Week 4 was rough, but I was still over 60% and I wasn’t horrible
against the spread. I was 8-1 on my spreads over 21 and the results are
starting to smooth into a shape that you’d reasonably assume. Still batting
over 70% for the season, and I’m heading to Vegas for week 5 so it’ll be a good
week no matter what.
Category
|
Right
|
Wrong
|
%
Right
|
Season
Right
|
Season
Wrong
|
Season
%
Right
|
All
|
38
|
21
|
0.644
|
223
|
65
|
0.774
|
FBS
|
33
|
19
|
0.635
|
140
|
54
|
0.722
|
0-3
|
4
|
2
|
0.667
|
10
|
11
|
0.476
|
3+ to 7
|
7
|
9
|
0.438
|
24
|
13
|
0.649
|
7+ to 14
|
9
|
7
|
0.563
|
53
|
20
|
0.726
|
14+ to 21
|
10
|
2
|
0.833
|
46
|
9
|
0.836
|
21+ to 31
|
5
|
1
|
0.833
|
51
|
8
|
0.864
|
31+ to 42
|
1
|
0
|
1.000
|
27
|
2
|
0.931
|
42+
|
2
|
0
|
1.000
|
20
|
2
|
0.909
|
Home
|
Away
|
Home
Rating
|
Away
Rating
|
My
Spread
|
Date
|
Time
|
Channel
|
Houston
|
Connecticut
|
11.031
|
0.162
|
13.496
|
28-Sep
|
19:00
|
ESPN
|
Texas Tech
|
Kansas
|
1.615
|
-14.347
|
19.990
|
28-Sep
|
19:30
|
FS1
|
Washington
|
Stanford
|
24.538
|
32.682
|
-4.055
|
30-Sep
|
20:00
|
ESPN
|
BYU
|
Toledo
|
15.406
|
6.638
|
12.762
|
30-Sep
|
21:15
|
ESPN2
|
Notre Dame
|
Syracuse
|
6.927
|
1.145
|
5.781
|
1-Oct
|
11:00
|
ESPN
|
Arkansas
|
Alcorn State
|
21.098
|
-22.636
|
47.975
|
1-Oct
|
11:00
|
SECN
|
Vanderbilt
|
Florida
|
10.534
|
18.824
|
-5.327
|
1-Oct
|
11:00
|
SECN
|
East Carolina
|
UCF
|
-6.358
|
-6.837
|
3.906
|
1-Oct
|
11:00
|
CBSSN
|
Temple
|
SMU
|
2.107
|
-7.356
|
11.637
|
1-Oct
|
11:00
|
ESPNN
|
Oklahoma State
|
Texas
|
16.706
|
9.397
|
11.325
|
1-Oct
|
11:00
|
ABC
|
Iowa
|
Northwestern
|
13.310
|
8.768
|
8.752
|
1-Oct
|
11:00
|
ESPNU
|
Georgia Tech
|
Miami (FL)
|
1.668
|
18.063
|
-12.704
|
1-Oct
|
11:00
|
ESPN2
|
Appalachian State
|
Georgia State
|
4.895
|
-7.883
|
15.713
|
1-Oct
|
11:00
|
ESPN3
|
Iowa State
|
Baylor
|
-5.767
|
12.460
|
-14.276
|
1-Oct
|
11:00
|
FS1
|
Ohio State
|
Rutgers
|
16.929
|
1.013
|
21.626
|
1-Oct
|
11:00
|
-
|
Duke
|
Virginia
|
2.741
|
-2.300
|
7.656
|
1-Oct
|
11:30
|
ACCN
|
Boston College
|
Buffalo
|
-1.740
|
-16.244
|
17.099
|
1-Oct
|
12:00
|
ACCN
|
Colorado
|
Oregon State
|
15.620
|
0.480
|
18.055
|
1-Oct
|
13:30
|
P12N
|
Miami (OH)
|
Ohio
|
-15.345
|
-8.976
|
-4.517
|
1-Oct
|
13:30
|
ESPN3
|
Bowling Green
|
Eastern Michigan
|
1.207
|
-12.357
|
15.756
|
1-Oct
|
14:00
|
ESPN3
|
Air Force
|
Navy
|
5.327
|
-0.311
|
7.754
|
1-Oct
|
14:30
|
CBSSN
|
Kent State
|
Akron
|
-5.358
|
-14.526
|
10.612
|
1-Oct
|
14:30
|
ESPN3
|
Ball State
|
Northern Illinois
|
-9.971
|
-8.065
|
-1.002
|
1-Oct
|
14:30
|
ESPN3
|
UMASS
|
Tulane
|
-25.579
|
-10.952
|
-13.880
|
1-Oct
|
14:30
|
-
|
Auburn
|
ULM
|
10.506
|
-22.920
|
38.499
|
1-Oct
|
14:30
|
SECN
|
Georgia
|
Tennessee
|
22.594
|
29.800
|
-1.959
|
1-Oct
|
14:30
|
-
|
Florida State
|
North Carolina
|
24.432
|
20.213
|
8.790
|
1-Oct
|
14:30
|
ESPN
|
NC State
|
Wake Forest
|
5.303
|
7.926
|
1.415
|
1-Oct
|
14:30
|
ACCN
|
West Virginia
|
Kansas State
|
8.785
|
-0.093
|
12.772
|
1-Oct
|
14:30
|
ESPNU
|
Michigan
|
Wisconsin
|
25.354
|
18.507
|
12.577
|
1-Oct
|
14:30
|
ABC
|
Penn State
|
Minnesota
|
11.318
|
5.633
|
11.003
|
1-Oct
|
14:30
|
-
|
Nebraska
|
Illinois
|
11.085
|
-5.329
|
21.728
|
1-Oct
|
14:30
|
ESPN2
|
Maryland
|
Purdue
|
-2.126
|
-0.845
|
2.107
|
1-Oct
|
14:30
|
-
|
New Mexico
|
San Jose State
|
-0.996
|
-3.621
|
4.559
|
1-Oct
|
15:00
|
-
|
South Carolina
|
Texas A&M
|
0.277
|
21.637
|
-16.495
|
1-Oct
|
15:00
|
SECN
|
TCU
|
Oklahoma
|
14.523
|
16.501
|
1.900
|
1-Oct
|
16:00
|
FOX
|
Idaho
|
Troy
|
-9.113
|
-8.991
|
2.015
|
1-Oct
|
16:00
|
ESPN3
|
California
|
Utah
|
12.746
|
24.113
|
-8.065
|
1-Oct
|
17:00
|
P12N
|
Charlotte
|
Old Dominion
|
-13.345
|
-4.703
|
-5.955
|
1-Oct
|
17:00
|
-
|
Central Michigan
|
Western Michigan
|
1.788
|
11.216
|
-8.043
|
1-Oct
|
18:00
|
CBSSN
|
FIU
|
FAU
|
-16.445
|
-5.895
|
-8.805
|
1-Oct
|
18:00
|
-
|
Louisiana Tech
|
UTEP
|
-9.988
|
-16.353
|
8.420
|
1-Oct
|
18:00
|
-
|
North Texas
|
Middle Tennessee
|
-16.415
|
-3.919
|
-10.958
|
1-Oct
|
18:00
|
-
|
Southern Miss
|
Rice
|
1.728
|
-13.018
|
17.136
|
1-Oct
|
18:00
|
-
|
Alabama
|
Kentucky
|
36.870
|
3.178
|
39.185
|
1-Oct
|
18:00
|
ESPN
|
Mississippi
|
Memphis
|
15.410
|
7.849
|
11.848
|
1-Oct
|
18:00
|
-
|
Cincinnati
|
USF
|
-1.697
|
9.101
|
-7.646
|
1-Oct
|
18:00
|
ESPNU
|
WKU
|
Houston Baptist
|
11.595
|
-22.636
|
36.567
|
1-Oct
|
18:00
|
-
|
Pittsburgh
|
Marshall
|
15.849
|
-4.630
|
23.499
|
1-Oct
|
18:30
|
ACCN
|
LSU
|
Missouri
|
27.375
|
2.107
|
30.733
|
1-Oct
|
18:30
|
SECN
|
Texas State
|
Incarnate Word
|
-26.165
|
-22.636
|
-1.625
|
1-Oct
|
18:30
|
ESPN3
|
South Alabama
|
San Diego State
|
-14.599
|
9.875
|
-23.155
|
1-Oct
|
19:00
|
ESPNN
|
Clemson
|
Louisville
|
25.033
|
23.523
|
6.661
|
1-Oct
|
19:00
|
ABC
|
Indiana
|
Michigan State
|
7.098
|
18.085
|
-7.723
|
1-Oct
|
19:00
|
BTN
|
New Mexico State
|
Louisiana
|
-15.761
|
-16.350
|
2.049
|
1-Oct
|
19:00
|
ESPN3
|
USC
|
Arizona State
|
25.905
|
7.628
|
22.473
|
1-Oct
|
19:30
|
FOX
|
Washington State
|
Oregon
|
17.674
|
16.665
|
4.147
|
1-Oct
|
20:30
|
P12N
|
Boise State
|
Utah State
|
8.854
|
-6.258
|
18.285
|
1-Oct
|
21:15
|
ESPN2
|
Colorado State
|
Wyoming
|
-10.062
|
-5.390
|
-2.337
|
1-Oct
|
21:15
|
ESPNU
|
UCLA
|
Arizona
|
16.731
|
11.841
|
8.882
|
1-Oct
|
21:30
|
ESPN
|
UNLV
|
Fresno State
|
-13.850
|
-17.436
|
5.056
|
1-Oct
|
21:30
|
CBSSN
|
Hawaii
|
Nevada
|
-7.640
|
-1.634
|
-4.153
|
1-Oct
|
23:00
|
-
|
