This new set of rankings certainly has been interesting to write about and look at from a me and them perspective as well as trying hard not to focus too much on players I know I rambled about last time (I fail at this multiple times). This new set of ranks is based around my newest set of projections (new projection here) which saw some changes due to camp news, injuries, and COVID but also, mostly, by how I imagine the season will play out and how teams will play.
I’ll
spoil this because the only thing you’re going to take away from all this is… I
have Goedert and Ertz in the top 5, and I have Cook at 28. There you go, now
you won’t have to read too much about TEs.
Column
Key – Player (Duh), Rank (My Positional Rank), Team (Duh,
again), FP (Fantasy Points), Pos ADP (Positional ADP), Diff (Difference between
Rank and Pos ADP), 1st Rank (My First Rank), Diff (Difference between
this rank and my 1st rank), 1st Pos ADP (First Positional
ADP), and Diff (Difference between Pos ADP and 1st Pos ADP)
|
Player |
Ranks |
Team |
FP |
Pos ADP |
Diff |
1st Rank |
Diff |
1st Pos ADP |
Diff |
|
The Elite Tier (1-2) |
|||||||||
|
Travis Kelce |
1 |
KC |
254 |
1 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
|
George Kittle |
2 |
SF |
228 |
2 |
0 |
2 |
0 |
2 |
0 |
|
No changes, no questions, no
problems, let’s move on. |
|||||||||
|
The Very Good Tier (3-4) |
|||||||||
|
Mark Andrews |
3 |
BAL |
247 |
3 |
0 |
3 |
0 |
3 |
0 |
|
Darren Waller |
4 |
LVR |
234 |
5 |
-1 |
4 |
0 |
5 |
0 |
|
No changes for me, Waller is a year
out from a drop due to the Raiders having a professional receiving corps for
the first time in a few years but this year I think his production is generally
safe. |
|||||||||
|
The Also Very Good Tier, Just Slightly
Less (5-7) |
|||||||||
|
Hunter Henry |
5 |
LAC |
188 |
8 |
-3 |
7 |
-2 |
7 |
1 |
|
Dallas Goedert |
6 |
PHI |
181 |
16 |
-10 |
5 |
1 |
16 |
0 |
|
Zach Ertz |
7 |
PHI |
172 |
4 |
3 |
6 |
1 |
4 |
0 |
|
No huge changes or differences
except the big one. Last year the two Philly TEs combined for 222 targets, my
projections have them combining for 207 targets, and bridging the target gap
between them, making them both 100+ target tight ends and I think relatively
reasonable shouts for a pair of top 10 TEs without too much griping about
receivers or running back targets. Also I made this a larger tier with Andrews
and Waller, I maybe shouldn’t have because |
|||||||||
|
The Very Good w/ Questions Tier (8-10) |
|||||||||
|
Evan Engram |
8 |
NYG |
138 |
6 |
2 |
8 |
0 |
6 |
0 |
|
Tyler Higbee |
9 |
LAR |
146 |
7 |
2 |
12 |
-3 |
8 |
-1 |
|
Noah Fant |
10 |
DEN |
134 |
12 |
-2 |
11 |
-1 |
13 |
-1 |
|
Two southeasterners and a Hawkeye enter
a tier diametrically opposed, foes… I’m sorry that’s Hamilton. All three guys
are 2 spots off ADP, I could care less but I like doing rankings so that’s
interesting. Also moved Higbee up a few spots from last rank. |
|||||||||
|
The Good Tier (11-19) |
|||||||||
|
Austin Hooper |
11 |
CLE |
134 |
13 |
-2 |
9 |
2 |
12 |
1 |
|
Chris Herndon |
12 |
NYJ |
128 |
21 |
-9 |
13 |
-1 |
25 |
-4 |
|
Rob Gronkowski |
13 |
TB |
130 |
9 |
4 |
10 |
3 |
9 |
0 |
|
TJ Hockenson |
14 |
DET |
122 |
14 |
0 |
17 |
-3 |
15 |
-1 |
|
Hayden Hurst |
15 |
ATL |
127 |
10 |
5 |
15 |
0 |
11 |
-1 |
|
Blake Jarwin |
16 |
DAL |
125 |
20 |
-4 |
16 |
0 |
19 |
1 |
|
Ian Thomas |
17 |
CAR |
122 |
22 |
-5 |
14 |
3 |
24 |
-2 |
|
Mike Gesicki |
18 |
MIA |
107 |
15 |
3 |
19 |
-1 |
14 |
1 |
|
Dawson Knox |
19 |
BUF |
104 |
38 |
-19 |
18 |
1 |
26 |
12 |
|
Why do we hate Chris Herndon after
we all loved him heading into last season despite the suspension? I know he
was hurt last season but the only competition for targets is Crowder and, I
guess, Perriman. There are a bunch of questionable situations at TE, but Herndon
seems to be relatively clean and a low end TE2 seems far too pessimistic. I
love Dawson Knox, despite hating everything about his situation and how it
changed this offseason. Honestly, you could talk me into ranking him anywhere
from 18 to 26 and I’d still be a full TE tier high on him. In fact, I dropped
him a spot from last rank and ADP dropped him 12 on no news or change in
situation. So… Yeah!?! |
|||||||||
|
The They Could Be Heroes Tier
(20-26) |
|||||||||
|
Jonnu Smith |
20 |
TEN |
113 |
17 |
3 |
21 |
-1 |
17 |
0 |
|
Jace Sternberger |
21 |
GB |
117 |
31 |
-10 |
23 |
-2 |
29 |
2 |
|
Irv Smith Jr |
22 |
MIN |
100 |
23 |
-1 |
20 |
2 |
22 |
1 |
|
Darren Fells |
23 |
HOU |
112 |
38 |
-15 |
22 |
1 |
42 |
-4 |
|
Jack Doyle |
24 |
IND |
97 |
18 |
6 |
24 |
0 |
18 |
0 |
|
Jordan Thomas |
25 |
HOU |
104 |
38 |
-13 |
34 |
-9 |
42 |
-4 |
|
Drew Sample |
26 |
CIN |
103 |
38 |
-12 |
31 |
-5 |
42 |
-4 |
|
A quartet of players I’m higher on
which means there’s some shouting from many of you coming. Or not we’re well
into the TE2s so who cares? Even, with TD regression Darren Fells on a
similar amount of targets, a small adjustment up of his yards per target towards
his career average and you get another very useful season from Fells. Ditto
for Thomas, a split there is less useful in Houston versus in Philly, but
both should be useful backup options. Sample is the nominal starter in
Cincinnati, but I think you could make a case that he’s the 6th or
7th best option in Cincinnati. |
|||||||||
|
The TE Streaming Tier (27-37) |
|||||||||
|
Greg Olsen |
27 |
SEA |
85 |
26 |
1 |
26 |
1 |
20 |
6 |
|
Jared Cook |
28 |
NO |
95 |
11 |
17 |
33 |
-5 |
10 |
1 |
|
Vance McDonald |
29 |
PIT |
106 |
34 |
-5 |
29 |
0 |
42 |
-8 |
|
Gerald Everett |
30 |
LAR |
94 |
38 |
-8 |
27 |
3 |
35 |
3 |
|
Will Dissly |
31 |
SEA |
90 |
36 |
-5 |
25 |
6 |
36 |
0 |
|
Eric Ebron |
32 |
PIT |
79 |
19 |
13 |
35 |
-3 |
21 |
-2 |
|
O.J. Howard |
33 |
TB |
72 |
27 |
6 |
30 |
3 |
33 |
-6 |
|
Kyle Rudolph |
34 |
MIN |
85 |
32 |
2 |
28 |
6 |
32 |
0 |
|
Tyler Eifert |
35 |
JAX |
69 |
38 |
-3 |
37 |
-2 |
42 |
-4 |
|
Devin Asiasi |
36 |
NE |
67 |
30 |
6 |
45 |
-9 |
42 |
-12 |
|
Trey Burton |
37 |
IND |
66 |
38 |
-1 |
32 |
5 |
101 |
-63 |
|
I really don’t like Jared Cook, and
that’s after I moved him up five spots in the rankings. And as I look and try to defend myself. I
don’t have a good reason, I expect his TD rate and yards per target to come
down, but he should see more targets, but also a 32-year-old who just had a
career year in touchdowns, makes me nervous when there are better options up
top. Long story, short… I’m probably wrong. |
|||||||||
|
The Lottery Ticket Tier (38-62) |
|||||||||
|
Maxx Williams |
38 |
ARI |
52 |
38 |
0 |
36 |
2 |
101 |
-63 |
|
Mo Alie-Cox |
39 |
IND |
45 |
38 |
1 |
44 |
-5 |
42 |
-4 |
|
David Njoku |
40 |
CLE |
27 |
38 |
2 |
53 |
-13 |
31 |
7 |
|
Cole Kmet |
41 |
CHI |
27 |
25 |
16 |
57 |
-16 |
23 |
2 |
|
Anthony Firkser |
42 |
TEN |
64 |
38 |
4 |
46 |
-4 |
42 |
-4 |
|
CJ Uzomah |
43 |
CIN |
48 |
38 |
5 |
51 |
-8 |
42 |
-4 |
|
Jesse James |
44 |
DET |
33 |
38 |
6 |
41 |
3 |
42 |
-4 |
|
Foster Moreau |
45 |
LVR |
26 |
38 |
7 |
55 |
-10 |
42 |
-4 |
|
Jason Witten |
46 |
LVR |
64 |
29 |
17 |
39 |
7 |
42 |
-13 |
|
Nick Boyle |
47 |
BAL |
59 |
38 |
9 |
42 |
5 |
42 |
-4 |
|
Jeremy Sprinkle |
48 |
WAS |
59 |
38 |
10 |
38 |
10 |
101 |
-63 |
|
Jimmy Graham |
49 |
CHI |
58 |
28 |
21 |
43 |
6 |
28 |
0 |
|
Nick Vannett |
50 |
DEN |
35 |
38 |
12 |
157 |
-107 |
42 |
-4 |
|
Marcedes Lewis |
51 |
GB |
28 |
38 |
13 |
40 |
11 |
101 |
-63 |
|
Kaden Smith |
52 |
NYG |
54 |
38 |
14 |
48 |
4 |
42 |
-4 |
|
Cameron Brate |
53 |
TB |
29 |
38 |
15 |
54 |
-1 |
42 |
-4 |
|
Dalton Keene |
54 |
NE |
48 |
38 |
16 |
69 |
-15 |
42 |
-4 |
|
Isaac Nauta |
55 |
DET |
30 |
38 |
17 |
56 |
-1 |
42 |
-4 |
|
Robert Tonyan Jr |
56 |
GB |
27 |
38 |
18 |
62 |
-6 |
101 |
-63 |
|
Levine Toilolo |
57 |
NYG |
24 |
38 |
19 |
68 |
-11 |
42 |
-4 |
|
Tyler Kroft |
58 |
BUF |
24 |
38 |
20 |
58 |
0 |
42 |
-4 |
|
Josh Hill |
59 |
NO |
25 |
38 |
21 |
64 |
-5 |
42 |
-4 |
|
James O'Shaughnessy |
60 |
JAX |
29 |
38 |
22 |
94 |
-34 |
42 |
-4 |
|
Chris Manhertz |
61 |
CAR |
42 |
38 |
23 |
65 |
-4 |
42 |
-4 |
|
Charles Scarff |
62 |
BAL |
58 |
38 |
24 |
49 |
13 |
42 |
-4 |
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