2019 College Football: Week 9 - Best Bets Review

A nice week once again where we went 3-1-1 with Navy pushing and Temple losing. Let’s look quick take a look at where we were heading into the week and what happened during the games.

The Pertinent Information (Before)

Bankroll - $10,603.64

ROI – 16.77%

Record – 20-15-1 (56.94%)

Wisconsin at Ohio State (-14)

This one went about how expected, the Badgers muddied it up into the second half but the talent for Ohio State pulled away and made this one a route as the 3^rd quarter ended. They were a little under a half point per play better (.528 to .137) and outgained the badgers by 2+ yards per play (5.986 to 3.745).

Penn State (-6) at Michigan State

This line didn’t make sense to me pre-game, and it didn’t make sense when the Nittany Lions were up 28 points at half. Like Ohio State the underlying stats confirm the blood bath (PPP: .406 to .095 & YPP: 4.377 to 3.581). Penn State-Ohio State is going to be a fun one and this was part of a three-way really good Big Ten East.

Louisiana Tech (-20.5) at UTEP

Our #MorganSpecial this week was a squeaker as Louisiana Tech beat UTEP by 21 points. That said it was the right side as La Tech outgained UTEP 7 yards per play to 5.078 and outscored them .6 to .328 points per play. UTEP is really, really, bad and took a beatdown on par with MSU & Wisconsin they just happened to score 14 in garbage time.

Tulane at Navy (-3)

Navy pushed and by all accounts that seems like a fair result in a close game, at least from an efficiency standpoint. On a yards per play basis both teams were just shy of 7 yards per play (6.969 to 6.718) and it was scoring efficiency that made the big difference with Navy besting Tulane .631 to .535.

UCF at Temple (+10.5)

Our #KrihaBadBeat of the week saw Temple catch them hands against UCF. There isn’t much to say here other than… Holy shit UCF outgained them by almost five yards a play (8.648 to 3.746). That Temple offense did not do enough, and UCF was efficient (.887 points per play) against what had been a solid defense to date.

The Pertinent Information (Before)

Bankroll - $10,776.36

ROI – 18.94%

Record – 23-16-2 (58.54%)

We’re on a good run of form once again with two weeks of profits after two weeks of losses. Let’s keep that going in week 10 and we’ll see you again during the week.