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Tuesday, April 24, 2018

2018 NFL Draft: Off Ball Linebackers


Off ball linebackers are a tricky evaluation. You have to balance the measurable (production and athleticism) with the unmeasurable (instincts). Yes, instincts will lead to production, but different schemes often require different things from the same positions. So, let’s rank some linebackers…
P.S. off ball linebackers are all middle linebackers and outside linebackers in 4-3 scheme.

1)     Roquan Smith, Jr, Georgia, 6’ 7/8”, 236 lbs. – Starter (7.7)
Stats – Tackles: 111, TFLs: 14, PD: 2, FF: 1, 40: 4.51, Short Shuttle: INJ, 3-cone: N/a
Roquan is undersized and has a hard time disengaging when contacted in space by offensive linemen. This doesn’t happen all that often because of his rare combination of athleticism and instincts. Smith’s flow to the ball and play recognition can be witnessed in just about every game and in a league where defenders are routinely put in space he’s nearly the perfect off the ball linebacker.

2)     Tremaine Edmunds, Jr, Virginia Tech, 6’ 4 1/2”, 253 lbs. – Starter (7.5)
Stats – Tackles: 84.5, TFLs: 14, PD: 2, FF: 3, 40: 4.54, Short Shuttle: N/a, 3-cone: N/a
Edmunds is a crazy long and athletic player. He flashes some ability to rush the passer along with being strong at the point of attack. He’s not quite as fluid and instinctual as Smith but he’s a damn fine ball player and extremely young.

3)     Leighton Vander Esch, Jr, Boise State, 6’ 4 1/4”, 256 lbs. – Starter (7.3)
Stats – Tackles: 116, TFLs: 8.5, PD: 7, FF: 4, 40: 4.65, Short Shuttle: 4.15, 3-cone: 6.88
4)     Genard Avery, Sr, Memphis, 6’ 1/2”, 248 lbs. – Starter (7.3)
Stats – Tackles: 66, TFLs: 22, PD: 2, FF: 2, 40: 4.59, Short Shuttle: 4.36, 3-cone: 6.90
Vander Esch and Avery both tested extremely well athletically. They’re different linebacker architype, Vander Esch is lanky and explosive, Avery is a bowling ball with knives (not my term, works really well here) slicing into the backfield. Both have a nose for the ball and show off on tape against G5 and P5 opponents.

5)     Shaquem Griffin, Sr, UCF, 6’ 3/8”, 227 lbs. – Starter (7.2)
Stats – Tackles: 59, TFLs: 13.5, PD: 4, FF: 2, 40: 4.38, Short Shuttle: N/a, 3-cone: 6.95
If you don’t know Griffin’s story by now, go read it. I’ll wait… If you haven’t seen Griffin play against Auburn. I’ll wait… Griffin is going to slip in Thursday’s draft. It won’t be because of a lack of instincts, good tape, or athleticism. It’s going to be for a much shittier reason and one he has no control over. Note: I wrote this all coyly and then got all pissed off. Yes, public perception of the GM who took the player with one hand would end up getting his chops busted if the player didn’t pan out, but that really shouldn’t be a concern in a day and age where player college tape is readily accessible at a moment’s notice.

6)     Lorenzo Carter, Sr, Georgia, 6’ 4 7/8”, 250 lbs. – Starter (7.1)
Stats – Tackles: 45.5, TFLs: 7.5, PD: 0, FF: 3, 40: 4.46, Short Shuttle: INJ, 3-cone: INJ
7)     Rashaan Evans, Sr, Alabama, 6’ 1 7/8”, 232 lbs. – Starter (7.1)
Stats – Tackles: 54.5, TFLs: 13, PD: 3, FF: 1, 40: INJ, Short Shuttle: 4.36, 3-cone: 6.95
As we break down these two SEC standouts let’s just marvel at the fact that realistically there are 7 players I wouldn’t bat an eye at being capable of starting at linebacker next year in the NFL. And Burks and Warner after this are damn close. I put Carter at OBLB because I thought that was where he looked more natural at Georgia when asked to play in space, read, and diagnose. Actually, ditto for Evans. Both players were utilized in a variety of roles in college, but both showed a proclivity to make plays in space and effect an offense from multiple spots.

8)     Oren Burks, Sr, Vanderbilt, 6’ 3 1/8”, 233 lbs. – Expected Starter (6.9)
Stats – Tackles: 63.5, TFLs: 7, PD: 4, FF: 0, 40: 4.59, Short Shuttle: 4.15, 3-cone: 6.82
9)     Fred Warner, Sr, BYU, 6’ 3 3/8”, 236 lbs. – Expected Starter (6.8)
Stats – Tackles: 67.5, TFLs: 9, PD: 6, FF: 1, 40: 4.64, Short Shuttle: 4.28, 3-cone: 6.90
Both Burks and Warner are more traditional LBs than Carter or Evans, but both are solid players and athletes who should transition well to the next level.

10)  Malik Jefferson, Jr, Texas, 6’ 2 1/4”, 236 lbs. – Expected Starter (6.6)
Stats – Tackles: 94.5, TFLs: 10, PD: 0, FF: 0, 40: 4.52, Short Shuttle: 4.18, 3-cone: 7.12
Jefferson had an interesting career at Texas. Arriving with much fan fare but struggling with an ever changing environment and team at UT. Jefferson has all the physical tools you’d want from a LB, but there are concerns with how he’ll transition to the quicker game in the pros.

11)  Josey Jewell, Sr, Iowa, 6’ 1 1/8”, 236 lbs. – Expected Starter (6.5)
Stats – Tackles: 101.5, TFLs: 13.5, PD: 3, FF: 1, 40: 4.79, Short Shuttle: 4.27, 3-cone: 6.80
12)  Frank Ginda, Jr, San Jose State, 6’ 0”, 235 lbs. – Expected Starter (6.5)
Stats – Tackles: 133.5, TFLs: 13, PD: 3, FF: 3, 40: 4.72, Short Shuttle: 4.31, 3-cone: 6.97
13)  Leon Jacobs, Sr, Wisconsin, 6’ 1 1/8”, 246 lbs. – Expected Starter (6.5)
Stats – Tackles: 47.5, TFLs: 9.5, PD: 5, FF: 1, 40: 4.48, Short Shuttle: 4.44, 3-cone: 7.14
Jewell, Ginda, and Jacobs all fall under a similar umbrella, they hit baseline measurements for off ball players and they will be good every down backers at the next level. Jacobs was played mostly in an edge role at Wisconsin and isn’t the compiler the other two were, but he’ll be a second level defender at the next level. These guys aren’t as sexy as the top five or six players at the position, but they’re going to be mid-round players that make GMs look smart.

14)  Matthew Thomas, Sr, Florida State, 6’ 2 3/4”, 232 lbs. – Expected Starter (6.4)
Stats – Tackles: 64, TFLs: 10, PD: 3, FF: 0, 40: 4.44, Short Shuttle: 4.28, 3-cone: 6.85
15)  Micah Kiser, Sr, Virginia, 6’ 3/8”, 238 lbs. – Expected Starter (6.3)
Stats – Tackles: 97.5, TFLs: 9.5, PD: 4, FF: 0, 40: 4.66, Short Shuttle: 4.24, 3-cone: 7.05
Thomas and Kiser are two very different prospects. Kiser is the more cerebral of the two players. He’s not a bad athlete but he makes his bones reading and reacting to what an offense does. He’s just a tick behind the Jewell/Ginda/Jacobs group for me. Thomas is the athlete. Flashing 4.4 speed and agility drills to boot, in the right system you make the reads easy and let him flow.

16)  Zaire Franklin, Sr, Syracuse, 6’ 1/8”, 239 lbs. – Expected Starter (6.1)
Stats – Tackles: 63, TFLs: 5.5, PD: 2, FF: 1, 40: 4.62, Short Shuttle: 4.22, 3-cone: 6.97
17)  Quientin Poling, Sr, Ohio, 6’ 3/8”, 235 lbs. – Potential Starter (6.0)
Stats – Tackles: 78, TFLs: 12.5, PD: 4, FF: 3, 40: 4.58, Short Shuttle: 4.22, 3-cone: 6.88
18)  Jerome Baker, Jr, Ohio State, 6’ 1 1/8”, 229 lbs. – Potential Starter (6.0)
Stats – Tackles: 57, TFLs: 8, PD: 3, FF: 1, 40: 4.53, Short Shuttle: 4.15, 3-cone: 6.93
19)  Trevon Young, Sr, Louisville, 6’ 3 7/8”, 258 lbs. – Potential Starter (5.9)
Stats – Tackles: 49.5, TFLs: 12, PD: 5, FF: 0, 40: 4.78, Short Shuttle: 4.40, 3-cone: 6.99
20)  D’Juan Hines, Sr, Houston, 6’ 1”, 233 lbs. – Potential Starter (5.9)
Stats – Tackles: 83.5, TFLs: 6.5, PD: 2, FF: 3, 40: 4.65, Short Shuttle: 4.31, 3-cone: 6.87

I know it’s hard to tell, but I really like this linebacker class. There’s all-pro talent at the top and long-time starters for days as you work your way down. There are at least a dozen guys if not more that DCs will be glad to get there hands on in camp this spring and fall.

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