement than he is a Watkins replacement. Which means he sees similar usage to the past couple of seasons more than soaking up vacated target share.

 

Top Five Positive Differences (Top 5 Tiers)

1)     Nico Collins | My Rank (55) | ADP (94) | I’m lumping the top three together because they’re the same type of differences. They all are at worst top three, I think top two, options on “meh” offenses with limited competition. Collins is a rookie, on a bad offense but he’s talented and he’s a steal if Watson plays at all for Houston…

2)     Bryan Edwards | My Rank (43) | ADP (74) | Edwards is the possession option in a receiver corps with Ruggs and John Brown. Yes, Darren Waller still exists but there are roughly 600 targets in Vegas and they need hands to catch them occasionally.

3)     Breshad Perriman | My Rank (56) | ADP (79) | Perriman had his best season of his career last year in New York and is battling with Swift, Williams, and rookie Amon-Ra St. Brown for the second most targets behind Hockenson.

4)     Jamison Crowder | My Rank (58) | ADP (78) | The Crowder discount has gone too far. I love Elijah Moore, and the addition of Corey Davis brings added competence on the outside. Will no real TE threat to take targets out of the middle of the field Crowder should still be a viable fantasy option if not the 120+ target threat he’s been the last couple of seasons.

5)     Gabriel Davis | My Rank (50) | ADP (67) | This one is simple, John Brown is gone and despite the addition of Emmanuel Sanders I don’t see how Davis doesn’t meet, and most likely surpass, 60+ targets and 600 yards (last year 62 targets, 599 yards), while being the primary vertical threat for Josh Allen.

6)     Sterling Shepard | My Rank (54) | ADP (71) | Shepard is WR2 for the Giants, should be the primary WR while Golladay is working himself back and see less focus from defenses as the offense evolves this season. Considering he’s currently going 12 picks short of Reagor is so incredibly weird to me.

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