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Tuesday, October 22, 2019

2019 College Football: Week 9 - Picks and Viewers' Guide


Week 9 alright where has the time gone. Well the marquee game of the week took a bit of a ding but we’re clearly into

Weekday Slate (Thursday & Friday)
There are only two games during the week… They’re football games.
SMU at Houston (Thursday, 6:30 pm, ESPN)
USC at Colorado (Friday, 8:00 pm, ESPN2)
Neither one of these games is all that exciting but they exist, and we’ll watch. SMU is still undefeated, and USC is tied for the Pac-12 South with the tiebreaker over Utah.

Early Slate (11:00 am to 2:00 pm)
The early slate is weak this week. Wisconsin-Ohio State has lost it’s luster, and the only really interesting games outside of that fairly good one are Miss State-A&M and Oklahoma-KSU

Wisconsin at Ohio State (11:00 am, FOX)
This one is still a good one, but Brandon Peters found openings in the Wisconsin defense at times on Saturday and Justin Fields is a whole different ball game. The Badgers should be outpaced and outmanned, but they should have all the motivation they’ll need after the upset this past week to the Illini.
Mississippi State at Texas A&M (11:00 am, SEC Network)
A&M is still on track to be one of the better 6-6 teams in history and a game in which they welcome the Bulldogs to A&M shouldn’t be a problem.
Oklahoma at Kansas State (11:00 am, ABC)
The only way the Sooners don’t win this one is if Jalen Hurts makes a handful of big mistakes and gives KSU repeated short fields.

Home
Away
Home
Rating
Away
Rating
My
Spread
Win%
Date
Time
TV
Houston
SMU
-0.586
23.914
-21.583
73.2%
10/24
18:30
ESPN
Colorado
USC
-5.544
10.834
-12.941
64.0%
10/25
20:00
ESPN2
Kansas State
Oklahoma
6.818
27.375
-16.478
67.8%
10/26
11:00
ABC
Ohio State
Wisconsin
38.834
20.995
23.559
75.3%
10/26
11:00
FOX
Texas A&M
Mississippi State
6.836
0.524
11.485
62.5%
10/26
11:00
SECN
Purdue
Illinois
-5.273
-3.714
1.499
52.0%
10/26
11:00
BTN
Rutgers
Liberty
-22.226
-1.107
-18.212
69.6%
10/26
11:00
BTN
Pittsburgh
Miami (FL)
10.209
-8.872
21.359
73.0%
10/26
11:00
ESPN
South Alabama
Appalachian State
-23.903
20.176
-43.220
96.6%
10/26
11:00
ESPNU
Northwestern
Iowa
-7.410
12.695
-17.390
68.8%
10/26
11:00
ESPN2
Army
San Jose State
-5.888
-11.328
8.220
59.1%
10/26
11:00
CBSSN
Western Michigan
Bowling Green
-2.392
-20.633
19.781
71.3%
10/26
11:00
ESPN3
Rice
Southern Miss
-21.606
1.549
-22.128
73.8%
10/26
12:00
ESPN+
Ball State
Ohio
1.204
-9.207
10.954
62.0%
10/26
13:00
ESPN+
Wyoming
Nevada
6.366
-8.088
16.270
67.6%
10/26
13:00
-
Marshall
WKU
-2.232
1.043
-1.575
52.1%
10/26
13:30
-
Georgia Southern
New Mexico State
-3.698
-21.373
19.431
70.9%
10/26
14:00
ESPN3
LSU
Auburn
31.111
24.672
11.809
62.9%
10/26
14:30
CBS
TCU
Texas
1.156
11.890
-7.017
57.8%
10/26
14:30
FOX
Michigan State
Penn State
10.785
28.013
-12.660
63.8%
10/26
14:30
ABC
Minnesota
Maryland
21.256
-5.556
29.962
82.2%
10/26
14:30
ESPN
Louisville
Virginia
3.318
11.938
-5.156
55.8%
10/26
14:30
ACCN
Iowa State
Oklahoma State
14.896
5.103
13.643
64.8%
10/26
14:30
FS1
Nebraska
Indiana
4.790
7.490
2.596
53.2%
10/26
14:30
BTN
Florida State
Syracuse
2.541
0.803
6.060
56.8%
10/26
14:30
ESPN2
Stanford
Arizona
-3.680
0.400
-0.617
51.1%
10/26
14:30
P12N
Buffalo
Central Michigan
-10.496
0.826
-10.177
61.1%
10/26
14:30
ESPN+
Toledo
Eastern Michigan
-5.621
-2.171
-1.146
51.6%
10/26
14:30
ESPN+
Kent State
Miami (OH)
-8.009
-3.488
-3.570
54.2%
10/26
14:30
ESPN+
UMASS
Connecticut
-36.210
-25.180
-9.950
60.9%
10/26
14:30
-
Charlotte
North Texas
-15.914
-10.878
-2.922
53.5%
10/26
14:30
ESPN+
Middle Tennessee
FIU
-11.058
-9.072
-0.831
51.3%
10/26
14:30
NFL
Old Dominion
FAU
-22.058
1.682
-20.756
72.3%
10/26
14:30
ESPN+
Northern Illinois
Akron
-12.222
-39.815
28.127
80.2%
10/26
14:30
ESPN3
Navy
Tulane
11.145
7.889
6.667
57.4%
10/26
14:30
CBSSN
East Carolina
USF
-11.515
-11.081
2.332
52.9%
10/26
14:45
ESPNU
Tennessee
South Carolina
-8.491
1.908
-5.202
55.9%
10/26
15:00
SECN
North Carolina
Duke
3.777
7.829
-0.774
51.2%
10/26
15:00
ACCN
New Mexico
Hawaii
-16.201
1.035
-15.941
67.2%
10/26
15:00
-
Alabama
Arkansas
31.725
-15.678
52.915
100.0%
10/26
18:00
ESPN
Temple
UCF
5.675
9.449
-2.490
53.0%
10/26
18:00
ESPN2
Tulsa
Memphis
-8.763
14.889
-22.350
74.0%
10/26
18:00
CBSSN
Kansas
Texas Tech
-8.336
-5.463
-1.389
51.9%
10/26
18:00
FS1
Arkansas State
Texas State
-3.402
-11.519
10.312
61.3%
10/26
18:00
ESPN+
Georgia State
Troy
7.435
-7.499
16.534
67.8%
10/26
18:00
ESPN+
Clemson
Boston College
35.662
-2.209
42.725
96.0%
10/26
18:30
ACCN
Michigan
Notre Dame
12.695
14.497
4.078
54.7%
10/26
18:30
ABC
Fresno State
Colorado State
-2.299
-15.683
15.702
67.0%
10/26
18:30
ESPNU
Kentucky
Missouri
-1.529
7.450
-5.164
55.9%
10/26
18:30
SECN
UCLA
Arizona State
-4.732
9.258
-10.904
61.9%
10/26
18:30
P12N
UTEP
Louisiana Tech
-22.117
7.583
-28.814
80.9%
10/26
19:00
EPSN3
Utah
California
21.879
0.001
25.745
77.6%
10/26
21:00
FS1
Air Force
Utah State
11.581
6.475
7.096
57.9%
10/26
21:15
ESPN2
Oregon
Washington State
20.303
1.188
23.284
75.0%
10/26
21:30
ESPN
UNLV
San Diego State
-16.917
10.356
-26.185
78.1%
10/26
21:30
CBSSN

Midday Slate (2:30 pm to 3:00 pm)
Midday slate is a bit better and at least there is some variety.

Auburn at LSU (2:30 pm, CBS)
This is probably the best high-profile matchup of the day, and a game that features two of the best defensive fronts in the country. LSU has had the more consistent offense, but only gets Death Valley in the afternoon. I think the offensive proficiency gives LSU the edge, but it should be a fun watch.
Penn State at Michigan State (2:30 pm, ESPN)
It’s a PSU-Iowa rematch except in East Lansing, during the day, and less fun.
Texas at TCU (2:30 pm, FOX)
Oklahoma State at Iowa State (2:30 pm, FS1)
More hot middle of the Big 12 action this week. Last week all but eliminated Oklahoma State from contention to be in the top half of the 2-8 group. We also saw Texas come back into the conversation after barely escaping Kansas. I think the TCU-UT game has more excitement but a consistently good Iowa State year in year out is a major accomplishment by Matt Campbell et, al. in Ames.
Miami (OH) at Kent State (2:30 pm, ESPN+)
Before you say anything in our fake conversation yes, this one belongs on here. Both Miami and Kent are 2-1 in the decidedly mediocre (or worse) MAC East, tied with Ohio. Kent State is coming off a loss to the Bobcats and a loss at home this week against Miami leaves them a game back and a loss to both competitors. Miami (OH) wins this and they’re in prime position to lose in the MAC Championship game.
Duke at North Carolina (3:00 pm, ACC Network)
This one matters because the loser likely has no shot at the division title while the loser has a hope and a prayer.

Evening Slate (6:00 pm to 7:00 pm)
A rivalry game, an intriguing AAC matchup, and the Duke-UNC of the Pac-12. It’s not the best week.

UCF at Temple (6:00 pm, ESPN2)
Temple has now been in an interesting game for like half the season and they’ve done something different in each. They scored 21 on SMU and 30 on Memphis, they held Georgia Tech to 2, but barely pulled out the win against what we now know is a bad Maryland team. A win here and they set up a winner take all match against Cincinnati, a loss and they have the ability to set up a three-way tie with one loss where everyone lost to someone else. UCF is worse than the last couple seasons but they’re still good and this one is the best game of Saturday night.
Notre Dame at Michigan (6:30 pm, ABC)
The Marquee matchup of the late slate is a game with a lot of history, good but flawed teams, and Brian Kelly’s weird red face. The Michigan defense is less explosive than last year but still very good, but ND is solid on both sides of the ball compared to Michigan’s very good defense and middling offense.
Arizona State at UCLA (6:30 pm, Pac-12 Network)
This is Duke-UNC of the Pac-12 and only matters because it eliminates one of them. UCLA has it’s QB back though so this one should be at least a little more fun than Duke-UNC.

Late Slate (9:00 pm to 9:30 pm)
A couple #Pac12AfterDark games and an important Mountain West matchup.

California at Utah (9:00 pm, FS1)
Cal-Utah would have been fun with Garbers at QB but now it’s just going to be low scoring weird affair that could be everything #Pac12AfterDark isn’t.
Utah State at Air Force (9:15 pm, ESPN2)
This is the best game of the late slate as well. Much like UCF-Temple the team that wins stays in the race but one has a better chance if they win than the other. Utah State hasn’t played Boise so if they win, they have a winner takes all against the Broncos later in the year. If Air Force wins, they need Boise to lose to USU to make a three-way tie possible. Watch this unless the Pac-12 games get weird.
Washington State at Oregon (9:30 pm, ESPN)
Oregon-Wazzou for its part should be high scoring but probably a blowout but you never know with coming off a comeback win over biggest rival for the division crown Washington last week.

An alright week 9 ahead, plenty of conference race implications. The night is carried by some real nice G5 games that most will overlook.

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