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Wednesday, September 27, 2017

2017 College Footbal: Oh, Wow this Week is Pretty Alright

It was a bit of a weird week overall as we saw more conference games than we have, as well as the end of, the majority of, FCS season. Respectable scores across the board, as the system hit 50% or higher in all areas. A good week in the 7+-14 range would be wonderful and bring up the hit rate for all categories above 50%.

Category
Rights
Wrongs
Right
%
Season
Right
Season
Wrong
Season
Right %
All
41
18
69%
224
62
78%
FBS
39
17
70%
144
53
73%
0-3
6
6
50%
18
17
51%
3+ to 7
3
3
50%
11
14
44%
7+ to 14
14
7
67%
59
18
77%
14+ to 21
9
2
82%
48
11
81%
21+ to 31
5
0
100%
48
2
96%
31+ to 42
4
0
100%
32
0
100%
42+
0
0
-
8
0
100%

A better week as well on the difference front. Was under the two-touchdown mark on FBS vs FBS games, and that’s a very nice mark to overcome.

My Diff
(All)
My Diff
(FBS)
Veg Diff
(All)
Veg Diff
(FBS)
Gms (FBS)
Week 1
15.327
15.255
16.600
15.000
5 (4)
Week 2
14.513
11.569
14.39
11.275
86 (40)
Week 3
15.355
16.079
16.317
12.652
71 (46)
Week4
17.112
16.126
15.538
14.784
65 (51)
Week 5
14.151
13.48
12.754
12.402
59 (56)
Season
15.252
14.420
14.830
12.901
286 (197)

On to Week 5, where intrigue awaits. Alright, it’s college football so intrigue is always lurking, but there are some very interesting games afoot this week. Duke-Miami should tell us more about, well, like, what both of these teams are. Wazzu is involved in a game with a multitude of playoff implications against USC. The winner of Wisconsin-Northwestern will have one foot in Indy. And on the subject of angry nerds, Vandy looks for redemption in Florida, and that usually means someone is going die or end up with a coke habit. And that’s all before we even get to the afternoon slate. The afternoon brings us the Tennessee-Georgia the Wisconsin-Northwestern of the SEC. Wake-FSU is good and god is that weird. Tulsa-Navy is air raid vs triple option, while Michigan State-Iowa is your drunk uncle versus not peing on the floor. The night slate gives us a pair of interesting if kind of stupid games (A&M-South Cackalacka, UCLA-UC), A pair of really good games (TTU-OKSt, VT-Clem), and whatever the fuck Oregon-Cal and Alabama-Ole Miss are going to be. Plus, we get late, late Hawaii action for the first time with a quick turnaround to a London NFL game Sunday morning. Hurray mid-season form.

I started that paragraph thinking it was a bummer week, but unlike my obnoxious title last week this week will indeed clear a few things up. And, because it’s college football, immediately make us look stupid for thinking we found truth in the results. Enjoy, drink responsibly, don’t forget to eat and have a great weekend of football.


Home
Away
Home
Rating
Away
Rating
HFA
My
Spread
Date
Time
TV
Iowa State
Texas
-2.365
-1.673
3.906
3.214
9/28
19:00
ESPN
Duke
Miami (FL)
3.596
6.433
2.828
-0.009
9/29
18:00
ESPN
Illinois
Nebraska
-5.854
4.793
2.981
-7.666
9/29
19:00
FS1
Utah State
BYU
-9.113
1.454
2.594
-7.973
9/29
19:00
CBSSN
Washington State
USC
15.857
16.904
3.263
2.216
9/29
21:30
ESPN
Minnesota
Maryland
6.443
0.385
3.616
9.674
9/30
11:00
FS1
Wisconsin
Northwestern
14.487
7.497
4.769
11.759
9/30
11:00
ABC
Arkansas
New Mexico State
5.272
-12.674
4.367
22.313
9/30
11:00
SECN
Florida
Vanderbilt
8.873
9.886
5.073
4.060
9/30
11:00
ESPN
Georgia Tech
North Carolina
9.901
6.968
3.580
6.513
9/30
11:00
ESPN2
Pittsburgh
Rice
2.925
-16.103
2.988
22.016
9/30
11:00
ACCN
East Carolina
USF
-10.966
9.501
3.426
-17.041
9/30
11:00
CBSSN
Temple
Houston
1.435
2.083
1.920
1.272
9/30
11:00
ESPNU
NC State
Syracuse
7.198
3.698
4.126
7.625
9/30
11:20
ACCN
Boston College
Central Michigan
-1.187
-8.121
2.579
9.513
9/30
12:00
ACCN
Penn State
Indiana
18.570
-0.417
5.299
24.286
9/30
14:30
BTN
Tennessee
Georgia
10.493
13.083
5.408
2.819
9/30
14:30
CBS
Kansas State
Baylor
7.232
-5.633
4.174
17.040
9/30
14:30
ESPN2
Wake Forest
Florida State
6.025
16.846
2.790
-8.031
9/30
14:30
ABC
Louisville
Murray State
10.093
-22.636
3.895
36.624
9/30
14:30
ACCN
UMASS
Ohio
-14.573
-6.317
0.698
-7.557
9/30
14:30
-
Tulsa
Navy
-0.178
2.903
1.663
-1.418
9/30
14:30
ESPNU
Kent State
Buffalo
-9.386
-17.408
1.159
9.181
9/30
14:30
ESPN3
Army
UTEP
0.629
-18.661
2.992
22.282
9/30
14:30
CBSSN
Stanford
Arizona State
6.636
6.996
3.641
3.281
9/30
15:00
P12N
Michigan State
Iowa
-6.747
7.592
4.673
-9.666
9/30
15:00
FOX
Kentucky
Eastern Michigan
8.855
0.427
3.757
12.186
9/30
15:00
SECN
SMU
Connecticut
0.888
-13.502
2.239
16.628
9/30
15:00
ESPNN
Wyoming
Texas State
1.559
-21.208
2.100
24.867
9/30
15:00
-
Notre Dame
Miami (OH)
-0.567
-5.467
4.866
9.766
9/30
16:00
NBCSN
Auburn
Mississippi State
17.240
5.117
5.045
17.169
9/30
17:00
ESPN
Bowling Green
Akron
-13.565
-12.068
1.997
0.501
9/30
17:00
ESPN3
LSU
Troy
9.557
2.728
5.458
12.287
9/30
18:00
ESPNU
Louisiana Tech
South Alabama
-11.692
-6.626
2.064
-3.003
9/30
18:00
ESPN3
Cincinnati
Marshall
-7.263
-10.590
3.263
6.590
9/30
18:00
ESPN3
Southern Miss
North Texas
-8.372
-10.307
2.585
4.520
9/30
18:00
-
UCF
Memphis
-3.283
4.995
2.783
-5.496
9/30
18:00
ESPN2
Western Michigan
Ball State
7.373
-13.534
2.193
23.099
9/30
18:00
ESPN3
ULM
Coastal Carolina
-8.776
-8.994
1.166
1.384
9/30
18:00
ESPN3
FIU
Charlotte
-11.902
-17.788
2.142
8.027
9/30
18:00
-
FAU
Middle Tennessee
-12.904
-4.023
1.086
-7.794
9/30
18:00
-
New Mexico
Air Force
-7.107
-10.374
1.744
5.010
9/30
18:00
CBSSN
Rutgers
Ohio State
-5.155
19.425
3.529
-21.052
9/30
18:30
BTN
Texas A&M
South Carolina
9.518
6.676
5.461
8.303
9/30
18:30
SECN
Oregon State
Washington
2.816
23.581
3.092
-17.674
9/30
19:00
P12N
Texas Tech
Oklahoma State
-3.681
12.562
4.045
-12.198
9/30
19:00
FOX
Virginia Tech
Clemson
10.618
21.541
4.141
-6.782
9/30
19:00
ABC
Alabama
Mississippi
29.500
3.962
5.472
31.010
9/30
20:00
ESPN
Fresno State
Nevada
-14.692
-12.943
2.347
0.598
9/30
21:00
-
UCLA
Colorado
-1.872
15.695
3.850
-13.717
9/30
21:30
ESPN2
Oregon
California
9.387
1.186
4.240
12.442
9/30
21:30
FS1
UNLV
San Jose State
-12.598
-11.631
1.481
0.514
9/30
21:30
ESPNU
San Diego State
Northern Illinois
1.322
-7.798
2.066
11.186
9/30
21:30
CBSSN
Hawaii
Colorado State
-8.883
5.093
1.711
-12.266
9/30
22:59
-

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