Week 3 is when we start to figure out what teams really are. We start to see 3 games from many teams, and for most 2 games against FBS competition. We'll have a better idea in a couple of weeks, but this is the start of the whittling down process towards the championship.
Week 2 was a good week, but not
great, especially with a 1-6 record on games where my spread was between 3 and
7. Still looking pretty good to start off the year with every category except
the aforementioned 3+ to 7 above 60%.
|
Category
|
Right
|
Wrong
|
Right
%
|
Season
Right
|
Season
Wrong
|
Season
Right %
|
|
All
|
53
|
18
|
75%
|
134
|
28
|
83%
|
|
FBS
|
30
|
16
|
65%
|
68
|
22
|
76%
|
|
0-3
|
4
|
3
|
57%
|
10
|
6
|
63%
|
|
3+ to 7
|
1
|
6
|
14%
|
5
|
7
|
42%
|
|
7+ to 14
|
16
|
5
|
76%
|
33
|
8
|
80%
|
|
14+ to 21
|
8
|
4
|
67%
|
28
|
6
|
82%
|
|
21+ to 31
|
11
|
0
|
100%
|
31
|
1
|
97%
|
|
31+ to 42
|
10
|
0
|
100%
|
13
|
0
|
100%
|
|
42+
|
3
|
0
|
100%
|
1
|
0
|
100%
|
Vegas kicked my ass
this week. On games that matter (FBS-FBS) they bested me by four points this
week. Still competitive overall this year, but not a great trend.
|
Category
|
My Diff
|
Veg Diff
|
My S. Diff
|
Veg S. Diff
|
|
All
|
15.355
|
16.317
|
14.907
|
15.303
|
|
FBS
|
16.079
|
12.652
|
14.015
|
12.144
|
Some good games this
week headlined by Louisville-Clemson Saturday night. Overall, not as big of a
drop-off as we’ve seen in recent Week 3s.
|
Home
|
Away
|
Home
Rating
|
Away
Rating
|
HFA
|
My
Spread
|
Date
|
Time
|
TV
|
|
Boise State
|
New Mexico
|
1.230
|
-8.920
|
3.218
|
13.368
|
9/14
|
19:00
|
ESPN
|
|
USF
|
Illinois
|
10.177
|
-7.206
|
2.081
|
19.463
|
9/15
|
18:00
|
ESPN
|
|
Temple
|
UMASS
|
2.274
|
-16.846
|
1.920
|
21.040
|
9/15
|
18:00
|
ESPNU
|
|
UTEP
|
Arizona
|
-19.810
|
3.323
|
1.619
|
-21.514
|
9/15
|
21:15
|
ESPN
|
|
Texas A&M
|
Lousiana
|
10.528
|
-22.636
|
5.461
|
38.625
|
9/16
|
11:00
|
SECN
|
|
Virginia
|
Connecticut
|
-8.972
|
-14.158
|
2.733
|
7.920
|
9/16
|
11:00
|
ESPNU
|
|
Pittsburgh
|
Oklahoma State
|
4.251
|
13.400
|
2.988
|
-6.161
|
9/16
|
11:00
|
ESPN
|
|
West Virginia
|
Delaware State
|
4.301
|
-22.636
|
3.994
|
30.931
|
9/16
|
11:00
|
-
|
|
Akron
|
Iowa State
|
-12.792
|
-3.440
|
1.023
|
-8.329
|
9/16
|
11:00
|
CBSSN
|
|
Memphis
|
UCLA
|
5.741
|
-1.835
|
2.551
|
10.127
|
9/16
|
11:00
|
ABC
|
|
Michigan
|
Air Force
|
12.475
|
-12.813
|
5.719
|
31.007
|
9/16
|
11:00
|
BTN
|
|
Nebraska
|
Northern Illinois
|
7.115
|
-11.012
|
5.262
|
23.388
|
9/16
|
11:00
|
FS1
|
|
Ohio
|
Kansas
|
-8.957
|
-19.223
|
2.728
|
12.994
|
9/16
|
11:00
|
ESPN3
|
|
NC State
|
Furman
|
6.984
|
-22.636
|
4.126
|
33.745
|
9/16
|
11:20
|
ACCN
|
|
Duke
|
Baylor
|
1.867
|
-5.602
|
2.828
|
10.297
|
9/16
|
11:30
|
ACCN
|
|
UAB
|
Coastal Carolina
|
-23.568
|
-6.422
|
1.219
|
-15.927
|
9/16
|
12:00
|
-
|
|
Colorado
|
N. Colorado
|
19.371
|
-22.636
|
3.224
|
45.231
|
9/16
|
13:00
|
P12N
|
|
Wake Forest
|
Utah State
|
5.903
|
-11.564
|
2.790
|
20.257
|
9/16
|
14:00
|
ACCN
|
|
Ball State
|
Tennessee Tech
|
-16.140
|
-22.636
|
0.680
|
7.177
|
9/16
|
14:00
|
ESPN3
|
|
Boston College
|
Notre Dame
|
0.623
|
-3.505
|
2.579
|
6.707
|
9/16
|
14:30
|
ESPN
|
|
East Carolina
|
Virginia Tech
|
-12.726
|
11.726
|
3.426
|
-21.026
|
9/16
|
14:30
|
CBSSN
|
|
Syracuse
|
Central Michigan
|
4.610
|
-7.777
|
2.554
|
14.941
|
9/16
|
14:30
|
ACCN
|
|
Old Dominion
|
North Carolina
|
-6.052
|
8.743
|
3.078
|
-11.717
|
9/16
|
14:30
|
-
|
|
Rutgers
|
Morgan State
|
-5.849
|
-22.636
|
3.529
|
20.315
|
9/16
|
14:30
|
BTN
|
|
Minnesota
|
Middle Tennessee
|
6.843
|
-4.782
|
3.616
|
15.241
|
9/16
|
14:30
|
BTN
|
|
BYU
|
Wisconsin
|
2.303
|
15.964
|
3.966
|
-9.695
|
9/16
|
14:30
|
ABC
|
|
Iowa
|
North Texas
|
8.963
|
-12.442
|
4.348
|
25.754
|
9/16
|
14:30
|
ESPN2
|
|
TCU
|
SMU
|
9.668
|
0.852
|
3.866
|
12.681
|
9/16
|
14:30
|
ESPNU
|
|
Florida
|
Tennessee
|
8.615
|
13.067
|
5.073
|
0.622
|
9/16
|
14:30
|
CBS
|
|
Auburn
|
Mercer
|
19.636
|
-22.636
|
5.045
|
47.318
|
9/16
|
15:00
|
SECN
|
|
Missouri
|
Purdue
|
2.882
|
-8.403
|
3.690
|
14.974
|
9/16
|
15:00
|
SECN
|
|
Ohio State
|
Army
|
22.918
|
1.480
|
5.692
|
27.131
|
9/16
|
15:30
|
FOX
|
|
Washington State
|
Oregon State
|
18.482
|
4.004
|
3.263
|
17.742
|
9/16
|
16:30
|
P12N
|
|
Oklahoma
|
Tulane
|
17.101
|
-6.596
|
5.129
|
28.826
|
9/16
|
17:00
|
-
|
|
Charlotte
|
NC A&T
|
-17.129
|
-22.636
|
2.661
|
8.168
|
9/16
|
17:00
|
-
|
|
Buffalo
|
Colgate
|
-21.704
|
-22.636
|
1.857
|
2.790
|
9/16
|
17:00
|
ESPN3
|
|
Marshall
|
Kent State
|
-13.602
|
-10.221
|
2.247
|
-1.134
|
9/16
|
17:30
|
-
|
|
FAU
|
Bethune-Cookman
|
-14.877
|
-22.636
|
1.086
|
8.845
|
9/16
|
17:30
|
-
|
|
UTSA
|
Southern
|
-5.479
|
-22.636
|
1.402
|
18.559
|
9/16
|
18:00
|
-
|
|
WKU
|
Lousiana Tech
|
1.563
|
-22.636
|
2.346
|
26.546
|
9/16
|
18:00
|
-
|
|
Wyoming
|
Oregon
|
2.488
|
9.658
|
2.100
|
-5.071
|
9/16
|
18:00
|
CBSSN
|
|
ULM
|
Southern Miss
|
-9.453
|
-10.986
|
1.166
|
2.699
|
9/16
|
18:00
|
ESPN3
|
|
Nevada
|
Idaho State
|
-13.801
|
-22.636
|
2.087
|
10.922
|
9/16
|
18:00
|
-
|
|
Toledo
|
Tulsa
|
-1.668
|
1.766
|
2.402
|
-1.031
|
9/16
|
18:00
|
ESPN3
|
|
Texas State
|
Appalachian State
|
-23.311
|
0.178
|
1.835
|
-21.654
|
9/16
|
18:00
|
ESPN3
|
|
Arkansas State
|
Arkansas Pine Bluff
|
-7.850
|
-22.636
|
2.378
|
17.164
|
9/16
|
18:00
|
ESPN3
|
|
Western Michigan
|
Idaho
|
8.948
|
-5.264
|
2.193
|
16.405
|
9/16
|
18:00
|
ESPN3
|
|
South Alabama
|
Alabama A&M
|
-6.820
|
-22.636
|
1.224
|
17.040
|
9/16
|
18:00
|
ESPN3
|
|
Alabama
|
Colorado State
|
32.253
|
6.151
|
5.472
|
31.574
|
9/16
|
18:00
|
ESPN2
|
|
Mississippi State
|
LSU
|
4.989
|
11.509
|
4.174
|
-2.347
|
9/16
|
18:00
|
ESPN
|
|
Georgia
|
Samford
|
14.918
|
-22.636
|
5.218
|
42.772
|
9/16
|
18:30
|
SECN
|
|
South Carolina
|
Kentucky
|
8.061
|
9.659
|
4.719
|
3.121
|
9/16
|
18:30
|
SECN
|
|
Vanderbilt
|
Kansas State
|
10.641
|
9.306
|
2.821
|
4.156
|
9/16
|
18:30
|
ESPNU
|
|
Northwestern
|
Bowling Green
|
9.316
|
-15.200
|
2.749
|
27.266
|
9/16
|
18:30
|
BTN
|
|
Penn State
|
Georgia State
|
21.265
|
-14.257
|
5.299
|
40.821
|
9/16
|
18:30
|
BTN
|
|
Louisville
|
Clemson
|
11.770
|
23.068
|
3.895
|
-7.403
|
9/16
|
19:00
|
ABC
|
|
Houston
|
Rice
|
3.465
|
-17.531
|
3.229
|
24.225
|
9/16
|
19:00
|
ESPN3
|
|
Miami (OH)
|
Cincinnati
|
-5.945
|
-9.331
|
1.956
|
5.342
|
9/16
|
19:00
|
ESPN3
|
|
New Mexico State
|
Troy
|
-15.187
|
3.179
|
0.991
|
-17.375
|
9/16
|
19:00
|
ESPN3
|
|
Texas Tech
|
Arizona State
|
-6.658
|
8.886
|
4.045
|
-11.499
|
9/16
|
19:00
|
-
|
|
USC
|
Texas
|
19.030
|
-1.903
|
3.974
|
24.907
|
9/16
|
19:30
|
FOX
|
|
Washington
|
Fresno State
|
26.113
|
-18.351
|
4.055
|
48.519
|
9/16
|
20:30
|
P12N
|
|
Utah
|
San Jose State
|
9.293
|
-10.837
|
3.939
|
24.069
|
9/16
|
21:00
|
ESPN2
|
|
San Diego State
|
Stanford
|
0.160
|
8.127
|
2.066
|
-5.901
|
9/16
|
21:30
|
CBSSN
|
|
California
|
Mississippi
|
0.461
|
5.464
|
3.193
|
-1.810
|
9/16
|
21:30
|
ESPN
|
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