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Tuesday, August 21, 2018

2018 Fantasy Football: 3rd (Penultimate) RB Ranks

Running back is deep this year, but there is significant fall off but it’s a dozen running backs deeper than any of the past couple of seasons.

Note: The Peterson news came out after I put all this together and I think I'd have him in the mid-RB 70s. So just outside these rankings and not much of a factor in fantasy.

Player
Rank
Team
Tiers
ADP
Pos.
ADP
Pos.
Diff
1st
Rank
Rank
Diff
David Johnson
1
ARI
1
4
4
-3
2
-1
Le'Veon Bell
2
PIT
1
2
2
0
1
1
Todd Gurley
3
LAR
1
1
1
2
3
0
Alvin Kamara
4
NO
2
6
5
-1
4
0
Ezekiel Elliott
5
DAL
2
3
3
2
5
0
Saquon Barkley
6
NYG
2
7
6
0
7
-1
Melvin Gordon
7
LAC
2
9
7
0
8
-1
Dalvin Cook
8
MIN
2
14
10
-2
12
-4
Leonard Fournette
9
JAC
2
10
8
1
13
-4
Kareem Hunt
10
KC
2
11
9
1
9
1
Jordan Howard
11
CHI
3
24
14
-3
15
-4
Devonta Freeman
12
ATL
3
18
12
0
10
2
Christian McCaffrey
13
CAR
3
17
11
2
14
-1
LeSean McCoy
14
BUF
3
34
16
-2
6
8
Lamar Miller
15
HOU
3
49
21
-6
18
-3
Jerick McKinnon
16
SF
3
21
13
3
11
5
Joe Mixon
17
CIN
3
26
15
2
19
-2
Tevin Coleman
18
ATL
4
64
27
-9
16
2
Kenyan Drake
19
MIA
4
36
17
2
31
-12
Dion Lewis
20
TEN
4
61
26
-6
17
3
Derrick Henry
21
TEN
4
38
18
3
30
-9
Alex Collins
22
BAL
4
39
19
3
24
-2
Marshawn Lynch
23
OAK
4
78
32
-9
28
-5
Carlos Hyde
24
CLE
4
91
37
-13
33
-9
Duke Johnson
25
CLE
4
96
38
-13
25
0
Chris Thompson
26
WAS
4
81
33
-7
26
0
Rex Burkhead
27
NE
4
70
29
-2
20
7
Jay Ajayi
28
PHI
4
40
20
8
36
-8
Rashaad Penny
29
SEA
4
55
23
6
46
-17
Gio Bernard
30
CIN
4
129
46
-16
38
-8
Mark Ingram
31
NO
4
52
22
9
27
4
Marlon Mack
32
IND
4
84
35
-3
35
-3
Royce Freeman
33
DEN
4
58
24
9
42
-9
Jamaal Williams
34
GB
4
90
36
-2
62
-28
Matt Breida
35
SF
4
143
51
-16
57
-22
Chris Carson
36
SEA
4
113
42
-6
43
-7
C.J. Anderson
37
CAR
4
105
40
-3
23
14
Devantae Booker
38
DEN
4
120
44
-6
41
-3
Peyton Barber
39
TB
4
164
55
-16
101
-62
Isaiah Crowell
40
NYJ
4
82
34
6
32
8
LeGarrette Blount
41
DET
4
176
58
-17
72
-31
Ronald Jones II
42
TB
5
59
25
17
21
21
Frank Gore
43
MIA
5
193
62
-19
40
3
Bilal Powell
44
NYJ
5
156
53
-9
39
5
Rob Kelley
45
WAS
5
191
61
-16
74
-29
Sony Michel
46
NE
5
68
28
18
65
-19
Aaron Jones
47
GB
5
111
41
6
29
18
Kenneth Dixon
48
BAL
5
207
67
-19
44
4
Tarik Cohen
49
CHI
5
74
30
19
37
12
Theo Riddick
50
DET
5
146
52
-2
34
16
Ty Montgomery
51
GB
5
119
43
8
63
-12
Javorius Allen
52
BAL
5
206
66
-14
52
0
Nick Chubb
53
CLE
5
104
39
14
59
-6
Jordan Wilkins
54
IND
5
167
56
-2
50
4
Kerryon Johnson
55
DET
5
75
31
24
70
-15
Jacquizz Rodgers
56
TB
5
289
83
-27
68
-12
Latavius Murray
57
MIN
5
163
54
3
55
2
Corey Clement
58
PHI
5
136
49
9
58
0
Nyheim Hines
59
IND
5
128
45
14
53
6
Jonathan Stewart
60
NYG
5
235
70
-10
56
4
Chris Ivory
61
BUF
5
180
60
1
60
1
James White
62
NE
5
130
47
15
51
11
Spencer Ware
63
KC
5
197
63
0
47
16
Chase Edmonds
64
ARI
5
265
76
-12
66
-2
Austin Ekeler
65
LAC
5
179
59
6
48
17
Samaje Perine
66
WAS
5
170
57
9
103
-37
D'Onta Foreman
67
HOU
5
133
48
19
49
18
Rod Smith
68
DAL
5
282
80
-12
54
14
Corey Grant
69
JAC
5
276
79
-10
81
-12
Darren Sproles
70
PHI
5
239
71
-1
114
-44
Charles Sims
71
TB
5
289
83
-12
64
7
Doug Martin
72
OAK
5
142
50
22
67
5
T.J. Yeldon
73
JAC
5
204
65
8
61
12

5 I’m Higher On
Jacquizz Rodgers, RB, TB27 Higher – Rodgers has been the second in Tampa no matter who has the starting job and he’ll be useful until he gets hurt. Peyton Barber, Charles Sims, and Ronald Jones II are all fighting for the number one spot Rodgers will have his usual 300-500 yards a couple touchdowns and a reception a game adding up to another 100 yards.
Frank Gore, RB, MIA19 Higher – Gore is the number two in Miami and although I think the co-number 1s is just the coaching staff being cheeky he’s going to get a pretty healthy workload and will get 3 yards a carry. At RB 43 he’s a depth piece that’ll take over the starter role if Kenyan Drake gets hurt or just disappear in the game plan for a couple weeks.
Kenneth Dixon, RB, BAL19 Higher – Dixon is the back I like the most in the Baltimore backfield and although I think Collins will start the season as the starter, but talent wins out often enough and Dixon should be the backup and sole heir to the role if Collins struggles or gets injured.
LeGarrette Blount, RB, DET17 Higher – Blount and the Detroit backfield are a mess. As such, I have Blount on this list and Johnson just missed the 5 I’m lower on list. I’m not that high on Blount (RB 41), but I do think he’s going to get the goal line work and may have a split role between the 20s while they continue to work Johnson into the starting role.
Gio Bernard, RB, CIN/Matt Breida, RB, SF16 Higher – Bernard and Breida are the seconds in very different kinds of offenses but they both have a value and I didn’t want to leave either of the list of five. Bernard is the receiving back in Cincinnati and should have a solid role in the running game as well as the passing game. This rank isn’t meant to take away from Mixon but note the value of the role Bernard has. As for Breida, if we’re paralleling the 9ers offense with the Falcons offense he ran two years ago then Breida is the new Tevin Coleman. If Breida is Coleman, then we’re all too low on Breida.

5 I’m Lower on
Doug Martin, RB, OAK22 Lower – It’s Lynch’s job and Martin is purely a handcuff and if you have to draft him for depth do it very late.
Tarik Cohen, RB, CHI20 Lower – I like Cohen as a player, and the coaching change should help, but Benny Cunningham is still there and more efficient in the passing game and he’s not taking over the feature back role from Jordan Howard. I have him in the second tier of receiving backs about a tier and a half behind the Johnson/Bernard tier and right in line with Riddick.
D’Onta Foreman, RB, HOU19 Lower – He’s coming off an Achilles tear and that’s incredibly tough to recover from. Plus, he’ll more than likely be on PUP to start the year and will miss 6 weeks. He’s talented if he returns, I just don’t want that type of risk.
Sony Michel, RB, NE19 Lower – Michel has been set back by a knee surgery and may be out until week 1. He’s talented but I think he’s a year 2 breakout guy. Also, I kept my promise he’s up 18 spots from the first set of ranks.
Ronald Jones II, RB, TB17 Lower – Jones has been one of the biggest disappointments in camp from a fantasy perspective. He hasn’t been able to beat out Peyton Barber so far and when you add in the soft tissue injuries he’s repeatedly had it’s tough for me to rank him too high.

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