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Thursday, October 31, 2019

2019 College Football: Week 10 - Best Bets


Had another good week in week 9 with 3-1-1 record, hitting on OSU & PSU easily and La Tech by the skin on our asses. Heading into Week 10 we’re up 18.94% ROI and a bankroll of $10,776.36.

The Pertinent Information
Bankroll - $10,776.36
ROI – 18.94%
Record – 23-16-2 (58.54%)

This was another one of those weeks where I had a little trouble getting to 5, but it’s because I’m close to the number I want but just not all the way there to pull the trigger.

Georgia Southern at Appalachian State (-15)
App State is in control of their own destiny in the Sun Belt East. They need to get past the Georgia schools to get there with Georgia Southern and Georgia State bookending a trip to South Carolina on the 9th. The Southern offense is absolutely atrocious, the defense is pretty good, but App State is solid on both sides of the ball and even with a slow Thursday start for the Mountaineers.

Akron at Bowling Green (-6)
Rutgers at Illinois (-20)
I have two #MorganSpecials this week. BGSU/Akron is about as bad of a game as you’re going to find this season with both ranking in the bottom 10 nationally no matter which rating system you look at. I feel more strongly about Illinois despite the higher spread. Illinois is an alright team, didn’t have a major letdown after the Wisconsin upset and Rutgers is just absolutely ass. The Illini roll here.

Arkansas State (-2) at ULM
The two teams chasing ULL in the Sun Belt West meat up in Monroe, Louisiana Saturday. ULM still has ULL but a loss to the Red Wolves mean a win in a couple weeks means a potential three-way tie in the division and a whole lot of sloppiness. Arkansas State’s defense should shut down the ULM offense, while the ULM defense hasn’t stopped much this season. It only takes a field goal and this one ends up with an Arkansas State win between 7-10 points.

Virginia (+115) at North Carolina
This one should be close and kind of ugly and when that’s the case give me the team with the better defense (UVA) and the underdog (UVA). Betting this isn’t for the faint of heart I have it as a 50-50 game, ESPN’s Bill Connelly has it as a 2.9 point spread in favor of Virginia. Take the dog or take the points if you feel better about that.

Because I’m posting these late Wednesday/Thursday I will try to add at least one line that moved to something I like on Saturday.

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