After a stellar 4-1 this past
week we are now 8-3 in our best bets, with an ROI of 43.76% on the season and an
adjusted bankroll of $10481.37. As we get deeper into the year the lines get
sharper and the picks get harder but let’s see if we can beat the odds again.
Note: We are basing this on a 1
unit bet of $100 dollars and unless noted otherwise the odds are -110.
SMU at TCU (-9.5)
TCU is much better than anticipated
this season and, while SMU is no slouch they are a knockoff version of TCU and
this spread being under 10 after TCUs shut down of Rondale Moore and a shorthanded
Purdue makes me much more comfortable with TCU than I was before the season
began.
Bowling Green at Kent State (-9.5)
Bowling Green is worse than a
poor Kent State team and might end up being the third worst team in the country
behind UTEP and UMASS. So, I’m gonna ride this train until it kills me.
New Mexico State (+160) at New Mexico
This is a really easy bet these
teams are close enough and bad enough that I would take the underdog whichever
way this line moves, but if you’re more risk averse take NMSU +3 or better.
Toledo (-9.5) at Colorado State
Toledo is the better side and as
long as you get -10 or better you should be in good shape. Colorado State isn’t
what we thought they might be a year or two ago and Toledo is a much more consistent/stable
program right now.
Ball State at NC State (-19.5)
Ball State is very bad, and this
NC State line is being deflated because of the disappointing result against WVU
last weekend. Doeren and company have been among the most consistent teams
since his arrival and I see a bounce back after disappointment last week and
the unfortunate victim is Ball State.
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