A new year
and some new features in my weekly preview column. The columns are all the same
except the Fav. Win% column. This column is a relative winning percentage for
the favorite in each game based on past results from the system. As a reminder,
if the spread column is positive the home team is my system’s pick, if negative
the away team is the system’s pick. I think the win% column will be mighty
useful as it gives a much more concise idea of the matchup than just the power ranking’s
number.
|
Home
|
Away
|
Home
Rating
|
Away
Rating
|
My
Spread
|
Fav.
Win%
|
Date
|
Time
|
TV
|
|
Connecticut
|
UCF
|
-18.210
|
18.332
|
-34.823
|
87.4%
|
30-Aug
|
18:00
|
ESPNU
|
|
Ball State
|
Cent. Conn.
|
-12.892
|
-22.636
|
10.340
|
-
|
30-Aug
|
18:00
|
ESPN+
|
|
Minnesota
|
New Mexico State
|
0.149
|
-6.949
|
10.463
|
61.4%
|
30-Aug
|
18:00
|
BTN
|
|
Georgia State
|
Kennessaw State
|
-13.188
|
-22.636
|
10.957
|
-
|
30-Aug
|
18:00
|
ESPN+
|
|
UAB
|
Savannah State
|
-3.386
|
-22.636
|
20.393
|
-
|
30-Aug
|
19:00
|
ESPN+
|
|
ULM
|
SE Louisiana
|
-5.226
|
-22.636
|
17.980
|
-
|
30-Aug
|
19:00
|
ESPN+
|
|
Purdue
|
Northwestern
|
6.756
|
16.664
|
-6.976
|
57.8%
|
30-Aug
|
19:00
|
ESPN
|
|
Tulane
|
Wake Forest
|
-6.235
|
8.587
|
-13.029
|
64.1%
|
30-Aug
|
19:00
|
CBSSN
|
|
Oklahoma State
|
Missouri State
|
9.602
|
-22.636
|
36.161
|
-
|
30-Aug
|
19:00
|
FS1
|
|
Utah
|
Weber State
|
4.652
|
-22.636
|
31.186
|
-
|
30-Aug
|
19:00
|
P12N
|
|
Texas A&M
|
Northwestern State
|
13.591
|
-22.636
|
41.434
|
-
|
30-Aug
|
19:30
|
SECN
|
|
San Jose State
|
UC Davis
|
-23.164
|
-22.636
|
0.559
|
-
|
30-Aug
|
21:00
|
-
|
|
Western Michigan
|
Syracuse
|
-3.873
|
-0.819
|
-1.402
|
51.9%
|
31-Aug
|
17:00
|
CBSSN
|
|
Eastern Michigan
|
Monmouth
|
-7.119
|
-22.636
|
16.550
|
-
|
31-Aug
|
17:30
|
ESPN+
|
|
Duke
|
Army
|
2.324
|
7.275
|
-2.549
|
53.1%
|
31-Aug
|
18:00
|
ESPNU
|
|
Michigan State
|
Utah State
|
24.688
|
-4.802
|
34.084
|
86.6%
|
31-Aug
|
18:00
|
BTN
|
|
Wisconsin
|
WKU
|
26.497
|
-12.482
|
43.749
|
97.1%
|
31-Aug
|
20:00
|
ESPN
|
|
Stanford
|
San Diego State
|
24.057
|
7.290
|
20.425
|
72.0%
|
31-Aug
|
20:00
|
FS1
|
|
Nevada
|
Portland State
|
-10.929
|
-22.636
|
13.421
|
-
|
31-Aug
|
20:00
|
-
|
|
Colorado State
|
Colorado
|
-7.726
|
-2.434
|
-5.291
|
56.0%
|
31-Aug
|
20:30
|
CBSSN
|
|
Temple
|
Villanova
|
-2.986
|
-22.636
|
21.207
|
-
|
1-Sep
|
11:00
|
ESPNN
|
|
Rice
|
Houston
|
-17.389
|
0.255
|
-16.515
|
67.8%
|
1-Sep
|
11:00
|
-
|
|
NC State
|
James Madison
|
10.936
|
-22.636
|
37.715
|
-
|
1-Sep
|
11:00
|
ESPNU
|
|
Oklahoma
|
FAU
|
20.949
|
9.331
|
16.726
|
68.1%
|
1-Sep
|
11:00
|
FOX
|
|
TCU
|
Southern
|
11.630
|
-22.636
|
38.052
|
-
|
1-Sep
|
11:00
|
-
|
|
Maryland
|
Texas
|
3.043
|
8.046
|
-5.004
|
55.7%
|
1-Sep
|
11:00
|
FS1
|
|
Ohio State
|
Oregon State
|
22.147
|
-12.948
|
40.840
|
94.0%
|
1-Sep
|
11:00
|
ABC
|
|
Illinois
|
Kent State
|
-10.651
|
-13.310
|
5.340
|
56.0%
|
1-Sep
|
11:00
|
BTN
|
|
Rutgers
|
Texas State
|
-4.529
|
-18.520
|
17.076
|
68.4%
|
1-Sep
|
11:00
|
BTN
|
|
South Carolina
|
Coastal Carolina
|
13.057
|
-18.857
|
36.638
|
89.4%
|
1-Sep
|
11:00
|
SECN
|
|
Texas Tech
|
Mississippi
|
3.520
|
2.541
|
0.978
|
51.5%
|
1-Sep
|
11:00
|
ESPN
|
|
Clemson
|
Furman
|
28.626
|
-22.636
|
56.151
|
-
|
1-Sep
|
11:20
|
ACCN
|
|
Georgia Tech
|
Alcorn State
|
3.964
|
-22.636
|
30.047
|
-
|
1-Sep
|
11:30
|
ACCN
|
|
Boston College
|
UMASS
|
14.957
|
-9.013
|
26.670
|
78.6%
|
1-Sep
|
12:00
|
ACCN
|
|
Ohio
|
Howard
|
0.608
|
-22.636
|
25.739
|
-
|
1-Sep
|
13:00
|
ESPN+
|
|
Air Force
|
Stony Brook
|
-9.733
|
-22.636
|
14.949
|
-
|
1-Sep
|
13:00
|
-
|
|
Pittsburgh
|
Albany
|
-0.995
|
-22.636
|
24.067
|
-
|
1-Sep
|
14:30
|
ACCN
|
|
Penn State
|
Appalachian State
|
18.321
|
-4.045
|
27.872
|
79.9%
|
1-Sep
|
14:30
|
BTN
|
|
Miami (OH)
|
Marshall
|
-5.379
|
2.492
|
-6.050
|
56.8%
|
1-Sep
|
14:30
|
ESPN+
|
|
Georgia
|
Austin Peay
|
24.028
|
-22.636
|
51.904
|
-
|
1-Sep
|
14:30
|
ESPN
|
|
Kentucky
|
Central Michigan
|
7.113
|
-8.540
|
19.558
|
71.1%
|
1-Sep
|
14:30
|
ESPNU
|
|
Auburn
|
Washington
|
22.997
|
21.811
|
1.186
|
51.7%
|
1-Sep
|
14:30
|
ABC
|
|
West Virginia
|
Tennessee
|
0.923
|
-3.762
|
4.685
|
55.4%
|
1-Sep
|
14:30
|
CBS
|
|
Wyoming
|
Washington State
|
0.990
|
10.747
|
-7.882
|
58.7%
|
1-Sep
|
14:30
|
CBSSN
|
|
Iowa
|
Northern Illinois
|
9.407
|
1.304
|
12.402
|
63.5%
|
1-Sep
|
14:30
|
BTN
|
|
California
|
North Carolina
|
7.407
|
-2.187
|
12.176
|
63.2%
|
1-Sep
|
14:30
|
FOX
|
|
USC
|
UNLV
|
22.275
|
-10.847
|
37.060
|
89.8%
|
1-Sep
|
14:30
|
P12N
|
|
Missouri
|
UT Martin
|
7.143
|
-22.636
|
33.073
|
-
|
1-Sep
|
14:30
|
SECN
|
|
Arkansas
|
Eastern Illinois
|
3.295
|
-22.636
|
30.079
|
-
|
1-Sep
|
14:30
|
SECN
|
|
East Carolina
|
North Carolina A&T
|
-19.419
|
-22.636
|
6.180
|
-
|
1-Sep
|
17:00
|
ESPN3
|
|
USF
|
Elon
|
0.545
|
-22.636
|
25.005
|
-
|
1-Sep
|
17:00
|
ESPN3
|
|
Liberty
|
Old Dominion
|
2.836
|
-4.207
|
8.785
|
59.7%
|
1-Sep
|
17:00
|
-
|
|
Virginia
|
Richmond
|
-0.895
|
-22.636
|
24.283
|
-
|
1-Sep
|
17:00
|
ACCN
|
|
Buffalo
|
Delaware State
|
-2.895
|
-22.636
|
20.978
|
-
|
1-Sep
|
17:00
|
ESPN3
|
|
Georgia Southern
|
South Carolina St
|
-8.212
|
-22.636
|
16.358
|
-
|
1-Sep
|
17:00
|
ESPN+
|
|
Troy
|
Boise State
|
0.527
|
16.196
|
-13.319
|
64.4%
|
1-Sep
|
17:00
|
ESPNN
|
|
Charlotte
|
Fordham
|
-15.168
|
-22.636
|
9.741
|
-
|
1-Sep
|
17:00
|
ESPN+
|
|
Tulsa
|
Central Arkansas
|
-6.948
|
-22.636
|
17.088
|
-
|
1-Sep
|
18:00
|
ESPN3
|
|
Louisiana
|
Grambling
|
-11.408
|
-22.636
|
12.483
|
-
|
1-Sep
|
18:00
|
ESPN3
|
|
Arkansas State
|
SE Missouri State
|
-0.936
|
-22.636
|
24.019
|
-
|
1-Sep
|
18:00
|
ESPN+
|
|
Toledo
|
VMI
|
1.012
|
-22.636
|
25.988
|
-
|
1-Sep
|
18:00
|
ESPN3
|
|
Kansas
|
Nicholls
|
-6.460
|
-22.636
|
17.869
|
-
|
1-Sep
|
18:00
|
ESPN3
|
|
Memphis
|
Mercer
|
9.904
|
-22.636
|
34.855
|
-
|
1-Sep
|
18:00
|
ESPN3
|
|
South Alabama
|
Louisiana Tech
|
-12.488
|
2.985
|
-14.469
|
65.7%
|
1-Sep
|
18:00
|
ESPN+
|
|
Kansas State
|
South Dakota
|
3.791
|
-22.636
|
30.555
|
-
|
1-Sep
|
18:00
|
ESPN3
|
|
Southern Miss
|
Jackson State
|
-8.025
|
-22.636
|
16.703
|
-
|
1-Sep
|
18:00
|
ESPN+
|
|
UCLA
|
Cincinnati
|
9.163
|
-9.948
|
22.402
|
74.1%
|
1-Sep
|
18:00
|
ESPN
|
|
FIU
|
Indiana
|
-7.122
|
0.368
|
-5.728
|
56.4%
|
1-Sep
|
18:00
|
CBSSN
|
|
North Texas
|
SMU
|
4.621
|
5.705
|
0.822
|
51.3%
|
1-Sep
|
18:30
|
-
|
|
UTEP
|
Northern Arizona
|
-21.433
|
-22.636
|
2.334
|
-
|
1-Sep
|
18:30
|
ESPN3
|
|
Notre Dame
|
Michigan
|
23.426
|
21.012
|
7.244
|
58.0%
|
1-Sep
|
18:30
|
NBC
|
|
Florida
|
Charleston Southern
|
11.090
|
-22.636
|
38.773
|
-
|
1-Sep
|
18:30
|
SECN
|
|
Mississippi State
|
Stephen F Austin
|
18.825
|
-22.636
|
45.541
|
-
|
1-Sep
|
18:30
|
ESPNU
|
|
Vanderbilt
|
Middle Tennessee
|
-1.928
|
-4.727
|
5.480
|
56.2%
|
1-Sep
|
18:30
|
SECN
|
|
Alabama
|
Louisville
|
23.329
|
0.985
|
22.344
|
74.0%
|
1-Sep
|
19:00
|
ABC
|
|
Baylor
|
Abilene Christian
|
-8.428
|
-22.636
|
17.979
|
-
|
1-Sep
|
19:00
|
-
|
|
Iowa State
|
South Dakota State
|
4.598
|
-22.636
|
31.109
|
-
|
1-Sep
|
19:00
|
-
|
|
Oregon
|
Bowling Green
|
8.695
|
-14.668
|
27.593
|
79.6%
|
1-Sep
|
19:00
|
P12N
|
|
Nebraska
|
Akron
|
0.093
|
-6.391
|
11.783
|
62.8%
|
1-Sep
|
19:00
|
FOX
|
|
New Mexico
|
Icarnate Word
|
-13.041
|
-22.636
|
11.104
|
-
|
1-Sep
|
19:00
|
ESPN3
|
|
Fresno State
|
Idaho
|
8.824
|
-22.636
|
33.794
|
-
|
1-Sep
|
21:00
|
-
|
|
Arizona State
|
UTSA
|
8.335
|
-13.976
|
25.854
|
77.8%
|
1-Sep
|
21:30
|
FS1
|
|
Arizona
|
BYU
|
6.391
|
-2.303
|
11.888
|
62.9%
|
1-Sep
|
21:45
|
ESPN
|
|
Hawaii
|
Navy
|
-24.721
|
0.273
|
-23.525
|
75.3%
|
1-Sep
|
22:00
|
CBSSN
|
|
LSU
|
Miami (FL)
|
6.955
|
19.393
|
-12.438
|
63.5%
|
2-Sep
|
18:30
|
ABC
|
|
Florida State
|
Virginia Tech
|
10.064
|
8.016
|
6.427
|
57.2%
|
3-Sep
|
19:00
|
ESPN
|
