Week
7 is a good slate and we’re starting to see more and more games with conference,
and divisional, implications. It’s an especially fun week in the Big 12, AAC,
and Sun Belt.
Weekday
Slate (Wednesday Thru Friday)
There
are 7 games mid-week but they’re a mixed bag with a lot of, “alright, yeah that’s
a football game”. That said a trio at least caught my interest.
Arkansas State at Louisiana (Thurs. 6:30
pm, ESPNU)
Louisiana is the best team in the Sun
Belt West but thanks to their loss last week at the hands of Appalachian State
they’re tied for second with Texas State and their opponent this week Arkansas
State. Louisiana has the best unit on the field in it’s offense and Arkansas
State has the worst (it’s defense) which means Louisiana at home with the
advantage but little room for error.
Pittsburgh at Syracuse (Fri. 6:00 pm,
ESPN)
Ohio State at Northwestern (Fri. 7:30
pm, FS1)
Both of these are different kinds of
good bad games. Syracuse and Pitt are both inconsistent, have defied preseason expectations,
and unfortunately for Syracuse both bad at offensive football. Dino Babers has
all of the goodwill in Syracuse but one of the biggest surprises of the season
is the lack of Syracuse offense. Ohio State-Northwestern is either going to be
a bloodbath as Ohio State wades it’s way through the tall grass at Norhtwestern
or is going to be incredibly ugly as Ohio State looks ahead to the Wisconsin
game and Northwestern has a repeat of their slog against Wisconsin.
|
Home
|
Away
|
Home
Rating
|
Away
Rating
|
My
Spread
|
Win%
|
Date
|
Time
|
TV
|
|
Troy
|
South Alabama
|
-9.265
|
-19.675
|
12.810
|
63.9%
|
10/16
|
19:00
|
ESPN2
|
|
Arkansas State
|
Louisiana
|
0.527
|
6.859
|
-4.136
|
54.8%
|
10/17
|
18:30
|
ESPNU
|
|
Stanford
|
UCLA
|
2.892
|
-11.007
|
17.361
|
68.7%
|
10/17
|
20:00
|
ESPN
|
|
FAU
|
Marshall
|
6.145
|
-7.102
|
14.506
|
65.7%
|
10/18
|
17:30
|
CBSSN
|
|
Syracuse
|
Pittsburgh
|
4.001
|
5.347
|
1.051
|
51.5%
|
10/18
|
18:00
|
ESPN
|
|
Northwestern
|
Ohio State
|
-4.523
|
32.269
|
-34.076
|
86.6%
|
10/18
|
19:30
|
FS1
|
|
Fresno State
|
UNLV
|
-4.081
|
-12.752
|
10.990
|
62.0%
|
10/18
|
21:00
|
CBSSN
|
|
Louisville
|
Clemson
|
4.724
|
27.349
|
-19.162
|
70.6%
|
10/19
|
11:00
|
ABC
|
|
Oklahoma
|
West Virginia
|
23.004
|
-2.632
|
30.741
|
83.0%
|
10/19
|
11:00
|
FOX
|
|
Arkansas
|
Auburn
|
-12.751
|
19.528
|
-28.235
|
80.3%
|
10/19
|
11:00
|
SECN
|
|
Connecticut
|
Houston
|
-21.315
|
-2.562
|
-17.243
|
68.6%
|
10/19
|
11:00
|
ESPNU
|
|
Ohio
|
Kent State
|
-11.600
|
-4.888
|
-4.399
|
55.1%
|
10/19
|
11:00
|
CBSSN
|
|
Boston College
|
NC State
|
-6.020
|
1.752
|
-5.007
|
55.7%
|
10/19
|
11:00
|
ACCN
|
|
Miami (FL)
|
Georgia Tech
|
-3.289
|
-14.259
|
14.878
|
66.1%
|
10/19
|
11:00
|
ACCN
|
|
Texas Tech
|
Iowa State
|
-2.338
|
10.287
|
-8.743
|
59.6%
|
10/19
|
11:00
|
FS1
|
|
Illinois
|
Wisconsin
|
-7.433
|
23.730
|
-28.615
|
80.7%
|
10/19
|
11:00
|
BTN
|
|
Iowa
|
Purdue
|
10.509
|
-3.799
|
18 .646
|
70.1%
|
10/19
|
11:00
|
ESPN2
|
|
South Carolina
|
Florida
|
4.226
|
15.869
|
-6.975
|
57.8%
|
10/19
|
11:00
|
ESPN
|
|
Bowling Green
|
Central Michigan
|
-15.464
|
-2.524
|
-11.332
|
62.4%
|
10/19
|
13:00
|
ESPN3
|
|
Ball State
|
Toledo
|
-3.528
|
-0.819
|
-2.166
|
52.7%
|
10/19
|
13:00
|
ESPN+
|
|
Miami (OH)
|
Northern Illinois
|
-5.476
|
-9.803
|
6.035
|
56.8%
|
10/19
|
13:30
|
ESPN+
|
|
Kansas State
|
TCU
|
4.463
|
5.053
|
3.490
|
54.1%
|
10/19
|
13:30
|
-
|
|
California
|
Oregon State
|
4.448
|
-8.533
|
15.427
|
66.7%
|
10/19
|
13:30
|
P12N
|
|
Georgia Southern
|
Coastal Carolina
|
-4.409
|
-8.755
|
6.102
|
56.8%
|
10/19
|
14:00
|
ESPN3
|
|
Wyoming
|
New Mexico
|
4.560
|
-13.996
|
20.372
|
71.9%
|
10/19
|
14:00
|
-
|
|
Washington
|
Oregon
|
16.051
|
14.861
|
5.540
|
56.3%
|
10/19
|
14:30
|
ABC
|
|
Maryland
|
Indiana
|
-2.126
|
3.574
|
-2.963
|
53.5%
|
10/19
|
14:30
|
BTN
|
|
Virginia
|
Duke
|
6.181
|
11.161
|
-2.547
|
53.1%
|
10/19
|
14:30
|
ACCN
|
|
Cincinnati
|
Tulsa
|
18.894
|
-7.706
|
29.175
|
81.3%
|
10/19
|
14:30
|
ESPNU
|
|
SMU
|
Temple
|
19.536
|
7.203
|
14.136
|
65.3%
|
10/19
|
14:30
|
ESPN2
|
|
Akron
|
Buffalo
|
-32.973
|
-11.258
|
-20.356
|
71.9%
|
10/19
|
14:30
|
ESPN3
|
|
Virginia Tech
|
North Carolina
|
-2.037
|
5.936
|
-3.820
|
54.4%
|
10/19
|
14:30
|
ACCN
|
|
Louisiana Tech
|
Southern Miss
|
4.101
|
4.157
|
1.841
|
52.4%
|
10/19
|
14:30
|
NFL
|
|
Navy
|
USF
|
4.585
|
-7.579
|
15.575
|
66.8%
|
10/19
|
14:30
|
CBSSN
|
|
Appalachian State
|
ULM
|
18.598
|
-4.699
|
26.138
|
78.1%
|
10/19
|
14:30
|
ESPN+
|
|
Mississippi State
|
LSU
|
1.931
|
24.762
|
-18.805
|
70.3%
|
10/19
|
14:30
|
CBS
|
|
Rutgers
|
Minnesota
|
-19.182
|
17.598
|
-33.873
|
86.4%
|
10/19
|
14:30
|
BTN
|
|
UAB
|
Old Dominion
|
2.767
|
-18.901
|
22.712
|
74.4%
|
10/19
|
15:00
|
ESPN+
|
|
Vanderbilt
|
Missouri
|
-14.721
|
10.945
|
-23.104
|
74.8%
|
10/19
|
15:00
|
SECN
|
|
Oklahoma State
|
Baylor
|
8.355
|
13.429
|
-1.218
|
51.7%
|
10/19
|
15:00
|
FOX
|
|
North Texas
|
Middle Tennessee
|
-12.785
|
-8.140
|
-2.610
|
53.2%
|
10/19
|
15:00
|
-
|
|
WKU
|
Charlotte
|
-1.139
|
-13.000
|
13.761
|
64.9%
|
10/19
|
15:00
|
ESPN+
|
|
UTSA
|
Rice
|
-16.726
|
-18.547
|
2.805
|
53.4%
|
10/19
|
17:00
|
ESPN3
|
|
Liberty
|
Maine
|
-1.274
|
-22.636
|
22.852
|
-
|
10/19
|
17:00
|
ESPN+
|
|
Georgia
|
Kentucky
|
15.287
|
0.187
|
20.343
|
71.9%
|
10/19
|
17:00
|
ESPN
|
|
Utah
|
Arizona State
|
17.672
|
10.774
|
10.765
|
61.8%
|
10/19
|
17:00
|
P12N
|
|
Texas
|
Kansas
|
9.993
|
-6.933
|
22.076
|
73.7%
|
10/19
|
18:00
|
LHN
|
|
UCF
|
East Carolina
|
7.375
|
-9.304
|
19.674
|
71.2%
|
10/19
|
18:00
|
CBSSN
|
|
Washington State
|
Colorado
|
-2.914
|
-1.430
|
1.671
|
52.2%
|
10/19
|
18:00
|
ESPNU
|
|
Eastern Michigan
|
Western Michigan
|
-4.871
|
0.309
|
-4.030
|
54.7%
|
10/19
|
18:00
|
ESPN+
|
|
Memphis
|
Tulane
|
9.552
|
10.791
|
0.836
|
51.3%
|
10/19
|
18:00
|
ESPN2
|
|
Georgia State
|
Army
|
4.851
|
-3.833
|
10.284
|
61.2%
|
10/19
|
18:00
|
ESPN+
|
|
FIU
|
UTEP
|
-10.130
|
-27.126
|
18.688
|
70.1%
|
10/19
|
18:00
|
ESPN+
|
|
San Jose State
|
San Diego State
|
-8.133
|
6.792
|
-13.965
|
65.1%
|
10/19
|
18:00
|
-
|
|
Penn State
|
Michigan
|
24.693
|
13.404
|
16.845
|
68.2%
|
10/19
|
18:30
|
ABC
|
|
Mississippi
|
Texas A&M
|
-1.975
|
2.767
|
-0.708
|
51.2%
|
10/19
|
18:30
|
SECN
|
|
Wake Forest
|
Florida State
|
6.242
|
4.216
|
4.863
|
55.5%
|
10/19
|
18:30
|
ACCN
|
|
Alabama
|
Tennessee
|
28.985
|
-7.918
|
42.415
|
95.7%
|
10/19
|
20:00
|
ESPN
|
|
USC
|
Arizona
|
6.390
|
3.388
|
6.765
|
57.5%
|
10/19
|
20:30
|
P12N
|
|
BYU
|
Boise State
|
-5.263
|
15.315
|
-16.823
|
68.2%
|
10/19
|
21:15
|
ESPN2
|
|
Utah State
|
Nevada
|
3.916
|
-5.180
|
11.390
|
62.4%
|
10/19
|
21:15
|
ESPNU
|
|
Hawaii
|
Air Force
|
6.689
|
3.428
|
4.661
|
55.3%
|
10/19
|
22:00
|
CBSSN
|
Early
Slate (11:00 am)
No
weird middle times early this week so just the 11 o’clock slate and it’s shallow
but includes two bangers.
Iowa
State at Texas Tech (11:00 am, FS1)
Hey,
we still don’t know what the middle of the Big 12 is. Baylor is undefeated and
has beating Iowa State who is tied with Texas at 2-1 in conference and a game
up on Texas Tech who is 1-2. Tech’s offense has slowed from the Kingsbury era,
but the both the offense and defense are top-45 nationally (I know arbitrary
endpoints). Iowa State has a legit defense, a good enough offense, and a loss
to a Baylor team that Tech took to overtime this week. This should be a fun
game in the early slate when there isn’t much on.
Purdue
at Iowa (11:00 am, ESPN2)
Iowa’s
defense is legit, their offense isn’t, and I have no idea what Purdue is. So, keep
an eye on this game as you watch the other two at this time. Also, both are 1-2
in conference and a loss all but knocks them out of the divisional race.
Florida
at South Carolina (11:00 am, ESPN)
South
Carolina is coming off a huge win over Georgia in which they got a lot of help
from turnovers. They get Florida who’s coming off a decisive loss to LSU last
weekend. Look for a return to normalcy on both sides and for Florida to roll.
Midday
Slate (1:00 pm to 3:00 pm)
A
really stacked midday slate with important games across the country.
TCU
at Kansas State (1:30 pm, FSN)
Not
the best game of the slate but the earliest. Kansas State needs this to have
any chance of climbing back into the race for the second spot in the conference
title game. At 0-2 in conference with losses to Baylor and Oklahoma State they
already have a big hill to climb. TCU would join Kansas State at 1-2 with a
loss and is one of the more inconsistent teams in the nation. Their two FBS wins
are Purdue and Kansas, this game matters because it will tell us oh so much
about both teams.
Temple
at SMU (2:30 pm, ESPN2)
A
tale of two styles brings the high-flying offense of SMU up against the a
stereotypically stout Temple defense. Both teams are tied for their divisional
lead and SMU remains undefeated on the season.
Southern
Miss at Louisiana Tech (2:30 pm, NFL Network)
This
is the battle for the sole lead of the CUSA West. Southern Miss can score and
give up scores at will, Louisiana Tech has regressed on offense, but this
should still be a good back and forth game with quite a bit more than many will
realize at stake.
LSU
at Mississippi State (2:30 pm, CBS)
Is
there an LSU letdown/meltdown in LSU this year? A trip to Mississippi State is
the place that stumble often occurred in recent seasons for the Bayou Bengals.
ULM
at Appalachian State (2:30 pm, ESPN+)
App
State is coming off a defeat of the other UL team and now get division leader
ULM. This should be less of a test than ULL has against Arkansas State this
week but still a letdown spot against ULM.
Duke
at Virginia (2:30 pm, ACC Network)
This
game matters for the Atlantic giving the winner a leg up on the road to Charlotte
to play Clemson. Don’t watch this game without money on it or a pre-existing
rooting interest.
Baylor
at Oklahoma State (3:00 pm, FOX)
Unlike
the aforementioned TCU/KSU game this one is the last because of start time but
might be the best overall. Oklahoma State has looked solid this year in a bit
of a surprise, while Baylor is the surprise in the Big 12 and one of the largest
surprises in the country. If Baylor can handle the Cowboys all their focus goes
to the look ahead spot on the road against rival TCU on 11/16, and then back to
back home games against Oklahoma and Texas on 11/23 and 11/30 respectively. If
they lose, well we’re back to a muddled mess in the middle of the conference of
good, not great, teams.
Evening
Slate (5:00 pm to 6:30 pm)
A
good but not spectacular evening slate with important Pac-12, Big Ten, and AAC
games.
Arizona
State at Utah (5:00 pm, Pac-12 Network)
This
one is going to be close, and that isn’t a compliment. The winner of this and
the winner of USC-Arizona have a leg up, the loser of each game isn’t out of
this because the Pac-12 South is what happens when you make an entire division out
the middle of the Big 12. It should be fun.
Kentucky
at Georgia (5:00 pm, ESPN)
Keep
an eye on this one for the laughs, but Georgia should wreck Kentucky to keep
pace with Florida. If it doesn’t, well Kirby is going to start feeling the heat
a bit.
Tulane
at Memphis (6:00 pm, ESPN2)
Memphis
needs this game to keep pace with Tulane and SMU. They’re the best team in the division
and the team most capable of taking UCF down in the conference but another loss
is a back breaker and this is a must win at home. Tulane isn’t a pushover
though and they’re one of the most pleasant surprises in the country this
season.
Michigan
at Penn State (6:30 pm, ABC)
If
Penn State rolls, like they should, a couple things are on the table: 1) This
is a three-team conference. 2) Harbaugh watch is officially, officially on.
Texas
A&M at Mississippi (6:30 pm, SEC Network)
I
think A&M is for real but the Arkansas contest sticks in my mind and Ole
Miss is better than we thought they’d be. I don’t think A&M loses this, but
this is the start of the lull in their schedule and a loss on the road could see
a talented team with three losses spiral heading towards their meeting with
Georgia and LSU at the end of the year.
Late
Night Slate (8:00 pm to 10:00 pm)
A
trio of important games and a traditional SEC rivalry.
Tennessee
at Alabama (8:00 pm, ESPN)
Tennessee
gets mad Saban who asked for a night game and got buried in a late (relatively)
game against a traditional rival. Tennessee comes off an exciting win over Miss
State and a positive result this week is probably keeping them inside 28 points.
Arizona
at USC (8:30 pm, Pac-12 Network)
See
the Airzona State-Utah blurb above, and enjoy a critical Pac-12 South game, with
Khalil Tate, during #Pac12AfterDark.
Boise
State at BYU (9:15 pm, ESPN2)
#MurderSmurfs
(h/t @38Godfrey) heads to Provo to keep their undefeated streak alive. They haven’t
been horribly efficient this year, but they took the wood to Hawaii last week
and have a chance to do the same against a banged-up BYU.
Air
Force at Hawaii (10:00 pm, CBSSN)
A
tale of two styles with Hawaii’s spread and Air Forces triple option. Watch it
for that, late-night Hawaii, and let it send you ff into a peaceful slumber.
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