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Tuesday, September 10, 2019

2019 College Football: Week 3 - Picks and Matchup Guide


Week 3 brings with it some more clarity as we get more data points on teams. Another week with only Friday and Saturday games which is a bit of a bummer but gives us more room take in what we want to watch on the weekend.

Friday Slate
The Friday slate sees more intrigue than last week in which the Marshall-Boise State game was the interesting game. This week we get two games that are of interest…

Wake Forest at North Carolina (5:00 pm, ESPN)
I and my system have been dead wrong on North Carolina so far and we shouldn't ignore it but Wake is a stiff home test this week for Mack Brown and the Heels.
Houston at Washington State (8:15 pm, ESPN)
It's Holgo vs Leach and some potential for #Pac12AfterDark fireworks. Plus, we should know what Houston's ceiling is this year after this week.

Home
Away
Home
Rating
Away
Rating
My
Spread
Win%
Date
Time
TV
Wake Forest
North Carolina
12.078
-2.283
17.198
68.6%
9/13
17:00
ESPN
Boston College
Kansas
6.845
-14.225
23.836
75.6%
9/13
18:30
ACCN
Houston
Washington State
-3.899
9.195
-13.094
64.2%
9/13
20:15
ESPN
Georgia
Arkansas State
34.584
-2.529
42.357
95.6%
9/14
11:00
ESPN2
Indiana
Ohio State
10.758
28.503
-14.627
65.8%
9/14
11:00
FOX
Penn State
Pittsburgh
13.257
8.242
10.571
61.5%
9/14
11:00
ABC
Cincinnati
Miami (OH)
13.887
-9.824
26.286
78.2%
9/14
11:00
ESPNU
Tennessee
Chattanooga
0.739
-22.636
28.573
-
9/14
11:00
SECN
Mississippi State
Kansas State
16.921
3.992
16.954
68.3%
9/14
11:00
ESPN
Virginia Tech
Furman
8.259
-22.636
35.049
-
9/14
11:00
ACCN
West Virginia
NC State
4.350
8.695
-0.390
50.8%
9/14
11:00
FS1
Illinois
Eastern Michigan
-1.623
-5.553
6.479
57.2%
9/14
11:00
BTN
Temple
Maryland
2.456
7.415
-3.675
54.3%
9/14
11:00
CBSSN
Georgia Tech
Citadel
4.405
-22.636
30.366
-
9/14
11:30
ACCN
Colorado
Air Force
0.498
-2.697
6.632
57.4%
9/14
12:00
P12N
Ball State
FAU
-9.917
-12.460
3.086
53.7%
9/14
13:00
ESPN+
Coastal Carolina
Norfolk State
-6.716
-22.636
18.373
-
9/14
13:00
ESPN3
Notre Dame
New Mexico
28.485
-21.298
54.599
100.0%
9/14
13:30
NBC
Central Michigan
Akron
-25.156
-25.145
0.946
51.4%
9/14
14:00
ESPN+
South Carolina
Alabama
8.113
35.989
-23.210
74.9%
9/14
14:30
CBS
UCF
Stanford
22.802
9.966
15.831
67.1%
9/14
14:30
ESPN
Navy
East Carolina
-11.151
-11.439
3.698
54.3%
9/14
14:30
CBSSN
South Alabama
Memphis
-19.751
1.951
-20.842
72.4%
9/14
14:30
ESPNU
UTSA
Army
-15.672
6.979
-21.666
73.3%
9/14
14:30
NFL
BYU
USC
4.572
9.908
-1.580
52.1%
9/14
14:30
ABC
Minnesota
Georgia Southern
14.193
3.587
13.756
64.9%
9/14
14:30
BTN
Northwestern
UNLV
7.509
-17.227
27.452
79.5%
9/14
14:30
BTN
Tulsa
Oklahoma State
-7.089
9.007
-14.795
66.0%
9/14
14:30
ESPN2
Michigan State
Arizona State
19.486
6.297
17.757
69.1%
9/14
15:00
FOX
Iowa State
Iowa
9.661
15.219
-1.706
52.2%
9/14
15:00
FS1
Mississippi
SE Louisiana
-2.507
-22.636
24.163
-
9/14
15:00
SECN
Arkansas
Colorado State
-9.826
-19.879
14.098
65.3%
9/14
15:00
SECN
WKU
Louisville
-20.591
1.935
-22.527
74.2%
9/14
15:00
-
Miami (FL)
Bethune Cookman
2.831
-22.636
29.374
-
9/14
15:00
ACCN
Utah
Idaho State
25.041
-22.636
51.544
-
9/14
15:15
-
California
North Texas
7.231
-6.778
16.455
67.8%
9/14
15:15
-
Oregon State
Cal Poly
-4.792
-22.636
20.583
-
9/14
15:15
-
Bowling Green
Louisiana Tech
-21.224
-6.990
-12.626
63.7%
9/14
16:00
ESPN+
Wyoming
Idaho
4.443
-22.636
28.894
-
9/14
16:00
ESPN3
Liberty
Buffalo
-10.152
-5.997
-2.664
53.2%
9/14
17:00
ESPN+
USF
South Carolina St
-8.608
-22.636
15.890
-
9/14
17:00
ESPN3
Charlotte
UMASS
-6.774
-31.084
26.425
78.4%
9/14
17:00
ESPN+
Troy
Southern Miss
0.760
0.335
2.824
53.4%
9/14
17:00
ESPN+
Marshall
Ohio
-0.873
-4.497
5.324
56.0%
9/14
17:30
-
Kentucky
Florida
14.759
22.009
-3.434
54.0%
9/14
18:00
ESPN
Texas A&M
Lamar
20.061
-22.636
47.870
-
9/14
18:00
ESPNU
Auburn
Kent State
23.022
-15.852
43.881
97.3%
9/14
18:00
ESPN2
FIU
New Hampshire
-6.400
-22.636
17.927
-
9/14
18:00
ESPN3
SMU
Texas State
3.261
-15.622
20.686
72.3%
9/14
18:00
ESPN3
Nevada
Weber
-3.323
-22.636
20.891
-
9/14
18:00
ESPN3
Western Michigan
Georgia State
3.163
-3.156
7.860
58.7%
9/14
18:00
ESPN+
Toledo
Murray State
-4.010
-22.636
20.929
-
9/14
18:00
ESPN3
Middle Tennessee
Duke
-5.814
9.208
-13.867
65.0%
9/14
18:00
-
Syracuse
Clemson
11.547
36.689
-22.745
74.4%
9/14
18:30
ABC
LSU
Northwestern State
30.526
-22.636
58.532
-
9/14
18:30
SECN
Washington
Hawaii
6.614
11.376
-0.412
50.9%
9/14
18:30
P12N
Purdue
TCU
5.187
7.041
1.204
51.7%
9/14
18:30
BTN
Missouri
SE Missouri
17.473
-22.636
43.213
-
9/14
18:30
SECN
Virginia
Florida State
11.810
6.556
7.688
58.5%
9/14
18:30
ACCN
Louisiana
Texas Southern
0.584
-22.636
24.246
-
9/14
18:30
ESPN3
UCLA
Oklahoma
0.094
24.146
-20.965
72.6%
9/14
19:00
FOX
Rice
Texas
-22.360
12.687
-35.047
87.7%
9/14
19:00
CBSSN
Nebraska
Northern Illinois
0.633
5.642
0.287
50.7%
9/14
19:00
FS1
New Mexico State
San Diego State
-17.385
7.294
-23.602
75.4%
9/14
19:00
-
Tulane
Missouri State
3.517
-22.636
27.763
-
9/14
19:00
ESPN3
Boise State
Portland State
14.229
-22.636
39.829
-
9/14
21:15
ESPN2
Arizona
Texas Tech
-0.020
5.438
-2.379
52.9%
9/14
21:30
ESPN
Oregon
Montana
13.642
-22.636
40.448
-
9/14
21:45
P12N

Early Slate (11:00 am – 1:00 pm)
Kansas State at Mississippi State (11:00 am, ESPN)
The early slate is a bit weak in week three, but this should at least be a we know a lot more about you game. Kansas State is coming off a thrashing of Bowling Green, while Mississippi State took down Southern Miss. The Southern Miss win is undeniably better but neither has been pushed too far at this point of the season.
Pittsburgh at Penn State (11:00 am, ABC)
A rivalry game is always a nice test of composure, unfortunately like last season it looks like the 100th edition of the Keystone Classic heavily favors the Nittany Lions.

Midday Slate (1:30 pm – 5:30 pm)
Iowa at Iowa State (2:30 pm, FS1)
EL ASSSSSSSICOOOOOO!!!! The name… a play on words (El Classico is used for matchups between Barcelona & Real Madrid). The game... sometimes entertaining and always ass-y, is This year’s version has the added benefit of being a litmus test for both teams, being the host of game day, and being during a pretty slow Saturday. Which now that I think about it makes this, in an unrelated note, a good candidate for a #ChaosWeek.
Southern Miss at Troy (5:00 pm, ESPN+)
Second screen viewing for the afternoon shift is a meeting of two good P5 teams. Neither is as good as recent highs, but both are good well-rounded teams and should give us a fuller view of the Sun Belt and Conference USA.

Evening Slate (6:00 pm – 7:00 pm)
Florida at Kentucky (6:00 pm, ESPN)
Can Florida get their Kentucky streak back on track or will Kentucky get two in a row after breaking the winning seal last season. Florida has been better this season and Kentucky lacks both Snell and Allen from last year’s squad and just lost QB Terry Wilson for the year skewing the fanfare that this game cold have attracted.
Clemson at Syracuse (6:30 pm, ABC)
Speaking of lost luster, Syracuse’s blowout loss at the hands of the Maryland Terrapins last week has certainly taken the sheen off this marquee matchup. There’s no amount of look ahead that can explain Syracuse last week and Clemson should handle them easily.
Hawaii at Washington (6:30 pm, Pac12 Network)
Can Hawaii get to 3-0 in the Pac-12 probably not, but they can test a Washington team coming off a disappointing loss to Cal Sunday morning.

Late Night Slate (9:15 pm – 9:45 pm)
Texas Tech at Arizona (9:30 pm, ESPN)
It’s #Pac12AfterDark with Texas Tech and you get to watch Khalil Tate what more do you need.

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