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Wednesday, April 30, 2025

2025 Fantasy Football - Post-Draft R.O.O.C. Rankings

I may update this one more time towards the end of the week although with no UDFAs cracking overly high in the post-draft edition it will most like have more impact for future iterations and comparisons on how the class is shaping out heading into the class’s rookie season.

A few things to start ROOC is my attempt to quantify rookie talent adjusted for opportunity, and draft slot. I got two sets of ROOC rankings (2QB and Standard) and then my own two sets of rankings to go along with it. Now let’s go over some components… Draft Grade (DrGr) – the grade I gave the player during the draft. Pick Grade (PkGr) – Grade I gave the pick, use the associated % in the formula. Pick – Pick used on player in the draft, correlates pretty well with opportunity. Pick AV (PkAV) – The approximate value of the draft pick. Now/EOS/Y3 – What I predict the roster spot will be for that player / where on the depth chart they currently are, Now/End of Season/ Year 3. ROOC2QB/ROOC – Numerical representation of value based on those inputs. Let’s start off with Superflex (2QB) ROOC ranks…

Player

Pos

Tm

Player

Grade

Pick

Grade

Pick

PkAV

Now

EOS

Y3

ROOC

2QB

Cam Ward

QB

TEN

6.2

B+

1

34.6

1st

1st

1st

24.32

Travis Hunter

WR

JAX

7.4

A

2

30.2

2nd

2nd

2nd

23.63

Tetairoa McMillan

WR

CAR

7.3

A

8

21.4

2nd

1st

1st

21.54

Ashton Jeanty

RB

LVR

7.6

B-

6

23.2

1st

1st

1st

21.29

Matthew Golden

WR

GB

7.1

A+

23

14.6

2nd

1st/2nd

1st

19.23

Omarion Hampton

RB

LAC

7.2

C+

22

14.9

1st

1st

1st

18.61

Emeka Egbuka

WR

TB

6.9

A

19

15.8

3rd

3rd

2nd

18.18

Jaxson Dart

QB

NYG

5.9

B

25

14.1

3rd

1st

1st

17.51

Quinshon Judkins

RB

CLE

6.5

C+

36

11.8

1st

1st/2nd

1st/2nd

16.95

TreVeyon Henderson

RB

NE

6.3

C+

38

11.4

1st

1st/2nd

1st/2nd

16.72

Luther Burden III

WR

CHI

6.7

A+

39

11.3

3rd

3rd

2nd/3rd

16.47

Tyler Shough

QB

NO

5.7

C+

40

11.1

2nd

1st

1st

16.44

RJ Harvey

RB

DEN

6.0

C-

60

8.5

1st

1st

1st

15.96

Kaleb Johnson

RB

PIT

6.3

B

83

6.5

1st/2nd

1st/2nd

1st

15.79

Jayden Higgins

WR

HOU

6.3

A-

34

12.1

5th

3rd

2nd/3rd

15.78

Jack Bech

WR

LVR

6.0

A-

58

8.7

3rd

2nd

2nd

15.49

Kyle Williams

WR

NE

6.1

A+

69

7.6

4th

2nd

1st/2nd

15.45

Tyler Warren

TE

IND

7.6

A

14

17.8

1st

1st

1st

15.39

Jalen Milroe

QB

SEA

6.0

A+

92

5.8

2nd

2nd

1st/2nd

15.18

Colston Loveland

TE

CHI

7.4

C+

10

19.9

1st

1st/2nd

1st

14.86

Dillon Gabriel

QB

CLE

5.7

A+

94

5.7

3rd

2nd

1st/2nd

14.75

Cam Skattebo

RB

NYG

6.1

B

105

5.0

3rd

2nd

1st/2nd

14.54

Bhayshul Tuten

RB

JAX

6.2

B+

104

5.0

3rd

2nd/3rd

1st/2nd

14.52

Dylan Sampson

RB

CLE

6.5

A

126

3.8

3rd

2nd/3rd

1st/2nd

14.47

Trevor Etienne

RB

CAR

6.0

A-

114

4.4

3rd

2nd/3rd

1st/2nd

14.27

Mason Taylor

TE

NYJ

7.1

A

42

10.8

1st

1st

1st

14.11

Tre Harris

WR

LAC

5.4

C

55

9.1

3rd

3rd

2nd/3rd

14.06

Jaylin Noel

WR

HOU

6.5

A+

79

6.8

6th

4th

2nd/3rd

13.95

Jordan James

RB

SF

6.4

A+

147

2.8

3rd

2nd/3rd

2nd

13.86

Woody Marks

RB

HOU

5.2

C+

116

4.3

2nd

2nd

1st/2nd

13.83

Will Howard

QB

PIT

5.5

A+

185

1.4

2nd

1st/2nd

1st

13.80

Isaac TeSlaa

WR

DET

5.7

B

70

7.5

5th/6th

3rd/4th

2nd

13.77

Shedeur Sanders

QB

CLE

6.1

A+

144

3.0

4th

3rd

1st/2nd

13.63

Jarquez Hunter

RB

LAR

5.8

B

117

4.3

3rd

3rd

2nd

13.59

Elijah Arroyo

TE

SEA

6.8

A-

50

9.7

2nd

2nd

1st

13.27

Quinn Ewers

QB

MIA

5.9

A+

231

0.1

3rd

2nd

1st/2nd

13.04

Harold Fannin Jr

TE

CLE

7.1

A+

67

7.8

2nd

2nd

1st/2nd

12.92

DJ Giddens

RB

IND

5.3

C+

151

2.7

3rd

2nd/3rd

2nd

12.89

Devin Neal

RB

NO

5.5

B

184

1.4

3rd

2nd

2nd

12.88

Elic Ayomanor

WR

TEN

6.0

A+

136

3.3

5th

3rd/4th

2nd/3rd

12.81

Jalen Royals

WR

KC

5.8

A+

133

3.5

5th

3rd/4th

2nd/3rd

12.74

Tahj Brooks

RB

CIN

6.1

A

193

1.1

4th

3rd

2nd

12.74

Damien Martinez

RB

SEA

6.0

A+

223

0.2

4th

3rd

1st/2nd

12.64

Riley Leonard

QB

IND

5.4

A+

189

1.2

3rd

3rd

2nd

12.51

Jaylin Lane

WR

WAS

6.1

A+

128

3.7

6th

4th/5th

2nd/3rd

12.51

Tai Felton

WR

MIN

5.6

A-

102

5.1

6th

4th

3rd

12.42

Kyle McCord

QB

PHI

5.1

A+

181

1.5

3rd

3rd

2nd

12.41

Arian Smith

WR

NYJ

5.5

A

110

4.7

6th

4th/5th

2nd/3rd

12.39

 

Tier 1 & 2 (1-2 | 3-4) – A smaller top two tiers than last year with only 4 players included, and considering the class it’s not a huge surprise. Ward was the only highly drafted QB, and only 1 of 2 in the first round he sits atop the 2QB ROOC rankings by a considerable margin. Hunter slots into tier 1 because the numbers lack some context around position and usage. Joining him in tier 2 are the top WR and RB in the class. Interestingly the formula favors McMillan to Jeanty because of positional modifiers and my draft grade. I have them flipped personally but think this is a clear top-3 in my mind.

 

Tier 3 & 4 (5-8 | 9-12) – Tier 3 & 4 see 3WR/RBs and a QB in both. From tier 3 Golden and Hampton land in great places with opportunities available. The Packers have roughly 3 dozen WRs under 26 but Watson is hurt for a significant portion of the season, Reed is a slot dynamo, and I think the rest of the corps are solid 3s but nothing special so if he acclimates fast, he has a chance to have a standout rookie performance. Hampton goes to run first Harbaugh offense with a good offensive line, a solid pass game to take pressure off, and his only real competition is Najee Harris who could never put distance between him and Warren in Pittsburgh. Egbuka has more long-term value than short-term which always brings variance in but he’s a Godwin-esque player who shouldn’t have to worry about utilization in the Bucs offense. Dart is the last player in tier 3, and rightfully so he was the only other QB drafted in the first round, and while the Giants have said they’re starting Wilson I don’t believe that last the year and probably not even to the midway point. Judkins has a chance to fill in the Chubb role with a better athletic ability to be involved in the pass game although I think the Sampson pick hinders him a little bit. Henderson actually lands where I think he’ll be in line for a relatively perfect role for him as Stevenson can handle quite a workload and Henderson is a sneaky good pass blocker which should help get him on the field for passing downs. Burden is supremely talented but has both inconsistently applied himself and been inconsistently applied. If anyone can get a lot out of him it’s Ben Johnson and they spent quite a bit of draft capital on him. Lastly is Shough, who went top-40, is behind Carr who is looking more and more likely to be extremely limited or out this season and battling with Rattler. I don’t personally like him enough to take him round 1 but I don’t think he should slide significantly far into round 2 considering the draft capital used on him.

 

Tier 5 & 6 (13-34 | 35-48) – The biggest thing for me is the positional drop that hit Warren, Loveland, and Tayor. Year 1 is notoriously tough on TEs outside of a few notable talented guys, and I think all three warrant to be much higher than they are here at 17, 19, and 25 respectively. A couple notable draft capital guys before we rapid-fire these two large tiers. Higgins went 34 to the Texans who have holes from free agency and injury. Tre Harris went 55 to the Chargers who have Ladd and Johnston but not a whole lot else. Circling back to Arroyo and Fannin who also went top-70 and are incredibly athletic both fit inside the top-36 but in my opinion a bit too far down when you’re seeing other position players taken pick 100 or later. Harvey and Johnson go to teams with relatively limited RB depth charts, Bech and Williams as well but to Rams and Pats rooms with opportunities available in the pass game. Milroe and Gabriel go to teams with terrible but cluttered QB rooms, Skattebo/Tuten/Sampson/Etienne are interesting RB with Tuten and Etienne going to teams with question marks that they could certainly fill for bigger roles than may be expected right away. Noel is a really intriguing receiver to good/interesting landing spot, James was a draft favorite of mine but lacks top end speed, Marks/TeSlaa/Hunter weren’t particularly standout but were taken with intriguing draft capital, and Howard goes to a Pittsburgh team with… Rodgers…. Probably, and not a whole lot else. In tier 4, is Giddens finally the JT backup we’ve been waiting for? Does Neal just continue to produce like at Kansas? Ayomanor is gonna be on the field because of his motor and blocking but can he show the upside he showed against Colorado in ’23? Can Royals be another short area weapon for the Chiefs and help rebuild their offensive speed? Will Brooks or Martinez steal more carries than expected? Will Ewers, Leonard, or McCord challenge established quarterbacks? Challenge and established doing a lot in that question for different starters. And will Lane, Felton, or Smith take sub-4.4 speed to starting or super-sub roles?

 

Standard ROOC Rankings

Obviously, the biggest differences here is the ranking of quarter backs:
Ward (1 to 7), Dart (8 to 29), Shough (12 to 31), Milroe (19 to 44), Gabriel (21 to 47)
Howard (31 to 49), Sanders (33 to 56), Ewers (36 to 59), Leonard (44 to 63), and McCord (47 to 64)

 

The later five are replace by Terrance Ferguson (51 to 43) a player that I wasn’t overly fond of at his draft position but has a potentially great landing spot with the Rams and good draft capital, Jaydon Blue (52 to 43) who with the Cowboys running back situation will probably be a pretty solid rookie sleeper for many out there, KeAndre Lambert-Smith (52 to 45) another athletic WR who could has the ability to energize the Chargers passing game, Kyle Monangai (54 to 46) a later round player who is added to a Bears backfield that hasn’t been as electric as expected, and Pat Bryant (56 to 48) a big rangy receiver who gets mixed in to a Broncos receiving corps with plenty of question and talent.

 

Player

Pos

Tm

Player

Grade

Pick

Grade

Pick

Pick

AV

Now

EOS

Y3

ROOC

Travis Hunter

WR

JAX

7.4

A

2

30.2

2nd

2nd

2nd

23.63

Tetairoa McMillan

WR

CAR

7.3

A

8

21.4

2nd

1st

1st

21.54

Ashton Jeanty

RB

LVR

7.6

B-

6

23.2

1st

1st

1st

21.29

Matthew Golden

WR

GB

7.1

A+

23

14.6

2nd

1st/2nd

1st

19.23

Omarion Hampton

RB

LAC

7.2

C+

22

14.9

1st

1st

1st

18.61

Emeka Egbuka

WR

TB

6.9

A

19

15.8

3rd

3rd

2nd

18.18

Cam Ward

QB

TEN

6.2

B+

1

34.6

1st

1st

1st

17.16

Quinshon Judkins

RB

CLE

6.5

C+

36

11.8

1st

1st/2nd

1st/2nd

16.95

TreVeyon Henderson

RB

NE

6.3

C+

38

11.4

1st

1st/2nd

1st/2nd

16.72

Luther Burden III

WR

CHI

6.7

A+

39

11.3

3rd

3rd

2nd/3rd

16.47

RJ Harvey

RB

DEN

6.0

C-

60

8.5

1st

1st

1st

15.96

Kaleb Johnson

RB

PIT

6.3

B

83

6.5

1st/2nd

1st/2nd

1st

15.79

Jayden Higgins

WR

HOU

6.3

A-

34

12.1

5th

3rd

2nd/3rd

15.78

Jack Bech

WR

LVR

6.0

A-

58

8.7

3rd

2nd

2nd

15.49

Kyle Williams

WR

NE

6.1

A+

69

7.6

4th

2nd

1st/2nd

15.45

Tyler Warren

TE

IND

7.6

A

14

17.8

1st

1st

1st

15.39

Colston Loveland

TE

CHI

7.4

C+

10

19.9

1st

1st/2nd

1st

14.86

Cam Skattebo

RB

NYG

6.1

B

105

5.0

3rd

2nd

1st/2nd

14.54

Bhayshul Tuten

RB

JAX

6.2

B+

104

5.0

3rd

2nd/3rd

1st/2nd

14.52

Dylan Sampson

RB

CLE

6.5

A

126

3.8

3rd

2nd/3rd

1st/2nd

14.47

Trevor Etienne

RB

CAR

6.0

A-

114

4.4

3rd

2nd/3rd

1st/2nd

14.27

Mason Taylor

TE

NYJ

7.1

A

42

10.8

1st

1st

1st

14.11

Tre Harris

WR

LAC

5.4

C

55

9.1

3rd

3rd

2nd/3rd

14.06

Jaylin Noel

WR

HOU

6.5

A+

79

6.8

6th

4th

2nd/3rd

13.95

Jordan James

RB

SF

6.4

A+

147

2.8

3rd

2nd/3rd

2nd

13.86

Woody Marks

RB

HOU

5.2

C+

116

4.3

2nd

2nd

1st/2nd

13.83

Isaac TeSlaa

WR

DET

5.7

B

70

7.5

5th/6th

3rd/4th

2nd

13.77

Jarquez Hunter

RB

LAR

5.8

B

117

4.3

3rd

3rd

2nd

13.59

Jaxson Dart

QB

NYG

5.9

B

25

14.1

3rd

1st

1st

13.55

Elijah Arroyo

TE

SEA

6.8

A-

50

9.7

2nd

2nd

1st

13.27

Tyler Shough

QB

NO

5.7

C+

40

11.1

2nd

1st

1st

13.12

Harold Fannin Jr

TE

CLE

7.1

A+

67

7.8

2nd

2nd

1st/2nd

12.92

DJ Giddens

RB

IND

5.3

C+

151

2.7

3rd

2nd/3rd

2nd

12.89

Devin Neal

RB

NO

5.5

B

184

1.4

3rd

2nd

2nd

12.88

Elic Ayomanor

WR

TEN

6.0

A+

136

3.3

5th

3rd/4th

2nd/3rd

12.81

Jalen Royals

WR

KC

5.8

A+

133

3.5

5th

3rd/4th

2nd/3rd

12.74

Tahj Brooks

RB

CIN

6.1

A

193

1.1

4th

3rd

2nd

12.74

Damien Martinez

RB

SEA

6.0

A+

223

0.2

4th

3rd

1st/2nd

12.64

Jaylin Lane

WR

WAS

6.1

A+

128

3.7

6th

4th/5th

2nd/3rd

12.51

Tai Felton

WR

MIN

5.6

A-

102

5.1

6th

4th

3rd

12.42

Arian Smith

WR

NYJ

5.5

A

110

4.7

6th

4th/5th

2nd/3rd

12.39

Terrance Ferguson

TE

LAR

6.1

C

46

10.2

2nd

2nd

2nd

12.27

Jaydon Blue

RB

DAL

4.2

C+

149

2.7

2nd

2nd

2nd/3rd

12.25

Jalen Milroe

QB

SEA

6.0

A+

92

5.8

2nd

2nd

1st/2nd

12.22

KeAndre Lambert-Smith

WR

LAC

5.7

A+

158

2.4

5th

4th

2nd/3rd

12.16

Kyle Monangai

RB

CHI

5.1

B

233

0.1

3rd

3rd

2nd

11.95

Dillon Gabriel

QB

CLE

5.7

A+

94

5.7

3rd

2nd

1st/2nd

11.90

Pat Bryant

WR

DEN

5.0

C-

74

7.2

6th

5th

3rd

11.79

 

My Rankings

I have the table sorted for my 2QB ranks and tiers. Tiers are color coded and the biggest difference are the TEs being bumped up for me and a couple of low-end quarterbacks left out of the top 48.

 

Player

Pos

Tm

Player

Grade

Pick

Grade

Pick

Pick

AV

Adj

AV

2QB

Rank

ROOC

2QB

Std

Rank

ROOC

Cam Ward

QB

TEN

6.2

B+

1

34.6

14.3

1

1

10

7

Tetairoa McMillan

WR

CAR

7.3

A

8

21.4

11.7

2

3

2

2

Ashton Jeanty

RB

LVR

7.6

B-

6

23.2

11.3

3

4

1

3

Omarion Hampton

RB

LAC

7.2

C+

22

14.9

8.6

4

6

3

5

Travis Hunter

WR

JAX

7.4

A

2

30.2

14.6

5

2

4

1

Matthew Golden

WR

GB

7.1

A+

23

14.6

9.6

6

5

5

4

Emeka Egbuka

WR

TB

6.9

A

19

15.8

9.7

7

7

6

6

Quinshon Judkins

RB

CLE

6.5

C+

36

11.8

7.4

8

9

8

8

TreVeyon Henderson

RB

NE

6.3

C+

38

11.4

7.1

9

10

9

9

Jaxson Dart

QB

NYG

5.9

B

25

14.1

7.9

10

8

26

29

Luther Burden III

WR

CHI

6.7

A+

39

11.3

8.2

11

11

7

10

Tyler Warren

TE

IND

7.6

A

14

17.8

10.8

12

18

11

16

Colston Loveland

TE

CHI

7.4

C+

10

19.9

10.0

13

20

12

17

Kaleb Johnson

RB

PIT

6.3

B

83

6.5

6.0

14

14

13

12

Kyle Williams

WR

NE

6.1

A+

69

7.6

6.6

15

17

14

15

Tyler Shough

QB

NO

5.7

C+

40

11.1

6.6

16

12

29

31

Jayden Higgins

WR

HOU

6.3

A-

34

12.1

7.9

17

15

15

13

RJ Harvey

RB

DEN

6.0

C-

60

8.5

6.0

18

13

16

11

Bhayshul Tuten

RB

JAX

6.2

B+

104

5.0

5.6

19

23

17

19

Trevor Etienne

RB

CAR

6.0

A-

114

4.4

5.4

20

25

18

21

Mason Taylor

TE

NYJ

7.1

A

42

10.8

8.2

21

26

19

22

Jack Bech

WR

LVR

6.0

A-

58

8.7

6.7

22

16

20

14

Cam Skattebo

RB

NYG

6.1

B

105

5.0

5.5

23

22

21

18

Dylan Sampson

RB

CLE

6.5

A

126

3.8

5.6

24

24

22

20

Jaylin Noel

WR

HOU

6.5

A+

79

6.8

6.6

25

28

23

24

Jalen Milroe

QB

SEA

6.0

A+

92

5.8

5.9

26

19

44

44

Jordan James

RB

SF

6.4

A+

147

2.8

5.2

27

29

24

25

Dillon Gabriel

QB

CLE

5.7

A+

94

5.7

5.7

28

21

47

47

Tre Harris

WR

LAC

5.4

C

55

9.1

5.8

29

27

25

23

Elijah Arroyo

TE

SEA

6.8

A-

50

9.7

7.5

30

35

27

30

Isaac TeSlaa

WR

DET

5.7

B

70

7.5

5.9

31

32

28

27

Harold Fannin Jr

TE

CLE

7.1

A+

67

7.8

7.3

32

37

30

32

Jarquez Hunter

RB

LAR

5.8

B

117

4.3

5.1

33

34

31

28

Woody Marks

RB

HOU

5.2

C+

116

4.3

4.6

34

30

32

26

Elic Ayomanor

WR

TEN

6.0

A+

136

3.3

5.1

35

40

33

35

Jalen Royals

WR

KC

5.8

A+

133

3.5

5.0

36

41

34

36

Terrance Ferguson

TE

LAR

6.1

C

46

10.2

6.5

37

50

35

42

Will Howard

QB

PIT

5.5

A+

185

1.4

4.1

38

31

49

49

Shedeur Sanders

QB

CLE

6.1

A+

144

3.0

5.1

39

33

54

56

DJ Giddens

RB

IND

5.3

C+

151

2.7

4.2

40

38

36

33

Devin Neal

RB

NO

5.5

B

184

1.4

4.1

41

39

37

34

Arian Smith

WR

NYJ

5.5

A

110

4.7

5.2

42

48

38

41

Tahj Brooks

RB

CIN

6.1

A

193

1.1

4.4

43

42

39

37

Damien Martinez

RB

SEA

6.0

A+

223

0.2

4.1

44

43

40

38

Tai Felton

WR

MIN

5.6

A-

102

5.1

5.3

45

46

41

40

Jaydon Blue

RB

DAL

4.2

C+

149

2.7

3.5

46

51

42

43

Jaylin Lane

WR

WAS

6.1

A+

128

3.7

5.3

47

45

43

39

KeAndre Lambert-Smith

WR

LAC

5.7

A+

158

2.4

4.6

48

52

45

45

Quinn Ewers

QB

MIA

5.9

A+

231

0.1

4.0

49

36

61

59

Pat Bryant

WR

DEN

5.0

C-

74

7.2

5.0

50

56

46

48

Kyle Monangai

RB

CHI

5.1

B

233

0.1

3.4

51

54

48

46

Riley Leonard

QB

IND

5.4

A+

189

1.2

4.0

62

44

62

63

Kyle McCord

QB

PHI

5.1

A+

181

1.5

3.9

63

47

63

64

Cam Miller

QB

LVR

5.5

A+

215

0.4

3.8

64

49

64

66