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Monday, September 24, 2018

2018 College Football: Week 5 Top 25

Well here we are the start of week five.

You can find my 1-130 rankings here and my prediction accounting here.

Rank
Team
Rating
Last
Week
Rank
Last
Week
Rating
Rank
Diff.
Rating
Diff.

1
Alabama
33.054
1
32.195
0
0.859

2
Georgia
29.517
3
27.815
1
1.701

3
Clemson
28.287
2
28.639
-1
-0.353

4
Oklahoma
27.130
4
27.561
0
-0.431

5
Ohio State
25.890
5
27.022
0
-1.132

6
Notre Dame
25.861
7
24.295
1
1.566

7
Penn State
24.724
8
22.865
1
1.859

8
Stanford
24.461
6
25.289
-2
-0.827

9
Michigan State
24.215
9
22.451
0
1.764

10
Michigan
20.722
11
21.063
1
-0.341

11
UCF
19.818
16
17.541
5
2.276

12
Wisconsin
19.522
13
20.029
1
-0.507

13
Washington
18.964
12
21.044
-1
-2.079

14
North Texas
18.416
30
11.750
16
6.666

15
Boise State
17.738
18
16.580
3
1.157

16
Auburn
17.530
14
19.721
-2
-2.192

17
LSU
17.287
19
15.726
2
1.561

18
Mississippi State
16.674
10
21.761
-8
-5.088

19
NC State
16.034
29
11.838
10
4.196

20
South Carolina
15.787
32
11.570
12
4.216

21
Miami (FL)
15.704
17
17.262
-4
-1.558

22
Kentucky
15.493
31
11.734
9
3.759

23
Duke
14.959
21
14.749
-2
0.210

24
USC
12.581
20
15.691
-4
-3.109

25
Boston College
12.109
15
17.670
-10
-5.561

Dropped from the Top 25 This Week
30
Texas A&M
9.869
24
13.595
-6
-3.725

31
TCU
9.860
22
13.917
-9
-4.057

32
Washington State
9.566
25
12.716
-7
-3.150

42
Oklahoma State
7.710
23
13.884
-19
-6.174


We got a bunch of movement this week outside of the top 10. Both UCF and North Texas too big steps up with a further reduction of the influence of pre-season rankings, being undefeated, and the inclusion of opponent adjusted points/yards per play data. On the other end of the spectrum the trio of Miss State, BC, and Oklahoma State took tumbles after getting pasted this week by Kenucky (a riser in its own right), Purdue, and Texas Tech respectively. USC is almost out of the top 25 with another 3-point drop in the power rank despite a win over Wazzou. As far as those dropping out of the top 25, A&M has dropped two games to top-3 teams, with the latest being a 22-point drubbing at the hands of a never-ceasing tide. TCU dropped it’s second straight, and Wazzou lost at USC on Thursday to round-out those who dropped out this week.