2019 College Footbal: Week 8 - Best Bets Review

Heyyyyo, we had ourselves a week. Going 4-1 with both of our money line plays hitting and only Boise State dropping to BYU. Let’s take a closer look at the games and where we were before and after the week.

The Pertinent Information (Before)

Bankroll - $10,211.82

ROI – 6.83%

Record – 16-14-1 (53.23%)

TCU at Kansas State (+150)

We got lucky with this one. Kansas State won but TCU moved the ball really well on them and KSU needed to score a late 4^th quarter touchdown to win. Kansas State was more efficient with their chances at nearly 2 tenths of a point per play better than TCU, but on a yards per play basis we see it was mostly due to turnovers and field position. TCU was almost a half yard per play better than KSU (5.155 to 4.75) and really should have won in what was a close game throughout.

Baylor (+160) at Oklahoma State

This game got out to starts and fits for Baylor in the first half, but they pulled away in the second half. Baylor thoroughly dominated this game. In YPP they were nearly 5 yards per play better (10.231 to 5.512) and in PPP they were a half point per play better (.865 to .329). Baylor is at worst the 3^rd best team in the conference and might be 2^nd with Texas struggling to defeat Kansas.

Rice at UTSA (+4.5)

Our #MorganSpecial hit with UTSA winning outright and it was mostly deserved. UTSA was more efficient .1 points per play better and slightly better in yards per play (.353 advantage). A slight edge led to a slight win.

Boise State (-7) at BYU

The #KrihaBadBet of the week was Boise heading to BYU and laying an egg. Both teams were without their starting QB but Boise just couldn’t convert their chances. BYU was a tenth of a point per play better than Boise but only about a half yard per play better. This game was about a toss up to BYU’s credit and Boise’s detriment.

Florida (-5.5) at South Carolina

Florida was the better team on the road, got some referee luck, and pulled out an 11-point road win. It was pretty straight forward Florida converted their chances (PPP .603 to .346) and a slight edge in yards per play (5.619 to 4.962). All in all, a hampered QB and some ill-timed mistakes led to the Florida cover.

It was a great week, we hit our two MLs and had a profit of $391.82 on our five bets and have made strides again that have moved us north of 15% ROI on the year.

The Pertinent Information (After)

Bankroll - $10,603.64

ROI – 16.77%

Record – 20-15-1 (56.94%)