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Monday, October 7, 2019

2019 College Football Season: Week 7 - Picks and Viewers Guide


Week 7 brings a bit more excitement than Week 6 with mid-week quality, and weekend excitement.

Weekday Slate (Wednesday to Friday)

Appalachian State at Louisiana (Wed., 7:00 pm, ESPN2)
A great #FunBelt matchup on a Wednesday as App State travels to Louisiana to take on the Ragin’ Cajuns in Lafayette. One loss between them (ULL to Miss State in Week 1) and taking care of business the rest of the way for both. This could be a conference championship game preview and should be an exciting mid-week game.
Syracuse at NC State (Thurs., 7:00 pm, ESPN)
This is a game that perplexes me. The spread has NC State as the favorite despite losses to Boston College and West Virginia this season. Syracuse hasn’t looked good this season but they’re 3-1 in game they could be reasonably expected to win and 0-1 against Clemson. I may be wrong, the Syracuse D should allow NC State to be better than it’s been most of the season, but Cuse is solid on both sides of the ball if not spectacular in either regard.
Virginia at Miami (FL) (Fri., 7:00 pm, ESPN)
A better game than it’ll appear on the surface. Miami has been insanely unlucky this season with turnovers and conversion rates in the red zone. Their underlying performances show a team that’s at least a game better if not more than their current win total. Virginia is good once again with a stout defense and a slightly underwhelming offense that can go off in spurts. Watch this game because it should be close and may get really weird.
Colorado at Oregon (Fri., 9:00 pm, FS1)
Watch this for two reasons: A) #Pac12AfterDark it’s going to get weird. and B) The Pac-12 loves for their favorites to lose on a weeknight so watch to find out if there’s train wreck.

Home
Away
Home
Rating
Away
Rating
My
Spread
Win%
Date
Time
TV
Louisiana
Appalachian State
9.402
16.108
-5.681
56.4%
10/9
19:00
ESPN2
NC State
Syracuse
0.494
9.030
-4.416
55.1%
10/10
19:00
ESPN
Texas State
ULM
-9.409
-8.011
-0.039
50.5%
10/10
20:15
ESPNU
New Mexico
Colorado State
-12.514
-18.687
7.468
58.3%
10/11
19:00
CBSSN
Miami (FL)
Virginia
-4.701
10.360
-11.154
62.2%
10/11
19:00
ESPN
Oregon
Colorado
13.767
0.099
17.838
69.2%
10/11
21:00
FS1
Georgia
South Carolina
26.606
1.297
30.552
82.8%
10/12
11:00
ESPN
Illinois
Michigan
-6.528
14.690
-18.670
70.1%
10/12
11:00
ABC
Tennessee
Mississippi State
-8.540
7.858
-11.200
62.2%
10/12
11:00
SECN
Temple
Memphis
5.366
11.322
-4.672
55.3%
10/12
11:00
ESPN2
Western Michigan
Miami (OH)
-2.532
-4.336
3.345
53.9%
10/12
11:00
ESPNU
Bowling Green
Toledo
-23.552
3.201
-25.145
77.0%
10/12
11:00
STAD
Texas
Oklahoma
14.192
23.385
-4.042
54.7%
10/12
11:00
FOX
Purdue
Maryland
-6.576
2.451
-5.968
56.7%
10/12
11:00
BTN
Indiana
Rutgers
3.793
-18.886
25.796
77.7%
10/12
11:00
BTN
Duke
Georgia Tech
11.864
-11.741
25.891
77.8%
10/12
11:30
ACCN
Eastern Michigan
Ball State
-2.191
-9.123
8.081
58.9%
10/12
13:00
ESPN+
Marshall
Old Dominion
-7.922
-21.188
14.966
66.2%
10/12
13:30
STAD
Central Michigan
New Mexico State
-3.777
-18.608
15.788
67.1%
10/12
14:00
ESPN3
Clemson
Florida State
30.814
6.463
29.205
81.4%
10/12
14:30
ABC
Texas A&M
Alabama
8.189
30.552
-17.189
68.5%
10/12
14:30
CBS
Wisconsin
Michigan State
18.947
12.588
11.115
62.1%
10/12
14:30
BTN
Arizona State
Washington State
9.755
0.839
12.461
63.5%
10/12
14:30
P12N
USF
BYU
-9.892
-1.695
-6.336
57.1%
10/12
14:30
CBSSN
Houston
Cincinnati
-1.354
17.856
-16.293
67.6%
10/12
14:30
ESPN2
Akron
Kent State
-30.416
-9.064
-19.994
71.5%
10/12
14:30
ESPN3
Ohio
Northern Illinois
-7.832
-10.605
5.087
55.8%
10/12
14:30
ESPN+
Tulane
Connecticut
9.312
-21.973
32.896
85.3%
10/12
14:45
ESPNU
Virginia Tech
Rhode Island
0.204
-22.636
26.994
-
10/12
15:00
ACCN
Vanderbilt
UNLV
-4.929
-20.333
17.967
69.4%
10/12
15:00
SECN
Baylor
Texas Tech
13.633
0.449
16.869
68.2%
10/12
15:00
FS1
West Virginia
Iowa State
3.422
7.302
0.076
50.5%
10/12
15:00
ESPN
Coastal Carolina
Georgia State
-5.859
-0.881
-2.525
53.1%
10/12
15:00
ESPN+
Nevada
San Jose State
-7.517
-9.237
3.298
53.9%
10/12
15:00
ATTRM
FAU
Middle Tennessee
1.540
-7.009
9.809
60.7%
10/12
15:00
ESPN+
UTSA
UAB
-15.028
-1.316
-12.727
63.8%
10/12
17:00
ESPN+
Missouri
Mississippi
12.850
-0.364
16.318
67.6%
10/12
18:00
ESPN2
WKU
Army
-8.347
0.974
-7.420
58.2%
10/12
18:00
STAD
Louisiana Tech
UMASS
2.141
-32.259
36.297
89.0%
10/12
18:00
ESPN3
Southern Miss
North Texas
2.721
-10.947
15.565
66.8%
10/12
18:00
FACE
FIU
Charlotte
-11.707
-9.757
-0.258
50.7%
10/12
18:00
ESPN+
Air Force
Fresno State
-0.194
0.082
1.714
52.2%
10/12
18:00
CBSSN
Iowa
Penn State
14.405
22.661
-3.919
54.5%
10/12
18:30
ABC
Minnesota
Nebraska
16.162
6.747
12.565
63.7%
10/12
18:30
FS1
Wake Forest
Louisville
11.939
0.874
13.902
65.1%
10/12
18:30
ACCN
Kentucky
Arkansas
1.368
-12.605
17.789
69.2%
10/12
18:30
SECN
Tulsa
Navy
-3.390
-3.890
1.802
52.3%
10/12
18:30
ESPNU
Notre Dame
USC
18.230
7.946
15.100
66.3%
10/12
18:30
NBC
LSU
Florida
26.326
16.839
14.857
66.1%
10/12
19:00
ESPN
Oregon State
Utah
-4.571
16.009
-17.841
69.2%
10/12
19:00
P12N
Boise State
Hawaii
13.398
10.823
5.539
56.3%
10/12
21:15
ESPN2
San Diego State
Wyoming
5.129
5.807
1.360
51.9%
10/12
21:30
CBSSN
Arizona
Washington
7.864
9.248
1.696
52.2%
10/12
22:00
FS1

Early Slate (11:00 am to 11:30 am)
A quality over quantity early slate.

Oklahoma at Texas (11:00 am, FOX)
This is routinely a fun and enlightening game, but often a blowout. That said it’s been a barn burner of comebacks year after year and I expect fireworks again this season.
Memphis at Temple (11:00 am, ESPN2)
Temple’s taken a step back after beating Maryland but they’re still a solid test for this Memphis team on the road. This will be a defensive test and it’s the perfect pairing with what should be a points Red River Shootout (I know it’s not called that anymore).

Midday Slate (1:00 pm to 3:00 pm)
The afternoon slate looks fun, and also Bama is playing (I kid, I kid).

Alabama at Texas A&M (2:30 pm, CBS)
I know, I know, SEC bias but A&M has been solid against really good competition. They’re going to slow the game down and be closer than expected well into the third quarter before Alabama pulls away. A&M may be the best 6-6 team of all time when it’s all said and it’s going to royally piss people off.
Michigan State at Wisconsin (2:30 pm, Big Ten Network)
You’re going to watch this because deep down in places you don’t talk about at parties you need Wisconsin football in your life. You want Wisconsin football in your life. Also, Michigan State could score 0 and Jonathan Taylor is going to rush for 4,000 yards and not win a Heisman.
Washington State at Arizona State (2:30 pm, Pac-12 Network)
This is not #Pac12AfterDark but it is a tale of two philosophies and should be an interesting contrast that will be enjoyable for neither side.
Cincinnati at Houston (2:30 pm, ESPN2)
Cincinnati looks to avoid the letdown after beating UCF against a Houston team that looked so, so, so much better against North Texas than anyone expected. My system has this as just under a 17-point game but I think this game is so much more interesting than a three score contest. Make it your third game but keep an eye on it for a fun finish.

Evening Slate (5:00 pm to 7:00 pm)

Florida at LSU (7:00 pm, ESPN)
The evening headliner sees Florida come off a huge road win over Auburn last weekend. LSU is coming off a slow start against Utah State and cannot afford that kind of a start against Florida in Death Valley. If nothing else, we get to watch an exciting matchup of the LSU offense against the Florida defense.
Penn State at Iowa (6:30 pm, ABC)
Iowa laid an egg against Michigan and scored 3 points. The defense is legit, the offense is inconsistent, and Penn State is a team most have been sleeping on. It should be a great atmosphere in Kinnick, but I think ultimately Penn State has an offense where Michigan does not.
USC at Notre Dame (6:30 pm, NBC)
Notre Dame is better, USC is better than expected, it’s a rivalry game and you should keep an eye on it.
Nebraska at Minnesota (6:30 pm, FS1)
It’s time to talk to your kids about Rowing the Boat and an undefeated Minnesota. Nebraska and Scott Frost could use a signature win this season and beating undefeated Minnesota is their last chance to pick up one of those marquee wins on the road. For Minnesota they just need to keep the status quo, be good enough on defense to allow the offense to pull away. Nebraska has been a disappointment to some preseason expectations but there were always going to be growing pains for Frost.
North Texas at Southern Miss (6:00 pm, Facebook)
This is a big contest in the Conference USA West and that doesn’t really mean a lot to most fans but this one should be fun pointsy and an option for a computer screen with a handful of bigger games on the TV.

Late Night Slate (9:15 pm to 10:00 pm)
Watch these games they should be fun.

Hawaii at Boise State (9:15 pm, ESPN2)
This should be a shootout. Hawaii is going to make big mistakes and have big successes. Boise State is going to play their game but will need to be more efficient than they’ve been so far in 2019. Will steady or explosive win? That is the challenge at all levels of sport.
Wyoming at San Diego State (9:30 pm, CBSSN)
A pretty great Mountain West game. SDSU has found it hard to score points this season, while Wyoming has been hit this year and took a pretty big step back on defense.
Washington at Arizona (10:00 pm, FS1)
Khalil Tate is playing, Arizona is better than expected, and Washington has yet to find any semblance of consistency. All the makings of a surprisingly #Pac12AfterDark affair.

Good week ahead here, a good start if a little bit shallow, leads us into a solid to good afternoon, a wonderful evening slate, and a relatively excellent late-night slate to bring us home with some points.

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