2021 Fantasy Football - 2nd Ranks - Quarterbacks

 I’ve been working on these ranks for the better part of the week and outside of cuts and big news these are the base rankings I will be making subtle adjustments from. We start off with QBs but there will be PPR and standard ranks for each position plus a pair of big boards. I’ve included stats and fantasy points from my projections remember these are single point markers of what I think will happen, but they are guides for my ranks and not absolutes. The last three columns are ADP data from the 18^th of August and for QBs it is the PPR data.

 

Rank	Player	Tm	Att	Pass Yds	Pass TD	Rush	Rush TD	FP	Tier	ADP	Pos ADP	Diff
QB1	Patrick Mahomes II	KC	607	5191	40	64	2	440	1	21	1	0
QB2	Lamar Jackson	BAL	519	4054	34	151	7	454	2	43	4	-2
QB3	Josh Allen	BUF	608	4688	37	107	9	445	2	31	2	1
QB4	Kyler Murray	ARI	605	4325	31	126	8	426	2	41	3	1
QB5	Dak Prescott	DAL	635	4979	36	50	6	415	2	55	5	0
QB6	Russell Wilson	SEA	609	4997	42	99	4	475	3	61	7	-1
QB7	Aaron Rodgers	GB	634	5052	43	41	2	447	3	57	6	1
QB8	Justin Herbert	LAC	617	4830	36	55	5	406	3	63	8	0
QB9	Joe Burrow	CIN	622	4495	32	69	6	380	3	104	13	-4
QB10	Trevor Lawrence	JAX	605	4176	36	64	6	392	3	110	14	-4
QB11	Deshaun Watson	HOU	570	4762	33	90	5	415	3	153	21	-10
QB12	Jalen Hurts	PHI	572	4709	32	106	5	396	4	95	12	0
QB13	Ryan Tannehill	TEN	507	4589	33	45	4	375	4	81	10	3
QB14	Tom Brady	TB	651	5615	40	34	1	416	4	72	9	5
QB15	Tua Tagovailoa	MIA	583	4345	33	66	6	364	4	152	20	-5
QB16	Matt Ryan	ATL	605	4665	36	28	1	357	4	127	15	1
QB17	Daniel Jones	NYG	606	4369	32	80	3	365	4	185	27	-10
QB18	Matthew Stafford	LAR	598	4578	33	25	1	332	4	92	11	7
QB19	Justin Fields	CHI	533	3527	27	52	5	323	5	144	17	2
QB20	Trey Lance	SF	335	2589	18	65	6	258	5	149	19	1
QB21	Sam Darnold	CAR	605	4561	30	54	2	320	5	180	25	-4
QB22	Zach Wilson	NYJ	582	4082	31	71	5	351	5	184	26	-4
QB23	Mac Jones	NE	370	2764	21	25	1	218	5	227	32	-9
QB24	Carson Wentz	IND	441	3286	26	48	2	274	5	187	28	-4
QB25	Ben Roethlisberger	PIT	604	4648	33	28	1	333	6	158	22	3
QB26	Derek Carr	LVR	603	4866	30	42	1	334	6	160	23	3
QB27	Baker Mayfield	CLE	507	3885	30	52	2	306	6	148	18	9
QB28	Kirk Cousins	MIN	537	4485	30	37	3	330	6	139	16	12
QB29	Jared Goff	DET	555	4271	33	48	3	331	6	231	33	-4
QB30	Jameis Winston	NO	586	4680	32	50	2	334	6	205	29	1
QB31	Ryan Fitzpatrick	WAS	547	4002	31	47	3	311	6	166	24	7
QB32	Teddy Bridgewater	DEN	398	3048	23	51	2	243	6	291	40	-8
QB33	Taysom Hill	NO	44	354	2	44	3	65	7	219	30	3
QB34	Cam Newton	NE	185	1382	10	50	4	145	7	222	31	3
QB35	Jimmy Garoppolo	SF	199	1533	11	13	0	109	7	263	35	0
QB36	Drew Lock	DEN	130	996	8	19	1	79	7	249	34	2
QB37	Jacob Eason	IND	97	719	6	20	1	62	7	291	40	-3
QB38	Davis Mills	HOU	84	700	5	6	1	54	7	291	40	-2
QB39	Andy Dalton	CHI	85	560	4	11	0	44	7	291	40	-1
QB40	Taylor Heinicke	WAS	75	549	4	9	0	36	7	291	40	0

 

Top Five Differences

1)     Kirk Cousins | My Rank (28) | ADP (16) | Cousins is a consistent performer with a pair of WR that will perform but Minnesota throws the ball less than almost anyone and he doesn’t have the rushing upside to offset that loss of attempts.

2)     Deshaun Watson | My Rank (11) | ADP (21) | Watson has yet to hit the commissioner’s exempt list, there is still suspension risk, but at this point it’s not enough for me to move him more than a tier.

3)     Daniel Jones | My Rank (17) | ADP (27) | Jones is the opposite of Cousins, he pulls down and runs just enough that if he can be just a bit more consistent in the passing game he’ll be a steal in the QB2/QB3 range.

4)     Mac Jones | My Rank (23) | ADP (32) | This is just a rankings gamble that Jones takes over much earlier than we expected post-draft. Jones has impressed so far this preseason and there is definitely a drum beat from camp about his poise, leadership, and continued improvement.

Baker Mayfield | My Rank (27) | ADP (18) | Much like Cousins Mayfield is hurt by an offense that nearly has a 50/50 split between running and passing. He’s a better real life QB than he will be for fantasy.