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Sunday, September 8, 2019

2019 College Football: Week 2 - Best Bets Recap

So, we tried something new this week and it came out alright. Imade five “best” bets for the week And they were as follows:

Army +22.5 at Michigan
Syracuse +110 at Maryland
Coastal Carolina +7.5 at Kansas
Texas Tech -34.5 vs UTEP
Southern Illinois +145 at UMASS
Kennesaw State +145 at Kent State

Note: I didn’t specify how we were going to track this, but I’ll give myself a $10,000 bankroll and a one unit bet will be 100 dollars.

These picks went 4-2 this week overall which saw $600 in bets turn into $617.73 (or a profit of $17.73) and an ROI of 2.95%. New bankroll - $10,017.73
Note (9/11): I screwed this calculation up, after week 1 we're actually up $217.73 in profit as the bets would have returned $817.73. Bringing our New Bankroll to $10,217.73

The Army-Michigan game played out pretty much how I expected. Army played methodical triple option ball and limited total possessions and Michigan was unable to be efficient enough to cover. Army has now taken two straight blue bloods to overtime and gets the Sooners again next year at home.

Syracuse-Maryland did not play out how I expected. And all props go to Maryland, they played good defense and took advantage of a putrid Syracuse defense that looked like it had no interest in being there. The only disappointment I have is that this result takes luster of the Syracuse-Clemson game coming this week.

I want to preface my gloating by saying I love Les Miles and what he brings to college football but his deficiencies in game management are even more glaring when he’s working with suboptimal talent and it showed in the fourth quarter of this week’s game against Coastal Carolina.

Not much to say here, UTEP is as bad as expected and for Tech it looks like new coach same offensive prowess, at least in year 1.

And lastly, our two FCS upsets. Southern Illinois did their part beating a poor UMASS team that is lost in the wilderness of independence. As for Kennesaw, they just barely disappointed dropping to Kent State 26-23 in overtime.

A good showing in it’s first week, hopefully we can continue being on the right side of the ledger as the season progresses.

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