We’re a week out from the draft and as always, I’m “behind”, although if it’s always I’m right on schedule. We start where we do every year and where everything revolves around in the football world… Quarterback. It’s an interesting class of flawed yet interesting prospects, with no-one quite fitting neatly in a prototypical box.
Player
| Team (Conference) | Height, Weight | Attempts | Adjusted Yards per Attempt |
Completion % | Production | Role (Grade)
Explainer
– Player, Team, Height, Weigth, Attempts, Completion % exactly what you’d
think. Conference will be the conference for FBS teams and FCS/DII/DIII/NAIA
outside of that. Adjusted Yards per Attempt (AY/A) is yards per attempt
but each TD adds 19.3 yards and each interception subtracts 45 yards. It allows
us to make adjustments to the typical stats and get a fuller picture than yards
per attempt provides. Production is just my attempt at creating one
number that generally sums up a player’s production on the field. It is
incredibly flawed but I’ve never found a single statistic that accurately sums
up quarterback play… it’s a starting point and by no means the end all be all. Role
& Grade go hand in hand, and there are 5 roles:
Starter
(S) - 8.0 – 7.1 – Someone who I think has the ability
to make an impact early, or who I think has the ability to be a long-term
starter.
Expected
Starter (ES) – 7.0 – 6.1 – Someone I expect to be a starter
and long-term option but who has some concerns.
Potential
Starter (PS) – 6 – 4.1 – Flawed prospect, and where most fall,
varied levels of, oof that could sink his career.
Backup
(B) – 4 – 3.1 – Potential to make the fringes of a
roster, or at least expanded squads, much work to do
UDFA
(UDFA) – 3 – 2.1 – The bottom level both in athleticism
and production.
Top
10 (11) Quarterbacks
Bryce
Young | Alabama (SEC) | 5’10 1/8”, 204 lbs | 380 Attt |
9.79 AY/A | 64.47% | 5.475 | ES (6.7)
C.J.
Stroud | Ohio State (BXII) | 6’3”, 214 lbs | 389 Attt | 10.82
AY/A | 66.32% | 5.950 | ES (6.5)
Young
and Stroud lead the class for me. The most obvious differences is in build, an
obvious concern for Young, roughly five inches in difference Young will have
issues around visibility in the pocket but he did well dealing with pressure in
the pocket on a slightly underwhelming Bama offense. Stroud moves alright, he’s
not an athletic freak but he showed against Georgia he can scoot when he needs
to. What sets Young apart for me is his ability to anticipate routes, play
outside of structure, and make tight window throws off platform. Stroud has the
better pure arm, and showed some flashes with his legs and creativity, but his
lack dynamism is a slight concern.
Anthony
Richardson | Florida (SEC) | 6’4 1/4", 244 lbs
| 327 Attt | 7.56 AY/A | 53.82% | 3.327 | ES (6.2)
Will
Levis | Kentucky (SEC) | 6’3 7/8”, 229 lbs | 283 Attt | 8.21
AY/A | 65.37% | 3.734 | PS (5.8)
Richardson
and Levis will be inextricably linked, by conference, by body type, by Josh
Allen. Both are varying degrees of project. Levis for my money is Daniel Jones,
he’s got all the physical tools was productive in college but flawed and just
lacking the upside, that extra little something. Richardson tested better than
any QB in combine history and that’s exciting but there were two things that
separated him from Levis… his ability to avoid sacks for a mobile/athletic QB
is kind of insane and will help keep the offense on track, and also he read the
field well. He needs to work on consistent footwork so he can drive the ball
and sail it high less often but all in all he’s less raw in the little things
than I expected.
Jake
Haener | Fresno State (MWC) | 5’11 5/8”, 207 lbs | 350 Attt
| 8.99 AY/A | 72.00% | 5.273 | PS (5.7)
Hendon
Hooker | Tennessee (SEC) | 6’3 1/4”, 217 lbs | 329 Attt | 10.84
AY/A | 69.60% | 7.603 | PS (5.6)
I’m
gonna compare-contrast with these two, both come from unique passing offenses,
both are older players (2017) recruiting class, Haener played in a more timing-based
intermediate passing attack, while Hooker pushed the ball downfield in the
Briles inspired Vols offense. Hooker has the better arm, and is more athletic,
but I just thought Haener’s grasp and control of the game was fantastic for
Fresno State. Hooker’s offense is less a problem for him than it is for the WRs
that come out of it.
Malik
Cunningham | Louisville (ACC) | 5’11 3/4", 200
lbs | 218 Attt | 6.87 AY/A | 62.39% | 3.465 | PS (5.4)
Jaren
Hall | BYU (IND) | 6’0 1/8”, 207 lbs | 376 Attt | 9.31 AY/A
| 65.96% | 5.153 | PS (5.3)
Stetson
Bennett | Georgia (SEC) | 5’11 3/8”, 192 lbs | 454 Attt | 9.54
AY/A | 68.28% | 5.360 | PS (5.2)
Max
Duggan | TCU (BXII) | 6’1 1/2", 207 lbs | 419 Attt |
9.44 AY/A | 63.72% | 4.821 | PS (5.1)
Clayton
Tune | Houston (AAC) | 6’2 1/2", 220 lbs | 496 Attt
| 8.86 AY/A | 67.34% | 4.888 | PS (5.1)
Cunningham,
small,
can scoot, good arm. Hall, solid player, interesting offense, slightly
bigger than small. Bennett, didn’t know he was this light considering
the Young concerns, and winner. Duggan, baller, reckless, more football
player than pure QB. Tune, solid QB, solid arm, on the bigger side for
the calss.
The
Rest
|
Player |
Tm |
Conf |
Ht |
Wt |
ATT |
AY/A |
Cmp% |
Prod |
Role |
Gr |
|
Lindsey Scott |
InWo |
FCS |
70.25 |
207 |
454 |
12.08 |
70.93% |
5.542 |
PS |
5.0 |
|
Chase Brice |
APP |
SBC |
74.375 |
236 |
346 |
9.17 |
63.29% |
4.654 |
PS |
5.0 |
|
Adrian Martinez |
KSU |
BXII |
73.875 |
221 |
184 |
7.24 |
64.13% |
4.448 |
PS |
4.9 |
|
Tommy DeVito |
ILL |
B1G |
73 |
210 |
369 |
7.48 |
69.65% |
4.177 |
PS |
4.9 |
|
Todd Centeio |
JMU |
SBC |
70.5 |
226 |
284 |
10.40 |
63.73% |
5.460 |
PS |
4.8 |
|
Sean Clifford |
PSU |
B1G |
74 |
218 |
351 |
8.46 |
64.39% |
4.344 |
PS |
4.7 |
|
Aidan O'Connell |
PUR |
B1G |
75.375 |
210 |
499 |
6.67 |
64.13% |
2.959 |
PS |
4.7 |
|
Dorian Thompson-Robinson |
UCLA |
PAC |
73.625 |
203 |
382 |
8.48 |
69.63% |
4.820 |
PS |
4.6 |
|
N'Kosi Perry |
FAU |
CUSA |
74.5 |
199 |
371 |
8.00 |
57.95% |
3.975 |
PS |
4.5 |
|
Tanner Morgan |
MINN |
B1G |
72.375 |
204 |
160 |
8.32 |
66.88% |
4.169 |
PS |
4.5 |
|
Tim DeMorat |
FORD |
FCS |
75.5 |
219 |
499 |
11.07 |
65.33% |
4.333 |
PS |
4.3 |
|
Holton Ahlers |
ECU |
AAC |
75.125 |
227 |
469 |
8.58 |
67.16% |
4.958 |
PS |
4.2 |
|
Fred Payton |
MERC |
FCS |
72.625 |
210 |
325 |
10.08 |
66.46% |
3.917 |
PS |
4.1 |
|
Tanner McKee |
STAN |
PAC |
78.25 |
231 |
426 |
6.66 |
61.97% |
2.891 |
B |
4.0 |
|
James Blackman |
ArSt |
SBC |
77.25 |
189 |
347 |
7.51 |
64.27% |
3.819 |
B |
4.0 |
|
Austin Aune |
NT |
CUSA |
74 |
215 |
411 |
8.54 |
56.45% |
3.533 |
B |
3.8 |
|
Chris Reynolds |
CHAR |
CUSA |
70.375 |
197 |
316 |
7.82 |
63.61% |
3.519 |
B |
3.8 |
|
Parker McNeil |
LT |
CUSA |
76.75 |
224 |
214 |
8.86 |
57.48% |
3.476 |
B |
3.7 |
|
Taylor Powell |
EMU |
MAC |
72.125 |
202 |
269 |
7.66 |
64.68% |
3.453 |
B |
3.7 |
|
Chase Cunningham |
MTSU |
CUSA |
70.625 |
188 |
463 |
6.72 |
66.74% |
3.375 |
B |
3.6 |
|
Matt McDonald |
BGSU |
MAC |
74 |
211 |
378 |
7.07 |
61.11% |
3.209 |
B |
3.5 |
|
Kyle Vantrease |
GaSo |
SBC |
74.125 |
218 |
604 |
6.71 |
61.42% |
3.105 |
B |
3.4 |
|
Nolan Henderson |
DELA |
FCS |
71.5 |
202 |
442 |
7.76 |
64.48% |
2.985 |
B |
3.3 |
|
Kory Curtis |
GANN |
DII |
76 |
235 |
340 |
9.47 |
62.65% |
2.483 |
UDFA |
2.9 |
|
Connor Degenhardt |
NeHa |
DII |
77.25 |
227 |
287 |
9.01 |
58.54% |
2.207 |
UDFA |
2.6 |
|
Nate Cox |
NEV |
MWC |
81.25 |
225 |
251 |
5.32 |
52.99% |
2.206 |
UDFA |
2.6 |
|
Larry Harrington |
LANG |
NAIA |
72.75 |
209 |
270 |
10.06 |
52.96% |
2.117 |
UDFA |
2.6 |
|
Dion Golatt Jr |
BOWIE |
DII |
75 |
225 |
337 |
7.82 |
61.42% |
1.814 |
UDFA |
2.3 |
|
Carlton Aiken |
PACE |
DIII |
73 |
220 |
252 |
7.37 |
54.37% |
1.677 |
UDFA |
2.2 |
|
Chris Brimm |
NDOH |
DII |
71 |
210 |
323 |
7.14 |
57.59% |
1.578 |
UDFA |
2.1 |
No comments:
Post a Comment