Let's start with a look back to how my system performed in week 1.
Category
|
Right
|
Wrong
|
Right %
|
Season
Right
|
Season
Wrong
|
Season
Right%
|
All
|
76
|
10
|
88%
|
81
|
10
|
89%
|
FBS
|
34
|
6
|
85%
|
38
|
6
|
86%
|
0-3
|
5
|
3
|
63%
|
6
|
3
|
67%
|
3+ to 7
|
3
|
1
|
75%
|
4
|
1
|
80%
|
7+ to 14
|
17
|
3
|
85%
|
17
|
3
|
85%
|
14+ to 21
|
19
|
2
|
90%
|
20
|
2
|
91%
|
21+ to 31
|
18
|
1
|
95%
|
20
|
1
|
95%
|
31+ to 42
|
13
|
0
|
100%
|
13
|
0
|
100%
|
42+
|
1
|
0
|
100%
|
1
|
0
|
100%
|
A really good week
for the system and a great overall start. First off, a much better start to the
season for close games (0-3) than last year, and every other range is above 75%
so far. Now week two features a number of more even match-ups, but a good start
is a good start.
Category
|
My
Diff
|
Vegas
Diff
|
My Seas.
Diff
|
Vegas Sea.
Diff
|
All
|
14.513
|
14.390
|
14.558
|
14.571
|
FBS
|
11.569
|
11.275
|
11.904
|
11.739
|
As for my
differential compared to the Vegas line. Vegas has been a bit better through
week 1.5 and to be honest I’m not too upset about that. I’m within half a point
per game of Vegas, and if that were to continue through the year I’d be very
happy.
So we move to Week 2
with the pall of another potentially devastating hurricane bearing down on the
country again. Some games have shifted, moved, or been cancelled and I’m sure I
speak for everyone reading that our thoughts are with all affected. Moving on
from that we’re into week 2 and that means a mix of rivalry games and marquee
non-con matchups.
Home
|
Away
|
Home
Rating
|
Away
Rating
|
HFA
|
My
Spread
|
Date
|
Time
|
TV
|
Utah State
|
Idaho State
|
-11.564
|
-22.636
|
2.594
|
13.666
|
9/7
|
19:00
|
-
|
UCF
|
Memphis
|
-6.086
|
5.741
|
2.783
|
-9.045
|
9/8
|
17:30
|
ESPNN
|
South Alabama
|
Oklahoma State
|
-6.497
|
12.384
|
1.224
|
-17.657
|
9/8
|
19:00
|
ESPN2
|
Purdue
|
Ohio
|
-8.751
|
-8.074
|
2.460
|
1.783
|
9/8
|
19:00
|
FS1
|
Florida
|
N. Colorado
|
8.615
|
-22.636
|
5.073
|
36.324
|
9/9
|
11:00
|
SECN
|
Kentucky
|
Eastern Kent
|
9.659
|
-22.636
|
3.757
|
36.052
|
9/9
|
11:00
|
SECN
|
Mississippi
|
UT Martin
|
5.464
|
-22.636
|
4.371
|
32.471
|
9/9
|
11:00
|
SECN
|
North Carolina
|
Louisville
|
9.061
|
10.223
|
3.432
|
2.271
|
9/9
|
11:00
|
ESPN
|
Wisconsin
|
FAU
|
15.855
|
-14.793
|
4.769
|
35.416
|
9/9
|
11:00
|
BTN
|
Connecticut
|
USF
|
-14.158
|
10.177
|
2.329
|
-22.006
|
9/9
|
11:00
|
ESPNN
|
Iowa State
|
Iowa
|
-3.062
|
8.293
|
3.906
|
-7.449
|
9/9
|
11:00
|
ESPN2
|
Kansas State
|
Charlotte
|
9.213
|
-16.817
|
4.174
|
30.205
|
9/9
|
11:00
|
-
|
Duke
|
Northwestern
|
0.845
|
9.938
|
2.828
|
-6.265
|
9/9
|
11:00
|
ESPNU
|
West Virginia
|
East Carolina
|
4.035
|
-12.161
|
3.994
|
20.190
|
9/9
|
11:00
|
FS2
|
Army
|
Buffalo
|
1.461
|
-21.315
|
2.992
|
25.768
|
9/9
|
11:00
|
CBSSN
|
Maryland
|
Towson
|
2.337
|
-22.636
|
3.180
|
28.154
|
9/9
|
11:00
|
BTN
|
Michigan
|
Cincinnati
|
12.152
|
-9.192
|
5.719
|
27.064
|
9/9
|
11:00
|
ABC
|
Florida State
|
ULM
|
21.700
|
-9.453
|
4.605
|
35.758
|
9/9
|
11:00
|
ACCN
|
Georgia Tech
|
Jacksonville State
|
11.526
|
-22.636
|
3.580
|
37.742
|
9/9
|
11:30
|
ACCN
|
Boston College
|
Wake Forest
|
1.502
|
4.584
|
2.579
|
-0.502
|
9/9
|
12:00
|
ACCN
|
Colorado
|
Texas State
|
19.360
|
-23.232
|
3.224
|
45.816
|
9/9
|
13:00
|
P12N
|
Ball State
|
UAB
|
-16.157
|
-22.500
|
0.680
|
7.023
|
9/9
|
14:00
|
ESPN3
|
Colorado State
|
Abilene Christian
|
6.151
|
-22.636
|
2.577
|
31.364
|
9/9
|
14:30
|
-
|
UMASS
|
Old Dominion
|
-15.642
|
-6.226
|
0.698
|
-8.717
|
9/9
|
14:30
|
-
|
Navy
|
Tulane
|
2.882
|
-6.281
|
3.239
|
12.403
|
9/9
|
14:30
|
CBSSN
|
Temple
|
Villanova
|
2.274
|
-22.636
|
1.920
|
26.830
|
9/9
|
14:30
|
ESPN3
|
Appalachian State
|
Savannah State
|
0.178
|
-22.636
|
3.238
|
26.052
|
9/9
|
14:30
|
ESPN3
|
Miami (OH)
|
Ausitn Peay
|
-5.945
|
-22.636
|
1.956
|
18.647
|
9/9
|
14:30
|
ESPN3
|
Northern Illinois
|
Eastern Illinois
|
-11.012
|
-22.636
|
1.205
|
12.829
|
9/9
|
14:30
|
ESPN3
|
Kent State
|
Howard
|
-10.221
|
-22.636
|
1.159
|
13.574
|
9/9
|
14:30
|
ESPN3
|
Virginia
|
Indiana
|
-9.493
|
0.187
|
2.733
|
-6.946
|
9/9
|
14:30
|
ACCN
|
Syracuse
|
Middle Tennessee
|
5.691
|
-5.972
|
2.554
|
14.217
|
9/9
|
14:30
|
ACCN
|
Virginia Tech
|
Delaware
|
11.726
|
-22.636
|
4.141
|
38.503
|
9/9
|
14:30
|
ACCN
|
Michigan State
|
Western Michigan
|
-7.924
|
9.676
|
4.673
|
-12.926
|
9/9
|
14:30
|
BTN
|
Penn State
|
Pittsburgh
|
20.548
|
4.294
|
5.299
|
21.553
|
9/9
|
14:30
|
ABC
|
Rutgers
|
Eastern Michigan
|
-5.081
|
1.329
|
3.529
|
-2.881
|
9/9
|
14:30
|
BTN
|
Texas
|
San Jose State
|
-2.260
|
-9.995
|
5.157
|
12.892
|
9/9
|
14:30
|
LHN
|
Alabama
|
Fresno State
|
32.211
|
-18.351
|
5.472
|
56.033
|
9/9
|
14:30
|
ESPN2
|
Arkansas
|
TCU
|
7.652
|
7.945
|
4.367
|
4.074
|
9/9
|
14:30
|
CBS
|
Tennessee
|
Indiana State
|
13.067
|
-22.636
|
5.408
|
41.111
|
9/9
|
15:00
|
SECN
|
Vanderbilt
|
Alabama A&M
|
10.641
|
-22.636
|
2.821
|
36.098
|
9/9
|
15:00
|
SECN
|
Wyoming
|
Gardner-Webb
|
2.488
|
-22.636
|
2.100
|
27.224
|
9/9
|
15:00
|
-
|
Kansas
|
Central Michigan
|
-17.663
|
-7.880
|
1.971
|
-7.812
|
9/9
|
15:00
|
-
|
Tulsa
|
Louisiana
|
1.527
|
-11.599
|
1.663
|
14.788
|
9/9
|
15:00
|
ESPN3
|
Oregon
|
Nebraska
|
9.030
|
7.311
|
4.240
|
5.959
|
9/9
|
15:30
|
FOX
|
UCLA
|
Hawaii
|
-2.188
|
-9.651
|
3.850
|
11.313
|
9/9
|
16:00
|
P12N
|
California
|
Weber State
|
0.461
|
-22.636
|
3.193
|
26.290
|
9/9
|
16:00
|
P12N
|
NC State
|
Marshall
|
6.832
|
-13.283
|
4.126
|
24.241
|
9/9
|
17:00
|
ACCN
|
Georgia Southern
|
New Hampshire
|
-10.913
|
-22.636
|
2.596
|
14.319
|
9/9
|
17:00
|
ESPN3
|
Troy
|
Alabama State
|
3.179
|
-22.636
|
2.132
|
27.947
|
9/9
|
17:00
|
ESPN3
|
Bowling Green
|
South Dakota
|
-13.400
|
-22.636
|
1.997
|
11.234
|
9/9
|
17:00
|
ESPN3
|
Akron
|
Arkansa Pine-Bluff
|
-12.792
|
-22.636
|
1.023
|
10.867
|
9/9
|
17:30
|
ESPN3
|
Nevada
|
Toledo
|
-12.701
|
-2.009
|
2.087
|
-8.605
|
9/9
|
18:00
|
ESPN3
|
Southern Miss
|
Southern
|
-10.986
|
-22.636
|
2.585
|
14.235
|
9/9
|
18:00
|
-
|
SMU
|
North Texas
|
0.630
|
-11.833
|
2.239
|
14.702
|
9/9
|
18:00
|
ESPN3
|
Missouri
|
South Carolina
|
3.550
|
6.707
|
3.690
|
0.533
|
9/9
|
18:00
|
ESPN2
|
Texas A&M
|
Nicholls
|
10.528
|
-22.636
|
5.461
|
38.625
|
9/9
|
18:00
|
ESPNU
|
Clemson
|
Auburn
|
22.209
|
19.657
|
4.998
|
7.550
|
9/9
|
18:00
|
ESPN
|
LSU
|
Chattanooga
|
11.509
|
-22.636
|
5.458
|
39.603
|
9/9
|
18:30
|
SECN
|
FIU
|
Alcorn State
|
-14.761
|
-22.636
|
2.142
|
10.017
|
9/9
|
18:30
|
-
|
Notre Dame
|
Georgia
|
-3.366
|
14.295
|
4.866
|
-12.795
|
9/9
|
18:30
|
NBC
|
Louisiana Tech
|
Mississippi State
|
-13.014
|
4.550
|
2.064
|
-15.501
|
9/9
|
18:30
|
CBSSN
|
Ohio State
|
Oklahoma
|
23.096
|
15.034
|
5.692
|
13.755
|
9/9
|
18:30
|
ABC
|
New Mexico
|
New Mexico State
|
-7.508
|
-15.685
|
1.744
|
9.921
|
9/9
|
19:00
|
-
|
Baylor
|
UTSA
|
-4.493
|
-6.195
|
3.904
|
5.606
|
9/9
|
19:00
|
-
|
Illinois
|
WKU
|
-7.756
|
2.253
|
2.981
|
-7.028
|
9/9
|
19:00
|
BTN
|
Washington
|
Montana
|
26.113
|
-22.636
|
4.055
|
52.804
|
9/9
|
19:00
|
P12N
|
UTEP
|
Rice
|
-17.742
|
-17.615
|
1.619
|
1.491
|
9/9
|
19:00
|
-
|
USC
|
Stanford
|
18.199
|
8.195
|
3.974
|
13.978
|
9/9
|
19:30
|
FOX
|
Idaho
|
UNLV
|
-2.791
|
-16.526
|
1.930
|
15.665
|
9/9
|
20:00
|
ESPN3
|
Oregon State
|
Minnesota
|
5.012
|
4.915
|
3.092
|
3.189
|
9/9
|
21:00
|
FS1
|
BYU
|
Utah
|
2.725
|
8.291
|
3.966
|
-1.600
|
9/9
|
21:15
|
ESPN2
|
Arizona
|
Houston
|
3.994
|
2.489
|
3.572
|
5.076
|
9/9
|
21:30
|
ESPNU
|
Washington State
|
Boise State
|
18.079
|
1.285
|
3.263
|
20.058
|
9/9
|
21:30
|
ESPN
|
Arizona State
|
San Diego State
|
9.902
|
-1.378
|
3.440
|
14.719
|
9/9
|
22:00
|
P12N
|
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